• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maximum Likelihood.

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Density Effect and Diversity of Fish in Water System at Both Reservoirs in the Youngsan-ri, Goseong-gun (고성군 용산리의 두 저수 수계에서 어류의 다양성과 밀도 효과)

  • Huh, Man Kyu;Choi, Byoung-Ki
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2015
  • Four sites and one site were used to analyze fish diversity at the water systems of the Sineun reservoir and the Jeonchon reservoir, respectively. The field experiments were conducted to test the density dependence that could lead to population regulation by artificial inferences and environmental changes. We examined the effects of environmental factors on fish densities using SMATR freeware. It was estimated to be reduced to the density effect at four sites in 2012. Shannon-Weaver indices of the diversity (H’) of the Sineun reservoir were similar to those of the Jeonchon reservoir. Species diversity was in a range of 0.645 to 2.105. The H’ value of the upper region was higher than those of middle and low regions were, and values of richness were lower in downstream than upstream. Using the maximum likelihood solution for the removal estimators of two low regions of the river stations, the estimated migration probabilities from the resident fish to the migrated fish for five species (Cyprinus cuvieri, Carassius auratus, Pseudorasbora parva, Misgurnus mizolepis, and Oryzias latipes) had a mean of 0.623. Especially, migration probabilities from the Jeonchon reservoir to the Sineun reservoir for five species were high (a mean of 0.681). The period of migration was suggested to be about one month because of short geographical distances (50 m). We found no significant difference between the three categories in the distribution of the other four species, indicating the species probability was similar among stations.

A Study on the Determinants of Housewives' Caregiving Behavior to Their Elderly Parents-in-Law : Estimation of Covariance Structure Models for Fathers-in-Law and Mothers-in-Law (노인부양행위의 결정요인에 관한 연구 : 시부 및 시모에 대한 공변량구조모형 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Wook;Yang, Chul-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.35
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    • pp.51-83
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    • 1998
  • This study is designed to find out the determinants of housewives' caregiving behavior to their elderly parents-in-law. For this purpose, a tentative path model, constructed with major socio-demographic variables in the caregiver's family as exogenous variables, is proposed to account for caregiver's behavior to elderly parents-in-law. The model is estimated with data collected from a probability sample of housewives in Kwangju, Korea. Estimation of the model, separately for caregiver's fathers-in-law and mothers-in-law, in terms of maximum likelihood(ML) procedures in LISREL8 reveals that housewives' educational attainment, father-in-law's age, father-in-law's health status, and family size have statistically significant causal. effects on care giving behavior to fathers-in-law, and that housewives' educational attainment, mother-in-law's age, family size, and caregiving attitude have significant causal effects on caregiving behavior to mothers-in-law. Comparison of the two estimated models indicates caregiver's educational attainment, caretaker's age, and family size are prominent determinants of caregiving behavior that can be commonly generalized to the two models. Except for these common determinants, however, a nonnegligible amount of differences is identified between the two models. The findings are discussed and interpreted with suggesting some salient theoretical and policy implications.

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EM Algorithm with Initialization Based on Incremental ${\cal}k-means$ for GMM and Its Application to Speaker Identification (GMM을 위한 점진적 ${\cal}k-means$ 알고리즘에 의해 초기값을 갖는 EM알고리즘과 화자식별에의 적용)

  • Seo Changwoo;Hahn Hernsoo;Lee Kiyong;Lee Younjeong
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.141-149
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    • 2005
  • Tn general. Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is used to estimate the speaker model from the speech for speaker identification. The parameter estimates of the GMM are obtained by using the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation. However the EM algorithm has such drawbacks that it depends heavily on the initialization and it needs the number of mixtures to be known. In this paper, to solve the above problems of the EM algorithm. we propose an EM algorithm with the initialization based on incremental ${\cal}k-means$ for GMM. The proposed method dynamically increases the number of mixtures one by one until finding the optimum number of mixtures. Whenever adding one mixture, we calculate the mutual relationship between it and one of other mixtures respectively. Finally. based on these mutual relationships. we can estimate the optimal number of mixtures which are statistically independent. The effectiveness of the proposed method is shown by the experiment for artificial data. Also. we performed the speaker identification by applying the proposed method comparing with other approaches.

