• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제27권3호
• /
• pp.475-485
• /
• 2014

일반화 선형모형(GLM)에 기초한 확률적 날씨 발생기(Stochastic weather generator)는 일일 날씨를 생성하는데 가장 일반적으로 사용되는 방법인다. 본 논문에서는 다층구조를 이용하여 기존의 GLM weather generator에 공간구조를 소개하였다. 계절별 총강우량의 overdispersion 현상을 효과적으로 제거하기 위해서 smoothing된 계절별 총강우량을 모형에 포함하였고 공간구조를 소개하기 위해서 Stochastic weather generator의 모형계수에 공간구조를 가지는 다변량 정규분포를 가정하였다. 그리고 제안된 공간구조를 가지는 GLM weather generator 모형을 우리나라 76개 지역에서 39년간 측정된 일별 강우량 관측자료에 적용하였다.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
• /
• 제9권3호
• /
• pp.1-16
• /
• 2006

The purpose of this study is to develop design model of ecological park as stormwater storage facilities. The results are as follows : First, the design model of ecological park as stormwater storage facilities consider ecological and landscape characteristics such as high efficiency of land use, function as disaster prevention, ecological water purification, formation of habitat for flora and fauna. Second, this study demonstrates two types of plane structure and eight types of designed section. They can be combined and designed depending on conditions of each site. The facilities of stormwater storage conduct disaster prevention system and ecological park. Retention pond in stormwater storage facilities for ecological park also should be made for ecological restoration in the site. Third, the ecological park provide the basis for ecological network from in-site to out-site. Therefore its conservation and restoration plan consider the ecosystems of the site. Fourth, the most important factor for maintenance and management for retention pond is keeping water quality. Sustainable Structured wetland Biotop system is suggested for ecological water purification system in the retention pond which is one of the constructed wetland system using multi-celled aquatic plant and pond. This system can also provide habitat for animals and plants, water friendly park for men, and beautiful landscape.

• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제51권1호
• /
• pp.1-9
• /
• 2009

The objective of this paper was to evaluate the auto-calibration with multi-objective optimization method to calibrate the parameters of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The model was calibrated and validated by using nine years (1996-2004) of measured data for the 384-ha Baran reservoir subwatershed located in central Korea. Multi-objective optimization was performed for sixteen parameters related to runoff. The parameters were modified by the replacement or addition of an absolute change. The root mean square error (RMSE), relative mean absolute error (RMAE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency index (EI), determination coefficient ($R^2$) were used to evaluate the results of calibration and validation. The statistics of RMSE, RMAE, EI, and $R^2$ were 4.66 mm/day, 0.53 mm/day 0.86, and 0.89 for the calibration period and 3.98 mm/day, 0.51 mm/day, 0.83, and 0.84 for the validation period respectively. The statistical parameters indicated that the model provided a reasonable estimation of the runoff at the study watershed. This result was illustrated with a multi-objective optimization for the flow at an observation site within the Baran reservoir watershed.

• 한국조경학회지
• /
• 제32권4호
• /
• pp.28-38
• /
• 2004

Korean goral (Nemorhaedus caudatus raddeanus) is one of the endangered species in Korea, and the rugged terrain of the Soraksan National Park (373㎢) is a critical habitat for the species. But the goral population is threatened by habitat fragmentation caused by roads and hiking trails. The objective of this study was to develop a potential habitat suitability model for Korean goral in the park, and the model was based on the concepts of fuzzy set theory and multi-criteria evaluation. The process of the suitability modeling could be divided into three steps. First, data for the modeling was collected by using field work and a literature survey. Collected data included 204 points of GPS data obtained through a goral trace survey and through the number of daily visitors to each hiking trail during the peak season of the park. Second, fuzzy set theory was employed for building a GIS data base related to environmental factors affecting the suitability of the goral habitat. Finally, a multiple-criteria evaluation was performed as the final step towards a goral habitat suitability model. The results of the study were as follows. First, characteristics of suitable habitats were the proximity to rock cliffs, scattered pine (Pinus densiflora) patches, ridges, the elevation of 700∼800m, and the aspect of south and southeast. Second, the habitat suitability model had a high classification accuracy of 93.9％ for the analysis site, and 95.7％ for the validation site at a cut off value of 0.5. Finally, 11.7％ of habitatwith more than 0.5 of habitat suitability index was affected by roads and hiking trails in the park.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
• /
• 제7권2호
• /
• pp.75-86
• /
• 2004

