• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte carlo analysis

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Reliability Analysis for Structure Design of Automatic Ocean Salt Collector Using Sampling Method of Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Song, Chang Yong
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.316-324
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents comparative studies of reliability analysis and meta-modeling using the sampling method of Monte Carlo simulation for the structure design of an automatic ocean salt collector (AOSC). The thickness sizing variables of structure members are considered as random variables. Probabilistic performance functions are selected from strength performances evaluated via the finite element analysis of an AOSC. The sampling methods used in the comparative studies are simple random sampling and Sobol sequences with varied numbers of sampling. Approximation methods such as the Kriging model is applied to the meta-model generation. Reliability performances such as the probability failure and distribution are compared based on the variation of the sampling method of Monte Carlo simulation. The meta-modeling accuracy is evaluated for the Kriging model generated from the Monte Carlo simulation and Sobol sequence results. It is discovered that the Sobol sequence method is applicable to not only to the reliability analysis for the structural design of marine equipment such as the AOSC, but also to Kriging meta-modeling owing to its high numerical efficiency.

Decision of Error Tolerance in Sonar Array by the Monte-Carlo Method (Monte-Carlo 방법에 의한 소나배열 소자의 허용오차 규정)

  • 김형동;이용범;이준영
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2002
  • In thin paper, error tolerance of each array element which satisfies error tolerance of beam pattern is decided by using the Monte-Carlo method. Conventional deterministic method decides the error tolerance of each element from the acceptance pattern by testing all cases, but this method is not suitable for the analysis of large number of array elements because the computation resources increase exponentially as the number of array elements increases. To alleviate this problem, we applied new algorithm which reduces the increment of calculation time increased by the number of the array elements. We have validates the determined error tolerance region through several simulation.

A Study on Comparison between the Propagation of Uncertainty by GUM and Monte-Carlo Simulation (측정 불확도 표현 지침서(GUM)와 Monte-Carlo Simulation에 의한 불확도 전파 결과의 비교 연구)

  • Jungkee Shu;Hyungsik Min;Minsu Park;Jin-Chun Woo;Jongsang Kim
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2003
  • The expanded uncertainties calculated by the application of GUM -approximation and Monte-Carlo simulation were compared about the model equation of one-point calibration which is widely used for the measurements and chemical analysis. For the comparisons, we assumed a set of artificial data at the various level of concentration and dispersion of t or normal distribution. Mistakes of more then 50 % was revealed at the values calculated by GUM-approximation in comparison with those of Monte-Carlo simulation because of the excess dispersion from t-distribution and non-linearity by division in the equation. In contrary, the mistake of calculation due to non-linearity of the equation was not observed in the level of detection limits with the equation of one-point calibration, because of the relatively large values of uncertainty in response.

Statistical comparison analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation between PSD random analysis and it's equivalent static analysis for avionics equipment (Monte Carlo모의에 의한 항공전자장비의 PSD랜덤진동해석과 등가정적해석의 통계적 비교분석)

  • Park, Hee-Beom;Lee, Seok-Kyu;Yang, Sung-Cheol;Kim, Jin-Cheon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2008.04a
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2008
  • 방위산업분야의 항공기용 전자장비는 신뢰성 설계를 위하여 MIL규격이나 실측된 PSD데이터를 이용하여 보수적으로 설계하는 것이 일반적이다. 하나의 프로젝트에서 개발되는 PCB는 수십 종에 이르고 그 장착위치나 설계변경이 병행되므로 PSD랜덤 진동해석의 대안으로 등가정적해석을 수행하게 된다. 등가정적해석결과의 보수성을 확인하기 위하여 PSD랜덤진동해석으로부터 추출된 정규분포를 갖는 각 방향 응력에 대해 Monte Carlo모의를 수행하여 결과를 비교분석하였다. 결론적으로 PSD랜덤진동 해석의 대안으로 등가정적해석결과의 유용성과 보수성을 통계적으로 비교하였고 실험을 통하여 결과의 타당성을 보였다.

