• Title/Summary/Keyword: Modelling and evaluation

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가용 침수 자료를 활용한 도심지 침수 해석 모형의 평가 절차 수립 및 표준화 (Establishment and Standardization of Evaluation Procedure for Urban Flooding Analysis Model Using Available Inundation Data)

  • 신은택;장동민;박성원;엄태수;송창근
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.100-110
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the frequency of typhoon and torrential rain due to climate change is increasing. In addition, the upsurge in the complexity of urban sewer network and impervious surfaces area aggravates the inland flooding damage. In response to these worsening situations, the central and local governments are conducting R&D tasks related to predict and mitigate the flood risk. Researches on the analysis of inundation in urban areas have been implemented through various ways, and the common features were to evaluate the accuracy and justification of the model by comparing the model results with the actual inundation data. However, the evaluation procesure using available urban flooding data are not consistent, and if there are no quantitative urban inundation data, verification has to be performed by using press releases, public complaints, or photos of inundation occurring through 'CCTV'. Because theses materials are not quantitative, there is a problem of low reliability. Therefore, this study intends to develop a comparative analysis procedure on the quantitative degree and applicability of the verifiable inundation data, and a systematic framework for the performance assessment of urban flood analysis model was proposed. This would contribute to the standardization of the evaluation and verification procedure for urban flooding modelling.

폭발성 물질의 폭발에 따른 폭발압력 평가 (Evaluation of Blast Pressure Generated by an Explosion of Explosive Material)

  • 윤용균
    • 화약ㆍ발파
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.26-34
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    • 2018
  • 인화성 물질을 보유하고 있는 시설물에서 인화성 물질이 유출되어 형성된 증기운의 폭발이 국내와 해외에서 자주 발생하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 증기운 폭발에 따른 폭풍 효과를 모사하기 위해서 TNT 등가법과 다중에너지법을 적용하였다. TNT 등가법은 단순하고 직접적인 적용이 가능하기 때문에 증기운 폭발을 해석하기 위해서 지금까지 널리 사용되고 있다. 그러나 TNT 등가법은 증기운 폭발로부터 발생하는 연소에너지와 이를 TNT 등가량으로 환산하는데 필요한 적절한 상관관계를 선택하는 것이 어렵다는 근본적인 단점을 가지고 있다. 다중에너지법에서는 증기운 폭발의 강도가 증기운이 확산되는 지역에서의 확산 경로의 레이아웃에 따라 달라진다고 가정한다. 즉 증기운의 잠재적 폭발력은 혼잡지역의 혼잡정도에 따라 달라진다. 본 연구에서는 TNT 등가법과 다중에너지법의 적용성을 평가하기 위해서 Flixborough 폭발사고를 사례연구로 분석하였다. 분석 결과 TNT 등가계수와 폭발강도계수를 현장상황에 맞게 적절히 선택하는 경우 TNT 등가법과 다중에너지법은 증기운 폭발 사고를 분석하는데 적합할 것으로 예상된다.

도시의 지표형태학적 특성에 기반한 지면미기후 분석: 기온추정 및 평가 (Surface Micro-Climate Analysis Based on Urban Morphological Characteristics: Temperature Deviation Estimation and Evaluation)

  • 이채연;안승만;김규랑;권혁기;민재식
    • 대기
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.445-459
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    • 2016
  • Air temperature deviation (ATD) is one of major indicators to represent spatial distribution of urban heat island (UHI), which is induced from the urbanization. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the accuracy of air temperature deviation about Climate Analysis Seoul (CAS) workbench, which had developed by National Institute Meteorological Science and TU Berlin. Comparison and correlation analysis for CAS ATD including meso-scale air temperature deviation, local-scale air temperature deviation, total air temperature deviation, surface heat flux deviation, cold air production deviation among meso-scale numerical modelling variable in 'Seoul Region', micro-scale numerical modelling in 'Detail Region', and CAS workbench variable using observation data in ground stations. Comparison between night time OBS ATD and CAS ATD show that have most close values. Most of observations ($dT_{max}$ and $dT_{min}$) have highly positive ($dT_{SHP}$, $dT_{CA}$, MD, TD, $f_{BS}$, $f_{US}$, $f_{WS}$, $h_B$) and negative ($f_{VS}$, $f_{TV}$, $h_V$, Z) correlations. However, CAS workbench needs further improvement of both observational framework and analytical framework to resolve the problems; (1) night time OBS ATD of has closer values in compare with at high rise mountain area and (2) correlations are very dependable to meteorological scale.

