• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model Ensemble

Search Result 638, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

Probabilistic analysis of structural pounding considering soil-structure interaction

  • Naeej, Mojtaba;Amiri, Javad Vaseghi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.289-304
    • /
    • 2022
  • During strong ground motions, adjacent structures with insufficient separation distances collide with each other causing considerable architectural and structural damage or collapse of the whole structure. Generally, existing design procedures for determining the separation distance between adjacent buildings subjected to structural pounding are based on approximations of the buildings' peak relative displacement. These procedures are based on unknown safety levels. This paper attempts to evaluate the influence of foundation flexibility on the structural seismic response by considering the variability in the system and uncertainties in the ground motion characteristics through comprehensive numerical simulations. Actually, the aim of this study is to evaluate the influence of foundation flexibility on probabilistic evaluation of structural pounding. A Hertz-damp pounding force model has been considered in order to effectively capture impact forces during collisions. In total, 5.25 million time-history analyses were performed over the adopted models using an ensemble of 25 ground motions as seismic input within OpenSees software. The results of the study indicate that the soil-structure interaction significantly influences the pounding-involved responses of adjacent structures during earthquakes and generally increases the pounding probability.

Model Ensemble for Accurate Pig Detection under Strong Illumination Condition (강한 조명하에서 정확한 돼지 탐지를 위한 모델 앙상블)

  • Son, Seungwook;Ahn, Hanse;Lee, Nayeon;An, Yunho;Chung, Yongwha;Park, Daihee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
    • /
    • 2021.05a
    • /
    • pp.385-388
    • /
    • 2021
  • CNN 기반 객체 탐지기의 발전으로 돈사에서 돼지 모니터링이 가능하지만, 실제 농가에서 적용하기 위해서는 영상에서 돈사의 조명에 직접 노출된 돼지들이 노출 과다 현상에 의해 탐지되지 않는 문제가 여전히 남아있다. 이러한 문제점은 싱글 모델로서는 정확도 개선의 한계가 있어, 복수개의 모델을 이용한 모델 앙상블 기법을 제안한다. 특히 본 연구에서 제안하는 영상 처리 기법을 사용하여 생성된 상호 보안적인 데이터를 통해 학습된 두 개의 TinyYOLOv4 모델을 결합하면, 돼지 객체 탐지의 정확도가 하나의 TinyYOLOv4 모델에 비하여 획기적으로 개선되었음을 확인하였다.

Comparison of rainfall-based and model-bsed runoff ensemble members (강우기반 유출앙상블과 모형기반 유출앙상블의 비교 및 평가)

  • Kang, Minseok;Na, Wooyoung;Kim, Gildo;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.328-328
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 강우앙상블 멤버를 입력자료로 한 강우기반 유출앙상블 멤버와 관측 강우자료를 입력자료로 한 모형기반 유출앙상블 멤버를 생성하고 각 유출앙상블 멤버의 정확도를 비교·평가하였다. 본 연구에서는 강우앙상블 멤버 생성을 위해 서울 지역을 대상으로 강우장 이동 모의에 필요한 모의 격자망을 구축하였다. 다음으로 최근 10년 동안 발생한 37개 호우사상의 관측자료를 토대로 격자별 특성방향을 결정하고 특성방향의 통계치로부터 유도된 베타분포를 기반으로 강우앙상블 멤버를 생성하였다. 유출앙상블 멤버는 대한민국 서울에 위치한 구로1 빗물펌프장 배수유역을 대상으로 shot noise process 기반 강우-유출모형을 이용하여 생성하였다. 강우-유출모형 매개변수의 난수 생성을 위해서 감마분포를 이용하였다. 2017년과 2018년 발생한 호우사상을 대상으로 강우기반 및 모형기반 유출앙상블을 생성한 결과, 강우의 방향성을 조정하여 생성한 강우기반 유출앙상블의 정확도가 더 높은 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

Early Detection of Rice Leaf Blast Disease using Deep-Learning Techniques

  • Syed Rehan Shah;Syed Muhammad Waqas Shah;Hadia Bibi;Mirza Murad Baig
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.211-221
    • /
    • 2024
  • Pakistan is a top producer and exporter of high-quality rice, but traditional methods are still being used for detecting rice diseases. This research project developed an automated rice blast disease diagnosis technique based on deep learning, image processing, and transfer learning with pre-trained models such as Inception V3, VGG16, VGG19, and ResNet50. The modified connection skipping ResNet 50 had the highest accuracy of 99.16%, while the other models achieved 98.16%, 98.47%, and 98.56%, respectively. In addition, CNN and an ensemble model K-nearest neighbor were explored for disease prediction, and the study demonstrated superior performance and disease prediction using recommended web-app approaches.

