• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mers

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Analyzing the Impact of Pandemics on Air Passenger and Cargo Demands in South Korea

  • Jungtae Song;Irena Yosephine;Sungchan Jun;Chulung Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2023
  • 글로벌 팬데믹 사태는 항공 수요에 부정적인 영향을 끼치는 요소 중 하나다. 글로벌 팬데믹으로 인해 한국은 2020년과 2021년의 항공 승객 수가 2019년 대비 각각 68.1%와 47% 감소했다. 본 연구는 지난 20여년 동안 발생한 4대 팬데믹 특성을 분석, 전염병의 영향을 연구하는 것을 목표로 한다. SARS, H1N1, MERS 및 COVID-19의 발생기간 동안 한국의 항공 여객 및 화물 수요에 대한 실증 데이터를 활용하여 영향력을 분석한다. 또한 머신러닝 회귀 모델을 구축하여 향후 발생할 다른 전염병 대한 항공 수요를 예측하고자 한다. 연구 결과, 전염병이 항공 운항편수와 승객에 부정적인 영향을 미친다는 사실을 발견하였다. 반면화물 수송에는 긍정적인 영향을 미친다는 분석 결과를 도출하였다. 본 분석에 활용되는 회귀 모델은 팬데믹 기간 동안 항공수요를 예측하는 데 평균 86.8%의 기능을 보였다. 또한 본 연구는 특정 국가의 팬데믹 상황보다 전 세계적인 팬데믹 상황이 항공 운송 수요에 더 많은 영향을 미친다는 것을 보여준다.

A Study on the Diffusion Prediction Model of COVID-19 (COVID-19 확산 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Seok-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2020.05a
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    • pp.413-416
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    • 2020
  • COVID-19(Coronavirus Disease 2019)는 RNA 형 바이러스로써 점막감염(粘膜感染)과 비말전파(飛沫傳播)로 전염되는 급성 호흡기성 질병이다. 2019 년 12 월 중국 후베이 우한에서 처음 감염이 보고된 후 빠르게 글로벌로 확산되었고, 현재 여러 국가와 지역이 Lockdown 상태에 있다. COVID-19 의 치사율은 국가별, 연령별 차이는 있으나 사스(SARS-CoV), 메르스(MERS-CoV) 등과 비교하여 높다고 할 수 없다. 그러나 COVID-19 는 신종 코로나바이러스로써 아직 백신(Vaccine)과 항바이러스제가 개발되지 않았고 다른 질병과 비교하여 빠른 감염 속도때문에 의료 공백, 사회적 혼란, 경제적 손실을 크게 일으키고 있다. 따라서 바이러스의 확산 양상을 데이터 분석을 통하여 예측할 수 있다면 사회·경제적인 폐해를 줄일 수 있어 Bass 모델과 R 패키지를 이용하여 COVID-19 확산 예측 모형을 계량적으로 제시하였다.

The Convergence Study on Anxiety, Knowledge, Infection Possibility, Preventive Possibility and Preventive Behavior Level of MERS in Nursing Students (간호대학생의 메르스에 대한 불안, 지식, 감염가능성, 감염예방가능성, 감염예방행위 이행 수준의 융합적 연구)

  • Kim, Og Son;Oh, Jin Hwan;Lee, kyung Hye
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to provide basic materials on establishing convergence oriented respiratory infection management system in nursing students attending clinical training by analyzing anxiety, knowledge, possibility of infection, possibility of prevention, and compliance level of preventive behavior. Data were collected from 222 nursing students experienced clinical practice from June 15th to 30th in 2015 using questionnaire. Characteristics relative to variables were measured, and analyzed using SPSS 18.0 program. The results are as follows. The anxiety was 42.70(max 80 points), but possibility of infection was 22.55(max 100 points). Also, knowledge(11.73 out of 16 points), possibility of prevention(7.37 out of 10 points), and compliance level of preventive behavior(34.55 out of maximum 48 points) were slightly above average. The influencing factors on compliance of preventive behavior were anxiety and possibility of prevention. It is needed to lead convergence oriented approach on enhancing compliance of preventive behavior through providing information and educating possibility of prevention during MERS outbreak.

