• 제목/요약/키워드: Mid-term evaluation

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희유금속 비축 적정성 평가체계 수립 (Development of The Criticality Evaluation System for Rare Metals Stockpiling)

  • 김유정;김대형;김진수;김주한
    • 자원리싸이클링
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.66-77
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라의 희유금속 수입액은 6,034 백만불에 달하나 국내 희유금속 자급률은 1% 수준에 불과하여 효율적인 비축제도의 운영이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 효율적인 비축전략 수립을 위해 비축 대상이 되는 희유금속의 유 무형 위험 요인을 정량화하여 비축 적정성을 평가할 수 있는 체계를 수립하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 모형은 중장기적인 관점에서 기술변화와 시장변화에 맞추어 우선 비축이 요구되는 희유금속을 선별하고 비축정책의 방향성을 제시하는데 그 목적이 있다. 모형을 통해 도출된 평가결과는 위험상태 행렬(criticality matrix)로 표현되어 희유금속의 안보수준을 정량적으로 측정할 수 있으며 상대비교를 가능케 한다. 따라서 향후 정책수립에 있어 본 논문에서 제안한 모형이 활용된다면 보다 효율적인 비축정책 수립이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

S&T Policy Directions for Green Growth in Korea

  • Jang, Jin Gyu
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2010
  • To achieve the "low carbon green growth" vision, the first step is securing core technologies. Therefore, S&T policy direction for green technology development is urgently needed. As of 2008, investment in green technology (GT) development hovered around 10% of the government's total R&D budget. Thus, the Korean government developed a plan to increase that percentage to 15%, by 2013. To develop reasonable investment strategies for green technology development, targeted strategies that reflect technology and market changes by green technology area are needed. However, the overall planning and coordination of national GT development is currently split among, approximately, 10 government ministries. To establish an efficient green technology development system, the so-called "Green Technology R&D Council" should be launched in collaboration with the Presidential Committee on Green Growth and the National Science and Technology Council. Furthermore, to build a solid foundation for commercializing the outcomes of GT development projects and promote GT transfer, the government should undertake two initiatives. First, the government should reinforce GT R&D performance management, by establishing a GT R&D performance management and evaluation system. Second, the government should implement the "customized packaged support for promoting green technology business rights and commercialization" and present "e-marketplace for market-oriented green technologies". Creating a pan-ministerial policy for GT development policy would necessitate restructuring the HR(Human Resources) development system, which is currently separated by technology area. Based upon mid/long-term HR supply and demand forecasts, the government should design differentiated HR development projects, continuously evaluate those projects, and reflect the evaluation results in future policy development. Finally, to create new GT-related industries, the "Green TCS (Testing, Certification, and Standards) System" needs to be implemented. For objective evaluation and diffusion of R&D results by green technology area, a common standardization plan for testing, analysis, and measurement, like the "Green TCS", should be developed and integrated.

시나리오 기반 조선 실행계획 평가 향상을 위한 시뮬레이션 시스템 개발 -패널라인 개발 사례를 중심으로- (Design and Development of Scenario-Based Simulation System to Improve Shipbuilding Execution Scheduling Assessment -A Case Study on Panel Line-)

  • 백명기;김영민;황인혁;이광국;류철호;신종계
    • 한국CDE학회논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.211-223
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    • 2013
  • Today's ever-increasingly competitive shipbuilding market makes it essential for a shipbuilding company to have more efficient production processes and higher productivity as well as better design ability to obtain its competitiveness. A well-established production execution schedule plays an indispensable role to achieve this goal. Most shipbuilding companies carry out an evaluation on their mid-term plan once it is established. However, no evaluation activity exists for a production execution schedule, because practically all the companies depend on the field workers for the production execution scheduling. In this study, a prototype of a ship production execution schedule evaluation system is developed based on the component based design (CBD) methodology. This system enables one to make a production execution schedule that reflects up-to-date shipyard situation and to validate whether the schedule is feasible or not by running a production simulation according to the schedule. Users can also make use of the system as a decision supporting tool that compares several different execution schedules and evaluates which one is the best execution schedule.

