• 제목/요약/키워드: Maximum likelihood procedure

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지진하중을 받는 RC 박스터널의 확률론적 취약도 평가기법 (A probabilistic fragility evaluation method of a RC box tunnel subjected to earthquake loadings)

  • 허정원;리 타이손;강충현;곽기석;박인준
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.143-159
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    • 2017
  • 지진하중으로 초래되는 지하터널 구조물의 손상에 대한 위험도를 예측하기 위해 이 논문에서 확률론적 취약도 평가절차를 개발하였다. 특히 지진취약도 평가에 필수 요소인 취약도곡선의 유도를 위하여 단순화된 방법론을 정립하는 데 중점을 두었다. 지반-구조물상호작용(SSI) 효과를 고려한 구조물의 동적응답거동을 추정하기 위해서 지중구조물에 대한 지반응답가속도법(GRAMBS)을 제안기법에 적용하였다. 또한, 푸시오버 해석을 통해 터널의 손상상태를 정의하고 라틴하이퍼큐브 샘플링(LHS) 기법을 사용하여 설계변수와 관련된 불확실성을 고려하였다. 적용된 기법의 개념을 보다 상세하게 설명하기 위하여 설계스펙트럼을 만족하도록 생성된 다수의 인공지진운동에 대해 수치해석을 수행하고 취약도곡선을 개발하였다. 두 매개변수 대수정규분포 함수로 지진 취약도곡선을 표현하는데, 여기서 두 매개변수인 중앙값과 대수표준편차는 최우추정(MLE)법을 사용하여 산정하였다.

Genetic Parameters and Annual Trends for Birth and Weaning Weights of a Northeastern Thai Indigenous Cattle Line

  • Intaratham, W.;Koonawootrittriron, S.;Sopannarath, P.;Graser, H.-U.;Tumwasorn, S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.478-483
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    • 2008
  • Records of a Northeastern Thai indigenous cattle line population were used to estimate genetic parameters and annual trends for calf weights. The data set comprised records of 1,922 and 1,489 animals for birth and weaning weight, respectively born from 1993 to 2004. A bivariate analysis was carried out for variance and covariance components estimations using average information restricted maximum likelihood procedure. Average estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value of the animals born in 1993 were set to zero as a base group. Genetic trends of each trait were calculated by regressing average estimated breeding values and maternal breeding values on birth year of calves. Phenotypic trends for each trait were calculated by regressing the yearly adjusted weight on birth year of calves. The results revealed that the estimate of direct heritability, maternal heritability and maternal permanent environmental variance as a proportion of phenotypic variance for birth and weaning weight was 0.40, 0.14 and 0.04; 0.27, 0.05 and 0.23, respectively. Direct heritability was moderately heritable and genetic improvement through selection can be achieved. The estimate of phenotypic, direct genetic, maternal genetic and maternal permanent environmental correlation between birth and weaning weight was 0.48, 0.65, 0.98 and 0.73, respectively. The phenotypic trend, genetic trends of estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value for birth weight was 0.18, 0.04 and 0.01 kg/year, respectively. The phenotypic trend, genetic trends of estimated breeding value and maternal breeding value for weaning weight was -1.36, 0.32 and 0.03 kg/year, respectively. As maternal genetic effect was considerably less important than direct genetic effect, selection for improved weaning weight of this Northeastern Thai indigenous cattle line can place more emphasis on the direct genetic effect.

