• Title/Summary/Keyword: Measure-Correlate-Predict

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Analysis of Early-Age Concrete Through Instrumentation During Construction (시공중 계측을 통한 초기 콘크리트의 거동분석)

  • 오병환;최성철;신준호
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.795-798
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    • 2002
  • Recently. the properties of early-age concrete are increasingly important because these properties directly influence the behavior of early-age concrete structures including stress and cracking behavior. Nevertheless, the studies on early-age concrete are limited to strength and temperature development. The purpose of present study is to propose a simple and rational method which can predict the stress and strain behavior of young age concrete. A series of test have been done to measure the temperature development, strains and stresses in concrete members. The concept of equivalent age was used to define the degree of hydration and this degree of hydration was used to calculate the strength and elastic modulus. The present study indicates that the calculated stresses correlate fairly well with measured stresses. The consideration of critical degree of hydration in calculating stresses gives more accurate results. The present study provides useful method and data in evaluating early-age behavior of concrete structure.

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Basic Study on Radio-Wave Interference Assessment of Wind Turbines (풍력발전기에 의한 전파간섭 영향평가 기초연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kim, Hyo-Tae
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.305-306
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    • 2006
  • This paper introduces a radio-wave interference assessment of wind turbines that were planned to be installed at Homi-Cape in Pohang region where wind resource has been evaluated worthwhile developing a wind farm. In that area, AM radio station with two antennas and a harbor radar facility are located so that radio-wave coupling is inevitable if the wind farm is designed without considering radio-wave environmental impact. A low-frequency analysis using MoM (Method of Moment) is used to examine interference effect caused by wind turbines and an optimal layout minimizes coupling effect is presented.

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Prediction of Wind Power Generation at Southwest Coast of Korea Considering Uncertainty of HeMOSU-1 Wind Speed Data (HeMOSU-1호 관측풍속의 불확실성을 고려한 서남해안의 풍력 발전량 예측)

  • Lee, Geenam;Kim, Donghyawn;Kwon, Osoon
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 2014
  • Wind power generation of 5 MW wind turbine was predicted by using wind measurement data from HeMOSU-1 which is at south west coast of Korea. Time histories of turbulent wind was generated from 10-min mean wind speed and then they were used as input to Bladed to estimated electric power. Those estimated powers are used in both polynominal regression and neural network training. They were compared with each other for daily production and yearly production. Effect of mean wind speed and turbulence intensity were quantitatively analyzed and discussed. This technique further can be used to assess lifetime power of wind turbine.

Analysis on wind condition characteristics for an offshore structure design (해상풍력 구조물 설계를 위한 풍황 특성분석)

  • Seo, Hyun-Soo;Kyong, Nam-Ho;Vaas, Franz;Kim, Hyun-Goo
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.262-267
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    • 2008
  • The long-term wind data are reconstructed from the short-term meteorological data to design the 4 MW offshore wind park which will be constructed at Woljeong-ri, Jeju island, Korea. Using two MCP (Measure-Correlate-Predict) models, the relative deviation of wind speed and direction from two neighboring reference weather stations can be regressed at each azimuth sector. The validation of the present method is checked about linear and matrix MCP models for the sets of measured data, and the characteristic wind turbulence is estimated from the ninety-percent percentile of standard deviation in the probability distribution. Using the Gumbel's model, the extreme wind speed of fifty-year return period is predicted by the reconstructed long-term data. The predicted results of this analysis concerning turbulence intensity and extreme wind speed are used for the calculation of fatigue life and extreme load in the design procedure of wind turbine structures at offshore wind farms.

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Strength Measurements of Mortar with Voids Using Ultrasonic Pulse Velocity Method (초음파 속도법을 이용한 모르타르 내 공극의 강도 영향 측정)

  • Kim, Dong-Yeon;Rhim, Hong-Chul
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.224-225
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    • 2015
  • Ultrasonic velocity method is applied to measure and correlate the strength of concrete to the velocity of the ultrasonic wave. With voids inside, mortar specimens may show the lower strength and it is intended to detect such change using the ultrasonic velocity method in this study. The amount of voids was varied and the measured data represented the condition of the mortar with voids. The test results can be used to predict the strength of concrete with voids using ultrasonic velocity method.

