• 제목/요약/키워드: Money Supply

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Symmetric and Asymmetric Approaches to Money Demand Determination in Indonesia: Is Divisia Money Relevant?

  • LEONG, Choi-Meng;PUAH, Chin-Hong;TANG, Maggie May-Jean
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권7호
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    • pp.393-402
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine whether symmetric effects or asymmetric effects of exchange rates exist in determining the money demand in Indonesia. Simple-sum money and Divisia money were included in different models for comparison due to the financial developments in Indonesia. This study uses time-series data from 1996Q1 to 2019Q4 for the estimation. The nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model is utilized to verify the asymmetric effects of exchange rates on money demand. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips-Perron unit root tests were performed to verify the order of integration of the variables. The findings of this study revealed that the exchange rate is one of the most important determinants of money demand in Indonesia and the effect is asymmetric. The findings further indicated that money demand function, which incorporates Divisia monetary aggregate is parsimonious. Monetary targets such as money supply and interest rates are critical for monetary policy conduct to achieve inflation levels set by government. As the adoption of an inflation targeting framework needs to be in keeping with the flexible exchange rate system, the asymmetric effect of exchange rate changes can be used in exchange rate policy conduct to achieve financial system and price stability.

Risk Volatility Measurement: Evidence from Indonesian Stock Market

  • Rahmi, Mustika;Azma, Nurul;Muttaqin, Aminullah Achmad;Jazil, Thuba;Rahman, Mahfuzur
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility of both Islamic and conventional stock market in Indonesia with the aim of identifying the most appropriate model for risk management practice. The study considers GARCH as a genre of model to measure the volatility of stock market movement. The results support the view that each model shows specific volatility from both Islamic and conventional stock market in Indonesia. In Islamic stock market, volatility is affected by exchange rate and money supply (M1) but not interest rate as interest is prohibited in Islam. However, interest rate is found as a principal factor that affects volatility of conventional stock market. The outcomes of this paper are of particular significance to policy makers, as it provides guidelines to maintain economic health. Furthermore, the findings may assist practitioners to understand the consequences of macroeconomic factors such as exchange rate, money supply and interest rate, which are very crucial for the market stability of Indonesian stock market. The paper enhances the understanding of stock market volatility and proposes guidelines risk management practices.

The Asymmetric Effect of Inflation on Economic Growth in Vietnam: Evidence by Nonlinear ARDL Approach

  • NGOC, Bui Hoang
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.143-149
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    • 2020
  • Low inflation and sustainable growth have been the major macroeconomic goals being pursued by every developing country, Vietnam inclusive. The effect of inflation on economic growth has been intensively analyzed by a variety of studies, but the empirical evidence more often than not remains controversial and ambiguous. One common hypothesis of previous studies is that they have assumed that the effect of inflation on growth is symmetric. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the asymmetric effect of inflation and money supply on economic growth using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach introduced by Shin, Byungchul, and Greenwood-nimmo (2013) for Vietnam over the period 1990-2017. Empirical results provide evidence that the effects of inflation on economic growth are negative and asymmetric in the long run. The impact of money supply on growth is positive in both the short-run and long-run. Accordingly, the impact of the increase in the inflation rate is bigger than the decreasing in the long-run. This different impact is significant and high inflation will destruct economic activities. As a result, the study provides empirical evidence for the authorities to plan monetary policies and control the rate of inflation to achieve sustainable economic development in the long-run.

케인즈의 고용 . 물가이론소고 (A Study on Keynese's Employment and Price Theory)

  • 박일근
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제8권12호
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    • pp.65-77
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    • 1985
  • The mainpoints of General Theory is 1) the mainspring of economic activity is effective demand which can expand or control in relation to supply as a result of spontaneous decision by customer or government. 2) change in effective demand Produce change in output and employment in the same direction 3) which given productivity of labour the Vice level depend on the money supply affect the in downward direction 4) change in the money supply affect the economy through the rates of interest 5) the only automatic mechanism through which the economy can adjust itself to a deficiency of effective demand is the long process which unemployment reduces wage rates and consequently the demand for money and interest rates, above summarized contents are General Theory frame-work. The neo-classical macro general equilibrium theory, which has been reconstructed subsequent to Keyneses critism is treated the neo-classical macro-general equilibrium theory which inherits the classical theories of labour market and the aggregate production function, on demand side, it introduce the Keyneses macro-general equilibrium theory, which function through flexible movement of prices, wage and interest. Nowadays, Keynes General Theory is being developed into new dimension i, e. the macro-disequilibrium theory, and adequacy, and appropriateness of the theory and its significant contributions to modern economics are being reinterpreted and substantiated.

