• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.407-418
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• 2021

Due to the complexity of the causes of the sliding mass instabilities, landslide susceptibility and hazard evaluation are difficult, but they can be more carefully considered and regionally evaluated by using new programming technologies to minimize the hazard. This study aims to evaluate the landslide hazard zonation in the Tabriz region, Iran. A fuzzy logic-based multi-criteria decision-making method was proposed for susceptibility analysis and preparing the hazard zonation maps implemented in MATLAB programming language and Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. In this study, five main factors have been identified as triggering including climate (i.e., precipitation, temperature), geomorphology (i.e., slope gradient, slope aspect, land cover), tectonic and seismic parameters (i.e., tectonic lineament congestion, distribution of earthquakes, the unsafe radius of main faults, seismicity), geological and hydrological conditions (i.e., drainage patterns, hydraulic gradient, groundwater table depth, weathered geo-materials), and human activities (i.e., distance to roads, distance to the municipal areas) in the study area. The results of analyses are presented as a landslide hazard map which is classified into 5 different sensitive categories (i.e., insignificant to very high potential). Then, landslide susceptibility maps were prepared for the Tabriz region, which is categorized in a high-sensitive area located in the northern parts of the area. Based on these maps, the Bozgoosh-Sahand mountainous belt, Misho-Miro Mountains and western highlands of Jolfa have been delineated as risk-able zones.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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• pp.439-442
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• 2008

Diffraction of multi-directional random waves passing semi-infinite breakwater is investigated by using analytic solution derived by Penny and Prices(1952). An irregylarity of period and incident angle of waves and regular periods for regular waves are considered in addition by expanding from the past study which used only monochromatic wave in general. The Bretschneider-Mitsuyasu frequency spectrum and Mitsuyasu directional spectrum are used for incident waves. And diffraction of multi-directional random waves is reappeared by decomposing numerical results of several monochromatic waves which have variable period and incident angle. Analytic solution on the diffraction of regular waves and multi-directional random waves calculated in this study.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2009년도 정기 학술발표대회
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• pp.93.2-93.2
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• 2009

• 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국가스학회 2002년도 추계학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.149-155
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• 2002

• 한국가스학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2003

본 연구에서는 가스공정에서 중요시되는 화재/폭발에 대한 위험성 평가 기법으로, 공정위험 지수법인 Dow's F&EI와 정성적 위험판별기법인 장치스크리닝 기법의 특성에 산업별로 위험시되는 사항에 대한 전문가 의견을 수렴할 수 있도록 전문가 시스템-장치 및 공청의 사고사례 및 전문가의 의견 수렴된 시스템을 도입하여 위험 지수에 전문가적 reward/penalty를 주고 공정 장치의 종합위험도 지수를 계산하여 보다 정밀한 위험장치 검색을 할 수 있는 형태인 다중판별 장치스크리닝 기법(Multi-distinction Equipment Screening Algorithm, MESA)을 제안하였다. 그리고 이에 대한 사례연구로 LPG 지하저장공정의 위험도 순위에 대해 전문가 시스템이 도입되지 않은 경우와 도입된 경우의 위험판단 해상도를 파악하여 제안 알고리즘의 유용성을 입증하였다. 그리고 이와 같은 위험도 순위에 따른 장치의 물리적 특징을 파악함으로써 안전장치 및 mitigation 장치 그리고 비상대응계획에 대한 정보를 제공할 수 있으리라 기대한다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제15권9호
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• pp.4109-4115
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• 2014

Background: Accurate assessment of disease progression requires proper understanding of natural disease process which is often hidden and unobservable. For this purpose, disease status should be clearly detected. But in most diseases it is not possible to detect such status. This study, therefore, aims to present a model which both investigates the unobservable disease process and considers the error probability in diagnosis of disease states. Materials and Methods: Data from 330 patients with gastric cancer undergoing surgery at the Iran Cancer Institute from 1995 to 1999 were analyzed. Moreover, to estimate and assess the effect of demographic, diagnostic and clinical factors as well as medical and post-surgical variables on transition rates and the probability of misdiagnosis of relapse, a hidden Markov multi-state model was employed. Results: Classification errors of patients in alive state without a relapse ($e_{21}$) and with a relapse ($e_{12}$) were 0.22 (95% CI: 0.04-0.63) and 0.02 (95% CI: 0.00-0.09), respectively. Only variables of age and number of renewed treatments affected misdiagnosis of relapse. In addition, patient age and distant metastasis were among factors affecting the occurrence of relapse (state1${\rightarrow}$state2) while the number of renewed treatments and the type and extent of surgery had a significant effect on death hazard without relapse (state2${\rightarrow}$state3)and death hazard with relapse (state2${\rightarrow}$state3). Conclusions: A hidden Markov multi-state model provides the possibility of estimating classification error between different states of disease. Moreover, based on this model, factors affecting the probability of this error can be identified and researchers can be helped with understanding the mechanisms of classification error.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.73-80
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• 2010