A Target Selection Model for the Counseling Services in Long-Term Care Insurance (노인장기요양보험 이용지원 상담 대상자 선정모형 개발)

  • Han, Eun-Jeong;Kim, Dong-Geon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1063-1073
    • /
    • 2015
  • In the long-term care insurance (LTCI) system, National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) provide counseling services for beneficiaries and their family caregivers, which help them use LTC services appropriately. The purpose of this study was to develop a Target Selection Model for the Counseling Services based on needs of beneficiaries and their family caregivers. To develope models, we used data set of total 2,000 beneficiaries and family caregivers who have used the long-term care services in their home in March 2013 and completed questionnaires. The Target Selection Model was established through various data-mining models such as logistic regression, gradient boosting, Lasso, decision-tree model, Ensemble, and Neural network. Lasso model was selected as the final model because of the stability, high performance and availability. Our results might improve the satisfaction and the efficiency for the NHIS counseling services.

Application of Urban Stream Discharge Simulation Using Short-term Rainfall Forecast (단기 강우예측 정보를 이용한 도시하천 유출모의 적용)

  • Yhang, Yoo Bin;Lim, Chang Mook;Yoon, Sun Kwon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.59 no.2
    • /
    • pp.69-79
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, we developed real-time urban stream discharge forecasting model using short-term rainfall forecasts data simulated by a regional climate model (RCM). The National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Climate Forecasting System (CFS) data was used as a boundary condition for the RCM, namely the Global/Regional Integrated Model System(GRIMs)-Regional Model Program (RMP). In addition, we make ensemble (ESB) forecast with different lead time from 1-day to 3-day and its accuracy was validated through temporal correlation coefficient (TCC). The simulated rainfall is compared to observed data, which are automatic weather stations (AWS) data and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA 3B43; 3 hourly rainfall with $0.25^{\circ}{\times}0.25^{\circ}$ resolution) data over midland of Korea in July 26-29, 2011. Moreover, we evaluated urban rainfall-runoff relationship using Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). Several statistical measures (e.g., percent error of peak, precent error of volume, and time of peak) are used to validate the rainfall-runoff model's performance. The correlation coefficient (CC) and the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are evaluated. The result shows that the high correlation was lead time (LT) 33-hour, LT 27-hour, and ESB forecasts, and the NSE shows positive values in LT 33-hour, and ESB forecasts. Through this study, it can be expected to utilizing the real-time urban flood alert using short-term weather forecast.

Impact of Cumulus Parameterization Schemes on the Regional Climate Simulation for the Domain of CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 Using WRF Model (WRF 모형의 적운 모수화 방안이 CORDEX 동아시아 2단계 지역의 기후 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Yeon-Woo;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.27 no.1
    • /
    • pp.105-118
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study assesses the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in reproducing regional climate over CORDEX-East Asia Phase 2 domain with different cumulus parameterization schemes [Kain-Fritch (KF), Betts-Miller-Janjic (BM), and Grell-Devenyi-Ensemble (GD)]. The model is integrated for 27 months from January 1979 to March 1981 and the initial and boundary conditions are derived from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast Interim Reanalysis (ERA-Interim). The WRF model reasonably reproduces the temperature and precipitation characteristics over East Asia, but the regional scale responses are very sensitive to cumulus parameterization schemes. In terms of mean bias, WRF model with BM scheme shows the best performance in terms of summer/winter mean precipitation as well as summer mean temperature throughout the North East Asia. In contrast, the seasonal mean precipitation is generally overestimated (underestimated) by KF (GD) scheme. In addition, the seasonal variation of the temperature and precipitation is well simulated by WRF model, but with an overestimation in summer precipitation derived from KF experiment and with an underestimation in wet season precipitation from BM and GD schemes. Also, the frequency distribution of daily precipitation derived from KF and BM experiments (GD experiment) is well reproduced, except for the overestimation (underestimation) in the intensity range above (less) then $2.5mm\;d^{-1}$. In the case of the amount of daily precipitation, all experiments tend to underestimate (overestimate) the amount of daily precipitation in the low-intensity range < $4mm\;d^{-1}$ (high-intensity range > $12mm\;d^{-1}$). This type of error is largest in the KF experiment.