Flower Bud Chloranthy Disease Caused by Caeoma makinoi on Prunus mume (Caeoma makinoi에 의한 매실나무 꽃눈녹병의 발생 보고)

  • Lee, Seung-Yeol;Lee, Yeon-Hee;Park, Su-Jin;Lee, Han-Dong;Lee, Jae-Jin;Kang, In-Kyu;Lee, Hyang Burm;Jung, Hee-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Mycology
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.377-381
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    • 2016
  • Abnormal chloranthy was observed on Prunus mume trees grown in an orchard in Uiseong, Gyeongbuk province, Korea in 2015. Flower buds showing chloranthy were covered with numerous orange-colored sori, which were confirmed to contain spermogonia and aeciospores by stereo microscopy and light microscopy. When observed using scanning electron microscope, the aeciospores were globose, ellipsoid, or ovoid, and measured $22.8{\sim}35.6{\times}19.8{\sim}36.8{\mu}m$, with a verrucae wall ornamentation. To construct a phylogeny, the large and small subunit regions of rDNA were sequenced and compared with those of allied species by the maximum likelihood method. The isolated fungus species showed high similarities with Caeoma makinoi (Teleomorph: Blastospora smilacis), which was previously isolated from P. mume in Japan. Therefore, we initially report this fungal agent parasitic on P. mume as C. makinoi in Korea and name the disease it causes as "flower bud chloranthy disease".

A Comparative Study of Image Classification Method to Detect Water Body Based on UAS (UAS 기반의 수체탐지를 위한 영상분류기법 비교연구)

  • LEE, Geun-Sang;KIM, Seok-Gu;CHOI, Yun-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.113-127
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    • 2015
  • Recently, there has been a growing interest in UAS(Unmanned Aerial System), and it is required to develop techniques to effectively detect water body from the recorded images in order to implement flood monitoring using UAS. This study used a UAS with RGB and NIR+RG bands to achieve images, and applied supervised classification method to evaluate the accuracy of water body detection. Firstly, the result for accuracy in water body image classification by RGB images showed high Kappa coefficients of 0.791 and 0.783 for the artificial neural network and minimum distance method respectively, and the maximum likelihood method showed the lowest, 0.561. Moreover, in the evaluation of accuracy in water body image classification by NIR+RG images, the magalanobis and minimum distance method showed high values of 0.869 and 0.830 respectively, and in the artificial neural network method, it was very low as 0.779. Especially, RGB band revealed errors to classify trees or grasslands of Songsan amusement park as water body, but NIR+RG presented noticeable improvement in this matter. Therefore, it was concluded that images with NIR+RG band, compared those with RGB band, are more effective for detection of water body when the mahalanobis and minimum distance method were applied.

Relation between Risk and Return in the Korean Stock Market and Foreign Exchange Market (주가와 환율의 위험-수익 관계에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Gon;Lee, Phil-Sang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.199-226
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    • 2009
  • We examine the intertemporal relation between risk and return in the Korean stock market and foreign exchange market based on the two factor ICAPM framework. The standard GARCH model and the GJR(1993) model are employed to estimate conditional variances of the stock returns and foreign exchange rates. The covariance between the rates of stock returns and changes in the exchange rates are estimated by the constant conditional correlation model of Bollerslev(1990) and the dynamic conditional correlation model of Engle(2002). The multivariate GARCH in mean model and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation method, consequently, are applied to investigate riskreturn relation jointly. We find that the estimated coefficient of relative risk aversion is negative and statistically significant in the post-financial crisis sample period in the Korean stock market. We also show that the expected stock returns are negatively related to the dynamic covariance with foreign exchange rates. Both estimated parameters of conditional variance and covariance in the foreign exchange market, however, are not statistically significant. The GJR model is better than the standard GARCH model to estimate the conditional variances. In addition, the dynamic conditional correlation model has higher explanatory power than the constant correlation model. The empirical results of this study suggest following two points to investors and risk managers in hedging and diversifying strategies for their portfolios in the Korean stock market: first, the variability of foreign exchange rates should be considered, and second, time-varying correlation between stock returns and changes in foreign exchange rates supposed to be considered.