Clone Identification of Cudraria Tricuspidata and Hibiscus Syriacus by Using PCR and Southern Hybridization (PCR과 Southern hybridization을 이용한 구지뽕나무와 무궁화의 클론감별)

  • Ryu, Jang-Bal;Park, Sang-Gyu
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.42-46
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    • 1998
  • Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and Southern hybridization analyses were carried out to identify clones of silk worm thorn (Cudraria tricuspidata) and Rose of sharon (Hibiscus syriacus) which look like one tree with two ar three, branches or two or three different trees. For PCR five different PCR primers $(17{\sim}24\;nucleotides)$ are derived from CaMV 35S promoter, nopaline synthase terminator and coding region of thylakoid membrane protein gene. In the case of silk worm thorn, about 500 bp of PCR product was produced from DNAs of one tree or branch in the presence of 35S primer alone. Southern hybridization analysis of genomic DNAs hybridized with $^{32}P$ labeled PCR product showed that the same size of DNA fragments were hybridized with different intensities. In addition, PCR analyses using 20 different primers of OPERON 10-mer kits showed that only OPA01 primer produced PCR products of different size. These results indicate that two different trees of silk worm thorn combined to one tree. In the case of the Rose of Sharon, the same size of PCR products were produced from three different samples but Southern hybridization with the above PCR product as a probe did not show any hybridized bands. PCR analyses in the presence of OPERON 10-mers showed OPA04 and OPA13 produced different products including same sizes of products. These, results indicate that three different trees of the Rose of Sharon seem to be derived from the tree.

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Diagnostic Techniques for SARS-CoV-2 Detection (SARS-CoV-2의 진단기술)

  • Kim, Jong-Sik;Kang, Na-Kyung;Park, Seon-Mi;Lee, Eun-Joo;Chung, Kyung Tae
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.731-741
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    • 2020
  • Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) is caused by SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory SyndromeCoronavirus 2). To date, seven coronaviruses that can infect humans were reported. Among them, infections with four coronavirus strains (HCoV-229E, HCoV-OC43, HCoV-NL63, and HCoV-HKU1) resulted in mild symptoms such as common cold, whereas SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV caused severe symptoms and epidemics in 2002 and 2012, respectively. In the most recent, SARS-CoV-2 was first reported in Wuhan, China in December 2019 and became a notorious cause of the ongoing global pandemics. To diagnose, treat, and prevent COVID-19, the development of rapid and accurate diagnostic tools, specific therapeutic drugs, and safe vaccines essentially are required. In order to develop these powerful tools, it is prerequisite to understand a phenotype, a genotype, and life cycle of SARS-CoV-2. Diagnostic techniques have been developing rapidly around world and many countries take the fast track system to accelerate approval. Approved diagnostic devices are rapidly growing facing to urgent demand to identify carriers. Currently developed commercial diagnostic devices are divided into mainly two categories: molecular assay and serological & immunological assay. Molecular assays begins the reverse transcription step following polymerase chain reaction or isothermal amplification. Immunological assay targets SARS-CoV-2 antigen or anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody of samples. In this review, we summarize the phenotype, genome structure and gene expression of SARS-CoV-2 and provide the knowledge on various diagnostic techniques for SARS-CoV-2.

The Influence of Social Media's Environmental Characteristics on Users' Active Participation and the Types of Message Diffusion: Government's Communication Messages and Public Responses during the MERS Outbreak (소셜 미디어의 매체 환경적 특성이 이용자의 능동적 참여 및 메시지 확산 유형에 미치는 영향 : 메르스 사태에 대한 정부 대응 및 국민들의 반응을 중심으로)

  • Hong, Juhyun;Lee, Mina
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.89-103
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    • 2017
  • This paper analyzed the influence of government-owned social media's environmental characteristics on the level of users' active participation and types of message diffusion during government's crisis. The social media environment was categorized based on human interactivity and media interactivity. Users' active participation was measured based on amount of like/dislike and number of comments. User's comments were categorized through network analysis. This study found that the level of user's active participation was high on the information-provider participation type and the relationship-oriented participation type. The level of user's active participation was low on the information-provider type and the limited platform. The analysis of message diffusion type showed that a restrictive rational opinion type was found for the limited platform and diffusive or restrictive emotional opinion types were found for other types of social media environment. This study found that during MERS crisis, the government did not provide messages suitable for the social media environment, and the media environment influenced users' participation and comments. The government should provide user friendly social media environment by increasing interaction with users and should make efforts to communicate with users in crisis situation.

