• 응용통계연구
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.419-430
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• 2014

전력수급의 정확한 예측은 국민들의 일상적 생활 유지, 산업활동, 그리고 국가경영을 위하여 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 시계열모형화에 의해 전력판매량을 예측한다. 실제 자료분석을 통하여 입력시계열로서 냉난방도일과 개입변수로 펄스함수를 사용한 전이함수모형이 다른 시계열모형에 비해서 제곱근평균제곱오차 및 평균절대오차의 의미에서 더 우수하였다.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.2752-2759
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• 1996

This paper presents crack growth analysis approach on the basis of neural networks, a branch of cognitive science to high temperature low cycle fatigue that shows strong nonlinearity in material behavior. As the number of data patterns on crack growth increase, pattern classification occurs well and two point representation scheme with gradient of crack growth curve simulates crack growth rate better than one point representation scheme. Optimal number of learning data exists and excessive number of learning data increases estimated mean error with remarkable learning time J-da/dt relation predicted by neural networks shows that test condition with unlearned data is simulated well within estimated mean error(5%).

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.41-53
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• 2011

Objective: The purpose of this paper is to introduce new research trends of human error and accident modeling and to suggest future promising research directions in those areas. Background: Various methods and techniques have been developed to understand the nature of human errors, to classify them, to analyze their causes, to prevent their negative effects, and to use their concepts during design process. However, it has been reported that they are impractical and ineffective for modern complex systems, and new research approaches are needed to secure the safety of those systems. Method: Six different perspectives to study human error and system safety are explained, and then seven recent research trends are introduced in relation to the six perspectives. The implications of the new research trends and viable research directions based on them are discussed from a cognitive systems engineering point of view. Results: Traditional methods for analyzing human errors and identifying causes of accidents have critical limitations in complex systems, and recent research trends seem to provide some insights and clues for overcoming them. Conclusion: Recent research trends of human error and accident modeling emphasize different concepts and viewpoints, which include systems thinking, sociotechnical perspective, ecological modelling, system resilience, and safety culture. Application: The research topics explained in this paper will help researchers to establish future research programmes.

• 대한수학교육학회지:수학교육학연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.39-69
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• 2004

본 연구에서는 학생들이 일차함수의 활용단원을 학습할 때 여러 현상을 해석하고 다양한 수학적 표현을 사용하여 모델로 만들어 문제해결과정에 이를 적용할 수 있도록, 학생들의 표현에 대한 이전 경험과 현상을 해석하기 위한 표현 방법을 효과적으로 연결하는 학습-지도 방법을 분석하였다. 본 연구는 일차함수를 학습한 8학년 학생들을 대상으로 일차함수 단원을 예측과제, 번역과제, 해석과제, 척도과제로 세분화하여 각각에 대한 학생들의 오류를 분석한 다음, 일차함수의 활용 단원을 교과서 위주의 강의식 표현변환 학습, 모델링 관점에서의 표현변환 학습과 과제기반 표현변환 학습을 실시하였다. 연구 결과, 강의식 학습 방법보다는 모델링 관점과 과제기반 학습이 표현변환의 유연한 연결성 및 일차함수에 대한 각 과제별 오류교정과 질적 함수에 대한 해석 능력에서 효과적이었다. 모델링 관점과 과제기반 학습의 경우는 모두 표현변환의 유연한 연결을 교수하는데 효과적이었으나, 질적 함수의 해석 능력에서는 모델링 관점의 학습이 보다 효과적이었다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.373-391
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• 2000

This paper investigates the existence of a long-run relationship between world oil price and consumer price index for Korea during 1983~1999. The cointegration and error correction modelling approaches have been applied. Empirical results suggest that there exists a long-run relationship among world oil prices. consumer prices, M2 and a production gap variable. The dynamic behavior of the relationship has been investigated by estimating a error correction model, in which the error correction term have been found significant. The error correction model has also been found to be robust as it satisfy almost all relevant diagnostic tests.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제23권1호
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• pp.107-113
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• 2018

Air quality and pollution have recently become a major concern; vehicle emissions significantly pollute the air, especially in large and crowded cities. There are various factors that affect vehicle emissions; this research aims to find the most influential factors affecting $CO_2$ and $NO_x$ emissions using Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) as well as a systematic approach. The modified ANFIS (MANFIS) was developed to enhance modelling and Root Mean Square Error was used to evaluate the model performance. The results show that percentages of $CO_2$ from trucks represent the best input combination to model. While for $NO_x$ modelling, the best pair combination is the vehicle delay and percentage of heavy trucks. However, the final MANFIS structure involves two inputs, three membership functions and nine rules. For $CO_2$ modelling the triangular membership function is the best, while for $NO_x$ the membership function is two-sided Gaussian.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제13권5호
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• pp.131-138
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• 1996

This paper suggests a servo control algorithm to reduce the repeatable tracking error which is not explicitly taken into account in the design of a conventional PID controller of a computer hard disk drive. The robust stability of the repetitive control system with multiplicative modelling error is analyzed, and the controller was implemented using a fixed point DSP(Digital Signal Processor). Experimental results show that the repetitive errors are suppressed effectively by the proposed controller.

• 한국정보통신학회논문지
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• 제14권7호
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• pp.1544-1550
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• 2010

비선형 동적 시스템을 모델링하기 위해 GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling)를 적용한 많은 연구들이 수행되어 왔다. 그러나 모델링의 정확성을 위해서는 계산량이 크게 증가한다. 그러므로 본 논문에서는 입력 데이터를 취사선택하는 기준을 점감적으로 조정함으로써 적어도 정확성을 유지하면서 전형적인 GMDH의 단점인 과도한 계산을 피할 수 있는 방법을 제안한다. 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션 결과, GMDH 알고리듬의 계산량을 성공적으로 줄일 수 있었고 에러율도 소폭 줄일 수 있었다.

• International Journal of Contents
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.49-53
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• 2016

"Hahoe Village" in Andong region is an UNESCO World Heritage Site. It should be protected against various disasters such as fire, flooding, earthquake, etc. Among these disasters, flooding has drastic impact on the lives and properties in a wide area. Since "Hahoe Village" is adjacent to Nakdong River, it is important to monitor the water level near the village. In this paper, we developed a hydrological modelling using multi-layer perceptron (MLP) to predict the water level of Nakdong River near "Hahoe Village". To develop the prediction model, error back-propagation (EBP) algorithm was used to train the MLP with water level data near the village and rainfall data at the upper reaches of the village. After training with data in 2012 and 2013, we verified the prediction performance of MLP with untrained data in 2014.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1996년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); 포항공과대학교, 포항; 24-26 Oct. 1996
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• pp.912-915
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• 1996

The computed-torque method (CTM) shows good trajectory tracking performance in controlling robot manipulator if there is no disturbance or modelling errors. But with the increase of a payload or the disturbance of a manipulator, the tracking errors become large. So there have been many researches to reduce the tracking error. In this paper, we propose a new control algorithm based on the CTM that decreases a tracking error by generating new reference trajectory to the controller. In this algorithm we used the concept of sliding mode theory and fuzzy system to reduce chattering in control input. For the numerical simulation, we used a 2-link robot manipulator. To simulate the disturbance due to a modelling uncertainty, we added errors to each elements of the inertia matrix and the nonlinear terms and assumed a payload to the end-effector. In this simulation, proposed method showed better trajectory tracking performance compared with the CTM.