• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple regression model

검색결과 2,531건 처리시간 0.029초

공동주택의 건물외부조건과 에너지비용과의 관계분석 (Relation between the Building Exterior Conditions and Energy Costs in the Running period of the Apartment Housing)

  • 이강희;류승훈;이은택
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2009
  • The energy cost is resulted from the energy use. Its sources are divided into some types and depended on the building use or energy-use type. The energy cost should be affected by the amount of the energy use. The cost could be calculated to consider various factors such as the insulation, heating type, building shape and others. But it can not consider all of the affect factors to the energy cost and need to categorize the factors to the condition for estimating the cost. In this paper, it aimed at providing the estimation model in linear equation and multiple linear regression, utilizing the building exterior condition and management characteristics in apartment housing. Its survey are conducted in two parts of management characteristics and building exterior condition. The correlation analysis is conducted to get rid of the multicolinearity among the inputted factors. The number of linear equation model is 11 and includes the 1st, 2nd and 3rd equation function, power function and others. Among these, it suggested the 2nd and 3rd function and power function in terms of the statistics. In multiple linear regression model, the building volume and management area are inputted to the estimation.

Water consumption prediction based on machine learning methods and public data

  • Kesornsit, Witwisit;Sirisathitkul, Yaowarat
    • Advances in Computational Design
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.113-128
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    • 2022
  • Water consumption is strongly affected by numerous factors, such as population, climatic, geographic, and socio-economic factors. Therefore, the implementation of a reliable predictive model of water consumption pattern is challenging task. This study investigates the performance of predictive models based on multi-layer perceptron (MLP), multiple linear regression (MLR), and support vector regression (SVR). To understand the significant factors affecting water consumption, the stepwise regression (SW) procedure is used in MLR to obtain suitable variables. Then, this study also implements three predictive models based on these significant variables (e.g., SWMLR, SWMLP, and SWSVR). Annual data of water consumption in Thailand during 2006 - 2015 were compiled and categorized by provinces and distributors. By comparing the predictive performance of models with all variables, the results demonstrate that the MLP models outperformed the MLR and SVR models. As compared to the models with selected variables, the predictive capability of SWMLP was superior to SWMLR and SWSVR. Therefore, the SWMLP still provided satisfactory results with the minimum number of explanatory variables which in turn reduced the computation time and other resources required while performing the predictive task. It can be concluded that the MLP exhibited the best result and can be utilized as a reliable water demand predictive model for both of all variables and selected variables cases. These findings support important implications and serve as a feasible water consumption predictive model and can be used for water resources management to produce sufficient tap water to meet the demand in each province of Thailand.

구조물의 시간-변화 동적응답에 대한 다중응답접근법 기반 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델 (Statistical Space-Time Metamodels Based on Multiple Responses Approach for Time-Variant Dynamic Response of Structures)

  • 이진민;이태희
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제34권8호
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    • pp.989-996
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    • 2010
  • 통계적 회귀모델과 보간모델은 구조공학 분야에서 실제실험과 전산실험의 결과로부터 자료를 분석하고 응답을 예측하기 위해 적용되었으며 최근 10 년 동안 다양한 설계방법론들과 함께 발전해왔다. 그러나 그들은 구조물의 크기와 형상과 같은 공간변수에 대해서만 취급해왔고 시간변수에 따라 변하는 시간-변화 동적응답을 고려할 수 없었다. 본 연구에서는 공간변수와 시간변수를 모두 취급하여 시간-변화 동적응답을 고려할 수 있는 다중응답접근법 기반 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델을 제안한다. 대표적 회귀모델인 반응표면모델과 보간모델인 크리깅모델을 구조공학 예제의 시간-변화 동적응답에 적용한다. 또한 제안한 방법의 성능을 검증하기 위해 실제함수와의 비교를 통해 두 통계적 공간-시간 메타모델의 정확성을 비교한다.