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The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in Fostering Investment in Jordan during the Period 1992-2020

  • ALNABULSI, Zaynab Hassan;ALRAWASHDEH, Salah Turki;LUTFI, Khalid Munther;SALAMEH, Rafat Salameh
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권9호
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2022
  • This study explored the effectiveness of the measures taken by the Jordanian Central Bank embedded in its monetary policy in encouraging banks to support investment. It aimed to explore the impact of this monetary policy on supporting credit-related decisions and the monetary policies that aim to support investment in Jordan. The targeted tools of the monetary policy are: (Overnight Deposit Window Rate, money supply, and exports). The researchers carried out an analysis to measure the effectiveness of the monetary policy in fostering investment in Jordan during the period 1992-2020. They carried out the time series analysis. They explored the stationarity of the time series. They used the ARDL model. It was found that the Overnight Deposit Window Rate has a negative significant effect on the gross fixed capital formation. It was found that the money supply has a positive insignificant effect on gross fixed capital formation. The researcher recommends using Overnight Deposit Window Rate in a manner that is consistent with the intended investment-related goals.

포스트케인즈학파 내생화폐이론과 은행의 이중기능: 수평주의자와 구조주의자에 대한 새로운 이해 (Post Keynesian Endogenous Money Theory and Banking Activity)

  • 민병길
    • 사회경제평론
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    • 제38호
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    • pp.199-240
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    • 2012
  • 포스트케인즈학파(PK) 내생화폐이론에 따르면, 기업은 신규투자를 수행하기 위해 은행에 대한 대부수요를 만들고, 이에 대한 은행의 대출공급으로 예금화폐가 창조된다. 은행의 자산 측면에서의 신용창조가 부채측면에서 화폐창조로 이어지면서 은행의 대차대조표에서 실물과 화폐가 연결된다. 이 글은 은행의 기능을 중심으로 황재홍(2005)에 대한 비판적 고찰을 통하여 케인즈와 PK 내생화폐이론을 살펴보고자 한다. 이로써 다음과 같은 결론이 도출된다. 첫째, PK 내생화폐이론의 기반을 케인즈에게서 찾을 수 있다. 둘째, 케인즈의 화폐내생성과 빅셀의 그것은 본질적 측면에서 서로 다르다. 마지막으로, PK 내부의 수평주의자와 구조주의자의 논쟁을 이들의 논의의 결론이 아닌 분석상의 차이점에 초점을 두고 보면, 내생화폐이론과 유동성 선호이론은 케인즈 이론 체계에서 양립가능한 이론이 될 수 있다.

An Analysis of Virtual Economies in MMORPG(Massively Multi-players in Online Role Playing Game)

  • Jung, Gwang-Jae;Lee, Byung-Tae
    • 한국경영정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영정보학회 2007년도 International Conference
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    • pp.661-666
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    • 2007
  • MMORPG, massively multi-players in online role-playing game, is the most popular genre in online games. Because large number of players interacts with each other, virtual worlds in MMORPG are alike communities of real worlds. Moreover, players in virtual worlds trade game items with real money. This paper is to find impacts of real-money trading into real worlds, and game operators, by using two-period model between players of the game and the game operator. It was found that real-money trading benefits game operators, and there exists optimal supply of game items to maximize the profit of game operator. Moreover we found that the income disparity in real worlds could be decreased when real-money trading is allowed To support the analytical model, we used an empirical analysis using real-money trading data, and find the relationship among play time of MMORPG, transaction volume of real-money trading, and price of game items. In empirical analysis, it was found that real-money trading benefits game operators. Moreover, it was found that play time and price have positive relationship.

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A Study on the Impact of China's Monetary Policy on South Korea's Exchange Rate

  • He, Yugang
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The adjustment of one country's monetary policy can cause the macroeconomic change of other countries. Due to this, this paper attempts to analyze the impact of China's monetary policy on South Korea's exchange rate. Research design, data, and methodology - Based on the flexible-price monetary model, sets of annual time series from 1980 to 2017 are employed to perform an empirical estimation. The vector error correction model is also used to exploit the short-run relationship between both of them. Of course, the South Korea's real GDP, the China's real GDP, South Korea's interest rate, the South Korea's interest rate and the South Korea's monetary supply are treated as independent variables in this paper. Result - The long-run findings reveal that the China's money supply has a negative effect on South Korea's exchange rate. Respectively, the short-run findings depicts that the China's money supply has negative a effect on South Korea's exchange rate. Of course, other variables selected in this paper also have an effect on South Korea's exchange rate whatever positive or negative. Conclusions - As the empirical evidence shows, the China's monetary policy has a negative effect on South Korea's exchange rate whenever in the long run or in the short run.

