• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multinomial Logit Analysis

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Destination Choice Behavior for Recreation Areas : Application of Generalized Logit Models (서울시내와 근교에 위치한 당일여가용 Recreation시설의 선택행동 확정에 관한 연구 : Generalized Logit Model의 적용)

  • 홍성권
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1994
  • This study was carried out to identify destination choice behavior for one-day use recreation areas. Previous positioning study was utilized to select 4 study areas, and the secondary data were used for logit analyses. The Hausamn-McFadden test for IIA was conducted to examine whether conditional logit models are valid methodology for this study. The results revealed that IIA assumption among the study areas was violated; therefore, generalized binomial and generalized multinomial logit models were used in this study. In the binomial logit analysis, 2 to 5 independent variables were included in the models: their $\rho$2 values were from 0.1to 0.323, and accuracy of predictions were from 65.38 to 79.86 percent. In the multinomial logit analysis, 4 independent variables were included in the model: its $\rho$2 value was 0.207, and accuracy of prediction was 45.82 percent. The results showed that the conditional logit should be used with caution because of the IIA assumption. Several suggestions were described, mainly due to utilization of the secondary data for this study.

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The Study on the Asymmetry of Inertia and Variety-Seeking State - Using Section-Aggregated Multinomial Logit Analysis (관성 및 다양성추구 상태의 비대칭성에 관한 연구 - 구간통합 다항로짓분석을 활용하여)

  • Lee, Seung-yon
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.73-94
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    • 2013
  • Customer's purchase state consists of purchase inertia and variety-seeking. As the growing brand familiarity triggers the increase of brand attractiveness, customers purchase state will be of inertia. However the excessively growing brand familiarity ignites the decrease of brand attractiveness. Followingly the purchase state will be tend to plunge into the variety-seeking state. The main topic of this study is to validate the asymmetric formation of customer's purchase states between inertia and variety-seeking. In order to follow up the main topic, this article introduces a model to freely describe the velocity of value changes depending upon the purchase states. This model will help overcome the limitation of the past studies having been based on the symmetric value changes. Based on this approach marketer will be able to decide the timing of sales promotions. This research utilized local telecommunication carrier's database of smartphone application purchase/download records. This database was collected from two years (2009 and 2010) span, the time when the smartphones started commodifying in Korea whilst most of the past studies had used purchase data of maturity stage products. From this approach utilizing the introduction stage data in the product life cycle, the probability of brand choice depending upon the purchase state on the early-stage can be probed. Moreover, this study tries to expand the research methodology from the other areas of research by knowledge sharing. Here this study introduces the methodology of section-aggregated multinomial logit to simultaneously estimate the parameters that were included in the plural multinomial logit functions while the plural functions were inter-connected. This adoption of section-aggregated multinomial logit model procedures from the computerized statistics areas is expected to nourish the marketing research for more precise analysis and estimation of effects of marketing activities.

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A Study on the Behavioral Analysis of Travel Mode Choice using Disaggregate Behavioral Approach (개별행태 접근방법에 의한 교통수단선택 행태분석에 관한 연구 -대구광역시 사례를 중심으로-)

  • 배영석
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 1995
  • The main purpose of this study is identifying the factors which affect the mode choice behavior of work trips. Disaggregate behavioral approach is used for the analysis . The data were collected using the questionnaire survey method in Taegu. Two models were developed in this study which are multinomial logit model(MODEL-1) for auto, taxi and bus and multinomial logit model (MODEL-2) for auto, taxi, bus and subway. The stated preference (SP) data were used for the analysis of the subway mode choice behavior. MODEL-1 provide reasonable results for the future application. A multinomial model (MODEL-2) developed using the stated preference(SP) data was tested for the use of future transportation mode. It is four that the those models provides reasonable results in terms of behavioral and statistical consideration.

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An Analysis of Factors Influencing the Choice of New Farming Type (취농 유형 선택에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • Kim, Seongsup;Lee, In Kyu;Jeong, Jae Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the factors influencing the choice of new farming type in order to prepare the countermeasures against structural changes of farm labor force. The analytical model was the multinomial logit model(MNL). The test for Independence and Irrelevance Alternatives(IIA) assumption in MNL shows that the IIA assumption in our data is rejected. Alternatively, we chose the multinomial probit model(MNP) that does not assume IIA. Data were obtained from 2010 census of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Statistics Korea. New farming types are succession(13.9%), return-to-farming(45.0%), part-time-farming(32.5%) and etc(8.6%). Analysis results showed that the characteristics of farms, commodity, management, and region influenced the choice of new farming type. This study is expected to help policy makers to produce support policies by new farming types in order to increase the number of new farmers and to make them easier to settle down in agriculture.

An Analysis of the Decision Factors on Mokpo Port by Multinomial Logit Model

  • Seong, Yu-Chang;Youn, Myung-Ou
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.133-139
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    • 2007
  • Relative importance of maritime transport that takes charge of main current of freight in country' economy is very large. Especially, port and facility carry out important role which treats freight of import and export smoothly and improves international trade as turning point, to achieve key role on connection and association between sea and land. For such reason, enlargement of port facilities or development of port needs to grasp exactly the utilization of port, attributes and selective factors of shipper. On the other hand, the amounts of physical distribution on Mokpo port located in Korean west coast are increasing, with fast economic growth of East Asian including China. This study uses discrete choice model that is measuring to analyze attribute and characteristic of Mokpo port, and analyzes port selection by decision factors of shipper. This paper composed a questionnaire using the result of preceding research, to decide port selection factor among competitive ports. Through factor analysis on a basis of the questionnaire' result, five principal components were extracted. These are resorted out by Logit model, to grasp competitive elements of port. This research fin present direction which raises competitive power of ports in west coast of Korea, especially on alternative and concentration of middle-class port as Mokpo may be useful.