최저 안전율 또는 최대 파괴확률을 기반으로 하는 기존의 사면안정해석에 대하여, 지반물성과 해석모델이 갖는 고유 불확실성을 최소화하고, 사면안정해석에서 다양한 안정해석모델과 그에 따른 파괴형상을 반영할 수 있도록, 다중 파괴모드를 고려한 사면의 신뢰성해석기법을 제안하였다. 파괴확률의 산정에는 체계 신뢰성해석분야에서 최근 도입된 선형계획법에 의한 최적화를 이용하였다. 이를 통하여 여러 가지 해석모델을 신뢰성 기반으로 동시에 고려하여 해석할 수 있다. 선형계획법에 의한 다중 파괴 모드를 고려한 파괴확률 산정기법을 이용하여 단순 사면의 경사도 결정을 위한 최적 설계를 검토하였다. 그 결과, 동시 파괴확률을 이용하면, 대상으로 하는 사면안정해석모델과 파괴형상 및 파괴확률을 복합적으로 고려할 수 있기 때문에 개선된 안전성을 확보할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국방재학회 논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2009

물-결합재비 0.4이하의 고성능 콘크리트 수축 변형을 파악하기 위해 전체 수축을 수분의 외부이동에 의한 건조수축과 수분의 내부소모에 의한 자기수축으로 분리한 후, 자기건조에 의한 상대습도 변화와 변형률의 관계를 묘사하기 위하여 계면역학적 접근법에 의한 습도-변형률 관계를 설정하였다. 이에 대한 검증을 위해 자기수축 시험체에서의 습도-수축 측정을 수행하였으며, 기존 연구 모델인 Tazawa, CEB-FIP 모델에 비하여 측정값과 가장 유사한 결과를 나타내어 본 연구에서의 자기수축모델은 자기건조에 따른 자기수축은 선형성을 나타내는 수분의 외부이동에 의한 수축과는 달리 지수적 관계를 갖는 특성과 초기재령에서의 급속한 자기수축 발현 특성을 적절히 묘사하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 이 후 본 연구의 수분이동-수축 모델을 반영하여 온도, 수분이동, 변형률 해석의 다중물리 모델 해석과 모형시험체 측정을 수행한 결과 매우 유사한 값을 나타내어 본 연구를 통해 측정된 수분의 내부소모에 의한 습도와 수축변형률을 고려한 다중물리모델은 타당할 것으로 판단된다.

• Environmental Sciences Bulletin of The Korean Environmental Sciences Society
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• 제10권S_1호
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• pp.23-28
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• 2001

A new numerical weather prediction and dispersion model, the Operational Multi-scale Environment model with Grid Adaptivity(OMEGA) including an embedded Atmospheric Dispersion Model(ADM), is introduced as a next generation atmospheric simulation system for real-time hazard predictions, such as severe weather or the transport of hazardous release. OMEGA is based on an unstructured grid that can facilitate a continuously varying horizontal grid resolution ranging from 100 km down to 1 km and a vertical resolution from 20 -30 meters in the boundary layer to 1 km in the free atmosphere. OMEGA is also naturally scale spanning and time. In particular, the unstructured grid cells in the horizontal dimension can increase the local resolution to better capture the topography or important physical features of the atmospheric circulation and cloud dynamics. This means the OMEGA can readily adapt its grid to a stationary surface, terrain features, or dynamic features in an evolving weather pattern. While adaptive numerical techniques have yet to be extensively applied in atmospheric models, the OMEGA model is the first to exploit the adaptive nature of an unstructured gridding technique for atmospheric simulation and real-time hazard prediction. The purpose of this paper is to provide a detailed description of the OMEGA model, the OMEGA system, and a detailed comparison of OMEGA forecast results with observed data.

• Wind and Structures
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.195-207
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• 2019

This paper presents an overview of wind turbine research techniques including the recent application of hybrid testing. Wind turbines are complex structures as they are large, slender, and dynamic with many different operational states, which limits applicable research techniques. Traditionally, numerical simulation is widely used to study turbines while experimental tests are rarer and often face cost and equipment restrictions. Hybrid testing is a relatively new simulation method that combines numerical and experimental techniques to accurately capture unknown or complex behaviour by modelling portions of the structure experimentally while numerically simulating the remainder. This can allow for increased detail, scope, and feasibility in wind turbine tests. Hybrid testing appears to be an effective tool for future wind turbine research, and the few studies that have applied it have shown promising results. This paper presents a literature review of experimental and numerical wind turbine testing, hybrid testing in structural engineering, and hybrid testing of wind turbines. Finally, several applications of hybrid testing for future wind turbine studies are proposed including multi-hazard loading, damped turbines, and turbine failure.