• 제목/요약/키워드: Mean-line prediction

검색결과 52건 처리시간 0.025초

고속 Line Center의 ATC 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Evaluation of ATC for High Speed Line Center)

  • 이승우;김동훈;이화기;신동환
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1914-1917
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    • 2005
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied for many industrial products, and many products are required to guarantee in quality and in efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability evaluation methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC(Automatic Too Changer), which is core component of line center, was chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The scope of research is reliability prediction, reliability test and evaluates their results. The results of this research has shown the failure rate, MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure), reliability for those components and real tests reliability through constructed reliability test-bed. It is expected that proposed methodologies will increase reliability for high speed line center.

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KIM 예보시스템에서의 Aeolus/ALADIN 수평시선 바람 자료동화 (Data Assimilation of Aeolus/ALADIN Horizontal Line-Of-Sight Wind in the Korean Integrated Model Forecast System)

  • 이시혜;권인혁;강전호;전형욱;설경희;정한별;김원호
    • 대기
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2022
  • The Korean Integrated Model (KIM) forecast system was extended to assimilate Horizontal Line-Of-Sight (HLOS) wind observations from the Atmospheric Laser Doppler Instrument (ALADIN) on board the Atmospheric Dynamic Mission (ADM)-Aeolus satellite. Quality control procedures were developed to assess the HLOS wind data quality, and observation operators added to the KIM three-dimensional variational data assimilation system to support the new observed variables. In a global cycling experiment, assimilation of ALADIN observations led to reductions in average root-mean-square error of 2.1% and 1.3% for the zonal and meridional wind analyses when compared against European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecast System (IFS) analyses. Even though the observable variable is wind, the assimilation of ALADIN observation had an overall positive impact on the analyses of other variables, such as temperature and specific humidity. As a result, the KIM 72-hour wind forecast fields were improved in the Southern Hemisphere poleward of 30 degrees.

A Sensitivity Analysis of Centrifugal Compressors Empirical Models

  • Baek, Je-Hyun;Sungho Yoon
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제15권9호
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    • pp.1292-1301
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    • 2001
  • The mean-line method using empirical models is the most practical method of predicting off-design performance. To gain insight into the empirical models, the influence of empirical models on the performance prediction results is investigated. We found that, in the two-zone model, the secondary flow mass fraction has a considerable effect at high mass flow-rates on the performance prediction curves. In the TEIS model, the first element changes the slope of the performance curves as well as the stable operating range. The second element makes the performance curves move up and down as it increases or decreases. It is also discovered that the slip factor affects pressure ratio, but it has little effect on efficiency. Finally, this study reveals that the skin friction coefficient has significant effect on both the pressure ratio curve and the efficiency curve. These results show the limitations of the present empirical models, and more resonable empirical models are reeded.

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근전도 기반의 실시간 등척성 손가락 힘 예측 알고리즘 개발 (Development of a Real-Time Algorithm for Isometric Pinch Force Prediction from Electromyogram (EMG))

  • 최창목;권순철;박원일;신미혜;김정
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2008년도 추계학술대회A
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    • pp.1588-1593
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    • 2008
  • This paper describes a real-time isometric pinch force prediction algorithm from surface electromyogram (sEMG) using multilayer perceptron (MLP) for human robot interactive applications. The activities of seven muscles which are observable from surface electrodes and also related to the movements of the thumb and index finger joints were recorded during pinch force experiments. For the successful implementation of the real-time prediction algorithm, an off-line analysis was performed using the recorded activities. Four muscles were selected for the force prediction by using the Fisher linear discriminant analysis among seven muscles, and the four muscle activities provided effective information for mapping sEMG to the pinch force. The MLP structure was designed to make training efficient and to avoid both under- and over-fitting problems. The pinch force prediction algorithm was tested on five volunteers and the results were evaluated using two criteria: normalized root mean squared error (NRMSE) and correlation (CORR). The training time for the subjects was only 2 min 29 sec, but the prediction results were successful with NRMSE = 0.112 ${\pm}$ 0.082 and CORR = 0.932 ${\pm}$ 0.058. These results imply that the proposed algorithm is useful to measure the produced pinch force without force sensors in real-time. The possible applications include controlling bionic finger robot systems to overcome finger paralysis or amputation.

