• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multiple regression model

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Traffic Accident Model of Urban Rotary and Roundabout by Type of Collision based on Land Use (토지이용에 따른 충돌 유형별 도시부 로터리 및 회전교차로 사고모형)

  • Lee, Min Yeong;Kim, Tae Yang;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.107-113
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    • 2017
  • This paper deals with the traffic factors related to the collisions of circular intersections. The purpose of this study is to develop traffic accident models by type of collision based on land use. In pursuing the above, the traffic accident data from 2010 to 2014 were collected from the "Traffic Accident Analysis System (TAAS)" data set of the Road Traffic Authority. A multiple regression model was utilized in this study to develop the traffic accident models by type of collision. 17 explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume factors were used. The main results are as follows. First, the null hypothesis that the type of land use does not affect the number of accidents by type of collision is rejected. Second, 10 accident models by type of collision based on land use are developed, which are all statistically significant. Finally, the ADT, inscribed circle diameter, bicycle lane, area of central island, number of speed hump, circulatory roadway width, splitter island, area of circulatory roadway, mean number of entry lane and mean width of entry lane are analyzed to see how they affect accident by type of accident based on land use.

Analytical Model in Pedestrian Accident by Van Type Vehicle (Van 형 차량의 보행자 충돌 사고 해석 모델)

  • Ahn, Seung-Mo;Kang, Dae-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 2008
  • The fatalities of pedestrian accounted for about 40.0% of all fatalities in Korea (2005 year). In pedestrian involved accident, the most important data to inspect accident is throw distance of pedestrian. The throw distance of pedestrian can be influenced by many variables, such as vehicular frontal shape, vehicular impact speed, the offset of impact point, the height of pedestrian, and road condition. The trajectory of pedestrian after collision can be influenced by vehicular frontal shape classified into sedan type, box type, SUV type and van type. Many studies have been done about pedestrian accident with passenger car model and bus model for simple factors. But the study of pedestrian accident by van type vehicle was much insufficient, and even that the influence of multiple factors such as the offset of impact point was neglected. In this paper, a series of pedestrian kinetic simulation were conducted to inspect relationship between throw distance and multiple factors with using PC-CRASH s/w, a kinetic analysis program for a traffic accident for van type. By based on the simulation results, multi-variate regression was conducted, and regression equation was presented.

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A Prediction of Stock Price Through the Big-data Analysis (인터넷 뉴스 빅데이터를 활용한 기업 주가지수 예측)

  • Yu, Ji Don;Lee, Ik Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.154-161
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    • 2018
  • This study conducted to predict the stock market prices based on the assumption that internet news articles might have an impact and effect on the rise and fall of stock market prices. The internet news articles were tested to evaluate the accuracy by comparing predicted values of the actual stock index and the forecasting models of the companies. This paper collected stock news from the internet, and analyzed and identified the relationship with the stock price index. Since the internet news contents consist mainly of unstructured texts, this study used text mining technique and multiple regression analysis technique to analyze news articles. A company H as a representative automobile manufacturing company was selected, and prediction models for the stock price index of company H was presented. Thus two prediction models for forecasting the upturn and decline of H stock index is derived and presented. Among the two prediction models, the error value of the prediction model (1) is low, and so the prediction performance of the model (1) is relatively better than that of the prediction model (2). As the further research, if the contents of this study are supplemented by real artificial intelligent investment decision system and applied to real investment, more practical research results will be able to be developed.

The effects of dietary protein intake and quality on periodontal disease in Korean adults (한국 성인의 단백질 섭취량과 식생활의 질이 치주질환에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Su-Yeon;Park, Jung-Eun
    • Journal of Korean society of Dental Hygiene
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2022
  • Objectives: This study aimed to examine the effects of dietary protein intake and quality on periodontal disease in Korean adults. Methods: The data used for analysis were obtained from the 7th Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2016-2018). Data were analyzed using chi-square and t-test. Additionally, multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between dietary protein intake and quality and periodontal disease. Statistical significance level was set at <0.05. Results: Multiple logistic regression analysis of dietary protein intake and periodontal disease in the model adjusted for socioeconomic factors showed that were significantly related to the Q1 (odds ratio [OR]: 1.18, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01-1.39). However, this correlation was not significant in the model in which all variables were corrected. Moreover, analysis of the dietary protein quality and periodontal disease in model 4, which was adjusted for socioeconomic variables, showed that were significantly related to the low score (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.00-1.27). Conclusions: The results showed a significant association between periodontal disease and poor intake and quality of dietary protein in the Korean adult population.

