• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2022.05a
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• pp.169-169
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• 2022

최근 기후변화와 도시화로 인해 집중호우, 홍수 등 극한 강우의 빈도와 규모가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 또한, 극한 강우의 빈도가 증가함으로 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP)에 관한 관심도 증가하고 있다. 가능최대강수량의 경우 대규모 수공 구조물, 댐의 설계나 가능최대홍수량(Probable Maximum Flood, PMF) 산정에 사용 되며, 세계 기상 기구(World Meteorological Organiztion, WMO)는 가능최대강수량 산정 방법으로 수문기상학적 방법, 통계학적 방법, 포락 곡선 방법을 제안하고 있으며, 통계학적 가능최대강수량 산정방법으로는 Hershfield가 제안한 방법을 제시하고 있다. Hershfield가 제안한 방법의 경우 빈도계수를 사용하며, Hershfield(1961)는 빈도계수의 값을 15로 제안하였으나, 1965년에 빈도계수는 강우 지속시간과 평균에 따라 5~20 값을 갖는 노모그래프를 제안하였다. 본 연구에서는 빈도계수 산정 방법, 노모그래프를 이용한 빈도계수의 값 2가지를 산정한 후 국내 가능최대강수량 보고서와 비교하여 통계학적 가능최대강수량 산정 방법을 결정한 후, 결정된 빈도계수 산정 방법을 SSP시나리오에 이용하여 미래의 통계학적 가능최대강수량을 산정하여 가능최대강수량의 변화를 분석하고자 한다.

• Water Engineering Research
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.111-126
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• 2003

Meteorological data are often needed to evaluate the long-term effects of proposed hydrologic changes. The evaluation is frequently undertaken using deterministic mathematical models that require daily weather data as input including precipitation amount, maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation and wind speed. Stochastic generation of the required weather data offers alternative to the use of observed weather records. The precipitation is modeled by a Markov Chain-exponential model. The other variables are generated by multivariate model with means and standard deviations of the variables conditioned on the wet or dry status of the day as determined by the precipitation model. Ultimately, the objective of this paper is to compare Richardson's model and the improved weather generation model in their ability to provide daily weather data for the crop model to study potential impacts of climate change on the irrigation needs and crop yield. However this paper does not refer to the improved weather generation model and the crop model. The new weather generation model improved will be introduced in the Journal of KWRA.

• Atmosphere
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.155-165
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• 2005

The characteristics of six precipitation systems occurred around Cheongju in 2002 are analyzed after the convective/stratiform radar echo classification using radar reflectivity from the Meteorological Research Institute"s X-band Doppler weather radar. The Biggerstaff and Listemaa (2000) algorithm is applied for the classification and reveals a physical characteristics of the convective and stratiform rain diagnosed from the three-dimensional structure of the radar reflectivity. The area satisfying the vertical profile of radar reflectivity is well classified, while the area near the radar site and the topography-shielded area show a mis-classification. The seasonal characteristics of the precipitation system are also analyzed using the contoured frequency by altitude diagrams (CFADs). The heights of maximum reflectivity are 4 km and 5.5 km in spring and summer, respectively, and the vertical gradient of radar reflectivity from 1.5 km to the melting layer in spring is larger than in summer.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.291-294
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• 2003

The Water resources utilization pattern of Jangsung reservoir was studied. The observed precipitation and existing reservoir operation data such as irrigation amount, reservoir storage, river maintenance requirement, flood control discharge were collected for ten years period and analyzed. Major findings of this study are as follows: The observed average, minimum, maximum annual precipitation were 905.1mm, 1,977.3mm, 1,554.3mm during study period, respectively. The average annual irrigation amount was 554.5mm, irrigation amount of drought years of '92 and '94 was 604.6mm, 679.2mm, respectively. However, irrigation amount of extended drought year '95 was 384.9mm. It showed that supplying capacity of Jangsung reservoir was limited when consecutive 2 year drought occurred. The main water resources usage of Jangsung reservoir was irrigation, but flood control discharge exceed irrigation amount exceptionally when high precipitation occurred. The reservoir operation record revealed that discharge for river maintenance was delivered even drought years.

• Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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• v.33 no.6
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• pp.693-699
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• 1996

YIG precursor powder was obtained by homogeneous precipitation in chloride salt solution by thermal decom-position of urea. It was found that ferric ions precipitated prior to yttrium ions. The precipitate was minute and spherical in shape. The precipitate formed consisted of the mixture of amorphous and ferric oxyhydroxide. Crystallization of YIG was proceeded by solid state reaction of intermediate YFeO3 and Fe2O3 in the temperature range of 85$0^{\circ}C$ to 140$0^{\circ}C$. Single phase of YIG was obtained by heat-treatment of the powder at 140$0^{\circ}C$ for 6 hrs in air. The powder calcined was molded into pellets and sintered in air. The maximum density of 4,92 g/cm3(95.1% of theoretical density) was obtainable for the pellet sintered at 145$0^{\circ}C$ using the powder calcined at 90$0^{\circ}C$.

• Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.2063-2077
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• 1970

The Purpose of this study is to give the hydrologically basic data for the development of water resources in Korea and a quantity of daily average precipitation and its frequency in a year are investigated to study the presumption which is affected to river flow. Characteristics of precipitation is poor as source of water resources compared with its efficiency. So, because of such characteristics of precipitation, river flow also is in harmony and distribution of river flow comes to the result of irregularity, that is, range of river coefficiet between the quantity of maximum river flow and others river flow is big, and it is insufficient as source of water resources. Yearly river flow being expressed by daily unit indicates the ratio(%) of distribution to total yearly river flow, and the model of hydrograph is drawn up. The gives the basis to make yearly water balance sheet. This study is not completed, yet but in forth-coming days, the water will try continuously to give more correct basis for the development of water resources according to a great deal of data.

• The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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• v.38 no.2
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• pp.94.2-94.2
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• 2013

We studied the precipitation of magnetospheric energetic electrons into the Earth's atmosphere during magnetic storm times using precipitating electron flux data from the MEPED on board the NOAA Polar Orbiting Environmental Satellites (POES) low.altitude satellite, NOAA-16. We identified a total of 84 storm events between 2001 and 2012 using SYM-H index. We have done a superposition of precipitating electron fluxes for each of three energy ranges (i.e., e1: > 30 keV, e2: > 100 keV, e3: > 300 keV) for the identified storm times. The results show that the fluxes start to increase before the main phase of storm for all energy ranges and reach a maximum level just before the time of SYM-H minimum value. The precipitation timescales are energy-dependent, being shorter for lower energy, ~4.67 hours for e1, ~7.93 hours for e2 and ~26.5 hours for e3. The precipitating fluxes decline during the recovery phase of the storms. We examined the L shell dependence of the precipitating electron flux during the main phase. We found that statistically the precipitation fluxes are dominantly seen at L of ~ 3-4 or higher. This L value roughly corresponds to the plasmapause location during the main phase. Thus the results imply that the electron precipitation mainly occurs outside of the plasmapause. In addition, we classified the storm events by their strength and examined the dependence of precipitation on storm intensity. We found that the electron precipitation occurs on a faster time scale and penetrate into inner L shell region for a stronger storm.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.4B
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• pp.347-356
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• 2009

This study simulates the dam break situation by a probable maximum precipitation of Soyang-River Dam using HEC-HMS model and HEC-RAS model and compares the simulated results. The probable maximum precipitation was calculated using the flood event of the typhoon Rusa occurred in 2002 and using the mean areal precipitation of the Gangreung region and the moisture maximization method. The estimated probable maximum precipitations were compared for the duration of 6, 12, 18, and 24 hrs and were used as input data for the HEC-HMS model. Moreover, the inflow data calculated by HEC-HMS were utilized as ones for HEC-RAS, and then unsteady flow analysis was conducted. The two models were used for the dam break analysis with the same conditions and the peak flow estimated by HEC-HMS was larger than that of the HEC-RAS model. The applicability of two models was performed from the dam break analysis then we found that we could simulate more realistic peak flow by HEC-RAS than HEC-HMS. However, when we need more fast simulation results we could use HEC-HMS. Therefore, we may need the guidelines for the different utilizations with different purposes of two models. Furthermore, since the two models still include uncertainties, it is important to establish more detailed topographical factors and data reflecting actual rivers.

• Proceedings of the Korean Quaternary Association Conference
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• 2004.06a
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• pp.29-29
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• 2004

Long term observational analysis by climatologists has confirmedthat the global warming is no longer a topic of debate among scientists andpolicy makers. According to the report of IPCC-2001 (Intergovernmental Panelon Climate Change), the global mean surface air temperature is increasinggradually. The reported increase of mean temperature is by 0.6 degree in the end of twentieth century. This could represent severe threat for propertylosses especially due to increase in the number of extreme weather arising out of global warming. period of model integration from 2001 to 2100 using output of ECHAM4/HOPE-G of Max Planet Institute of Meteorology (MPI) for IPCC SRES (Special Report on Emission Scenarios). The main results of this study indicate increase of surface air temperature by 6.20C and precipitation by 2.6% over Korea in the end of 21st century. Simulation results also show that there is increase in daily maximum and minimum temperatures while decrease in diurnal temperature range (DTR). DTR changes are diminished mainly due to relatively rapid increase of daily minimum temperature than that of daily maximumtemperature. It has been observed that increase in precipitation amount anddecrease in the number of rainy days lead to increase of pre precipitationintensity.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.32 no.4
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• pp.97-108
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• 2015

This study proposes a mathematical model to estimate the economic value of weather forecast service, among which the precipitation forecast service is focused. The value is calculated in terms of users' satisfaction or dissatisfaction resulted from the users' decisions made by using the precipitation probabilistic forecasts and thresholds. The satisfaction values can be quantified by the traditional value score model, which shows the scaled utility values relative to the perfect forecast information. This paper extends the value score concept to a collective value score model which is defined as a weighted sum of users' satisfaction based on threshold distribution in a group of the users. The proposed collective value score model is applied to the picnic scenario by using four hypothetical sets of probabilistic forecasts, i.e., under-confident, over-confident, under-forecast and over-forecast. The application results show that under-confident type of forecasts outperforms the others as a measure of the maximum collective value regardless of users' dissatisfaction patterns caused by two types of forecast errors, e.g., miss and false alarm.