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최대경계선을 이용한 벼 수량의 기상반응분석과 수량 예측 II. 수량예측모형 검증 (Boundary Line Analysis of Rice Yield Responses to Meteorological Conditions for Yield Prediction II. Verification of Yield Prediction Model)

  • 김창국;한원식;이변우
    • 한국농림기상학회지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.164-168
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    • 2002
  • 우리나라 벼 수량 기상반응의 최대경계선 분석을 통하여 구축한 벼 수량예측모델(금 등, 2001)의 지역, 연차 및 품종의 수량 변이 예측 정확도를 검증한 결과는 다음과 같다. 1. 모형구축에 이용된 전국 20개 지역의 지역별 15년 간의 평균수량은 실측치와 예측치 간에 r=0.9296$^{**}$ 으로 고도로 유의한 상관을 나타내고 있으며 모형작성에서 제외시켰던 12개 지역 평균수량의 예측치와 실측치간의 상관계수도 r=0.8923$^{**}$ 으로 모형작성에 이용된 지역보다 수량예측의 정확도가 다소 낮게 나타났으나 통계적으로 고도로 유의하였다. 2. 모형설정에 사용된 20개 지역과 사용되지 않는 12개 지역 모두 연차별 실제수량과 예측수량간에는 고도로 유의한 상관이 존재하여 수량의 연차간 변이를 잘 예측하였다. 다만 냉해년에는 다소과대 추정하는 경향이었다. 3. 동진벼, 화성벼, 추청벼 등의 8개 품종별로 실제 수량과 예측수량간에는 고도로 유의한 상관이 있었다. 다만 모형구축에 이용되지 않은 지역의 자료를 이용하는 경우 모형설정에 이용한 자료를 이용한 경우보다 다소 상관이 낮아졌다. 4. 결론적으로 수량기상반응의 최대경계선(boundary line)분석은 수량 예측 모형의 구축에 효율적으로 적용될 수 있을 것으로 판단되었으며, 본 연구에서 고려하지 않은 토양조건, 시비조건 등에 대한 최대경계선 분석을 포함시키는 경우 보다 정확도가 높은 수량예측모형을 작성할 수 있으며 이를 통한 지성, 년도, 품종에 따른 수량의 변이를 실용적으로 예측할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

Prediction of Dynamic Expected Time to System Failure

  • Oh, Deog-Yeon;Lee, Chong-Chul
    • 한국원자력학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국원자력학회 1997년도 추계학술발표회논문집(1)
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    • pp.244-250
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    • 1997
  • The mean time to failure (MTTF) expressing the mean value of the system life is a measure of system effectiveness. To estimate the remaining life of component and/or system, the dynamic mean time to failure concept is suggested. It is the time-dependent Property depending on the status of components. The Kalman filter is used to estimate the reliability of components using the on-line information (directly measured sensor output or device-specific diagnostics in the intelligent sensor) in form of the numerical value (state factor). This factor considers the persistency of the fault condition and confidence level in measurement. If there is a complex system with many components, each calculated reliability's or components are combined, which results in the dynamic MTTF or system. The illustrative examples are discussed. The results show that the dynamic MTTF can well express the component and system failure behaviour whether any kinds of failure are occurred or not.