This study aims to figure out ecological characteristic of natural forests focusing on vegetation as a way of ecological renovation for the restoration of naturalness for golf courses that were constructed in the Country and to present vegetation models and appropriate tree species for the purpose. The study site is P golf club, which is located in Gapyong-gun, Kyeonggi Province. The site is within a forest where the grade from the natural ecology map is the first one and the level from the green index accounts for the eight, thus showing a typical environment for a golf course in terms of location. The location of the site explains a reason for restoration. The major substance of the study is to conduct ecological evaluation of vegetation structures around and inside the golf course and to present a vegetation model. In order to evaluate the ecological characteristics of the vegetation structures, the analysis of the study covered succession stages, multi-layer vegetation structures and species diversity. Plant communities that have high species diversity were selected for the vegetation model and proper density and species were proposed considering the number of species and individuals and distances between trees. The vegetation restoration model targets succession into an oak forest. Within a unit of 100 $m^2$, the recommended model include a tall-tree layer with 11 trees such as Quercus serrata and Quercus mongolica, a sub-tall-tree layer with 12 trees including Quercus mongolica, Quercus serrata, Prunus sargentii, Fraxinus rhynchophylla and Acer pseudo sieboldianum, a shrub layer with 32 trees from 16 species, and a grass layer with a cover rate of 45 %. The proposed vegetation restoration model needs to apply to : 1) damaged natural forests by the construction of golf courses; 2) boundaries between golf courses and surrounding forests; 3) buffer zones; 4) open spaces in between courses; and 5) areas between greens and tees where open spaces are available in a mass. In conclusion, one of the most important factors in presenting a vegetation model for the restoration of naturalness in the golf course and other damaged forests is to provide multi-layer vegetation structures that are composed of native species. As for the specific application for the site, it is recommended to manage the vegetation in such a way that the environment of the site can have a similar environment to the surrounding forest which is expected to succeed into an oaks-dominant one.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제50권3호
• /
• pp.191-200
• /
• 2017

본 연구에서는 부정류 계산모형의 안정적인 매개변수를 선정하기 위하여, 다수 지점의 관측치를 고려한 모형보정의 결과로부터 얻은 파레토 최적화와 최소최대 후회도 방법(minimax regret approach, MRA)을 결합하는 방법을 제안하였다. 여러 지점의 관측치를 고려한 모형의 보정은 다목적 최적화 문제로서, 통합접근법을 적용하여 최적해를 구하였다. 통합접근법은 여러 지점에 대한 가중치를 결합하여 하나의 목적함수를 얻고, 여러 번의 개별 최적화를 수행함으로써 다수의 파레토 최적해들을 구하는 방법이다. 이때 유량에 따른 조도계수의 가변성을 나타내는 두 개의 매개변수로 구성된 관계식을 이용하여 두 구간에 대한 매개변수들을 모형의 추정 대상 매개변수로서 최적화하였다. 이후 각기 다른 홍수사상에 대해 보정과 검증을 수행하였으며 각각에 대한 평가지표의 후회도를 정량화하였고 이를 결합한 결합후회도를 산정하였다. 이를 기준으로 파레토 최적해들의 순위를 결정하였다. 계산결과 추정된 모형의 가변조도계수와 그로부터 얻은 두 개 지점에서의 표준화된 RMSE들은 두 지점에 대한 가중치의 조합에 따라 선택되는 매개변수 값에 따라 달라짐을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법은 수문 및 수리모형의 다수의 관측지점의 자료를 이용한 매개변수 산정문제에 있어서 안정적인 해를 도출할 수 있다.