Electronic Cash for Central Bank′s Monetary Policy

  • 임광선;박정수;현창희
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 1998
  • Electronic cash affects central bank in many areas, in particular regarding the issuance of money, supervision of cashless payments, supervision of the banking system and monetary policy. The effects of electronic cash on central bank policies, the security and integrity of the payment system, and naturally also on single sector such as company engaged in the transport of money and valuables, depend mainly on the extent to which the new payment methods can replace cash. The possible development of electronic cash merits special attention from central banks for at least three reasons. First, central banks are concerned that the introduction of the new payment instrument should have no adverse effect on public confidence in the payment system and payment media. Second, although the substitution of electronic cash for other forms of money should not theoretically hamper central bank's ability to control the money supply, it might, however, have practial implications, at least in the long run, which need to be carefully examined. Third, because electronic cash may be used for payments of very small value, they have the potential, more than any other cashless instrument, to take over the role of notes and coins in the economy and, therefore, have implications for central bank's activities and revenues.

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화폐(貨幣)·금융개입(金融介入)의 이론적(理論的) 근거(根據)에 대한 고찰(考察) : 중앙은행(中央銀行)의 존립근거(存立根據)에 대한 개관(槪觀) (An Overview of the Rationale of Monetary and Banking Intervention: The Role of the Central Bank in Money and Banking Revisited)

  • 좌승희
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 1990
  • 본고(本稿)서는, 최근 자유금융학파(自由金融學派)와 신화폐경제학과(新貨幣經濟學科)들의 등장으로 화폐(貨幣) 금융문제(金融問題)에서의 자유경쟁(自由競爭) 및 자유방임주의적(自由放任主義的) 사고가 새롭게 확산되고 있는 시점(時點)에서, 정부(政府) 및 중앙은행(中央銀行)의 화폐(貨幣) 금융개입(金融介入)의 이론적(理論的) 근거(根據)와 그에 관련된 논쟁(論爭)을 다음의 6가지 논거(論據)들을 중심으로 개관해 보았다 : (1) 자유금융하(自由金融下)의 銀行券(은행권) 초과발행(超過發行) 가능성(可能性), (2) 화폐사용에 있어서의 외부경제효과(外部經濟效果)와 화폐제도의 공공재적(公共財的) 성격(性格) (3) 화폐발행업무의 규모(規模)의 경제(經濟)와 자연독점적(自然獨占的) 성격(性格), (4) 실물부문(實物部門)의 불안정성(不安定性)과 거시안정화정책(巨視安定化政策)의 필요성, (5) 은행금융시장(銀行金融市場)의 불안정성(不安定性)과 은행파산(銀行破産)의 외부효과(外部效果), (6) 소액거래자(少額去來者) 및 예금자(預金者)의 보호(保護) 이러한 논거들에 의하면 외부화폐(外部貨幣)(outside money)의 공급은 전형적인 공공재이론(公共財理論)이나 기술적(技術的) 독점주장(獨占主張)이 적용되는 경우이기 때문에 외부화폐제도(外部貨幣制度)의 유지에 있어서 정부(政附)나 중앙은행(中央銀行) 독점(獨占) 및 개입(介入)이 불가피하고 또한 바람직하지만, 내부화폐(內部貨幣)(inside money)제도(制度)의 경우는 적절한 최소한의 안전장치만 강구된다면 최근의 자유금융학파(自由金融學派) 및 신화폐경제학과(新貨幣經濟學科)들의 주장과 같이 사적(私的) 자유경쟁(自由競爭)이 보다 활성화되도록 하는 것이 바람직할 것으로 판단된다 . 한편 외부화폐제도(外部貨幣制度)에의 개입(介入)에 따른 (정부(政府) 및) 중앙은행(中央銀行)의 거시통화정책기능(巨視通貨政策機能)은 물론, 보다 자유화(自由化)된 내부화폐제도하(內部貨幣制度下)에서도 중앙은행(中央銀行)의 최종대여자기능(最終貸與者機能)과 미시적(微視的) 감독기능(監督機能)은 동(同) 제도(制度)의 안전성(安全性)을 유지하기 위해 중요한 역할을 할 것으로 보인다.

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