• 제목/요약/키워드: Monte-Carlo simulation

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축력을 받는 철근콘크리트조 부재 장기거동 예측의 불확실성 분석 (Uncertainty Analysis of Long-Term Behavior of Reinforced Concrete Members Under Axial Load)

  • 유재욱;김승남;유은종;하태훈
    • 콘크리트학회논문집
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.343-350
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    • 2014
  • 이 연구에서 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용해 확률론적 시공단계해석을 수행한 이유는 재료 특성, 환경 요인 및 하중에 대한 불확실성의 영향을 고려하기 위해서이다. 지금까지의 연구에서는 크리프 및 건조수축이 완전히 독립적인 확률 변수라고 가정되었다. 그러나 크리프 및 건조수축 추정을 위한 재료모델의 공통적인 영향요인 때문에 크리프 및 건조수축 사이에 강한 상관관계를 추정 할 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 CEB-FIB모델의 크리프 및 건조수축식을 이용하여 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 수행하여 실제 두 현상 사이의 상관 계수를 평가 한 후 재료 특성, 환경 요인 및 하중의 확률 변수의 영향을 받는 축방향 변형의 통계적 특성을 평가하기위해 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 한번 더 사용하였다. 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션의 결과는 58층 건물의 첫 번째 층의 기둥의 변형률과 비교 했다. 비교 결과는 재료특성에 불확실성에 의한 변화가 가장 큰 것으로 나타났다. 측정된 변형률은 평균+표준 편차 범위 안에 있었다.

몬테칼로법을 이용한 Ar기체의 전자수송계수에 관한 연구 (A study on the electron transport coefficients using monte carlo method in argon gas)

  • 하성철;전병훈
    • E2M - 전기 전자와 첨단 소재
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    • 제8권6호
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 1995
  • The electron transport coefficients in argon gas is studied over the range of E/N values from 85 to 566 Td by the Monte Carlo method considering the latest cross section data. The result of the Monte Carlo method analysis shows that the value of the electron transport coefficients such as the electron drift velocity, the ratio of the longitudinal and transverse diffusion coefficients to the mobility. It is also found that the electron transport coefficients calculated by the two-term approximation analysis agree well with those by Monte Carlo calculation. The electron energy distributions function were analysed in argon at E/N=283, and 566 Td for a case of the equilibrium region in the mean electron energy. A momentum transfer cross section for the argon atom which was consistent with both of the present electron transport coefficients was derived over the range of mean electron energy from 10.3 to 14.5 eV, also suggested as a set of electron cross section for argon atom. The validity of the results obtained has been confirmed by a Monte Carlo simulation method.

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Monte Carlo Simulation on Adsorption Properties of Benzene, Toluene, and p-Xylene in MCM-41

  • Moon, Sung-Doo
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제33권8호
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    • pp.2553-2559
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    • 2012
  • The adsorption properties of benzene, toluene, p-xylene in MCM-41 with heterogeneous and cylindrical pore were studied using grand canonical ensemble Monte Carlo simulation. The simulated isotherms were compared with experimental ones, and the different adsorption behaviors in MCM-41 with pore diameters of 2.2 and 3.2 nm were investigated. The simulated adsorption amounts above the capillary-condensation pressure agreed with the experimental ones. The simulation results showed that most molecular planes were nearly parallel to the pore axis. This orientation was not affected by the molecular position in the pore. The molecular planes were nearly parallel to the pore surface for the adsorbate molecules close to the pore wall, and the molecules in the MCM-41 with the pore diameter of 3.2 nm were ordered along the pore axis.

화학반응을 수반하는 극초음속 희박류 유동의 직접모사법 개발 (A DSMC Technique for the Analysis of Chemical Reactions in Hypersonic Rarefied Flows)

  • 정찬홍;윤성준
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1999
  • A Direct simulation Monte-Carlo (DSMC) code is developed, which employs the Monte-Carlo statistical sampling technique to investigate hypersonic rarefied gas flows accompanying chemical reactions. The DSMC method is a numerical simulation technique for analyzing the Boltzmann equation by modeling a real gas flow using a representative set of molecules. Due to the limitations in computational requirements. the present method is applied to a flow around a simple two-dimensional object in exit velocity of 7.6 km/sec at an altitude of 90 km. For the calculation of chemical reactions an air model with five species (O₂, N₂, O, N, NO) and 19 chemical reactions is employed. The simulated result showed various rarefaction effects in the hypersonic flow with chemical reactions.