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고파랑 해안 침식폭 예측모델을 이용한 침식한계선(ECL) 설정 (Erosion Control Line (ECL) Establishment Using Coastal Erosion Width Prediction Model by High Wave Height)

  • 박승민;박설화;이정렬;김태곤
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.526-534
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    • 2019
  • The average coastline and the erosion control line introduced as the management coastline, and the average shoreline (MSL) was established from the observed coastline. Also, the median grain size and the wave height of 30-years return period were applied. The erosion control line (ECL) was established through the model, HaeSaBeeN. These two lines set the coastline for evaluation. Based on the observed monitoring data along the coastline, the 1-day variation according to the normal distribution was used to estimate the regional variation, and the width of the erosion was calculated by applying the median grain size (D50) and the wave height of 30-years return period through the high-wave coastal erosion width model, i.e., HaeSaBeeN.

Robust Tracker Design Method Based on Multi-Trajectories of Aircraft

  • Kim, Eung-Tai;Andrisani, D. II
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a robust tracker design method that is specific to the trajectories of target aircraft. This method assumes that representative trajectories of the target aircraft are available. The exact trajectories known to the tracker enables the incorporation of the exact data in the tracker design instead of the measurement data. An estimator is designed to have acceptable performance in tracking a finite number of different target trajectories with a capability to trade off the mean and maximum errors between the exact trajectories and the estimated or predicted trajectories. Constant estimator gains that minimize the cost functions related to the estimation or prediction error are computed off-line from an iterative algorithm. This tracker design method is applied to the longitudinal motion tracking of target aircraft.

Quantitative In-line NIR measurements of papers

  • Schmidt, Angela;Weiler, Helmut
    • 한국근적외분광분석학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국근적외분광분석학회 2001년도 NIR-2001
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    • pp.1285-1285
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    • 2001
  • For NIR measurements of papers normally diffuse reflectance accessories are used which can provide a large sampling area. The in-line process control FT-NIR spectrometer MATRIX-E enables the contactless measurement of paper samples of low silicone coat weights on label-stocks in a paper converting factory. For this study concentrations of silicone between 0 and 2 g/$m^2$ on various paper substrates were included in a quantitative method. The aim was to achieve an absolute value for the deviation from the target value of 1 g/$m^2$ during continuous movement of the paper with velocities around 400 numinute. Influences from the uncoated paper type due to supplier, color, opacity, area densities, pre-coating as well as different compounds of the agent silicone were investigated and it was found that all these papers can be represented in one PLS-model. Especially the fact that silicone as an element is present in clay coated papers is of no consequence to the measurements with MATRIX-E. Moreover during in-line installations the variation of the moisture contents in the moving paper due to variable machine velocities as well as the reflecting material of the cylinder have to be considered. It is shown that the result of the in-line calibration has the same prediction ability compared to lab scale results(Root Mean Square Error of Cross-Validation RMSECV = 0.034 g/$m^2$).

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QUANTITATIVE IN-LINE NIR MEASUREMENTS OF PAPERS

  • Schmidt, Angela;Weiler, Helmut
    • 한국근적외분광분석학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국근적외분광분석학회 2001년도 NIR-2001
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    • pp.1193-1193
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    • 2001
  • For NIR measurements of papers normally diffuse reflectance accessories are used which can provide a large sampling area. The in-line process control FT-NIR spectrometer MATRIX-E enables the contactless measurement of paper samples of low silicone coat weights on label-stocks in a paper converting factory. For this study concentrations of silicone between 0 and 2 g/㎡ on various paper substrates were included in a quantitative method. The aim was to achieve an absolute value for the deviation from the target value of 1 g/㎡ during continuous movement of the paper with velocities around 400 m/minute. Influences from the uncoated paper type due to supplier, color, opacity, area densities, pre-coating as well as different compounds of the agent silicone were investigated and it was found that all these papers can be represented in one PLS-model. Especially the fact that silicone as an element is present in clay coated papers is of no consequence to the measurements with MATRIX-E. Moreover during in-line installations the variation of the moisture contents in the moving paper due to variable machine velocities as well as the reflecting material of the cylinder have to be considered. It is shown that the result of the in-line calibration has the same prediction ability compared to lab scale results (Root Mean Square Error of Cross-Validation RMSECV = 0.034 g/㎡).

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