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Design of Occupant Protection Systems Using Global Optimization (전역 최적화기법을 이용한 승객보호장치의 설계)

  • Jeon, Sang-Ki;Park, Gyung-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2004
  • The severe frontal crash tests are NCAP with belted occupant at 35mph and FMVSS 208 with unbelted occupant at 25mph, This paper describes the design process of occupant protection systems, airbag and seat belt, under the two tests. In this study, NCAP simulations are performed by Monte Carlo search method and cluster analysis. The Monte Carlo search method is a global optimization technique and requires execution of a series of deterministic analyses, The procedure is as follows. 1) Define the region of interest 2) Perform Monte Carlo simulation with uniform distribution 3) Transform output to obtain points grouped around the local minima 4) Perform cluster analysis to obtain groups that are close to each other 5) Define the several feasible design ranges. The several feasible designs are acquired and checked under FMVSS 208 simulation with unbelted occupant at 25mph.

Analysis of Hot Electrons in nMOSFET by Monte Carlo Simulation (Monte Carlo simulation에 의한 nMOSFET의 hot electron 현상해석)

  • Min, Byung-Hyuk;Han, Min-Koo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1987.11a
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    • pp.193-196
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    • 1987
  • We reported that hot electron phenomena in submicron nMOSFET by Monte Carlo method. In order to predict the influence of the hot electron effects on the device reliability, either simple analytical model or a complete two dimensional numerical simulation has been adopted. Results of numerical simulation, based on the static mobility model, may be inaccurate when gate length of MOSFET is scaled down to less than 1um. Most of device simulation packages utilize the static nobility model. Monte Carlo method based on stochastic analysis of carrier movement may be a powerful tool to characterize hot electrons. In this work, energy and velocity distribution of carriers were obtained to predict the relative degree of short channel effects for different device parameters. Our analysis shows a few interesting results when $V_{ds}$ is 5 volt, average electron energy does not increase with gate bias as evidenced by substrate current.

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Numerical Model for Flood Inundation Analysis in a River(II) : Uncertainty Analysis (하천 홍수범람해석을 위한 수치모형의 개발(II): 불확실도 해석)

  • Lee, Hong-Rae;Han, Geon-Yeon;Kim, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.429-437
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    • 1998
  • The numerical model named "DWOPER-LEV" for the uncertainty analysis of flood inundation is developed. DWOPER model is expanded to compute overtopping risks of levee and to predict the range of the possible flood extent. Monte-Carlo simulation is applied to examine the uncertainties in cross section geometry and Manning's roughness coefficient. The model is applied to an actual levee break of the South Han River. The risks of overtopping are computed and the possible range of inundated area and inundated depth are estimated.

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Analysis of Electron Transport in InAlAs/InGaAs HBT by Hybride Monte Carlo Simulation (Hybrid Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션에 의한 InAlAs/InGaAs HBT의 전자전송 해석)

  • 송정근;황성범;이경락
    • Electrical & Electronic Materials
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.922-929
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    • 1997
  • As the size of semiconductor devices shrinks in the horizontal as well as vertical dimension it is difficult to estimate the transport-velocity of electron because they drift in non-equilibrium with a few scattering. In this paper HYbrid Monte Carlo simulator which employs the drift-diffusion model for hole-transport and Monte Carlo model for electron-transport in order to reduce the simulation time and increase the accuracy as well has been developed and applied to analyze the electron-transport in InAlAs/InGaAs HBT which is attractive for an ultra high speed active device in high speed optical fiber transmission systems in terms of the velocity and energy distribution as well as cutoff frequency.

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A Study of Germanium Substrate Vacancy Clustering Formation using Monte Carlo Method (Monte Carlo방법을 이용한 Germanium 기판의 결공형 클러스터링 형성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Ha
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.45-48
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, vacancy clustering formation and diffusion of germanium substrate was studied. The analysis method was adopted Monte Carlo method. At temperatures higher than melting point, fewer clusters formed, but there was less variation in the number of clusters than at lower temperatures, as the time increased. Equilibrium diffusivities in the clustering region were $10^2$ lower than those of free vacancies in the initial stage of kinetic lattice Monte Carlo simulations. They were expressed according to three temperature regimes: at temperatures above 1,100 K, at temperatures of 1,100-900 K, and at temperatures below 900 K. The effective mean migration energy, 1.1 eV, closely coincided with that of the 1.0-1.2 eV in experiments.