THM analysis for an in situ experiment using FLAC3D-TOUGH2 and an artificial neural network

  • Kwon, Sangki;Lee, Changsoo
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.363-373
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    • 2018
  • The evaluation of Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical (THM) coupling behavior is important for the development of underground space for various purposes. For a high-level radioactive waste repository excavated in a deep underground rock mass, the accurate prediction of the complex THM behavior is essential for the long-term safety and stability assessment. In order to develop reliable THM analysis techniques effectively, an international cooperation project, Development of Coupled models and their Validation against Experiments (DECOVALEX), was carried out. In DECOVALEX-2015 Task B2, the in situ THM experiment that was conducted at Horonobe Underground Research Laboratory(URL) by Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), was modeled by the research teams from the participating countries. In this study, a THM coupling technique that combined TOUGH2 and FLAC3D was developed and applied to the THM analysis for the in situ experiment, in which rock, buffer, backfill, sand, and heater were installed. With the assistance of an artificial neural network, the boundary conditions for the experiment could be adequately implemented in the modeling. The thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical results from the modeling were compared with the measurements from the in situ THM experiment. The predicted buffer temperature from the THM modelling was about $10^{\circ}C$ higher than measurement near by the overpack. At the other locations far from the overpack, modelling predicted slightly lower temperature than measurement. Even though the magnitude of pressure from the modeling was different from the measurements, the general trends of the variation with time were found to be similar.

태풍 기인 연안침식 예측의 불확실성 분석: 사례연구-일산해변 (Sensitivity Analysis in the Prediction of Coastal Erosion due to Storm Events: case study-Ilsan beach)

  • 손동휘;유제선;신현화
    • 한국연안방재학회지
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2019
  • In coastal morphological modelling, there are a number of input factors: wave height, water depth, sand particle size, bed friction coefficients, coastal structures and so forth. Measurements or estimates of these input data may include uncertainties due to errors by the measurement or hind-casting methods. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the uncertainty of each input data and the range of the uncertainty during the evaluation of numerical results. In this study, three uncertainty factors are considered with regard to the prediction of coastal erosion in Ilsan beach located in Ilsan-dong, Ulsan metropolitan city. Those are wave diffraction effect of XBeach model, wave input scenario and the specification of the coastal structure. For this purpose, the values of mean wave direction, significant wave height and the height of the submerged breakwater were adjusted respectively and the followed numerical results of morphological changes are analyzed. There were erosion dominant patterns as the wave direction is perpendicular to Ilsan beach, the higher significant wave height, and the lower height of the submerged breakwater. Furthermore, the rate of uncertainty impacts among mean wave direction, significant wave height and the height of the submerged breakwater are compared. In the study area, the uncertainty influence by the wave input scenario was the largest, followed by the height of the submerged breakwater and the mean wave direction.

Analytical testing and evaluation of truss typed structures for tunnel maintenance

  • Lee, Dongkyu;Kim, Dohwan;Lee, Jaehong;Noh, Pilsung;Park, Sungsoo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.949-961
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    • 2015
  • The goal of this study is to present numerical modeling and analytical testing in order to evaluate an innovative space truss typed temporary structure, which is used to maintenance and repair of road tunnels. The present space truss structure has merits to use UL-700 high strength steel tube as members and to carry out maintenance and repair works of road tunnels without blocking cars and transportations. Numerical modeling and analytical testing of the space truss are investigated by using commercial engineering software, i.e., ABAQUS 6.5-1, and then it is verified that the truss structure has both structural safety and effective function for maintenances and repairs of road tunnels.

