• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.239-250
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• 2022

In many applications, we frequently encounter correlated multiple outcomes measured on the same subject. Joint modeling of such multiple outcomes can improve efficiency of inference compared to independent modeling. For instance, in developmental toxicity studies, fetal weight and number of malformed pups are measured on the pregnant dams exposed to different levels of a toxic substance, in which the association between such outcomes should be taken into account in the model. The number of malformations may possibly have many zeros, which should be analyzed via zero-inflated count models. Motivated by applications in developmental toxicity studies, we propose a Bayesian joint modeling framework for continuous and count outcomes with excess zeros. In our model, zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression model would be used to describe count data, and a subject-specific random effects would account for the correlation across the two outcomes. We implement a Bayesian approach using MCMC procedure with data augmentation method and adaptive rejection sampling. We apply our proposed model to dose-response analysis in a developmental toxicity study to estimate the benchmark dose in a risk assessment.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제17권7호
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• pp.914-918
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• 2004

The random regression model methodology was applied into the estimation of genetic parameters for body weights in Chinese Simmental cattle to replace the traditional multiple trait models. The variance components were estimated using Gibbs sampling procedure on Bayesion theory. The data were extracted for Chinese Simmental cattle born during 1980 to 2000 from 6 national breeding farms, where records from 3 months to 36 months were only used in this study. A 3 orders Legendre polynomial was defined as the submodel to describe the general law of that body weight changing with months of age in population. The heritabilities of body weights from 3 months to 36 months varied between 0.31 and 0.48, where the heritabilities from 3 months to 12 months slightly decreased with months of age but ones from 13 months to 36 months increased with months of age. Specially, the heritabilities at eighteenth and twenty-fourth month of age were 0.33 and 0.36, respectively, which were slightly greater than 0.30 and 0.31 from multiple trait models. In addition, the genetic and phenotypic correlations between body weights at different month ages were also obtained using regression model.

• 물과 미래
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.107-112
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• 1984

저수지내의 퇴사량을 추정하기 위하여 국내 3개 유역의 66개 관개용 저수지의 퇴사실측자료를 사용하여 저수지 퇴사량과 유역면적, 토사포착효율, 유역의 경사, 유역의 형상계수 및 저수지퇴사기간간의 상관관계를 단순회귀모형과 다도수회귀모형으로 제안하였다. 제안된 모형의 적합성을 실측자료로부터 검정하였으며 그 결과 다도수회귀모형에 의한 것이 단순회귀모형에 의하여 산정된 것보다 훨씬 정확한 것으로 판정되었다. 저수지의 년비유사량과 유역면적 및 토사포착효율과 상관시켰다. 저수지내의 년평균퇴사율과 년평균저수지내용적용적의 변동은 토사포착율에 의해 크게 좌우됨을 알았다.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제26권2호
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• pp.175-183
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• 2020

Fly ash has become an important component of concrete as supplementary cementitious material with the development of concrete technology. To make use of fly ash efficiently, four types of fly ash with particle size distributions that are in conformity with four functions, namely, S.Tsivilis, Andersen, Normal and F distribution, respectively, were prepared. The four particle size distributions as functions of the strength and pore structure of concrete were thereafter constructed and investigated. The results showed that the compressive and flexural strength of concrete with the fly ash that conforming to S.Tsivilis, Normal, F distribution increased by 5-10 MPa and 1-2 MPa, respectively, compared to the reference sample at 28 d. The pore structure of the concrete was improved, in which the total porosity of concrete decreased by 2-5% at 28 d. With regarding to the fly ash with Andersen distribution, it was however not conducive to the strength development of concrete. Regression model based on the grey multiple linear regression theory was proved to be efficient to predict the strength of concrete, according to the characteristic parameters of particle size and pore structure of the fly ash.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.137-145
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• 2020

Various elements of Fabrication (FAB), mass production of existing products, new product development and process improvement evaluation might increase the complexity of production process when products are produced at the same time. As a result, complex production operation makes it difficult to predict production capacity of facilities. In this environment, production forecasting is the basic information used for production plan, preventive maintenance, yield management, and new product development. In this paper, we tried to develop a multiple linear regression analysis model in order to improve the existing production capacity forecasting method, which is to estimate production capacity by using a simple trend analysis during short time periods. Specifically, we defined overall equipment effectiveness of facility as a performance measure to represent production capacity. Then, we considered the production capacities of interrelated facilities in the FAB production process during past several weeks as independent regression variables in order to reflect the impact of facility maintenance cycles and production sequences. By applying variable selection methods and selecting only some significant variables, we developed a multiple linear regression forecasting model. Through a numerical experiment, we showed the superiority of the proposed method by obtaining the mean residual error of 3.98%, and improving the previous one by 7.9%.