근적외선을 이용한 사과의 당도예측 (I) - 다중회귀모델 - (Predicting the Soluble Solids of Apples by Near Infrared Spectroscopy (I) - Multiple Linear Regression Models -)

  • 이강진;;;노상하
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.561-570
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    • 1998
  • The MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) models to estimate soluble solids content non-destructively were presented to make a selection of optimal photosensor utilized to measure the soluble solids content of apples. Visible and NIR absorbance in the 400 to 2498 nanometer(nm) wavelength region, soluble solids content(sugar content), hardness, and weight were measured for 400 apples(gala). Spectrophotometer with fiber optic probe was utilized for spectrum measurement and digital refractometer was used for soluble solids content. Correlation between absorbance spectrum and soluble solids content was analyzed to pick out the optimal wavelengths and to develop corresponding prediction model by means of MLR. For the coefficient of determination($R^2$) to be over 0.92, the MLR models out of the original absorbance were built based on 7 wavelengths of 992, 904, 1096, 1032, 880, 824, 1048nm, and the ones of the second derivative absorbance based on 5 wavelengths of 784, 1056, 992, 808, 872nm. The best model of the second derivative absorbance spectrum had $R^2$=0.91, bias= -0.02bx, SEP=0.28bx for unknown samples.

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존별 특성을 반영한 교통사고밀도 모형 - 청주시 사례를 중심으로 - (Traffic Accident Density Models Reflecting the Characteristics of the Traffic Analysis Zone in Cheongju)

  • 김경용;백태헌;임진강;박병호
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2015
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the traffic accidents classified by the traffic analysis zone. The purpose is to develop the accident density models by using zonal traffic and socioeconomic data. METHODS : The traffic accident density models are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. In this study, three multiple linear models were developed. The dependent variable was traffic accident density, which is a measure of the relative distribution of traffic accidents. The independent variables were various traffic and socioeconomic variables. CONCLUSIONS : Three traffic accident density models were developed, and all models were statistically significant. Road length, trip production volume, intersections, van ratio, and number of vehicles per person in the transportation-based model were analyzed to be positive to the accident. Residential and commercial area ratio and transportation vulnerability ratio obtained using the socioeconomic-based model were found to affect the accident. The major arterial road ratio, trip production volume, intersection, van ratio, commercial ratio, and number of companies in the integrated model were also found to be related to the accident.

중회귀 모형을 이용한 울산지역 오존 포텐셜 모형의 설계 및 평가 (Design and Assessment of an Ozone Potential Forecasting Model using Multi-regression Equations in Ulsan Metropolitan Area)

  • 김유근;이소영;임윤규;송상근
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.14-28
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    • 2007
  • This study presented the selection of ozone ($O_3$) potential factors and designed and assessed its potential prediction model using multiple-linear regression equations in Ulsan area during the springtime from April to June, $2000{\sim}2004$. $O_3$ potential factors were selected by analyzing the relationship between meterological parameters and surface $O_3$ concentrations. In addition, cluster analysis (e.g., average linkage and K-means clustering techniques) was performed to identify three major synoptic patterns (e.g., $P1{\sim}P3$) for an $O_3$ potential prediction model. P1 is characterized by a presence of a low-pressure system over northeastern Korea, the Ulsan was influenced by the northwesterly synoptic flow leading to a retarded sea breeze development. P2 is characterized by a weakening high-pressure system over Korea, and P3 is clearly associated with a migratory anticyclone. The stepwise linear regression was performed to develop models for prediction of the highest 1-h $O_3$ occurring in the Ulsan. The results of the models were rather satisfactory, and the high $O_3$ simulation accuracy for $P1{\sim}P3$ synoptic patterns was found to be 79, 85, and 95%, respectively ($2000{\sim}2004$). The $O_3$ potential prediction model for $P1{\sim}P3$ using the predicted meteorological data in 2005 showed good high $O_3$ prediction performance with 78, 75, and 70%, respectively. Therefore the regression models can be a useful tool for forecasting of local $O_3$ concentration.

Estimating excess post-exercise oxygen consumption using multiple linear regression in healthy Korean adults: a pilot study