Estimation of AADT Using Multiple Linear Regression in Isolated Area (다중선형 회귀분석을 이용한 고립지역에서의 AADT 추정방안 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-woon;Oh, Ju-sam
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.887-896
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    • 2015
  • This study estimates future AADT using historical AADT and socio-economic factors in isolated area. Multiple linear regression method by socio-economic factors are lower MAPE and higher R-square than using historical AADT. Analysis of socio-economic factors influence AADT in isolated typical areas, varied socio-economic factors influence on AADT. In isolated coastal areas, oil price influence on AADT. AADT forecasting model in isolated area is excellent when analysising $R^2$ and MAPE. It is assume that estimation of AADT in isolated area using multiple linear regression is accurate because of a little passed traffic volume and traffic volume fluctuation.

A Comparison Study of Ensemble Approach Using WRF/CMAQ Model - The High PM10 Episode in Busan (앙상블 방법에 따른 WRF/CMAQ 수치 모의 결과 비교 연구 - 2013년 부산지역 고농도 PM10 사례)

  • Kim, Taehee;Kim, Yoo-Keun;Shon, Zang-Ho;Jeong, Ju-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.513-525
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    • 2016
  • To propose an effective ensemble methods in predicting $PM_{10}$ concentration, six experiments were designed by different ensemble average methods (e.g., non-weighted, single weighted, and cluster weighted methods). The single weighted method was calculated the weighted value using both multiple regression analysis and singular value decomposition and the cluster weighted method was estimated the weighted value based on temperature, relative humidity, and wind component using multiple regression analysis. The effects of ensemble average methods were significantly better in weighted average than non-weight. The results of ensemble experiments using weighted average methods were distinguished according to methods calculating the weighted value. The single weighted average method using multiple regression analysis showed the highest accuracy for hourly $PM_{10}$ concentration, and the cluster weighted average method based on relative humidity showed the highest accuracy for daily mean $PM_{10}$ concentration. However, the result of ensemble spread analysis showed better reliability in the single weighted average method than the cluster weighted average method based on relative humidity. Thus, the single weighted average method was the most effective method in this study case.

Evaluation of User Satisfaction and Image Preference of University Students for Cherry Blossom Campus Trail (대학생들의 캠퍼스 벚꽃터널 산책로 이용 만족도와 이미지 선호도 평가)

  • Lee, In-Gyu;Eom, Boong-Hoon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.1101-1110
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    • 2019
  • This study investigated Post-Occupancy Evaluation (POE) of cherry blossom trails 'Cherry Road' in Daegu Catholic Univ. campus, at Gyeonsan-city, Korea. The evaluation focused on image preference and satisfaction of users i.e., students, using questionnaire surveys. A total 201 questionnaire samples were analyzed and most of the respondents were in the age group of 20. Frequency analysis was conducted on demographics, use behavior, reliability, and means. Factor analysis and multiple regression analysis were conducted for user satisfaction and image preference. Over 80% of visitors came with companions during daytime. The most common motives for use were strolling and walking, event and meeting, passing. For user satisfaction the mean scores were highest for landscape beauty (4.22), image improvement (4.14), campus image (4.08). Night lighting facility received the lowest score (3.32). Factor analysis concerning user satisfaction was categorized into environment-human behavior and physical factors. Multiple regression analysis showed that the overall satisfaction of user was significantly influenced by five independent variables: 'harmonious' (β=.214), 'night lighting facility' (β=.173), 'landscape beauty' (β=.208), 'lawn care' (β=.154), and 'walking trails' (β=.123). The mean scores of image variables were highest for 'beautiful' (5.81), 'bright' (5.67), and 'open' (5.64). The lowest scores was for 'quiet' (4.47). Exploratory factor analysis led to three factors being categorized: aesthetics, comforts, and simplicity. Result of multiple regression analysis indicated that the preference of space image was significantly influenced by five variables: 'bright' (β=.397), 'refreshing' (β=.211), 'cool' (β=.219), 'clean' (β=.182), and 'natural' (β=.-142). Hence, Cherry Road has a high level of user satisfaction and image evaluation, which is interpreted as having various cultural events and value for students on campus. To improve the satisfaction of Cherry Road in the future, it is necessary to secure night lighting, to manage trash cans, and to secure rest space.

