• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.25 no.spc3
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• pp.347-351
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• 2003

A new approach to reliability analysis of rubble mound breakwater using neural network is proposed. At first, a neural network model which can estimate the stability number of any breakwaters for some design conditions is trained. Then, the neural network model is integrated with Monte Carlo simulation technique in order to calculate probability of failure for the breakwater. The proposed technique is compared with conventional approach using empirical formula.

• Polymer Science and Technology
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.256-273
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• 1998

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.374-380
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• 1994

A method to simulate the extent of interlinkage of grain boundary gas bubbles to the free surfaces of fuel pellet was developed. With the shape of UO$_2$gain treated as tetrakaidecahedron (TKD)), the interlinked fraction of fission gas bubbles to free surfaces at grain comers was calculated as a function of the radius of grain corner bubbles by the Monte Carlo technique. In spite of two dimensional analysis, the present method shooed reasonable agreement between predicted and measured fuel swelling at the moment that complete bubble interlinkage was achieved. However, for more realistic simulation of interlinkage, grain comer bubbles should be treated three dimensionally.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.111-121
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• 2007

The paper presents a reliability-based method that can capture the impact of uncertainty of seismic loadings. The proposed method incorporates probabilistic concepts into the classical limit equilibrium and the Newmark-type deformation techniques. The risk of damage is then computed by Monte Carlo simulation. Random process and RMS hazard method are introduced to produce seismic motions and also to use them in the seismic slope analyses. The geotechnical variability and sampling errors are also considered. The results of reliability analyses indicate that in a highly seismically active region, characterization of earthquake hazard is the more critical factor, and characterization of soil properties has a relatively small effect on the computed risk of slope failure and excessive slope deformations. The results can be applicable to both circular and non-circular slip surface failure modes.

• Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.747-754
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• 2009

In this study, adsorption isotherms of o-DCB(ortho-dichlorobenzene) on an activated carbon heated at $1000^{\circ}C$ for 24 hours were obtained by experiment and were predicted by using molecular simulation. The initial molecular structure of the activated carbon was designed on the basis of its molecular formula and functional groups ratio measured experimentally. Then, the molecular structure was optimized using the COMPASS(condensed-phase optimized molecular potentials for atomistic simulation studies) force field. The particle porosity, specific surface area, and particle density obtained from the optimized molecular structure of activated carbon were compared with those experimental data. The errors between experimental data and simulation results of the particle porosity, specific surface area, and particle density were shown as 7.6, 3.8, and 2.8%, respectively. Adsorption isotherms constants of o-DCB are calculated by the GCMC(grand canonical Monte Carlo) method in the optimized molecular structure of activated carbon. The simulation result of the adsorption isotherms showed an error of under 3%, compared to that of experimental data. Adsorption isotherms, adsorption heat and pore diffusivity of 2,3,7,8-TCDD(tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin) was finally obtained in the same molecular structure of the activated carbon as used for o-DCB. Thus, adsorption characteristics of persistent organic pollutants on activated carbon, which are not easy to experimentally evaluate, are predicted by the molecular simulation.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.401-406
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• 2003

This paper deals with stress analysis of single-lap adhesive joints which have uncertain material properties. Basically, material properties have a certain amount of scatter and such uncertainties can affect the performance of joints. In this paper, the convex modeling is introduced to consider such uncertainties in calculating peel and shear stress of adhesive joints and the results are compared with those from the Monte Carlo simulation. Numerical results show that stresses increase when uncertainties considered, which indicates that such uncertainties should not be ignored for estimation of structural safety. Also, the results obtained by the convex modeling and the Monte Carlo simulation show good agreement, which demonstrates the effectiveness of convex modeling.

• Progress in Medical Physics
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.81-90
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• 2012

