• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte-Carlo method

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Study of the Assembly of Indoor Air-conditioner Unit Using Tolerance Analysis (공차해석을 이용한 에어컨 실내기의 조립성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Cheulgon;Hwang, Jihoon;Seo, Hyeongjoon;Mo, Jinyong;Jung, Duhan;Hong, Seokmoo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.423-428
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    • 2015
  • To identify locations and causes of interference among parts of an indoor air-conditioning unit, a 3D tolerance analysis was performed and optimized with respect to assembly gaps and the tolerance of each part. The maximum value of the defect rate resulting from the tolerance analysis was found to be 72.6 at the assembly portion of the body and drain. The maximum displacement caused by the thermal deformation during a heating operation was calculated to be approximately 1 mm by using finite element analysis (FEA). Therefore, it is possible that an interference among the assembled parts occurs. The tolerance of the drain was modified by the results of the sensitivity analysis. As a result, the defect rate was greatly reduced to 0.03. Through the FEA results of the indoor air-conditioning unit, it was shown that the improved tolerance of the drain decreased the interference among the assembled parts even though thermal deformation occurs during operation.

Probabilistic Optimization for Improving Soft Marine Ground using a Low Replacement Ratio (해상 연약지반의 저치환율 개량에 대한 확률론적 최적화)

  • Han, Sang-Hyun;Kim, Hong-Yeon;Yea, Geu-Guwen
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.485-495
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    • 2016
  • To reinforce and improve the soft ground under a breakwater while using materials efficiently, the replacement ratio and leaving periods of surcharge load are optimized probabilistically. The results of Bayesian updating of the random variables using prior information decrease uncertainty by up to 39.8%, and using prior information with more samples results in a sharp decrease in uncertainty. Replacement ratios of 15%-40% are analyzed using First Order Reliability Method and Monte Carlo simulation to optimize the replacement ratio. The results show that replacement ratios of 20% and 25% are acceptable at the column jet grouting area and the granular compaction pile area, respectively. Life cycle costs are also compared to optimize the replacement ratios within allowable ranges. The results show that a range of 20%-30% is the most economical during the total life cycle. This means that initial construction cost, maintenance cost and failure loss cost are minimized during total life cycle. Probabilistic analysis for leaving periods of shows that three months acceptable. Design optimization with respect to life cycle cost is important to minimize maintenance costs and retain the performance of the structures for the required period. Therefore, more case studies that consider the maintenance costs of soil structures are necessary to establish relevant design codes.

Evaluation of Image Quality using Monte Carlo Simulation in Digital Mammography System (디지털유방영상시스템에서 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 영상평가)

  • Kim, Changsoo;Kang, Se-Sik;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Jin-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.247-254
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    • 2014
  • For the purpose of early diagnosis of the breast cancer, the attention on the screening mammography has been increasing-with supply of digital mammography day by day. Image quality is decided by target materials and filter combinations. Optimized selection by a glandular density and a thickness is needed, because these combinations change x-ray spectrum and effect to image quality. The purpose of this study is to find out optimized target and filter combinations through the evaluation of quantitative image quality and to suggest means which minimize patient dose through MCNPX. In results, spatial frequency resolution evaluation which is quantitative image quality evaluation method, MTF, NPS, DQE shows that we have to select Mo/Mo combinations or Mo/Rh combinations when compressed breast is thin. but in case of that when compressed breast is thick, we have to select Rh/Rh combinations or W /Rh combinations. In a comprehensive evaluation, W!Rh combinations which are not used in thin breasts in practice was superior to all image quality evaluation. This result is somewhat different-with clinical examination results. Secondary end point was organ dose evaluation, radiation dose of opposite breast was approximately 47 ~73% effectiveness when selecting standard breast. In conculsion, the most important point is that we have to select the optimal combinations-with considering dose evaluation and various thickness.