Somatic Cells Count and Its Genetic Association with Milk Yield in Dairy Cattle Raised under Thai Tropical Environmental Conditions

  • Jattawa, D.;Koonawootrittriron, S.;Elzo, M.A.;Suwanasopee, T.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.1216-1222
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    • 2012
  • Somatic cells count (SCC), milk yield (MY) and pedigree information of 2,791 first lactation cows that calved between 1990 and 2010 on 259 Thai farms were used to estimate genetic parameters and trends for SCC and its genetic association with MY. The SCC were log-transformed (lnSCC) to make them normally distributed. An average information-restricted maximum likelihood procedure was used to estimate variance components. A bivariate animal model that considered herd-yr-season, calving age, and regression additive genetic group as fixed effects, and animal and residual as random effects was used for genetic evaluation. Heritability estimates were 0.12 (SE = 0.19) for lnSCC, and 0.31 (SE = 0.06) for MY. The genetic correlation estimate between lnSCC and MY was 0.26 (SE = 0.59). Mean yearly estimated breeding values during the last 20 years increased for SCC (49.02 cells/ml/yr, SE = 26.81 cells/ml/yr; p = 0.08), but not for MY (0.37 kg/yr, SE = 0.87 kg/yr; p = 0.68). Sire average breeding values for SCC and MY were higher than those of cows and dams (p<0.01). Heritability estimates for lnSCC and MY and their low but positive genetic correlation suggested that selection for low SCC may be feasible in this population as it is in other populations of dairy cows. Thus, selection for high MY and low SCC should be encouraged in Thai dairy improvement programs to increase profitability by improving both cow health and milk yield.

Genetic parameter estimation for milk β-hydroxybutyrate and acetone in early lactation and its association with fat to protein ratio and energy balance in Korean Holstein cattle

  • Ranaraja, Umanthi;Cho, KwangHyun;Park, MiNa;Kim, SiDong;Lee, SeokHyun;Do, ChangHee
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.798-803
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic parameters for milk ${\beta}$-hydroxybutyrate (BHBA), acetone (Ac), fat protein ratio (FPR), and energy balance (EB) using milk test day records and investigate the effect of early lactation FPR and EB on milk ketone body concentrations. Methods: Total 262,940 test-day records collected from Korea Animal Improvement Association during the period of 2012 to 2016 were used in this study. BHBA and Ac concentrations in milk were measured by Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR). FPR values were obtained using test day records of fat and protein percentage. EB was calculated using previously developed equation based on parity, lactation week, and milk composition data. Genetic parameters were estimated by restricted maximum likelihood procedure based on repeatability model using Wombat program. Results: Elevated milk BHBA and Ac concentrations were observed during the early lactation under the negative energy balance. Milk FPR tends to decrease with the decreasing ketone body concentrations. Heritability estimates for milk BHBA, Ac, EB, and FPR ranged from 0.09 to 0.14, 0.23 to 0.31, 0.19 to 0.52, and 0.16 to 0.42 respectively at parity 1, 2, 3, and 4. The overall heritability for BHBA, Ac, EB and FPR were 0.29, 0.32, 0.58, and 0.38 respectively. A common pattern was observed in heritability of EB and FPR along with parities. Conclusion: FPR and EB can be suggested as potential predictors for risk of hyperketonemia. The heritability estimates of milk BHBA, Ac, EB, and FPR indicate that the selective breeding may contribute to maintaining the milk ketone bodies at optimum level during early lactation.

Effect of perceived luxuriousness on brand equity

  • Kang, Ju-Young M.;Kim, Jieun
    • 복식문화연구
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.697-708
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    • 2016
  • The term used to describe consumer's valuation of a brand is brand equity. One concept that can be managed and may impact valuation of a prestige brand is "luxuriousness." As the concept of "luxuriousness" appears to be a key factor contributing to the equity of a prestige brand, the purpose of this study was to examine how luxuriousness is related to the brand equity utilizing a model developed by Yoo, Donthu, and Lee (2000). Yoo et al. (2000) identified three dimensions [brand association with awareness (BA), perceived quality (PQ), brand loyalty (BL)] accounted for the equity (OBE) of a brand. We speculated that the five dimensions of luxuriousness (i.e., quality, extended self, hedonism, accessibility, and tradition) would selectively influence the two dimensions of brand equity (BA, PQ) and that loyalty would mediate the relationship between the two dimensions of brand equity (BA, PQ) and overall brand equity. A total of 502 participants aged from 18 to 74 were surveyed in USA. Using AMOS 18, the path analysis was conducted with the maximum-likelihood estimation procedure. The model exhibited a good fit with the data and all hypotheses were supported except one. Quality, accessibility, and hedonism dimensions of luxuriousness affected perceived quality of the equity of a brand. Hedonism and extended self dimensions affected brand association with awareness. However, tradition dimension did not significantly influence brand association with awareness. Overall, this research expands understanding of brand equity as it documents the contributions of luxuriousness, a component that can be controlled by brand managers.

