• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte carlo analysis

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Deflection and buckling of buried flexible pipe-soil system in a spatially variable soil profile

  • Srivastava, Amit;Sivakumar Babu, G.L.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.169-188
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    • 2011
  • Response of buried flexible pipe-soil system is studied, through numerical analysis, with respect to deflection and buckling in a spatially varying soil media. In numerical modeling procedure, soil parameters are modeled as two-dimensional non-Gaussian homogeneous random field using Cholesky decomposition technique. Numerical analysis is performed using random field theory combined with finite difference numerical code FLAC 5.0 (2D). Monte Carlo simulations are performed to obtain the statistics, i.e., mean and variance of deflection and circumferential (buckling) stresses of buried flexible pipe-soil system in a spatially varying soil media. Results are compared and discussed in the light of available analytical solutions as well as conventional numerical procedures in which soil parameters are considered as uniformly constant. The statistical information obtained from Monte Carlo simulations is further utilized for the reliability analysis of buried flexible pipe-soil system with respect to deflection and buckling. The results of the reliability analysis clearly demonstrate the influence of extent of variation and spatial correlation structure of soil parameters on the performance assessment of buried flexible pipe-soil systems, which is not well captured in conventional procedures.

A case study on the optimal tunnel design based on risk analysis (위험도 분석에 근거한 최적 터널설계 사례)

  • You, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.379-387
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    • 2010
  • In this study, a case study was introduced for the design of a twin tunnel along high speed national highway Route 12 from Damyang to Sungsan. It was related to determine the optimal tunnel support pattern and excavation method based on a risk analysis in order to incorporate the uncertainty of ground properties. To this end, three alternatives with different amounts of support and excavation method were selected and risk analysis was performed by applying Monte Carlo simulation technique, respectively. Stability of the tunnel was quantified by the factor of safety. To improve the result, the 729 cases of the combination of ground properties (deformation modulus, cohesion, and internal friction angle) satisfying a Gaussian distribution were generated and applied. Also, stability of the tunnel was confirmed by analyzing the distribution of both displacement and shotcrete bending stress.

Overcoming the challenges of Monte Carlo depletion: Application to a material-testing reactor with the MCS code

  • Dos, Vutheam;Lee, Hyunsuk;Jo, Yunki;Lemaire, Matthieu;Kim, Wonkyeong;Choi, Sooyoung;Zhang, Peng;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.1881-1895
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    • 2020
  • The theoretical aspects behind the reactor depletion capability of the Monte Carlo code MCS developed at the Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (UNIST) and practical results of this depletion feature for a Material-Testing Reactor (MTR) with plate-type fuel are described in this paper. A verification of MCS results is first performed against MCNP6 to confirm the suitability of MCS for the criticality and depletion analysis of the MTR. Then, the dependence of the effective neutron multiplication factor to the number of axial and radial depletion cells adopted in the fuel plates is performed with MCS in order to determine the minimum spatial segmentation of the fuel plates. Monte Carlo depletion results with 37,800 depletion cells are provided by MCS within acceptable calculation time and memory usage. The results show that at least 7 axial meshes per fuel plate are required to reach the same precision as the reference calculation whereas no significant differences are observed when modeling 1 or 10 radial meshes per fuel plate. This study demonstrates that MCS can address the need for Monte Carlo codes capable of providing reference solutions to complex reactor depletion problems with refined meshes for fuel management and research reactor applications.

A method of Calculating Optimal Duration and Cost Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Linear Programming (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션과 선형계획법을 이용한 최적의 일정 및 비용 산정방법)

  • Kim Yong-Deuk;Lee Young-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.210-215
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    • 2004
  • In can occur to many problems on progressing step without close scope definition, interrelation definition between activities, resource plan, and schedule plan on planning step. But it have not closely defined performance system on planning step because of many constraints of domestic construction industry. Therefore this paper intends to discuss a method of calculating optimal cost and duration using Linear Programming that solves maximing or minimizing problems among decision making methodology and Monte Carlo Simulation that decreases to probability errors. With outcoms applying Linear programming and Monte Carlo Simulation for calculating optimal cost and duration, follow as : With outcomes applying Monte Carlo Simulation, it could calculate reliable estimator about project duration through removing various constraints. With outcomes applying Linear programming, it could calculate optimal value about project cost through defining various variables and constraints on many activities.

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Derivation of response spectrum compatible non-stationary stochastic processes relying on Monte Carlo-based peak factor estimation

  • Giaralis, Agathoklis;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.3 no.5
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    • pp.719-747
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a novel approach is proposed to address the problem of deriving non-stationary stochastic processes which are compatible in the mean sense with a given (target) response (uniform hazard) spectrum (UHS) as commonly desired in the aseismic structural design regulated by contemporary codes of practice. The appealing feature of the approach is that it is non-iterative and "one-step". This is accomplished by solving a standard over-determined minimization problem in conjunction with appropriate median peak factors. These factors are determined by a plethora of reported new Monte Carlo studies which on their own possess considerable stochastic dynamics merit. In the proposed approach, generation and treatment of samples of the processes individually on a deterministic basis is not required as is the case with the various "two-step" approaches found in the literature addressing the herein considered task. The applicability and usefulness of the approach is demonstrated by furnishing extensive numerical data associated with the elastic design UHS of the current European (EC8) and the Chinese (GB 50011) aseismic code provisions. Purposely, simple and thus attractive from a practical viewpoint, uniformly modulated processes assuming either the Kanai-Tajimi (K-T) or the Clough-Penzien (C-P) spectral form are employed. The Monte Carlo studies yield damping and duration dependent median peak factor spectra, given in a polynomial form, associated with the first passage problem for UHS compatible K-T and C-P uniformly modulated stochastic processes. Hopefully, the herein derived stochastic processes and median peak factor spectra can be used to facilitate the aseismic design of structures regulated by contemporary code provisions in a Monte Carlo simulation-based or stochastic dynamics-based context of analysis.