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Variability Characteristics Analysis of the Long-term Wind and Wind Energy Using the MCP Method (MCP방법을 이용한 장기간 풍속 및 풍력에너지 변동 특성 분석)

  • Hyun, Seung-Gun;Jang, Moon-Seok;Ko, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2013
  • Wind resource data of short-term period has to be corrected a long-term period by using MCP method that Is a statistical method to predict the long-term wind resource at target site data with a reference site data. Because the field measurement for wind assessment is limited to a short period by various constraints. In this study, 2 different MCP methods such as Linear regression and Matrix method were chosen to compare the predictive accuracy between the methods. Finally long-term wind speed, wind power density and capacity factor at the target site for 20 years were estimated for the variability of wind and wind energy. As a result, for 20 years annual average wind speed, Yellow sea off shore wind farm was estimated to have 4.29% for coefficient of variation, CV, and -9.57%~9.53% for range of variation, RV. It was predicted that the annual wind speed at Yellow sea offshore wind farm varied within ${\pm}10%$.

Accurate Wind Speed Prediction Using Effective Markov Transition Matrix and Comparison with Other MCP Models (Effective markov transition matrix를 이용한 풍속예측 및 MCP 모델과 비교)

  • Kang, Minsang;Son, Eunkuk;Lee, Jinjae;Kang, Seungjin
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents an effective Markov transition matrix (EMTM), which will be used to calculate the wind speed at the target site in a wind farm to accurately predict wind energy production. The existing MTS prediction method using a Markov transition matrix (MTM) exhibits a limitation where significant prediction variations are observed owing to random selection errors and its bin width. The proposed method selects the effective states of the MTM and refines its bin width to reduce the error of random selection during a gap filling procedure in MTS. The EMTM reduces the level of variation in the repeated prediction of wind speed by using the coefficient of variations and range of variations. In a case study, MTS exhibited better performance than other MCP models when EMTM was applied to estimate a one-day wind speed, by using mean relative and root mean square errors.

A Study on the Prediction of the Cetane Number of Diesel Fuels from the Carbon Types Structural Compositions by 13C-Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy (13C-NMR에 의해 결정된 탄소 유형별 구조적 조성으로부터 디이젤 연료의 세탄가의 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Ju-Hwan;Chun, Yong-Jin;Choi, Ung-Su;Choi, Young-Sang;Kwon, Oh-Kwan
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.709-714
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    • 1993
  • The cetane number is a measure of ignition quality, specifically ignition delay, of diesel fuel. It is an engine measure of kinetic phenomena. The ignition quality such as kinetic behavior does correlate with the molecular structure, the carbon type structural composition. In fact, we use the group additivity rule to dissect the molecular structures and predict cetane number. In this study, the use of $^{13}C-Nuclear$ Magnetic Resonance spectroscopic measuring the molecular structure and group additivity rule at different diesel fuels, whose cetane numbers were determined on a number of standard cetane rating engines is proposed to predict cetane numbers that relate the carbon type structural composition. The effect of the molecular structures on the cetane numbers has been studied.

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Case Study on Offshore Wind Resource and Energy Yield Assessment in South Korea According to International Standard Guidelines (국제 표준 지침에 따른 국내 풍력자원 및 연간발전량 평가 방법에 관한 사례 분석 연구)

  • Geonhwa Ryu;Dohee Lee;Hyojeong Kim;Okan Sargin
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.38-61
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    • 2024
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce in detail an universal methodology of wind resource and energy yield assessment for feasibility studies of offshore wind projects. To conduct a preliminary feasibility study for offshore wind projects, an assessment of wind resources and energy yield are usually performed at an early stage, and this can be an essential process for deriving an economic feasibility evaluation of the project. However, many domestic case studies and preliminary feasibility studies are still conducted using methodologies that lack valid evidence and professionalism. Accordingly, this study introduces methods for general wind resource assessments, wind farm layout (design), and energy yield assessments, and gives detailed reasons why the analysis procedure is necessary. In other words, it was carried out to support to improve the quality and level of basic research related to domestic offshore wind studies.

Estimation of Basic Wind Speed at Bridge Construction Site Based on Short-term Measurements (단기 풍관측에 의한 교량현장 기본풍속 추정)

  • Lee, Seong-Lo;Kim, Sang-Woo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.1271-1279
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a study on the prediction method of basic wind speed at the construction site of long-span bridge using short-term measurements was conducted. To determine the basic wind speed in the wind resistant design for the long-span bridge away from the weather station, statistical analysis of long-term data at site is required. Wind observation mast was installed at site, and short-term measurements were gathered and the correlation analysis between the site and the station was done using regression analysis and MCP(Measure-Correlate-Predict). The long-term wind data of the site was obtained from correlation formula after topographical revision of long-term data of the station. And basic wind speed could be estimated by extreme probability distribution analysis. The research results show that the wind speed by regression analysis is predicted lower than by MCP and after this study a series of correlation analyses at several sites will show clearly the difference two methods. And also a quality control of long-term wind data is very important in estimation of wind speed.