A Study on Users' Travel Behavior Analysis of Transit Transfer (대중교통 이용자의 환승교통수단선택 행태분석에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Kim, Jae Seok;Kim, Min Seok;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2013
  • This study developed the transit transfer mode choice model aimed Daegu transit users using multinomial logit model. Dependent variables of estimating multinomial logit model were transit transfer modes such as bus to bus, bus to subway, subway to subway, bus to others, and subway to others, and explanatory variables which affect transit transfer mode choice were sex, age, occupation, handicap, transfer area, purpose of travel and travel time. Also probability regarding explanatory variables was estimated using multinomial logit model and limit marginal analysis was carried out according to explanatory variables(cost, time). In the results, indicating goodness of fit is very reasonable as ${\rho}^2$=0.354. According to the result of marginal analysis for the selection of probability, when travel time is increased, users of bus to bus and bus to subway prefer to use subway to subway. Furthermore users of bus to bus and bus to subway prefer to use bus to others and subway to others when travel cost is increased in the result of marginal analysis for the selection of probability.

Valuation and Preference of Urban Agriculture Park using Choice Experiment (도시농업공원 조성에 대한 선호와 가치평가)

  • Heo, Joo-Nyung;Kim, Tae-Gon
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.125-137
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    • 2013
  • The Purpose of this paper is to estimates consumers' willingness to pay for Urban Agriculture Park attributes. we analysis the marginal WTP by choice experiment method. Choice experiment (CE) is designed to elicit the marginal WTP differences among urban agriculture park attributes (garden scales, learning and experience area, leisure and relaxation area and fund). The results of multinomial logit model are meaningful, the total marginal WTP on the urban agriculture park attributes is 18,852 won. gardens scales is 2,949 won, learning and experience area is 11,284 won, leisure and relaxation area is 4,619 won. In the current laws, the facilities related to urban agriculture park is not. Taking advantage of the new urban agriculture park, Amendments of the law is required.

An Analysis of Multiple-Vehicle Accidents on Freeways Using Multinomial Logit Model (다항로짓모형을 이용한 고속도로 다중추돌사고 특성 분석)

  • Jeon, Hyeonmyeong;Kim, Jinhee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2020
  • The aim of this study is to analyze effects of factors on the number of vehicles involved in traffic accidents on freeway sections. In previous studies about traffic accident severity, the analysis of accidents involving multiple vehicles was insufficient. However, multiple-vehicle accidents are likely to cause casualties and are the main reasons increasing accident duration and social costs. In this study, the number of vehicles involved in an accident was interpreted as the result of the accident, not as the cause of the accident, and the impacts of each accident factor were analyzed using a multinomial logit model. The results indicate that multiple-vehicle accidents are mainly related to following factors: nighttime, driver's faults, obstacles on the road, a downhill slope, heavy vehicles, and freeway mainline sections including tunnels and bridges.

Wife-older Marriage and Economic Factors : Empirical Analysis (우리나라 여성연상 결혼의 경제적 요인 : 실증분석)

  • Sung, Nak-Il;Jo, Dong-Hyuk
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2010
  • This study examines difference in age at marriage between spouses and more importantly, investigates into the economic and social factors affecting the ratio or probability of wife-older marriages. Empirical analysis is carried out by applying both logit model and multinomial logit model to an independently pooled cross-section over 2004-2007. The data was collected mainly from the micro data service system of the Statistics Korea. Empirical results indicate that a wife-older marriage was more likely as a wife was more educated and was a larger income earner than a husband. On the other hand, a wife's educational and income level themselves had few systematic relationships with the probability of a wife-older marriage. The probability of a wife-older marriage tended to decrease(increase) when a husband's(a wife's) marriage was the second' The study calculates the average marginal effect of difference in the income level between spouses on the probability of a wife-older marriage, which is -0.007. That is, the probability of a wife-older marriage increases by 0.7% as a husband's income level is 1 million Korean Won less than a wife's. This results presents empirical evidence against widely distributed misconception on wife-older marriage in the mass media.

The Study of the Effect of Tour Site Personality and Attributes on the Choice of Tour Site (관광지 개성과 속성이 관광지 선택에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byung-Hoon;Ahn, Kwnag-Ho;Ha, Jae-Won
    • Journal of Global Scholars of Marketing Science
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.149-168
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of brand personality on the choice of tour site. For this purpose, Japanese, Chinese and Korean tourists visiting Jeju-Ireland were sampled and asked to evaluate the personality dimensions and attributes of six major tour sites in Asia. Factor analysis is applied to 42 personality scales of Aaker and 5 personality dimensions are extracted. Then, Multinomial Logit model is applied to estimate the relative impact of personality dimensions and attributes on the choice of tour sites. Results suggest useful implications. The personality of tour sites has meaningful influence on choice of tour sites, in some cases more important than tour site attributes. Among 5 dimensions of personality, sincerity and excitement are found to be important dimensions in the choice process of tour site. Sophistication of the site, expressed as glamorous, charming, handsomeness, uniqueness, and smooth, is also found to be important in determining intention to visit in the future.

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