Analysis of the Photon Beam Characteristics by Medical Linear Accelerator According to Various Target Materials using MCNP-code (MCNP-code를 이용한 의료용 선형가속기의 타깃 재질에 따른 광자선 특성 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Yeon;Park, Eun-Tae;Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2017
  • This study purpose is propose the basic data for selecting the optimal target material by analyzing the photon characteristics of various materials which was located in the head of medical linear accelerator. In this study, energy spectrum of 6, 15 MV photon beams were compared and analyzed for 13 target materials using MCNPX of Monte Carlo method. The mean energy for the 6 MV energy spectrum was 1.69 ~ 1.84 MeV and that for the 15 MV was 3.38 ~ 3.56 MeV, according to the target material. The flux for the 6 MV energy spectrum was $1.64{\times}10^{-5}{\sim}1.80{\times}10^{-5}{\sharp}/cm^2/e$ and that for the 15 MV was $1.76{\times}10^{-4}{\sim}1.85{\times}10^{-4}{\sharp}/cm^2/e$. The analysis shows that the average energy and flux increase with higher atomic number of the target material. Based on this study, it is possible to present the basic data about the physical characteristics of the photon, and it will be possible to select the target later considering economic, efficiency and physical aspect.

Kinematic Analysis of Plane Failure for Rock Slope Using GIS and Probabilistic Analysis Method (GIS와 확률론적 해석 기법을 기반으로 한 평면파괴의 운동학적 안정성 해석)

  • Lee, Seok Hwan;Park, Hyuck Jin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2014
  • The stability of rock slope is mainly controlled by the orientation and shear strength of discontinuties in rock mass. Therefore, in kinematic analysis, the orientation of the combination of discontinuities and slope face is examined to determine if certain modes of failure can be occurred. In previous kinematic analysis, a representative orientation of the slope face and mean orientation of discontinuity set were used as input parameters. However, since the orientations of slope face varies according to locations of measurement, the representative slope face orientation could cause misunderstanding for kinematic instability. In addition, since the orientations of each discontinuity are scattered in the same discontinuity set, there is the possibility that uncertainties are involved in the procedure of kinematic analysis. Therefore, in this study, the detailed digital topographic map was used to obtain the orientation of slope face. In addition, the probabilistic analysis approach was utilized to deal properly with the uncertainties in discontinuity orientation. The proposed approach was applied to steep slopes in mountain road located in Baehuryeong, Chunncheon city, Gangwon-Do. The analysis results obtained from the deterministic and probabilistic analysis were compared to check the feasibility of proposed the analysis.

Simulation of Energy Absorption Distribution using of Lead Shielding in the PET/CT (PET/CT 검사에서 납 차폐체 사용에 따른 에너지 흡수 분포에 관한 모의실험)

  • Jang, Dong-Gun;Kim, Changsoo;Kim, Junghoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.459-465
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    • 2015
  • Energy absorption distribution according to lead shielding for 511 keV ${\gamma}$ ray was evaluated using a Monte Carlo simulation in PET/CT. Experimental method was performed about the depth of skin surface(0.07), lens(3) and the depth(10) was conducted by using ICRU Slab phantom. Difference of energy absorption distribution according to lead thickness and effect of air gap according to distance of lead and phantom. As a result, study showed that using a lead shielding makes high energy distribution by backscatter electron. As a distance between lead and phantom increased, energy absorption distribution gradually decreased. 9 cm or more air gap should exist to prevent effect of backscatter electron which reaches skin surface, when 0.25 mmPb shielding is used. Also 1 cm or more air gap was needed to prevent the effect in 0.5 mmPb. If air gap was not concerned, 0.75 mm or more lead thickness was necessary to prevent effect of backscatter electron.