Derivation of response spectrum compatible non-stationary stochastic processes relying on Monte Carlo-based peak factor estimation

  • Giaralis, Agathoklis;Spanos, Pol D.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.3 no.3_4
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    • pp.581-609
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    • 2012
  • In this paper a novel non-iterative approach is proposed to address the problem of deriving non-stationary stochastic processes which are compatible in the mean sense with a given (target) response (uniform hazard) spectrum (UHS) as commonly desired in the aseismic structural design regulated by contemporary codes of practice. This is accomplished by solving a standard over-determined minimization problem in conjunction with appropriate median peak factors. These factors are determined by a plethora of reported new Monte Carlo studies which on their own possess considerable stochastic dynamics merit. In the proposed approach, generation and treatment of samples of the processes individually on a deterministic basis is not required as is the case with the various approaches found in the literature addressing the herein considered task. The applicability and usefulness of the approach is demonstrated by furnishing extensive numerical data associated with the elastic design UHS of the current European (EC8) and the Chinese (GB 50011) aseismic code provisions. Purposely, simple and thus attractive from a practical viewpoint, uniformly modulated processes assuming either the Kanai-Tajimi (K-T) or the Clough-Penzien (C-P) spectral form are employed. The Monte Carlo studies yield damping and duration dependent median peak factor spectra, given in a polynomial form, associated with the first passage problem for UHS compatible K-T and C-P uniformly modulated stochastic processes. Hopefully, the herein derived stochastic processes and median peak factor spectra can be used to facilitate the aseismic design of structures regulated by contemporary code provisions in a Monte Carlo simulation-based or stochastic dynamics-based context of analysis.

Trip Assignment for Transport Card Based Seoul Metropolitan Subway Using Monte Carlo Method (Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 교통카드기반 수도권 지하철 통행배정)

  • Meeyoung Lee;Doohee Nam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2023
  • This study reviewed the process of applying the Monte Carlo simulation technique to the traffic allocation problem of metropolitan subways. The analysis applied the assumption of a normal distribution in which the travel time information of the inter-station sample is the basis of the probit model. From this, the average and standard deviation are calculated by separating the traffic between stations. A plan was proposed to apply the simulation with the weights of the in-vehicle time of individual links and the walking and dispatch interval of transfer. Long-distance traffic with a low number of samples of 50 or fewer was evaluated as a way to analyze the characteristics of similar traffic. The research results were reviewed in two directions by applying them to the Seoul Metropolitan Subway Network. The travel time between single stations on the Seolleung-Seongsu route was verified by applying random sampling to the in-vehicle time and transfer time. The assumption of a normal distribution was accepted for sample sizes of more than 50 stations according to the inter-station traffic sample of the entire Seoul Metropolitan Subway. For long-distance traffic with samples numbering less than 50, the minimum distance between stations was 122Km. Therefore, it was judged that the sample deviation equality was achieved and the inter-station mean and standard deviation of the transport card data for stations at this distance could be applied.

Performance Analysis of Multiuser Detection Scheme for Turbo Encoded DS-CDMA over Rayleigh Fading Channel (레일레이 페이딩 채널에서 터보 부호화 DS-CDMA를 위한 다중 사용자 검출 시스템의 성능 분석)

  • 박재오;이정재
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.235-238
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    • 2000
  • In this paper the MUD(Multi-User Detection) schemes and turbo codes are utilized in DS-CDMA mobile communication systems. Theses schemes effectively mitigate the effects of MAI(Multiple Access Interference) and Rayleigh fading. Using Monte Carlo simulation, the performance of the proposed schemes is analyzed for various channel conditions.

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NUCLEAR DATA UNCERTAINTY PROPAGATION FOR A TYPICAL PWR FUEL ASSEMBLY WITH BURNUP

  • Rochman, D.;Sciolla, C.M.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.353-362
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    • 2014
  • The effects of nuclear data uncertainties are studied on a typical PWR fuel assembly model in the framework of the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency UAM (Uncertainty Analysis in Modeling) expert working group. The "Fast Total Monte Carlo" method is applied on a model for the Monte Carlo transport and burnup code SERPENT. Uncertainties on $k_{\infty}$, reaction rates, two-group cross sections, inventory and local pin power density during burnup are obtained, due to transport cross sections for the actinides and fission products, fission yields and thermal scattering data.

A Simulation Model Construction for Performance Evaluation of Public Innovation Project

  • Koh, Chan
    • 한국디지털정책학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.06a
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    • pp.87-109
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the present performance evaluation methods and to make Monte Carlo Simulation Model for the IT-based Government innovation project. It is suggested the proper ways in applying of Monte Carlo Simulation Model by integration of present evaluation methods. It develops the theoretical framework for this paper, examining the existing literature on proposing an approach to the key concepts of the economic impact analysis methods. It examines the actual conditions of performance evaluation focusing on the It-based Government Innovation project. It considers how the simulation model is applied to the performance management in the public innovation project focusing on the framework, process and procedure of performance management.

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