• 응용통계연구
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• 제31권6호
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• pp.733-749
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• 2018

어떠한 연구에서 관심의 대상이 되는 관찰치가 부분적으로 관측 가능할 때 표본선택의 문제가 일어난다. 이러한 자료를 분석하기 위해 헤크만은 표본선택 모형을 개발하였고 이변량 정규분표의 가정 하에 최대우도방법을 사용하여 모수를 추정하였다. 최근 이항자료와 포아송 자료에 대한 표본선택모형이 제안되었다. 이를 분포조정에 기초하여 과대산포 자료에 대한 모형으로 확장하고자 한다. 표본선택이 없는 과대산포 자료는 흔히 음이항 분포로 분석되어진다. 따라서 음이항 분포를 이용하고 분포조정을 도입한 과대산포 자료에 대한 새로운 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 실제 자료를 이용하여 분석을 하였다. 모의실험 결과 프로파일 우도함수를 이용하여 모수에 대해 추정한 결과는 안정적이다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제40권4호
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• pp.112-119
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• 2017

Selecting suppliers in the global supply chain is the very difficult and complicated decision making problem particularly due to the various types of supply risk in addition to the uncertain performance of the potential suppliers. This paper proposes a multi-phase decision making model for supplier selection under supply risks in global supply chains. In the first phase, the model suggests supplier selection solutions suitable to a given condition of decision making using a rule-based expert system. The expert system consists of a knowledge base of supplier selection solutions and an "if-then" rule-based inference engine. The knowledge base contains information about options and their consistency for seven characteristics of 20 supplier selection solutions chosen from articles published in SCIE journals since 2010. In the second phase, the model computes the potential suppliers' general performance indices using a technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) based on their scores obtained by applying the suggested solutions. In the third phase, the model computes their risk indices using a TOPSIS based on their historical and predicted scores obtained by applying a risk evaluation algorithm. The evaluation algorithm deals with seven types of supply risk that significantly affect supplier's performance and eventually influence buyer's production plan. In the fourth phase, the model selects Pareto optimal suppliers based on their general performance and risk indices. An example demonstrates the implementation of the proposed model. The proposed model provides supply chain managers with a practical tool to effectively select best suppliers while considering supply risks as well as the general performance.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.87-95
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• 2008

The purpose of this study is to provide a decision support to select an appropriate rapid prototyping(RP) machine that suits the application of a part. Selection factors include concept model, form/fit/functional model, pattern model for molding, material property, build time and part cost that greatly affect the performance of RP machines. However, the selection of a RP is not an easy decision because they are uncertain and vague. For this reason, the aim of this research is to propose hybrid multiple attribute decision making approaches to effectively evaluate RP machines. In addition, because subjective considerations are relevant to selection decision, a fuzzy logic approach is adopted. The proposed selection procedure consists of several steps. First, we identify RP machines that the users consider. After constructing the evaluation criteria, we calculate the weights of the criteria by applying the fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) method. Finally, we construct the fuzzy Technique of Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS) method to achieve the ranking order of all machines providing the decision information for the selection of RP machines.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제15권7호
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• pp.428-435
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• 2015

우리 기업의 타인자본조달에 관한 통계지표를 살펴보면 대기업은 은행의 기업대출과 회사채 등의 직접금융을 함께 사용하여 자본을 조달하고 있는 반면, 중소기업은 은행대출에 계속 의지하고 있음을 확인할 수 있다. 이러한 현실을 감안하여 본 연구에서는 기업의 타인자본조달을 실증분석하는데 있어 표본선택편의가 존재하고 이를 감안한 연구모형을 사용해야 한다고 주장한다. 이러한 주장을 뒷받침하기 위해 1990년부터 2013년까지의 상장기업 자료를 통해 부채구조를 설명하는 실증분석을 수행한 결과 선행연구에서와 마찬가지로 기업의 회사채사용에 있어 기업규모, 1대주주 지분율, 유형자산 구성비, 수익성, 배당성향 등이 영향을 미치고 있음을 확인할 수 있었으며, 패널표본선택모형에 투입된 Inverse Mills Ratio 변수가 유의하게 나타나 패널표본선택모형을 사용하는 것이 타당함을 확인하였다. 이러한 결과는 기업의 타인자본조달에 있어 표본선택편의가 존재하며 이에 관한 연구에서 이를 반드시 감안해야 함을 의미한다.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.79-83
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• 1985