Assessing the Climate Change Impacts on Agricultural Reservoirs using the SWAT model and CMIP5 GCMs (SWAT모형과 CMIP5 자료를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농업용 저수지 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Hwang, Syewoon;Go, Gwangdon;Kim, Kwang-Young;Kim, Jeongdae
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1-12
    • /
    • 2015
  • The study aimed to project inflows and demmands for the agricultural reservoir watersheds in South Korea considering a variety of regional characteristics and the uncertainty of future climate information. The study bias-corrected and spatially downscaled retrospective daily Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs under Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 emission scenarios using non-parametric quantile mapping method to force Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Using the historical simulation, the skills of un-calibrated SWAT model (without calibration process) was evaluated for 5 reservoir watersheds (selected as well-monitored representatives). The study then, evaluated the performance of 9 GCMs in reproducing historical upstream inflow and irrigation demand at the five representative reservoirs. Finally future inflows and demands for 58 watersheds were projected using 9 GCMs projections under the two RCP scenarios. We demonstrated that (1) un-calibrated SWAT model is likely applicable to agricultural watershed, (2) the uncertainty of future climate information from different GCMs is significant, (3) multi-model ensemble (MME) shows comparatively resonable skills in reproducing water balances over the study area. The results of projection under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenario generally showed the increase of inflow by 9.4% and 10.8% and demand by 1.4% and 1.7%, respectively. More importantly, the results for different seasons and reservoirs varied considerably in the impacts of climate change.

Remote Sensing Image Classification for Land Cover Mapping in Developing Countries: A Novel Deep Learning Approach

  • Lynda, Nzurumike Obianuju;Nnanna, Nwojo Agwu;Boukar, Moussa Mahamat
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.214-222
    • /
    • 2022
  • Convolutional Neural networks (CNNs) are a category of deep learning networks that have proven very effective in computer vision tasks such as image classification. Notwithstanding, not much has been seen in its use for remote sensing image classification in developing countries. This is majorly due to the scarcity of training data. Recently, transfer learning technique has successfully been used to develop state-of-the art models for remote sensing (RS) image classification tasks using training and testing data from well-known RS data repositories. However, the ability of such model to classify RS test data from a different dataset has not been sufficiently investigated. In this paper, we propose a deep CNN model that can classify RS test data from a dataset different from the training dataset. To achieve our objective, we first, re-trained a ResNet-50 model using EuroSAT, a large-scale RS dataset to develop a base model then we integrated Augmentation and Ensemble learning to improve its generalization ability. We further experimented on the ability of this model to classify a novel dataset (Nig_Images). The final classification results shows that our model achieves a 96% and 80% accuracy on EuroSAT and Nig_Images test data respectively. Adequate knowledge and usage of this framework is expected to encourage research and the usage of deep CNNs for land cover mapping in cases of lack of training data as obtainable in developing countries.

Improvement in Seasonal Prediction of Precipitation and Drought over the United States Based on Regional Climate Model Using Empirical Quantile Mapping (경험적 분위사상법을 이용한 지역기후모형 기반 미국 강수 및 가뭄의 계절 예측 성능 개선)

  • Song, Chan-Yeong;Kim, So-Hee;Ahn, Joong-Bae
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.31 no.5
    • /
    • pp.637-656
    • /
    • 2021
  • The United States has been known as the world's major producer of crops such as wheat, corn, and soybeans. Therefore, using meteorological long-term forecast data to project reliable crop yields in the United States is important for planning domestic food policies. The current study is part of an effort to improve the seasonal predictability of regional-scale precipitation across the United States for estimating crop production in the country. For the purpose, a dynamic downscaling method using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is utilized. The WRF simulation covers the crop-growing period (March to October) during 2000-2020. The initial and lateral boundary conditions of WRF are derived from the Pusan National University Coupled General Circulation Model (PNU CGCM), a participant model of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Long-Term Multi-Model Ensemble Prediction System. For bias correction of downscaled daily precipitation, empirical quantile mapping (EQM) is applied. The downscaled data set without and with correction are called WRF_UC and WRF_C, respectively. In terms of mean precipitation, the EQM effectively reduces the wet biases over most of the United States and improves the spatial correlation coefficient with observation. The daily precipitation of WRF_C shows the better performance in terms of frequency and extreme precipitation intensity compared to WRF_UC. In addition, WRF_C shows a more reasonable performance in predicting drought frequency according to intensity than WRF_UC.