• 제목/요약/키워드: Mean Load

검색결과 970건 처리시간 0.026초

설계변수의 불확실성을 고려한 미익 하중의 확률론적 해석 (Probabilistic Load Analysis for Tailplane Considering Uncertainties in Design Variables)

  • 최용준;김인걸;이석제
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.1043-1050
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    • 2010
  • This paper examined the probabilistic load analysis for the tailplane during pitching maneuvering in the conceptual aircraft design phase. The flight load analysis based on the probabilistic distribution of design variables are compared with the results of the deterministic analysis. Two forms of variable distribution are used in this paper. One is standard normal distribution, the other distribution is calculated from the results of short-period longitudinal equation of aircraft motion. The influence of the distribution parameter on the probabilistic load analysis was investigated and the significant design variables that have an impact on the mean and variance of probabilistic load were identified. The comparison indicates that probabilistic load analysis provides more reliable probabilistic load distribution for the structural design than the traditional deterministic analysis.

Daily Electric Load Forecasting Based on RBF Neural Network Models

  • Hwang, Heesoo
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a method of improving the performance of a day-ahead 24-h load curve and peak load forecasting. The next-day load curve is forecasted using radial basis function (RBF) neural network models built using the best design parameters. To improve the forecasting accuracy, the load curve forecasted using the RBF network models is corrected by the weighted sum of both the error of the current prediction and the change in the errors between the current and the previous prediction. The optimal weights (called "gains" in the error correction) are identified by differential evolution. The peak load forecasted by the RBF network models is also corrected by combining the load curve outputs of the RBF models by linear addition with 24 coefficients. The optimal coefficients for reducing both the forecasting mean absolute percent error (MAPE) and the sum of errors are also identified using differential evolution. The proposed models are trained and tested using four years of hourly load data obtained from the Korea Power Exchange. Simulation results reveal satisfactory forecasts: 1.230% MAPE for daily peak load and 1.128% MAPE for daily load curve.

차체구조용 박육단면부재의 단면형상변화에 따른 축압궤 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Axial Collapse Characteristics of Thin-Walled Members for Vehicles on the Variation of Section Shapes)

  • 이길성;백경윤;차천석;정진오;양인영
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1549-1552
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    • 2003
  • The front-end side members of automobiles absorb most of the energy in a front-end collision. The front-end side members are required to have a high stiffness together with easiness to collapse sequentially to absorb more impact energy. The axial static collapse test (5mm/mim) was conducted by using UTM with respect to the single hat shaped section members which are the standard section shape of the spot welded section members, to the single cap shaped section members, to the double cap shaped section members and to the double hat shaped section members whose section shape are changed in order to give more stiffness. As a result of test, the energy absorbing characteristic was analyzed for different section shapes. That is, it was analyzed that the change of section shape influenced the absorbing energy, the mean collapse load and the maximum collapse load, and that the relation between the change of section shape and the collapse mode.

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계절성과 온도를 고려한 일별 최대 전력 수요 예측 연구 (Electricity Demand Forecasting for Daily Peak Load with Seasonality and Temperature Effects)

  • 정상욱;김삼용
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.843-853
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    • 2014
  • 급증하고 있는 전력수요에 대한 신뢰성 있는 예측은 합리적인 전력수급계획 수립 및 운용에 있어서 매우 중대한 사안이다. 본 논문에서는 여러 시계열 모형의 비교를 통해 전력수요량과 밀접한 연관성이 있는 온도를 어떠한 형태로 고려할 것인지, 또한 4계절이 뚜렷하여 계절별 기온 차가 많이 나는 우리나라의 특성을 어떻게 고려할 것인지에 대하여 연구하였다. 모형 간 예측력을 비교하기 위하여 Mean Absolute Percentage Error(MAPE)를 사용하였다. 모형의 성능비교 결과는 냉 난방지수와 계절요인을 동시에 고려하면서 큰 변동성을 잘 고려해줄 수 있는 Reg-AR GARCH 모형이 가장 우수한 예측력을 나타냈다.