DEA 효율성을 결정하는 입력-출력변수 식별 : 정부지원 R&D 과제 효율성 평가를 위한 실례 (Identification of DEA Determinant Input-Output Variables : an Illustration for Evaluating the Efficiency of Government-Sponsored R&D Projects)

  • 박성민
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.84-99
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    • 2014
  • In this study, determinant input-output variables are identified for calculating Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) efficiency scores relating to evaluating the efficiency of government-sponsored research and development (R&D) projects. In particular, this study proposes a systematic framework of design and analysis of experiments, called "all possible DEAs", for pinpointing DEA determinant input-output variables. In addition to correlation analyses, two modified measures of time series analysis are developed in order to check the similarities between a DEA complete data structure (CDS) versus the rest of incomplete data structures (IDSs). In this empirical analysis, a few DEA determinant input-output variables are found to be associated with a typical public R&D performance evaluation logic model, especially oriented to a mid- and long-term performance perspective. Among four variables, only two determinants are identified : "R&D manpower" (x2x2) and "Sales revenue" (y1y1). However, it should be pointed out that the input variable "R&D funds" (x1x1) is insignificant for calculating DEA efficiency score even if it is a critical input for measuring efficiency of a government-sonsored R&D project from a practical point of view a priori. In this context, if practitioners' top priority is to see the efficiency between "R&D funds" (x1x1) and "Sales revenue" (y1y1), the DEA efficiency score cannot properly meet their expectations. Therefore, meticulous attention is required when using the DEA application for public R&D performance evaluation, considering that discrepancies can occur between practitioners' expectations and DEA efficiency scores.

공동구 기본계획 기준수립을 위한 절차 및 적용사례에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Procedures and Application Examples for Establishment of Master Plan Standard for the Utility Tunnel)

  • 오원준;조중연;이민재
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.100-107
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    • 2020
  • 본 논문에서는 기존시가지에서 공동구 건설에 대한 합리적 의사 결정을 위한 기본계획 기준 수립의 방법에 대한 연구를 진행하였다. 기존 연구에서는 타당성 평가에 의하여 최적노선을 선정 하였으나, 기본계획 기준에서는 공동구 설치 여건의 객관성을 높이기 위하여 타당성 및 경제성 분석에 의한 결과를 종합평가하여 분석 대상 전체 구간에 대하여 종합순위를 산정한다. 또한, 종합평가 결과를 기반으로 지역에서 진행 예정인 연계 사업 검토 후 중·장기 투자계획을 수립하는 방법을 도입하였다. 추가적으로 논문에서 제시한 기준 수립의 검토를 위하여 서울의 서북도심권에 대하여 기본계획 절차를 적용하여 분석을 수행하였다.

항만시설 유지관리 의사결정 지원 시스템 개발 연구 (A Study of Port Facility Maintenance and Decision-making Support System Development)

  • 나용현;박미연;최두영
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.290-305
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 현재 항만시설 정보화 기술은 계획과 설계단계에 편중되어 있어 생애주기 차원의 정보를 기반으로 한 항만시설 유지관리 체계에 관한 연구와 기술 개발의 필요성이 강조되고 있다. 연구방법: 항만시설의 유지관리 이력 데이터 및 시설 운영정보를 기반으로 항만시설의 생애 주기적 관점에서 노후화 패턴 분석과 성능저하 예측 모델, 리스크 분석을 통해 항만시설에 대한 유지관리 의사결정이 가능하도록 시스템 구성하고 정보를 표출하는 방법을 제안하였다. 연구결과: SOC성능평가와 본 연구에서 개발한 종합성능평가를 동시에 표출하는 기능을 개발하여 중장기적인 보수보강 및 시설 확충 등의 적용과 비교판단을 할 수 있도록 개발하였다. 결론:본 연구에서 개발한 항만 통합성능 시스템은 항만시설물에 대한 이력 정보 및 운영정보를 통해 적정한 보수, 보강 등 조치를 선제적으로 추진하게 함으로서 항만시설관리의 리스크 최소화를 유도하고 지원할 것으로 기대된다.

수정 대혈관 전위 환자에서 예후에 영향을 주는 인자들에 대한 중기적 고찰 (Evaluation of Prognostic Factors in Corrected Transposition of the Great Arteries at Mid-term Follow-up)