Variation Range for Maintenance Costs of Education Facilities Based on LCC Analysis (LCC기법을 통한 교육시설물의 유지관리비 변동범위 분석)

  • Kim, Yong-Su;Kang, Hyun-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.72-79
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to analysis variation of range estimation for maintenance costs of education facilities based on LCC. The adapted research method selected three education facilities in Gyeonggi-Do region. On the basis of actual maintenance costs and analyzed estimation maintenance costs are compared for analyzing standard deviation and coefficient of variation. The research of this study are as follows: 1) The average actual maintenance costs for 1,317million won and each part of average ratio exterior 19%, interior 28%, electricity & fire fighting 22%, water supply & healthy 18%, heating & water supply 13%. 2)The average analysis maintenance costs for 1,920million won and each part of average ratio exterior 20%, interior 25%, electricity & fire fighting 22%, water supply & healthy 20%, heating &water supply 13%.. 3) The analysis variation of ranges for average costs 1,619million won for minimum costs 1,409million, maximum costs 1,813million won.

Asymptotic Variance of Flood Quantiles from the Generalized Logistic Distribution using the Method of Maximum Likelihood (Generalized Logistic 분포형의 최우도법을 이용한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산)

  • Shin, Hong-Joon;Heo, Jun-Haeng;Kim, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1522-1526
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    • 2007
  • 최근 영국의 Institute of Hydrology에서는 Generalized logistic (GL) 분포형을 홍수빈도해석시 GEV 분포형을 대체하는 분포형으로 추천한 바 있으며, 그로 인해 GL 분포형의 사용이 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 하지만 아직 그 사용빈도에 반하여 분포형 자체의 특성, 그 중에서도 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산에 관한 연구는 거의 이루어지지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 최우도법을 이용하여 GL 분포형의 확률홍수량에 대한 근사적 분산에 관한 연구를 수행하였으며, 이를 표본 크기, 재현기간, 매개변수들의 함수로 나타내었다. 또한 확률홍수량의 근사적 분산의 적용성을 검토하기 위해 Monte Carlo 모의실험을 수행하였으며, 모의실험은 형상 매개변수$(\beta)$$\pm0.5$이면 gamma function으로 인하여 표본 크기에 관계없이 분산값이 무한대에 가까워지므로 형상매개변수의 범위는 $-0.5{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$로 제한하였다. 모의결과 최우도법에 의해 계산된 분산식은 형상매개변수 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$의 범위에서 비교적 잘 맞는 것을 확인할 수 있었으며, 기존에 알려진 대로 표본크기가 크면 클수록 정확해지는 것을 알 수 있다. 또한 표본크기가 작은 경우 형상매개변수 전 범위에서 정확도가 떨어지는 것을 확인할 수 있으며, 최우도법의 경우 표본크기가 작은 경우를 제외하고 $-0.25{\leq}{\beta}{\leq}+0.5$ 범위에서 quantile 산정시 quantile이 약간 과다추정되는 경향이 있는 것을 알 수 있으며, 이는 분산이 과다 추정되는 결과를 초래하며 이로 인해 해석해보다 약간씩 큰 값을 나타내는 것으로 판단되었다..이 극단적인 선정적인 폭력성에 탐닉하게 되는 경향이 있다. 현실은 결코 아름답지 못하고, 행복하게 살 수 없다는 것에 대한 깨달음에서 기인한다. 욕구불만의 강도가 심해질수록 폭력성은 더욱 강하게 나타나는데 개인에게서 뿐만 아니라 가족, 동료, 사회 단체나 종교, 국가간에도 집단적으로도 발생하게 된다. 사회적으로 볼 때 폭력은 용인되는 것이 아니므로 도덕적으로 절제를 하거나 상대방과 적절한 타협과 조정을 필요로 한다. 그러나 절제의 한계를 넘어선다고 생각되거나, 조정의 노력이 불가능하거나, 실패했을 때 폭력적인 행동으로 나타나게 된다. 리차즈(I.A Richards)는 분노와 공포는 일단 겉잡을 수 없는 경향이 있다고 하면서 오늘날 폭력에 대한 요구가 일상의 정서 생활에 있어, 억압을 통한, 빈곤함을 반영하고 있지 않은지 생각해봐야 할 것이라고 충고한다. 조성 가이드라인(안)을 제시하였다.EX>$\ulcorner$세종실록$\lrcorner$(世宗實錄) $\ulcorner$지리지$\lrcorner$(地理志)와의 비교를 해보면 상 중 하품의 통합 9개소가 삭제되어 있고, $\ulcorner$동국여지승람$\lrcorner$(東國與地勝覽) 에서는 자기소와 도기소의 위치가 완전히 삭제되어 있다. 이러한 현상은 첫째, 15세기 중엽 경제적 태평과 함께 백자의 수요 생산이 증가하자 군신의 변별(辨別)과 사치를 이유로 강력하게 규제하여 백자의 확대와 발전에 걸림돌이 되었다. 둘째, 동기(銅器)의 대체품으로 자기를 만들어 충당해야할 강제성 당위성 상실로 인한 자기수요 감소를 초래하였을 것으로 사료된다. 셋째, 경기도 광주에서 백자관요가 운영되었으므로 지방인 상주지역에도 더 이상 백자를 조달받을 필요가 없이, 일반 지방관아와 서민들의