A study of epidemic model using SEIR model (SEIR 모형을 이용한 전염병 모형 예측 연구)

  • Do, Mijin;Kim, Jongtae;Choi, Boseung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2017
  • The epidemic model is used to model the spread of disease and to control the disease. In this research, we utilize SEIR model which is one of applications the SIR model that incorporates Exposed step to the model. The SEIR model assumes that a people in the susceptible contacted infected moves to the exposed period. After staying in the period, the infectee tends to sequentially proceed to the status of infected, recovered, and removed. This type of infection can be used for research in cases where there is a latency period after infectious disease. In this research, we collected respiratory infectious disease data for the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERSCoV). Assuming that the spread of disease follows a stochastic process rather than a deterministic one, we utilized the Poisson process for the variation of infection and applied epidemic model to the stochastic chemical reaction model. Using observed pandemic data, we estimated three parameters in the SIER model; exposed rate, transmission rate, and recovery rate. After estimating the model, we applied the fitted model to the explanation of spread disease. Additionally, we include a process for generating the Exposed trajectory during the model estimation process due to the lack of the information of exact trajectory of Exposed.

An Analysis System for Whole Genomic Sequence Using String B-Tree (스트링 B-트리를 이용한 게놈 서열 분석 시스템)

  • Choe, Jeong-Hyeon;Jo, Hwan-Gyu
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.8A no.4
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2001
  • As results of many genome projects, genomic sequences of many organisms are revealed. Various methods such as global alignment, local alignment are used to analyze the sequences of the organisms, and k -mer analysis is one of the methods for analyzing the genomic sequences. The k -mer analysis explores the frequencies of all k-mers or the symmetry of them where the k -mer is the sequenced base with the length of k. However, existing on-memory algorithms are not applicable to the k -mer analysis because a whole genomic sequence is usually a large text. Therefore, efficient data structures and algorithms are needed. String B-tree is a good data structure that supports external memory and fits into pattern matching. In this paper, we improve the string B-tree in order to efficiently apply the data structure to k -mer analysis, and the results of k -mer analysis for C. elegans and other 30 genomic sequences are shown. We present a visualization system which enables users to investigate the distribution and symmetry of the frequencies of all k -mers using CGR (Chaotic Game Representation). We also describe the method to find the signature which is the part of the sequence that is similar to the whole genomic sequence.

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A Study on How to Kill Airborne Bacteria and Viruses in Elementary Schools (초등학교내 공기중 부유세균 및 바이러스 사멸방법에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Su Yeon;Kim, Chang Soo;Kwak, Eun Mi;Im, Jong Eon;Jeon, Jae Hwan;Kwon, Jun Ho
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.566-573
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study attempted to verify the effectiveness of the application of air sterilizers in elementary schools at risk of group infection among vulnerable groups in order to address fears of new infectious diseases that have increased since the outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Coronavirus infection-19 (COVID-19). Method: One air sterilizer was installed in each classroom, cafeteria, and bathroom of an elementary school in Seoul, and surface and air samples were collected at a distance of 2m from the air sterilizer, and the bacterial reduction effect was analyzed compared to the uninstalled control group. Result: The sterilization effect on the surface was less than 2log CFU/cm2 in both the control group and the test group, and the test group showed 54 to 87% less general bacterial colony formation than the control group. In addition, the sterilization effect in the air differed depending on the location of the air sterilizer, and the wall installation showed a reduction effect of up to 91% compared to the control group, and the central installation showed a reduction effect of up to 93%. Conclusion: As a result of the study, it is expected that the prevention of infectious diseases can be increased by maintaining the current quarantine program in elementary schools that conduct regular disinfection while applying air sterilizers. In addition, it is considered desirable to facilitate the inflow of air into the air sterilizer.

The Effects of Blend Composition and Blending Time on the Ester Interchange Reaction and Tensile Properties of PLA/LPCL/HPCL Blends

  • Yoon, Cheol-Soo;Ji, Dong-Sun
    • Fibers and Polymers
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2003
  • PLA/LPCL/HPCL blends composed of poly(lactic acid) (PLA), low molecular weight poly($\varepsilon$-caprolactone) (LPCL), and high molecular weight poly($\varepsilon$-caprolactone) (HPCL) were prepared by melt blending for bioabsorbable fila-ment sutures. The effects of blend composition and blending time on the ester interchange reaction by alcoholysis in the PLA/LPCL/HPCL blends were studied. Their thermal properties and the miscibility due to the ester interchange reaction were investigated by $^1{H-NMR}$, DSC, X-ray, and UTM analyses. The hydroxyl group contents of LPCL in the blends decreafed by the ester interchange reaction due to alcoholysis. Thus, the copolymer was formed by the ester interchange reaction at $200^{\circ}C$ for 30-60 minutes. The thermal properties of PLA/LPCL/HPCL blends such as melting temperature and heat of fusion decreased with increasing ester interchange reaction levels. However, the miscibility among the three poly-mers was improved greatly by ester interchange reaction. Tensile strength and modulus of PLA/LPCL/HPCL blend fibers increased with increasing HPCL content, while the elongation at break of the blend fibers increased with increasing LPCL content.