  • 송영환;권혁주;김기범;강수정;배은정;노정일;윤용수;이정렬;김용진;노준량
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.154-161
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    • 2003
  • 목 적 : 수정 대혈관 전위 환자에서는 동반 심장 기형, 우심실 기능, 삼첨판 판막 기능, 부정맥 등이 예후에 영향을 주는 것으로 알려져 있다. 이 연구에서는 중기간의 관찰을 통해 여러 예후 인자들을 비교 분석하였다. 방 법 : 서울대학교병원에서 C-TGA로 진단 받은 94명을 대상으로 후향적 임상 기록 고찰을 시행하였다. 대상 환자들은 남아가 58명, 여아가 36명이었고, 추적 관찰 시 최종 평균 연령은 12±912±9세였으며, 평균 추적 관찰 기간은 9±6.49±6.4년이었다. 결 과 : 대상 환자 94명 중에 심장 수술은 72명이 시행 받았고, 고전적 교정술이 55례, 해부학적 교정술이 17례였다. 동반된 심장 기형(삼첨판 역류, 폐동맥 협착이나 폐쇄, 심실 중격 결손, 임상군), 심장 수술 여부와 종류, 완전 방실 전도 차단을 예후인자로 설정하였고, 예후 인자들 중에서 삼첨판 역류, 폐동맥 협착, 심실 중격 결손은 중등도 이상인 경우만 양성으로 채택하였다. 본 연구에서는 삼첨판 역류만이 생존율에 영향을 주는 예후인자였으며, Ebstein 기형과 고도 방실 전도 차단이 삼첨판 역류와 연관성이 있었다. 삼첨판 부전이 있는 환자의 20년 생존율은 35%로, 없는 환자 77%에 비교해서 유의한 차이를 보였고, 수술 직후 사망을 제외한 소그룹 분석에서도 삼첨판 부전이 있는 경우와 없는 경우의 20년 생존율이 각각 48%와 87%로 유의한 차이를 보였다. 20년 생존율 분석과 삼첨판 역류와의 연관성 분석에서 고전적 교정술과 해부학적 교정술간에 유의한 차이는 없었다. 결 론 : 삼첨판 부전은 수정 대혈관 전위 환자의 중요한 예후인자이며, Ebstein 기형과 방실 전도 장애가 삼첨판 부전에 영향을 줄 수 있다. 이 밖에 심장 수술, 동반 심기형 등 다른 예후인자에 대한 정확한 평가를 위해서는 장기적인 추적 관찰이 필요하다.

사회복지교육에서의 서비스러닝 적용 연구 (A Study on Implementation of Service-Learning in Social Work Education)

  • 박형원
    • 한국사회복지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국사회복지학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 자료집
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    • pp.535-559
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    • 2004
  • While the endeavor to introduce the service activity in the college education is enlarged, the object of this study is to introduce the concept of service learning in social work education. The 'content centered service-learning' is focusing on the practical education, the liaison and participation in community and the promotion of civil awareness which are very important in social work education that focuses on the interest and participation in the human and social problem as practical study. This study contemplates the educational effect of the course of social work combined with service learning. This study verifies the self-efficacy, the altruism, the change of social responsibility of students and the effect by carrying out the course of social welfare and service activities side by side. To evaluate the effect of service learning, pre and post test and qualitative analysis in journal of service activity, the discussion during the class and the mid and final term evaluation were done. Through the service learning, students showed the promotion in self-esteem, the altruism, the social responsibility, the self insights as a social worker and were able to have the chance to consider their future job. From the view point of local centers, it was evaluated that the service activity of students was helpful to the institutions and the clients, and that the liaison between the community agency and the college and the experience of integration of service learning and the course of social welfare was helpful too. Based on the above mentioned results, this study provide some recommendations in implementation of service-learning as the teaching methodology of social work.

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M&S기법을 활용한 장보고 II급 잠수함 수명주기비용 추정 (Life Cycle Cost Estimation for Jangbogo-II Submarines based on Modeling and Simulation Methodologies)

  • 안재경;최봉완;이용규
    • 산업공학
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2010
  • With the development of science and technology, modern submarines are equipped with high technology devices and multi-functioned precise armaments, consequently, acquisition cost as well as maintenance cost of the submarines are getting higher and higher. However, tight defense budget forces navy to significantly reduce military operating and maintenance costs. In this study, the maintenance and operating costs of submarine Jangbogo-II are estimated through M&S (Modeling and simulation) methodologies in order to reasonably and consistently work out the requirement verification system of Jangbogo-II. The maintenance and operating costs of Jangbogo-II along the next 25 years are estimated as 312.65 billion won via engineering analysis methods while 312.69 billion won from PRICE Model, which shows only 0.04 billion won differences as a whole. This study is expected to be able to provide meaningful decision making data for not only short and/or mid term operating planning but military budgeting.

Study on Reserve Requirement for Wind Power Penetration based on the Cost/Reliability Analysis

  • Shin, Je-Seok;Kim, Jin-O;Bae, In-Su
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.1397-1405
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    • 2017
  • As the introduction of wind power is steadily increasing, negative effects of wind power become more important. To operate a power system more reliable, the system operator needs to recognize the maximum required capacity of available generators for a certain period. For recognizing the maximum capacity, this paper proposes a methodology to determine an optimal reserve requirement considering wind power, for the certain period in the mid-term perspective. As wind speed is predicted earlier, the difference of the forecasted and the actual wind speed becomes greater. All possible forecast errors should be considered in determining optimal reserve, and they are represented explicitly by the proposed matrix form in this paper. In addition, impacts of the generator failure are also analyzed using the matrix form. Through three main stages which are the scheduling, contingency and evaluation stages, costs associated with power generation, reserve procurement and the usage, and the reliability cost are calculated. The optimal reserve requirement is determined so as to minimize the sum of these costs based on the cost/reliability analysis. In case study, it is performed to analyze the impact of wind power penetration on the reserve requirement, and how major factors affect it.