착륙장치 복합재 토크링크 피로내구성 평가에 대한 연구 (A Study on Assessment of Fatigue Durability for Composite Torque Link of Landing Gear)

  • 권정호;강대환
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 최근 금속재를 대체하기 위하여 RTM법으로 개발된 헬리콥터 복합재 토크링크 구조에 대하여 피로 내구성 평가 절차와 기법에 대하여 고찰하였다. 피로내구성 평가에 필요한 운용수명 중 예상되는 피로하중스펙트럼을 산출하는데 보다 신뢰성이 높은 진보된 기법으로 확률적 랜덤처리 기법을 도입하였다. 그리고 불균질성이 큰 복합재에 대하여 재료의 피로특성치를 기반으로 하는 강도저하 접근법을 통하여 잔여강도와 피로파손확률 거동을 분석함으로써 보다 신뢰성 있는 내구성 평가를 수행하였다. 이때 강도저하파라미터 는 일련의 재료시편 피로시험 결과를 최대근사법을 사용하여 Weibull 파라미터를 해석함으로써 결정하였다. 또한 복합재 토크링크 실물시제에 대하여 피로내구성 시험을 수행하고 해석결과와 비교 검토하였다.

어랑분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 개발 비용모형에 관한 비교 연구 (The Comparative Software Development Cost Model Considering the Change in the Shape Parameter of the Erlang Distribution)

  • 양태진
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.566-572
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    • 2016
  • 소프트웨어 개발과정에서 소프트웨어 신뢰성은 매우 중요한 문제 중에 하나이다. 소프트웨어 고장현상을 분석하기 위하여 비동질적인 포아송과정에서 고장 발생 추이를 의미하는 위험함수가 고장시간에 독립적으로 일정하거나, 종속적인 경우, 즉 비-증가 또는, 비-감소하는 속성을 가질 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 소프트웨어 제품 테스팅 과정에서 고장 수명분포로서 어랑분포의 다양한 형상모수를 고려한 소프트웨어 개발 비용 분석에 대하여 연구되었다. 소프트웨어 고장현상을 분석하기 위하여 모수추정은 최우추정법이 사용되었다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 어랑분포의 형상모수를 고려한 소프트웨어 개발비용모형 분석을 위하여 소프트웨어 고장간격 시간자료를 이용하여 비교 및 평가하였다. 그 결과 형상모수에 따른 비용곡선을 비교 하였을 때 형상모형이 작을수록 비용이 많고 소프트웨어 최적 방출시간이 지연 됨을 알 수 있었다. 이 연구를 통하여 소프트웨어 개발자들에게 소프트웨어 형상모수에 따른 개발 비용을 탐색하는데, 기본적으로 도움을 줄 수 있는 사전정보의 역할을 할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Estimation of Genetic Associations between Production and Meat Quality Traits in Duroc Pigs