• 한국지구과학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.269-282
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• 2017

이 연구에서는 Earth Observing System Terra 위성에 탑재된 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) 협대역 방출율(채널 29, 30, 31) 자료와 다중선형회귀모형을 이용하여 지표면 광대역 방출율을 추정하였다. 다중선형회귀모형 도출 및 검증을 위한 분광 방출율 자료는 MODIS University of California, Santa Barbara와 Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer spectral library의 307종(토양 123종, 식생 32종, 물 19종, 인위적 재료 43종, 바위 90종)을 사용하였다. 도출된 다중선형회귀모형의 결정계수($R^2$)는 0.95 (p<.001)로 높게 나타났고 또한 이 모형 결과와 이론적 광대역 방출율 값의 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error)는 0.0070이었다. 그리고 이 연구 결과에 따라 계산된 지표면 광대역 방출율을 선행 연구 Wang et al. (2005)의 결과와 비교하였다. 그 결과 아시아, 아프리카, 오세아니아 지역에서 이 연구와 Wang et al. (2005)의 결과에 대한 1월 평균 지표면 광대역방출율의 평균제곱근오차는 0.0054이었고 최소와 최대 편차는 각각 0.0027과 0.0067이었으며 이러한 통계 값은 8월에도 유사하였다. 이 연구에서 다중선형회귀모형에 의하여 계산한 지표면 광대역 방출율은 Wang et al. (2005)의 값과 큰 차이가 없이 비교적 정확하게 산출되었으나 산출 정확성 향상을 위해서는 토지피복특성에 따른 차별화된 회귀모형 적용 필요성이 제기된다.

• Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.37-42
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• 2001

Ridge regression is compared with multiple linear regression (MLR) for determination of Research Octane Number (RON) when the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio are varied. MLR analysis of near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopic data usually encounters a collinearity problem, which adversely affects long-term prediction performance. The collinearity problem can be eliminated or greatly improved by using ridge regression, which is a biased estimation method. To evaluate the robustness of each calibration, the calibration models developed by both calibration methods were used to predict RONs of gasoline spectra in which the baseline and signal-to-noise ratio were varied. The prediction results of a ridge calibration model showed more stable prediction performance as compared to that of MLR, especially when the spectral baselines were varied. . In conclusion, ridge regression is shown to be a viable method for calibration of RON with the NIR data when only a few wavelengths are available such as hand-carry device using a few diodes.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.8-13
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• 2015

The experimental design methodology was applied in the drop tube furnace (DTF) to predict the various combustion properties according to the operating conditions and to assess the coal plant safety. Response surface method (RSM) was introduced as a design of experiment, and the database for RSM was set with the numerical simulation of DTF. The dependent variables such as burnout ratios (BOR) of coal and $CO/CO_2$ ratios were mathematically described as a function of three independent variables (coal particle size, carrier gas flow rate, wall temperature) being modeled by the use of the central composite design (CCD), and evaluated using a second-order polynomial multiple regression model. The prediction of BOR showed a high coefficient of determination (R2) value, thus ensuring a satisfactory adjustment of the second-order polynomial multiple regression model with the simulation data. However, $CO/CO_2$ ratio had a big difference between calculated values and predicted values using conventional RSM, which might be mainly due to the dependent variable increses or decrease very steeply, and hence the second order polynomial cannot follow the rates. To relax the increasing rate of dependent variable, $CO/CO_2$ ratio was taken as common logarithms and worked again with RSM. The application of logarithms in the transformation of dependent variables showed that the accuracy was highly enhanced and predicted the simulation data well.

• Food Science and Biotechnology
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.656-660
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• 2005

The relationship between the gas chromatographic (GC) patterns of sauce made of barley bran and ranked order in sensory analysis was investigated by multiple regression analysis (MRA). Most of the 42 barley bran sauce samples comprised about 34 peaks, in which the content of 9, 12-octadecanoic acid methyl ester was the highest, followed by those of 2-furanmethanol and 2-furancarboxaldehyde. It is difficult to estimate the aroma quality of barley bran sauce samples on the basis of only one peak. The 34 aroma compounds of the 42 samples were analyzed by an MRA model featuring six transformations. The most precise fit was calculated from the absolute value transformed with the root square of each peak, and the multiple determination coefficient showed that 91.6% of the variation in the sensory score could be explained on the basis of GC data.

• Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.64-71
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• 2013

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to select standing posture parameters that have a significant difference according to the severity of spinal deformity, and to develop a novel Cobb angle prediction model for adolescent girls with idiopathic scoliosis. Methods: Five normal adolescents girls with no history of musculoskeletal disorders, 13 mild scoliosis patients (Cobb angle: $10^{\circ}-25^{\circ}$), and 14 severe scoliosis patients (Cobb angle: $25^{\circ}-50^{\circ}$) participated in this study. Six infrared cameras (VICON) were used to acquire data and 35 standing parameters of scoliosis patients were extracted from previous studies. Using the ANOVA and post-hoc test, parameters that had significant differences were extracted. In addition, these standing posture parameters were utilized to develop a Cobb-angle prediction model through multiple regression analysis. Results: Twenty two of the parameters showed differences between at least two of the three groups and these parameters were used to develop the multi-linear regression model. This model showed a good agreement ($R^2$ = 0.92) between the predicted and the measured Cobb angle. Also, a blind study was performed using 5 random datasets that had not been used in the model and the errors were approximately $3.2{\pm}1.8$. Conclusions: In this study, we demonstrated the possibility of clinically predicting the Cobb angle using a non-invasive technique. Also, monitoring changes in patients with a progressive disease, such as scoliosis, will make possible to have determine the appropriate treatment and rehabilitation strategies without the need for radiation exposure.