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리얼옵션을 활용한 AMOLED산업 라인 증설의 옵션가치 (REAL OPTIONS VALUATION MODEL OF LINE EXPANSION PROBLEM IN THE AMOLED INDUSTRY LINE EXPANSION)

  • 이수정;김도훈
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영정보학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.957-962
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    • 2008
  • We propose a model for the line expansion problem in the AMOLED (Active Matrix Organic Light Emitting Diodes) industry, which now faces market uncertainty: for example, changing customer needs, technological development path, etc. We focus on the optimal investment time and size of the AMOLED production lines. In particular, employed here is the ROV (Real Options Valuation) model to show how to capture the value of line expansion and to determine the optimal investment time. The ROV framework provides a systematic procedure to quantify an expected outcome of a flexible decision which is not possible in the frame of the traditional NPV (Net Present Value) approach. Furthermore, we also use Monte Carlo simulation to measure the uncertainty associated with the line expansion decision; Monte Carlo simulation estimates the volatility of a decision alternative. Lastly, we present a scenario planning to be conducted for what-if analysis of the ROV model.

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QUALITY IMPROVEMENT OF VEHICLE DRIFT USING STATISTICAL SIX SIGMA TOOLS

  • PARK T. W.;SOHN H. S.
    • International Journal of Automotive Technology
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    • 제6권6호
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    • pp.625-633
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    • 2005
  • Vehicle drift was reduced using statistical six sigma tools. The study was performed through four steps: M (measure), A (analyze), I (improve), and C (control). Step M measured the main factors which were derived from a fishbone diagram. The measurement system capabilities were analyzed and improved before measurement. Step A analyzed critical problems by examining the process capability and control chart derived from the measured values. Step I analyzed the influence of the main factors on vehicle drift using DOE (design of experiment) to derive the CTQ (critical to quality). The tire conicity and toe angle difference proved to be CTQ. This information enabled the manufacturing process related with the CTQ to be improved. The respective toe angle tolerance for the adjustment process was obtained using the Monte Carlo simulation. Step C verified and controlled the improved results through hypothesis testing and Monte Carlo simulation.

양성자 전산화 단층 촬영 장치 개발에 관한 전산모사 연구 (Development of a Proton Computed Tomography System with Monte Carlo Simulation)

  • 서정민;김찬형
    • 대한방사선기술학회지:방사선기술과학
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2011
  • 양성자 치료에서 X선 영상정보가 직접적인 양성자의 저지능 정보를 제공할 수 없는 한계로 인한 자료의 오류를 피하기 위해, 양성자 빔을 이용한 전산화단층촬영 영상의 사용을 위한 전산모사 연구를 시행하고, 적절한 하드웨어 구성과 그 가능성을 연구하였다. GEANT4를 사용한 전산모사에서 두 개의 DSSD를 사용하여 입사되는 양성자 빔의 위치정보를 획득하고 LYSO 섬광검출기로 에너지를 측정하여 획득한 양성자 영상을 단층촬영 영상으로 재구성하여 사용할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

MCSBEq에 의한 SF6-Ar혼합기체의 확산계수 (Diffusion Coefficients for Electrons in SF6-Ar Gas Mixtures by MCS-BEq)

  • 김상남
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제64권3호
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    • pp.125-129
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    • 2015
  • Energy distribution function for electrons in SF6-Ar mixtures gas used by MCS-BEq algorithm has been analysed over the E/N range 30~300[Td] by a two term Boltzmann equation and a Monte Carlo Simulation using a set of electron cross sections determined by other authors experimentally the electron swarm parameters for 0.2[%] and 0.5[%] $SF_6-Ar$ mixtures were measured by time-of-flight(TOF) method, The results show that the deduced longitudinal diffusion coefficients and transverse diffusion coefficients agree reasonably well with theoretical for a rang of E/N values. The results obtained from Boltzmann equation method and Monte Carlo simulation have been compared with present and previously obtained data and respective set of electron collision cross sections of the molecules.

불규칙 매개변수 가진을 받는 비선형계의 확률론적 진동평가 (Vibration of Non-linear System under Random Parametric Excitations by Probabilistic Method)

  • 이신영
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제23권12호
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2006
  • Vibration of a non-linear system under random parametric excitations was evaluated by probabilistic methods. The non-linear characteristic terms of a system structure were quasi-linearized and excitation terms were remained as they were An analytical method where the square mean of error was minimized was used An alternative method was an energy method where the damping energy and restoring energy of the linearized system were equalized to those of the original non-linear system. The numerical results were compared with those obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. The comparison showed the results obtained by Monte Carlo simulation located between those by the analytical method and those by the energy method.

A neural network approach for simulating stationary stochastic processes

  • Beer, Michael;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2009
  • In this paper a procedure for Monte Carlo simulation of univariate stationary stochastic processes with the aid of neural networks is presented. Neural networks operate model-free and, thus, circumvent the need of specifying a priori statistical properties of the process, as needed traditionally. This is particularly advantageous when only limited data are available. A neural network can capture the "pattern" of a short observed time series. Afterwards, it can directly generate stochastic process realizations which capture the properties of the underlying data. In the present study a simple feed-forward network with focused time-memory is utilized. The proposed procedure is demonstrated by examples of Monte Carlo simulation, by synthesis of future values of an initially short single process record.