Prediction of Ultimate Bearing Capacity of Soft Soils Reinforced by Gravel Compaction Pile Using Multiple Regression Analysis and Artificial Neural Network (다중회귀분석 및 인공신경망을 이용한 자갈다짐말뚝 개량지반의 극한 지지력 예측)

  • Bong, Tae-Ho;Kim, Byoung-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2017
  • Gravel compaction pile method has been widely used to improve the soft ground on the land or sea as one of the soft ground improvement technique. The ultimate bearing capacity of the ground reinforced by gravel compaction piles is affected by the soil strength, the replacement ratio of pile, construction conditions, and so on, and various prediction equations have been proposed to predict this. However, the prediction of the ultimate bearing capacity using the existing models has a very large error and variation, and it is not suitable for practical design. In this study, multiple regression analysis was performed using field loading test results to predict the ultimate bearing capacity of ground reinforced by gravel compaction pile, and the most efficient input variables are selected through evaluation of error by leave one out cross validation, and a multiple regression equation for the prediction of ultimate bearing capacity was proposed. In addition, the prediction error was evaluated by applying artificial neural network using the selected input variables, and the results were compared with those of the existing model.

Development and Evaluation of Regression Model for TOC Contentation Estimation in Gam Stream Watershed (감천 유역의 TOC 농도 추정을 위한 회귀 모형 개발 및 평가)

  • Jung, Kang-Young;Ahn, Jung-Min;Lee, Kyung-Lak;Kim, Shin;Yu, Jae-Jeong;Cheon, Se-Uk;Lee, In Jung
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.743-753
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    • 2015
  • In this study, it is an object to develop a regression model for the estimation of TOC (total organic carbon) concentration using investigated data for three years from 2010 to 2012 in the Gam Stream unit watershed, and applied in 2009 to verify the applicability of the regression model. TOC and $COD_{Mn}$ (chemical oxygen demand) were appeared to be derived the highest correlation. TOC was significantly correlated with 5 variables including BOD (biological oxygen demand), discharge, SS (suspended solids), Chl-a (chlorophyll a) and TP (total phosphorus) of p<0.01. As a result of PCA (principal component analysis) and FA (factor analysis), COD, TOC, SS, discharge, BOD and TP have been classified as a first factor. TOCe concentration was estimated using the model developed as an independent variable $BOD_5$ and $COD_{Mn}$. R squared value between TOC and measurement TOC is 0.745 and 0.822, respectively. The independent variable were added step by step while removing lower importance variable. Based on the developed optimal model, R squared value between measurement value and estimation value for TOC was 0.852. It was found that multiple independent variables might be a better the estimation of TOC concentration using the regression model equation(in a given sites).

Study on estimating skeletal maturity of hand-wrist using multiple regression model (다중회귀모형을 이용한 수완부 골성숙도의 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ho;Yu, Hyung-Seog;Kim, Suk-Hyun
    • The korean journal of orthodontics
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    • v.27 no.5 s.64
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    • pp.853-864
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    • 1997
  • The evaluation of growth potency can be done with many physiologic indicators. It has been well known that skeletal maturity has a close relation with both sexual maturity and somatic maturity, but the correlation between skeletal maturity and dental maturity was believed to be less certain. But, recent studies show that specific teeth, including lower canines, present close correlations with skeletal maturity. So, in this study, we studied hand-wrist X-ray films and orthopantomograms of 387 Korean boys and girls aged from 7 to 15; the purpose was to determine skeletal and dental maturity, and to find out a new method to estimate individual skeletal maturity using multiple-regression model, without the help of hand-wrist X-ray film. As a result of this study, followings were observed. 1. The following multiple-regression model can estimate skeletal maturity index (SMI) with 84% of accuracy, and regression coefficient of chronologic age, sex and lower canine show statistical significance. SMI = 0.60 x chronologic age - 1.67 x sex$^{**}$ + 0.88 x lower canine$^{*}$ - 0.05 x lower 2nd molar$^{*}$ - 10.3 $^{*}$ : mean age corresponding each developing stage, $^{**}$ : male=1, femal=0 2. The following multiple-regression model can estimate skeletal age with 87% of accuracy, and regression coefficient of chronologic age, sex and lower canine show statistical significance. Skeletal age = 0.75 x chronologic age - 0.55 x sex$^{**}$ + 0.71 x lower canine$^{*}$ - 0.09 x lower 2nd molar* -5.77 $^{*}$ : mean age corresponding each developing stage, $^{**}$ : male=1, femal=0

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