확률 유한요소해석법을 이용한 피로수명 및 강도해석 (Analysis of Fatigue Life and Fracture Toughness Using Probabilistic Finite Element Method)

  • 이현우;오세종
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.1448-1454
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    • 1994
  • Data which gathered and used in the field of fatigue and fracture mechanics have a lot of uncertainties. In this case, those uncertainties will make scatter band in evaluation of fatigue life and fracture toughness. Thus, the probabilistic analysis of these data will be needed. For determining the fatigue life in mixed mode, using crack direction law and fatigue crack growth law, the problem is studied as a constrained life minimization. Stress intensity factor(SIF) is computed by approximate solution table(Ewalds/Wanhill 1984) and 0th order PFEM. The variance of fatigue life and SIF are computed by differentiation of tabulated approximate solution and 1st order PFEM. And these are used for criterion of design values, principal parameter determination and modelling. The problem of center cracked plate is solved for checking the PFEM model which is influenced by various parameters like as initial crack length, final crack length, two fatigue parameters in Paris Equation and applied stress.

헥사로터형 무인기의 모델링과 P-PD기반 비행성능평가 (Dynamic Model and P-PD Control based Flight Performance Evaluation for Hexa-Rotor Type UAV)

  • 진태석
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권7호
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    • pp.1074-1080
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    • 2015
  • In the last decades, the increasing interest in unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV) for military, surveillance, and rescue applications made necessary the development of flight control theory and body structure more and more efficient and fast. In this paper, we describe the design and performance of a prototype hexarotor UAV platform featuring an inertial measurement unit(IMU) based autonomous-flying for use in bluetooth communication environments. The proposed system comprises the construction of the test hexarotor platform, the implementation of an IMU, dynamic modeling and simulation in the hexarotor helicopter. Furthermore, the hexarotor helicopter with implemented IMU is connected with a micro controller unit(ARM-cortex) board. The P-PD control algorithm was used to control the hexarotor. We used the Matlab software to help us to tune the P-PD control parameters for quick response and minimizing the fluctuation. The control simulation and experiment on the real system are implemented in the test platform, evaluated and compared against each other.

군 모바일 단말기를 위한 자가적응 소프트웨어 기반 MOSAIC 아키텍처 설계 및 검증 (A Design and Verification of MOSAIC Architecture Based on Self-Adaptive Software for the Military Mobile Equipment)

  • 김종영;윤희병
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.852-860
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    • 2010
  • An environment in which the software is operated become more complex and changed dynamically. Such software requires the ability to adapt in accordance with operating environments, by monitoring the changes of user requirements and operating environments. Especially, the mobile device used in military operation requires more dynamical adaptation than the mobile device in normal environment. In this paper, we propose MOSAIC architecture based on Self-Adaptive Software suitable for military mobile device and verify the results. The proposed architecture consists of context manager, evaluation manager and adaptation manager. We simulate the MOSAIC architecture by modelling PRE(Position Reporting Equipment) used in the army and verify four types of operational mode and dynamical reconfiguration of user interface.

Who knows what and to what extent - modeling the knowledge of the narrative agent

  • Hochang Kwon
    • 트랜스-
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    • 제14권
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    • pp.65-92
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    • 2023
  • The knowledge of the narrative agent not only constitutes the content and meaning of the narrative itself, but is also closely related to the emotional response of the recipient. Also, the disparity of knowledge between narrative agents is an important factor in making a narrative richer and more interesting. But It tends to be treated as a sub-topic of narration theory or genre/style studies rather than an independent subject of narrative studies or criticism. In this paper, I propose a model that can systematically and quantitatively analyze the knowledge of narrative agents. The proposed model consists of the knowledge structure that represents a narrative, the knowledge state that expresses the knowledge of narrative agent as a degree of belief, and the knowledge flow that means changes in the knowledge state according to the development of events. In addition, the formal notation of the knowledge structure and a probabilistic inference model that could obtain the state of knowledge were proposed, and the knowledge structure and knowledge flow were analyzed by applying the model to the actual narrative. It is expected that the proposed model will be of practical help in the creation and evaluation of narratives.