하천변 양배추 밭에서의 영양물질의 거동 (Nutrient Behavior in an Upland Field of Cabbage Adjacent to the River)

  • 송철민;김진수;장훈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권3호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to investigate the dynamics of nutrients such as total nitrogen (TN), nitrate nitrogen ($NO_3$-N) total phosphorous (TP), and phosphate phosphorous ($PO_4$-P) in outflow from a cabbage farmland in a mixed land-use watershed. The TN concentrations in groundwater showed twice peaks in late July 2006 and late March 2007 (3.8, 4.7 mg/L, respectively), when it rained shortly after fertilizer application, indicating that nitrogen leaching is greatly influenced by fertilization and rainfall. The mean concentrations of TN and $NO_3$-N in surface water were not significantly higher than those in groundwater, while the mean concentrations of TP and $PO_4$-P in surface water were significantly (p < 0.05) were higher than those in groundwater. The TN concentrations in groundwater were generally higher than those in surface water during fertilization and early growing season due to the effect of fertilization, but vice versa in the other periods. In contrast, the TP concentrations in groundwater were always lower than those in surface water due to the sorption of particulate phosphorous by soil. The ratio of TN load in baseflow to that in total TN load (39 %) was much greater than the TP ratio (7 %), suggesting that baseflow contribute to nitrogen export. Therefore, proper fertilization management should be taken to reduce nitrogen load through baseflow.

Soft computing-based estimation of ultimate axial load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes

  • Asteris, Panagiotis G.;Lemonis, Minas E.;Nguyen, Thuy-Anh;Le, Hiep Van;Pham, Binh Thai
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제39권4호
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    • pp.471-491
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we estimate the ultimate load of rectangular concrete-filled steel tubes (CFST) by developing a novel hybrid predictive model (ANN-BCMO) which is a combination of balancing composite motion optimization (BCMO) - a very new optimization technique and artificial neural network (ANN). For this aim, an experimental database consisting of 422 datasets is used for the development and validation of the ANN-BCMO model. Variables in the database are related with the geometrical characteristics of the structural members, and the mechanical properties of the constituent materials (steel and concrete). Validation of the hybrid ANN-BCMO model is carried out by applying standard statistical criteria such as root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and mean absolute error (MAE). In addition, the selection of appropriate values for parameters of the hybrid ANN-BCMO is conducted and its robustness is evaluated and compared with the conventional ANN techniques. The results reveal that the new hybrid ANN-BCMO model is a promising tool for prediction of the ultimate load of rectangular CFST, and prove the effective role of BCMO as a powerful algorithm in optimizing and improving the capability of the ANN predictor.

Fracture load and survival of anatomically representative monolithic lithium disilicate crowns with reduced tooth preparation and ceramic thickness

  • Nawafleh, Noor A;Hatamleh, Muhanad M;Ochsner, Andreas;Mack, Florian
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.416-422
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSE. To investigate the effect of reducing tooth preparation and ceramic thickness on fracture resistance of lithium disilicate crowns. MATERIALS AND METHODS. Specimen preparation included a standard complete crown preparation of a typodont mandibular left first molar with an occlusal reduction of 2 mm, proximal/axial wall reduction of 1.5 mm, and 1.0 mm deep chamfer (Group A). Another typodont mandibular first molar was prepared with less tooth reduction: 1 mm occlusal and proximal/axial wall reduction and 0.8 mm chamfer (Group B). Twenty crowns were milled from each preparation corresponding to control group (n=5) and conditioned group of simultaneous thermal and mechanical loading in aqueous environment (n=15). All crowns were then loaded until fracture to determine the fracture load. RESULTS. The mean (SD) fracture load values (in Newton) for Group A were 2340 (83) and 2149 (649), and for Group B, 1752 (134) and 1054 (249) without and with fatigue, respectively. Reducing tooth preparation thickness significantly decreased fracture load of the crowns at baseline and after fatigue application. After fatigue, the mean fracture load statistically significantly decreased (P<.001) in Group B; however, it was not affected (P>.05) in Group A. CONCLUSION. Reducing the amount of tooth preparation by 0.5 mm on the occlusal and proximal/axial wall with a 0.8 mm chamfer significantly reduced fracture load of the restoration. Tooth reduction required for lithium disilicate crowns is a crucial factor for a long-term successful application of this all-ceramic system.