The effect of setup uncertainties on CTV dose and the correlation between setup uncertainties and setup margin were evaluated by Monte Carlo based numerical simulation. Patient specific information of IMRT treatment plan for rectal cancer designed on the VARIAN Eclipse planning system was utilized for the Monte Carlo simulation program including the planned dose distribution and tumor volume information of a rectal cancer patient. The simulation program was developed for the purpose of the study on Linux environment using open source packages, GNU C++ and ROOT data analysis framework. All misalignments of patient setup were assumed to follow the central limit theorem. Thus systematic and random errors were generated according to the gaussian statistics with a given standard deviation as simulation input parameter. After the setup error simulations, the change of dose in CTV volume was analyzed with the simulation result. In order to verify the conventional margin recipe, the correlation between setup error and setup margin was compared with the margin formula developed on three dimensional conformal radiation therapy. The simulation was performed total 2,000 times for each simulation input of systematic and random errors independently. The size of standard deviation for generating patient setup errors was changed from 1 mm to 10 mm with 1 mm step. In case for the systematic error the minimum dose on CTV $D_{min}^{stat{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.4 to 72.50% and the mean dose $\bar{D}_{syst{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.45% to 97.88%. However the standard deviation of dose distribution in CTV volume was increased from 0.02% to 3.33%. The effect of random error gave the same result of a reduction of mean and minimum dose to CTV volume. It was found that the minimum dose on CTV volume $D_{min}^{rand{\cdot}}$ was reduced from 100.45% to 94.80% and the mean dose to CTV $\bar{D}_{rand{\cdot}}$ was decreased from 100.46% to 97.87%. Like systematic error, the standard deviation of CTV dose ${\Delta}D_{rand}$ was increased from 0.01% to 0.63%. After calculating a size of margin for each systematic and random error the "population ratio" was introduced and applied to verify margin recipe. It was found that the conventional margin formula satisfy margin object on IMRT treatment for rectal cancer. It is considered that the developed Monte-carlo based simulation program might be useful to study for patient setup error and dose coverage in CTV volume due to variations of margin size and setup error.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2001.06a
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• pp.459-464
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• 2001

For major nuclear power plant components periodic inspections and integrity assessments are needed for the safety. But many flaws are undetectable due to sampling inspection. Probabilistic integrity assessment is applied to take into consideration of uncertainty and variance of input parameters arise due to material properties, applied load and undetectable flaws. This paper describes a Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics(PFM) analysis based on Monte Carlo(MC) algorithms. Taking important parameters as probabilistic variables such as fracture toughness, crack growth rate and flaw shape, failure probability of major nuclear power plant components is archived as a results of MC simulation. For the verification of these analysis, a comparison study of the PFM analysis using other commercial code, mathematical method is carried out and a good agreement was observed between those results.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2004.05b
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• pp.277-281
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• 2004

수자원장기종합계획에서는 물의 과부족 또는 가용한 물을 정량적으로 평가하기 위해 물수지 분석을 실시한다. 물수지 분석은 미래 예측되는 용수수요량과 공급가능량을 비교하는 단순한 과정이지만, 분석 과정에 포함되어 있는 자료와 모형의 불확실성으로 인하여 물수지 분석을 실시한 각종 보고서마다 서로 다른 결과를 보여주고 있어 국민의 신뢰를 얻지 못한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 Monte Carlo simulation 기법 중 Latin Hypercube Sampling에 기반한 확률적 모사로 물수지의 불확실성을 표현하고, 이를 기존에서 제시한 단일 물부족량과 비교하여 불확실성의 범위와 특성을 분석하였다. 또한 민감도 분석을 수행함으로써 입력변수들 간의 상대적 중요도를 산정하여 수자원계획 수립시 투자 우선순위를 제시하였다.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.26 no.5A
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• pp.855-862
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• 2001

본 논문에서는 백색잡음과 페이딩 환경하의 통신시스템의 성능평가시 백색잡음에 대해서만 모멘트 기법을 이용조건부 오류확률을 구하고 페이딩에 대해서는 해석적 접근방식을 취함으로써 전체적인 컴퓨터 수행시간을 획기적으로 개선시킬 수 있는 기법을 제안하고, 제안된 기법의 효율성을 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 수행시간 비교를 통해 입증하였다. 현재 널리 사용되는 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션 기법은 IS-95 순방향 채널과 같이 많은 샘플수를 필요로 하는 시스템에서 상당한 시뮬레이션 수행시간을 요구하게 된다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여, 제안된 방식에서는 백색잡음하의 수신신호의 N차 모멘트를 측정하여 이산확률밀도함수를 구함으로써 수신신호의 확률적 특성을 모사하고, 이로부터 내삽법과 외삽법을 적용하여 조건부 누적확률분포함수를 산출함으로써 채널오류율을 구하게 된다. 그리고 페이딩 성능평가시 조건부 채널오류율을 이용하여 산출된 조건부 누적확률분포함수를 환경조건에 맞춘 후에 페이딩의 확률밀도함수와 수치 해석적으로 간단히 적분하여 성능평가를 함으로써 수행시간의 줄임과 동시에 정확한 채널오류율을 구하게 된다.