  • Jung, Won-Sang;Park, Hun-Young;Kim, Sung-Woo;Kim, Jisu;Hwang, Hyejung;Lim, Kiwon
    • 운동영양학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2021
  • [Purpose] This pilot study aimed to develop a regression model to estimate the excess post-exercise oxygen consumption (EPOC) of Korean adults using various easy-to-measure dependent variables. [Methods] The EPOC and dependent variables for its estimation (e.g., sex, age, height, weight, body mass index, fat-free mass [FFM], fat mass, % body fat, and heart rate_sum [HR_sum]) were measured in 75 healthy adults (31 males, 44 females). Statistical analysis was performed to develop an EPOC estimation regression model using the stepwise regression method. [Results] We confirmed that FFM and HR_sum were important variables in the EPOC regression models of various exercise types. The explanatory power and standard errors of estimates (SEE) for EPOC of each exercise type were as follows: the continuous exercise (CEx) regression model was 86.3% (R2) and 85.9% (adjusted R2), and the mean SEE was 11.73 kcal, interval exercise (IEx) regression model was 83.1% (R2) and 82.6% (adjusted R2), while the mean SEE was 13.68 kcal, and the accumulation of short-duration exercise (AEx) regression models was 91.3% (R2) and 91.0% (adjusted R2), while the mean SEE was 27.71 kcal. There was no significant difference between the measured EPOC using a metabolic gas analyzer and the predicted EPOC for each exercise type. [Conclusion] This pilot study developed a regression model to estimate EPOC in healthy Korean adults. The regression model was as follows: CEx = -37.128 + 1.003 × (FFM) + 0.016 × (HR_sum), IEx = -49.265 + 1.442 × (FFM) + 0.013 × (HR_sum), and AEx = -100.942 + 2.209 × (FFM) + 0.020 × (HR_sum).

분광분석법을 이용한 단립 쌀의 함수율 및 단백질 함량 예측모델 개발 (Development of Prediction Model for Moisture and Protein Content of Single Kernel Rice using Spectroscopy)

  • 김재민;최창현;민봉기;김종훈
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study were to develop models to predict the contents of moisture and protein of single kernel of brown rice based on visible/NIR (near-infrared) spectroscopic technique. The reflectance spectra of rice were obtained in the range of the wavelength 400 to 2,500 nm with 2 nm intervals. Multiple linear regression(MLR) and partial least squares (PLS) were used to develop the models. The MLR model using the first derivative spectra(10 nm of gap) with Standard Normal Variate and Detrending (SNV and Drt.) preprocessing showed the best results to predict moisture content of the sin린e kernel brown rice. To predict the protein content of a single kernel of brown ricer the PLS model used the raw spectra with multiplicative scatter correction(MSC) preprocessing over the wavelength of 1,100~1,500 nm.

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평일환산비를 이용한 단기부하상정 알고리즘 (Short-Term Load Forecast Algorithm using Weekday Change Ratio)

  • 고희석;이충식
    • 한국조명전기설비학회지:조명전기설비
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.62-66
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    • 1997
  • 본 논문에서는 평일환산비를 사용하여 단기부하를 상정하는 알고리즘을 제시한다. 평일환산비로 주 주기성을 제거하고, 5개의 상정구간과 3 형태의 중회귀모델을 구성한다. 상정결과 상정도가 2.8〔%〕정도로 양호한 결과를 얻었다. 이로서 특수일(주말)부하의 전력수요상정도 가능하게 되었다. 중회귀 모델을 이용한 전력수요상정시의 큰 문제점인 특수일(주말)의 전력수요를 상정하는 방법이 제시됨으로서 상정도의 향상은 물론 신뢰성있는 상정모델의 구성이 가능하게 되었다.

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3차원 박판형성 공정 유한요소해석용 드로우비드 모델 (Drawbead Model for 3-Dimensional Finite Element Analysis of Sheet Metal Forming Processess)

  • 금영탁;김준환;차지혜
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.394-404
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    • 2002
  • The drawbead model for a three-dimensional a finite element analysis of sheet metal forming processes is developed. The mathematical models of the basic drawbeads like circular drawbead, stepped drawbead, and squared drawbaed are first derived using the bending theory, belt-pulley equation, and Coulomb friction law. Next, the experiments for finding the drawing characteristics of the drawbead are performed. Based on mathematical models and drawing test results, expert models of basic drawbeads are then developed employing a linear multiple regression method. For the expert models of combined drawbeads such as the double circular drawbead, double stepped drawbead, circular-and-stepped drawbead, etc., those of the basic drawbeads are summed. Finally, in order to verify the expert models developed, the drawing characteristics calculated by the expert models of the double circular drawbead and circular-and-stepped drawbead are compared with those obtained from the experiments. The predictions by expert models agree well with the measurements by experiments.