This purpose of this study is to suggest a tentative model for project selection of information system. In constructing a mathematical model, quantification of decision criteria is tried to lessen difficulties of measuring benefits of information system project. Suggested model enables us to select projects in the context of portfolio and information system policy.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제3권2호
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• pp.63-72
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• 1977

The trend of computerization is significant in Korea even at its beginning stage, especially for governmental administration. However, full-fledged success of computerization in an organization is reported to be rare while the cost of computerization has been high and increasing. This paper is concerned with two features for the successful implementation of a computerized system in an organization selection criteria for the computerization among the possible candidate projects and project selection models. Due to the dearth of literature regarding successful implementation of computerization, other sources of literature with respect to R & D management, method engineering, etc. were reviewed to develop a set of factors influencing successful computerization. Thus, project selection criteria for computerization of governmental administration are developed and organized as follows: cost of computerization project including both system development and operating cost, quanitative and qualitative benefits of computerization project, probability of technical and implementation success of computerization and other organizational and political factors to be considered. These criteria are broken down into detailed sets of subcriteria to be measured. To select a project after thorough consideration of the selection criteria, a project selection model which takes into account all criteria together has to be developed. In the study three project selection models are suggested and developed. They are the checklist model, multi-stage cut-off model, and composite criteria model. A detailed procedure for each of the three models is illustrated. Although the project selection criteria and models are developed here primarily for the computerization of governmental administration, they are easily applicable to other settings of computerization. Finally, some caveats for the use of selection criteria and models are discussed.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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• pp.201-205
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• 2010

Earthwork is an essential initial work discipline in construction projects and open to significant impacts of several factors such as weather, site conditions, soil conditions, underground installations and available construction machinery, calling for careful planning by managers. However, selection and combination of construction machinery and equipment for earthwork still depends on experience or intuition of managers in construction sites, with much room left for proper management in terms of cost, schedule and environmental load control. This research aims to analyze the performance of earthwork equipment and establish relations among various factors affecting a model for optimizing selection and combination of earthwork equipment as a precursor to the development of such model. We expect the conclusions herein to contribute to optimizing selection and combination of earthwork equipment and provide basic inputs for the development of applicable model that can save costs, reduce schedule and mitigate environmental load.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제33권1호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2020

본 연구에서는 선형회귀모형에서 이상치와 변수변환을 고려한 변수선택 알고리즘을 다룬다. 제안된 방법은 잠재적 이상치를 탐지하여 제거한 후 변수변환 추정을 위해 최소 절사 제곱 추정법을 적용하며 가능한 모든 회귀모형을 비교하여 최종적으로 변수를 선택한다. 정확한 변수 선택과 추정된 모델의 적합도의 맥락에서 방법의 효율성을 보여주기 위해 실제 데이터 분석 및 시뮬레이션 결과가 제시된다.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.277-281
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• 2006

Cyber counseling, one of the most compatible type of consultation for the information society, enables people to reveal their mental agonies and private problems anonymously, since it does not require face-to-face interview between a counsellor and a client. However, there are few cyber counseling centers which provide high quality and trustworthy service, although the number of cyber counseling center has highly increased. Therefore, this paper is intended to enable an appropriate consultation for each client by analyzing client propensity using Bayesian variable selection. Bayesian variable selection is superior to stepwise regression analysis method in finding out a regression model. Stepwise regression analysis method, which has been generally used to analyze individual propensity in linear regression model, is not efficient since it is hard to select a proper model for its own defects. In this paper, based on the case database of current cyber counseling centers in the web, we will analyze clients' propensities using Bayesian variable selection to enable individually target counseling and to activate cyber counseling programs.

• 한국측량학회지
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.91-97
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• 2019

In automatic map generalization, the formalization of cartographic principles is important. This study proposes and evaluates the selection method for road network generalization that analyzes existing maps using reverse engineering and formalizes the selection rules for the road network. Existing maps with a 1:5,000 scale and a 1:25,000 scale are compared, and the criteria for selection of the road network data and the relative importance of each network object are determined and analyzed using $T{\ddot{o}}pfer^{\prime}s$ Radical Law as well as the logistic regression model. The selection model derived from the analysis result is applied to the test data, and road network data for the 1:25,000 scale map are generated from the digital topographic map on a 1:5,000 scale. The selected road network is compared with the existing road network data on the 1:25,000 scale for a qualitative and quantitative evaluation. The result indicates that more than 80% of road objects are matched to existing data.