• 마케팅과학연구
• /
• 제20권2호
• /
• pp.123-134
• /
• 2010

考虑到消费者和供应商的利益, 公司利用网络为媒介来沟通并向消费者销售产品. 这一趋势使得很多研究者和实践者都关注网上购物环境这一领域. 本文测试了网上消费者行为和具有不同快乐主义水平的网址的模型. 与以往的研究不同, 我们包括了所有三种情绪(激励, 快乐和支配)并将此运用到模型中. 本研究中, 我们假设网址的外观, 例如背景颜色, 音乐和字体在消费者最初接触到网址时均影响三种情绪(Mazaheri, Richard, and Laroche, 2011). 反之, 这些情绪会影响消费者对网址氛围的感知–网址信息量, 效率和娱乐性的感知. 这些假设与Zajonc (1980)的研究一致. 他认为情感的作用是独立于感性的和认知操作并且可以影响回应. 我们因此提出网址氛围和流量的感知影响消费者对网址和产品的态度, 网址卷入和购买意图. 另外, 我们研究网址的快乐主义水平对模型中所有关系的调节作用. 因此, 我们比较享乐网址路径系数 "高" 和 "低". 我们用39个真实的网站涵盖了12种产品类别(8种服务和4种实物产品)来测试模型. 这其中, 回复者认为20个是高享乐, 19个为低享乐. EQS6.1的结果支持整体模型: x2=1787 (df=504), CFI=.994; RMSEA=.031. 所有假设都是显著的. 另外, 多群组分析表明在高享乐和低享乐网址群组之间的几个非不变量结构路径. 这些结果支持三种情绪影响消费者对网址氛围, 流量和其他消费者行为变量的认知. 我们发现快乐极大的影响这网址态度和网址娱乐性的认知. 激励积极的影响其他两种情绪, 网址信息量的认知和网址卷入. 而且, 激励对流量的影响非常显著. 这些结果说明在支配和消费者对网址效率的认知之间有很强的相关. 支配同时和网址态度和流量相关. 另外, 结果还表明网址卷入和对产品的态度是购买意图最重要的两个因素. 网址信息量和流量也积极的影响购买意图. 多群组分析的结果支持网址快乐主义的调节作用. 与低(高)享乐网址相比, 实用(享乐)属性对其他变量的影响比高(低)享乐网址更强. 在这三种情绪中, 支配(控制感)影响在高享乐网址中更强. 快乐影响在低享乐网址中更强. 而且, 网址信息量的影响对高享乐网址更强. 另一方面, 信息效率对网址信息量认知的影响和网址卷入对产品态度的影响在低享乐网址中更强.

• 국제학술발표논문집
• /
• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
• /
• pp.1359-1363
• /
• 2009

The object of this research is to develop a simulation system for earthmoving operations in consideration of the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow around the site. The congestion in-between equipment and traffic flow affect work productivity. The conventional discrete event simulation, however, has limitations in simulating the flow of construction equipment. To consider the impact of congestion in-between equipment and existing traffic flow, in this paper, a multi-agent based simulation model that can realize characteristics of truck behavior more accurately to consider the impact of congestion was proposed. In this simulation model, multiple agents can identify environmental changes and adapt themselves to the new environment. This modeling approach is a better choice for this problem since it describes behavioral characteristics of each agent by sensing changes in dynamic surroundings. This study suggests a detailed system design of the multi-agent based simulation system.

• 한국주거학회논문집
• /
• 제22권1호
• /
• pp.43-55
• /
• 2011

The purpose this study is to develop indicators that measure the healthy housing condition of multi-family housing. The major findings are as follow: first, healthy housing was defined by physical, mental, social, and management aspects and proposed the conceptual model of hierarchy structure of evaluation of healthy housing by literature reviews. Second, evaluating items were selected based on literature reviews of existing indicators and preceding studies about both domestic and overseas multi-family housing. The evaluating indicators were identified as a total of 87 evaluating items which were composed of four dimensions and 16 attributes on the basis of the conceptual model. They cover comprehensive scope of the multi-family housing such as unit, building, complex, and site. Third, as the measurement, the 5-point ordinal scale measure was suggested. The evaluating measurement including measure standards, measure methods, and measure contents were developed by each evaluating items. Lastly, the weighting of evaluating indicators was developed by AHP method conducted by survey of an expert group. Items were identified as high contributors or low contributors. The weighting of these items could suggest several evaluations according to the situation. The level of healthy housing condition may be evaluated by both total evaluation and a specific field of evaluation.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2000년도 학술발표회 발표논문집
• /
• pp.226-232
• /
• 2000

The design of agricultural facilities is the consistent activities, which systematically analyze all the actual conditions, design the unit structures, and improve the faming environment through efficient organization of the unit facility. The design of agricultural facilities is composed of site study, preliminary design, primary design, and detail design. Integrated design system can manage and process the information created by and used in all steps of design process. Formal data models of these design activities are important conceptual steps in development of integrated design system. However, most of existing models are not available for agricultural facilities. To support efficiently developing the integrated design system of agricultural facilities, we have developed the Multi-Layered Primitive-Composite mode I through object-oriented analysis of agricultural facilities. The MPC model not only satisfies the characteristics of agricultural facility, such as variety, coupling, informal data, but also improves abilities of integrated design system such as extensibility, flexibility, and granularity. The paper presents a formal definition of the MPC model.