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Feasibility study of a dedicated nuclear desalination system: Low-pressure Inherent heat sink Nuclear Desalination plant (LIND)

  • Kim, Ho Sik;NO, Hee Cheon;Jo, YuGwon;Wibisono, Andhika Feri;Park, Byung Ha;Choi, Jinyoung;Lee, Jeong Ik;Jeong, Yong Hoon;Cho, Nam Zin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.293-305
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we suggest the conceptual design of a water-cooled reactor system for a low-pressure inherent heat sink nuclear desalination plant (LIND) that applies the safety-related design concepts of high temperature gas-cooled reactors to a water-cooled reactor for inherent and passive safety features. Through a scoping analysis, we found that the current LIND design satisfied several essential thermal-hydraulic and neutronic design requirements. In a thermal-hydraulic analysis using an analytical method based on the Wooton-Epstein correlation, we checked the possibility of safely removing decay heat through the steel containment even if all the active safety systems failed. In a neutronic analysis using the Monte Carlo N-particle transport code, we estimated a cycle length of approximately 6 years under 200 $MW_{th}$ and 4.5% enrichment. The very long cycle length and simple safety features minimize the burdens from the operation, maintenance, and spent-fuel management, with a positive impact on the economic feasibility. Finally, because a nuclear reactor should not be directly coupled to a desalination system to prevent the leakage of radioactive material into the desalinated water, three types of intermediate systems were studied: a steam producing system, a hot water system, and an organic Rankine cycle system.

Economic Evaluation of Port Hinterlands Using Real Option -Focusing on the Case Study for Hinterland of Busan New Port- (실물옵션을 이용한 항만배후단지의 가치평가 -부산신항 배후단지 사례분석을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, MyoungHee;Lee, Kihwan
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.235-257
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    • 2012
  • Recently the role of ports has been changed to satisfy flexibly needs of demands in global economy. A new concept for ports is not just a place for international trade but an important nodal point in logistics chain. The changing environment like this trend creates a high degree of uncertainty and leaves port managers confused with the question how to respond effectively to dynamic market. The latest studies provide that the port must have a good hinterland to achieve competitive advantages in a logistics chain. Korean Government announced "The Master Development Plan for Port Logistics Parks in Korea" in 2006. This contains the plan of hinterland construction of Busan New Port to achieve the status of logistics hub in Asian market. Previous studies rely solely on traditional DCF(discounted cash flow) analysis for investment of hinterland. However DCF method does not include irreversibility, uncertainty and the choice of timing for investment project. This thesis introduces a ROPM(real options pricing model) which overcomes the limitations of traditional valuation methods. The option valuations in this study utilize the Black-Scholes model, the binomial model and the MonteCarlo simulation to value investment opportunity of a port hinterland. In this thesis, an attempt is made to modify the NPV criterion by incorporating the real options approach, and its application is demonstrated in a hinterland construction investment plan. This research has conducted an empirical analysis by calculating economic value of the investment for a hinterland of Busan New Port.