  • Cabling, M.M.;Kang, H.S.;Lopez, B.M.;Jang, M.;Kim, H.S.;Nam, K.C.;Choi, J.G.;Seo, K.S.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제28권8호
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    • pp.1061-1065
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    • 2015
  • Data collected from 690 purebred Duroc pigs from 2009 to 2012 were used to estimate the heritability, and genetic and phenotypic correlations between production and meat quality traits. Variance components were obtained through the restricted maximum likelihood procedure using Wombat and SAS version 9.0. Animals were raised under the same management in five different breeding farms. The average daily gain, loin muscle area (LMA), backfat thickness (BF), and lean percent (LP) were measured as production traits. Meat quality traits included pH, cooking loss, lightness ($L^*$), redness ($a^*$), yellowness ($b^*$), marbling score (MS), moisture content (MC), water holding capacity (WHC), and shear force. The results showed that the heritability estimates for meat quality traits varied largely from 0.19 to 0.79. Production traits were moderate to highly heritable from 0.41 to 0.73. Genotypically, the BF was positively correlated (p<0.05) with MC (0.786), WHC (0.904), and pH (0.328) but negatively correlated with shear force (-0.533). The results of genetic correlations indicated that selection for less BF could decrease pH, moisture content, and WHC and increase the shear force of meat. Additionally, a significant positive correlation was recorded between average daily gain and WHC, which indicates pork from faster-growing animals has higher WHC. Furthermore, selection for larger LMA and LP could increase MS and lightness color of meat. The meat quality and production traits could be improved simultaneously if desired. Hence, to avoid further deterioration of pork characteristics, appropriate selection of traits should be considered.

경험적 베이지안 방법을 이용한 결측자료 연구 (Analysis of Missing Data Using an Empirical Bayesian Method)

  • 윤용화;최보승
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1003-1016
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    • 2014
  • 조사를 통하여 수집된 자료에 기반하여 분석을 수행하는데 있어서 결측값에 대한 적절한 대체 방법은 보다 정확한 결과를 얻기 위한 매우 중요한 절차이다. 본 연구에서는 모형에 기반하여 결측자료에 대한 대체방법과 모형 추정방법을 다루었다. 특히 최대우도추정 방법의 적용에서 발생할 수 있는 변방값 문제(bounday soluntion problem)를 해결하기 위하여 베이지안 방법을 적용하였다. 분석된 결과를 바탕으로 하여 예측을 수행한 후 결측체계에 따른 정확성 비교를 수행하여 결측체계에 따른 결측모형의 선택 문제를 다루었다. 예측의 정확도를 측정하기 위하여 Bautista 등 (2007)이 제안한 MWPE(modified within precinct error) 이용하여 비교를 수행 하였다. 본 연구에서 제시된 방법들은 2012년에 시행된 제 18대 대통령 선거 당일 시행된 출구조사의 자료를 적용하여 분석을 수행하였다. 분석 결과 임의결측체계의 가정에 따른 결과가 비임의체계 가정에 따른 결과보다 예측의 정확도가 더 높았다.

Genetic parameters for milk fatty acid composition of Holstein in Korea

  • Park, Chan Hyuk;Ranaraja, Umanthi;Dang, Chang Gwon;Kim, Jong Joo;Do, Chang Hee
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제33권10호
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    • pp.1573-1578
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    • 2020
  • Objective: Milk fatty acid (FA) is a main nutritional component that markedly effects human health. Intentional modification of the FA profile has the potential to improve milk quality. This study aimed at the factors affecting elevated FA levels and the estimation of the genetic parameters for milk FAs in the Korean Holstein population. Methods: Total 885,249 repeated test-day milk records including, milk yield, saturated fatty acids (SFA), polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA), monounsaturated fatty acids (MUFA), total unsaturated fatty acids (TUFA), fat and protein percentages were analyzed using CombiFoss FT+ system (Foss Analytical A/S, Denmark). Genetic parameters were estimated by the restricted maximum likelihood procedure based on the repeatability model using the Wombat program. Results: The FA profile varies along with the lactation and the energy balance (EB). With the negative EB in early lactation, mobilization of body fat reserves elevates the desirable FA levels. As a result of that, milk quality is increased by means of nutritionally and usability aspects during the early lactation. Moreover, heritability estimates for SFA, MUFA, PUFA, TUFA were 0.33, 0.42, 0.37, 0.41 respectively. According to the parity wise heritability analysis, first parity cows had relatively lower heritability for SFAs (0.19) than later parities (0.28). Conclusion: Genetic parameters indicated that FAs were under stronger genetic control. Therefore, we suggest implementing animal breeding programs towards improving the milk FA profile.