Viral load and rebound in children with coronavirus disease 2019 during the first outbreak in Daegu city

  • Chu, Mi Ae;Jang, Yoon Young;Lee, Dong Won;Kim, Sung Hoon;Ryoo, Namhee;Park, Sunggyun;Lee, Jae Hee;Chung, Hai Lee
    • Clinical and Experimental Pediatrics
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    • 제64권12호
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    • pp.652-660
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    • 2021
  • Background: Viral load and shedding duration are highly associated with the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. However, limited studies have reported on viral load or shedding in children and adolescents infected with sudden acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Purpose: This study aimed to investigate the natural course of viral load in asymptomatic or mild pediatric cases. Methods: Thirty-one children (<18 years) with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were hospitalized and enrolled in this study. Viral loads were evaluated in nasopharyngeal swab samples using real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (E, RdRp, N genes). cycle threshold (Ct) values were measured when patients met the clinical criteria to be released from quarantine. Results: The mean age of the patients was 9.8 years, 18 (58%) had mild disease, and 13 (42%) were asymptomatic. Most children were infected by adult family members, most commonly by their mothers. The most common symptoms were fever and sputum (26%), followed by cough and runny nose. Nine patients (29%) had a high or intermediate viral load (Ct value≤30) when they had no clinical symptoms. Viral load showed no difference between symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. Viral rebounds were found in 15 cases (48%), which contributed to prolonged viral detection. The mean duration of viral detection was 25.6 days. Viral loads were significantly lower in patients with viral rebounds than in those with no rebound (E, P=0.003; RdRp, P=0.01; N, P=0.02). Conclusion: Our study showed that many pediatric patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) experienced viral rebound and showed viral detection for more than 3 weeks. Further studies are needed to investigate the relationship between viral rebound and infectiousness in COVID-19.

작업기억 부담이 부적 얼굴정서 처리에 미치는 영향: ERP 연구 (Effects of Working Memory Load on Negative Facial Emotion Processing: an ERP study)

  • 박태진;김정희
    • 인지과학
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.39-59
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    • 2018
  • 작업기억 부담이 부적 얼굴정서 처리에 미치는 영향을 밝히기 위해, N-back 과제 수행 도중 제시된 부적 얼굴표정에 의해 유발된 ERP성분들을 조사하였다. 한 개씩 순차적으로 제시되는 시각적 사물그림들에 대한 기억을 유지하고 갱신하도록 요구하면서(N-back 과제) 이 사물그림들이 제시되는 사이에 공포표정 또는 중립표정의 얼굴자극을 하나씩 제시하였는데, 작업기억 부담을 0-back 조건(저부담)과 2-back 조건(고부담)으로 조작하였다. N-back과제 수행반응을 분석한 결과, 고부담조건에 비해 저부담조건에서 더 빠르고 정확한 반응이 관찰되었다. 얼굴자극에 의해 유발된 ERP 평균진폭을 분석한 결과, 후두영역에서 측정한 P1 진폭에서는 정서가효과는 유의미하지 않았고 작업기억 부담효과만 유의미하였다(고부담 > 저부담). 후측 후두-측두 영역에서 측정한 N170 진폭에서 얼굴 정서가효과는 전반적으로는 유의미하였지만(부정 > 중립) 세부적으로는 작업기억부담과 반구에 따라 다르게 나타났는데, 정서가효과가 좌반구에서는 저부담조건의 경우에만, 우반구에서는 두 부담조건 모두에서 관찰되었다. 결국, 얼굴표정의 부적 정서가가 N170에 미치는 영향이 좌반구에서는 작업기억 부담에 의해 조절되었지만 우반구에서는 그렇지 않았다. 이러한 결과는, 부적 얼굴 표정의 초기 정서처리가 작업기억의 유지 및 조작 부담이 큰 경우 좌반구에서는 약화되거나 일어나지 않을 수 있는 반면, 우반구에서는 작업기억 부담의 크기에 관계없이 일어남을 보여주는 것으로써, 부적 얼굴정서 처리의 우반구 편재를 시사한다.

보행 시 부하의 위치에 따른 발의 안정성 및 운동학적 분석에 관한 연구 (The Studies on the Foot Stability and Kinesiology by Direction of Carry a Load during Gait)

  • 이상열;배성수
    • The Journal of Korean Physical Therapy
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.97-101
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: This study examined how the direction of carrying a load affects the foot stability and kinesiology while walking. Methods: The heel rotation, Hallux stiffness, foot balance, metatarsal load, toe out angle, subtalar joint flexibility were measured in 40 adults (men and women) who carried a load back and forth, walking on a 2-meter-long board. The measurement was carried out three times and the mean of the measurements was used to compare the difference between the front, back and the condition without a load. Results: While walking, heel rotation and hallux stiffness occurred most when a front load was applied compared to a back load or no load condition (p<0.05). A metatarsal load also appeared to be the highest with the frond load, but there was no significant difference in the balance of the whole foot. Both the toe out angle and subtalar joint flexibility appeared to increase significantly (p<0.05). Conclusion: Applying the front load causes subtalar joint instability and increases the plantar foot pressure imbalance during walking.

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