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The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Log and Exponential Power Intensity Function (로그 및 지수파우어 강도함수를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 무한고장 신뢰도 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Yang, Tae-Jin
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.445-452
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    • 2015
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Software process improvement helps in finishing with reliable software product. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the reliability model with log and power intensity function (log linear, log power and exponential power), which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, was employed. Analysis of failure, using real data set for the sake of proposing log and power intensity function, was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with log and power intensity function. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the log type model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 70% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

A Study on Estimating of Probability Distribution and Mean Life of Bridge Member for Effective Maintenance of the Bdrige (효율적인 고속도로 교량의 유지관리를 위한 교량 부재별 수명분포 및 평균수명 산정 방안 연구)

  • Lee, Yongjun;Lee, Minjae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2016
  • This study found a proper parametric life distribution based on maintenance history data of each bridge member under the jurisdiction of the Korea Expressway Corporation for the past 10 years by introducing the concept of reliability and suggested a measure to calculate the mean life and reliability of each bridge member using the parameter obtained with the maximum-likelihood classification. As a result of analyzing the exponential distribution, weibull distribution and log normal distribution being utilized frequently in order to find the parametric life distribution type which well described the life data of each bridge member, it was found that the log normal distribution and weibull distribution described the characteristics of the relevant life data the best. As a result of calculating the mean life of each bridge member based on the estimated parameter, the average life of the steel bridge coating was 18.51 years which was the longest, followed by the bridge deck as 17.56 years. The mean life of the drainage facility and the bridge bearing were 12.27 years and 12.57 years respectively, showing the shortest life.

Organizational Culture and Community-Centered Social Inclusion Orientation Among Social Service Organizations for People with Disabilities: Focused on Market Orientation As a Mediator (장애인복지기관의 조직문화유형과 지역사회중심사회통합지향성에 관한 연구 : 시장지향성의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Choi, Jae-Sung;Choi, Jung-Ah;Jung, So-Yon
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.5-32
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of organizational culture types (rational culture, developmental culture, group culture, and hierarchical culture) on Community-Centered Social Inclusion Orientation(COSI) among social service organizations for people with disabilities. More specifically, this study developed and empirically tested two theoretical models where each of organizational culture types were hypothesized to affect COSI either directly or indirectly through market orientation. For data collection, self-administered type questionnaires were mailed to 416 social service organizations for people with disabilities across the nation and 293 responded (response rate: 70.4%) from June 1 to September 22, 2006. For analysis, however, only 263 respondents were used, excluding Independent living centers due to their small size and short history. Structural Equation Modeling was employed for analysis and Full Information Maximum Likelihood was used for estimation. Findings indicated that market orientation had a significant effect on COSI. In addition, developmental culture and hierarchical culture were found to affect COSI directly while rational culture and group culture were found to affect COSI indirectly through market orientation. These findings imply that market orientation needs to be emphasized as a strategy in order to enhance social inclusion orientation for those organizations. Given that all the four types of organizational culture have direct or indirect impacts on COSI, those organizations are also advised to develop the four types of organizational culture harmoniously rather than one single type of organizational culture.

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Analysis of Hydrological Impact for Long-Term Land Cover Change Using the WMS HEC-1 Model in the Upstream Watershed of Pyeongtaek Gauging Station of Anseong-cheon (WMS HEC-1을 이용한 안성천 평택수위관측소 상류유역의 수문 경년변화 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Joon;Park, Geun-Ae;Jung, In-Kyun;Kwon, Hyung-Joong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.609-621
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the hydrological impact due to temporal land cover change by gradual urbanization of upstream watershed of Pyeongtaek gauging station of Anseong -cheon. WMS HEC-1 was adopted, and DEM with 200$\times$200m resolution and hydrologic soil group from 1:50,000 soil map were prepared. Land covers of 1986, 1990, 1994 and 1999 Landsat TM images were classified by maximum likelihood method. The watershed showed a trend that forest & paddy areas decreased and urban/residential area gradually increased for the period of 14 years. The model was calibrated at 2 locations (Pyeongtaek and Gongdo) by comparing observed with simulated discharge results for 5 summer storm events from 1998 to 2001. The watershed average CN values varied from 61.7 to 62.3 for the 4 selected years. To identify the impact of streamflow by temporal area change of a target land use, a simple evaluation method that the CN values of areas except the target land use are unified as one representative CN value was suggested. By applying the method, watershed average CN value was affected in the order of paddy, forest and urban/residential, respectively.