• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maturity Estimation

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Population Dynamics of Crangon hakodatei from Coastal Area of Geoje Island, Korea (거제도 연안에 서식하는 마루자주새우, Crangon hakodatei의 개체군 역학)

  • Choi Jung Hwa;Kim Jung Nyun;Kim Sung Tae;Cha Hyung Kee
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.380-385
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    • 2002
  • The sand shrimp, Crangon hakodatei commonly occured in the southern coast of Korea. The population structure, growth, mortality, and size at sexual maturity of C. hakodatei were examined by the samples collected from the coastal area of Geoje Island, Korea from October 2000 to October 2001. For estimation of parameters of growth and mortality, monthly length-frequency data were analysed by ELEFAN. Parameters of growth were estimated, using the modified yon Bertalanffy growth function model. The female grew faster and reached larger size at the same age than the male, There was a breeding season showing a peak in winter (January to february). Total mortality by length-converted catch curve was estimated at $3.10 yr^{-1}$, fishing mortality was $0.62 y^{-1}$ and natural mortality was $2.48 yr^{-1}$. The size at $50\%$ sexual maturity for the female ranged from CL 11.00 to 11.50 mm.

An estimation of implied volatility for KOSPI200 option (KOSPI200 옵션의 내재변동성 추정)

  • Choi, Jieun;Lee, Jang Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.513-522
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    • 2014
  • Using the assumption that the price of a stock follows a geometric Brownian motion with constant volatility, Black and Scholes (BS) derived a formula that gives the price of a European call option on the stock as a function of the stock price, the strike price, the time to maturity, the risk-free interest rate, the dividend rate paid by the stock, and the volatility of the stock's return. However, implied volatilities of BS method tend to depend on the stock prices and the time to maturity in practice. To address this shortcoming, we estimate the implied volatility function as a function of the strike priceand the time to maturity for data consisting of the daily prices for KOSPI200 call options from January 2007 to May 2009 using support vector regression (SVR), the multiple additive regression trees (MART) algorithm, and ordinary least squaress (OLS) regression. In conclusion, use of MART or SVR in the BS pricing model reduced both RMSE and MAE, compared to the OLS-based BS pricing model.

A Study on the Determination of the Removal Times of Form in Concrete Using Fly Ash Cement (플라이애시 시멘트를 사용한 콘크리트의 거푸집 존치기간 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Shin Byung-Cheol;Han Min-Cehol
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.185-191
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, removal time of side form from concrete using OPC(ordinary Portland cement) and FAC(fly ash cement) are proposed by appling logistic model, which evaluates the strength development of concrete with maturity. W/B, types of cement and curing temperatures are adapted as test parameters. The estimation of strength development by logistic model has a good agreement between calculated values and measured ones. As for the removal times of form works suggested in this paper, as W/8 increases, curing temperature decreases and fly ash is used, removal time of side form is prolonged. Removal time of form from concrete using OPC suggested in this paper is shorter $2.5\~3.5$ days than those of KASS-5 (Korean Architectural Standard Specifications-5) in the range of over $20^{\circ}C$. And in the range of $10\~20^{\circ}C$ removal time of form is shorter than that of KASS-5 by as much as $4\~4.5$ days. The use of FAC results in an increase in removal time of form compared to that of OPC by about 1 day.

Nondestructive determination of humic acid in compost by NIRS

  • Seo, Sang-Hyun;Han, Xiao-Ri;Cho, Rae-Kwang;Park, Woo-Churl
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.1623-1623
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    • 2001
  • Composting is a biological method used to transform the organic waste into stable, humified organic amendments. Humification is indicated as the key factor in improving the quality of compost, because of the importance of humic substances to soil ecology, fertility and structure, and their beneficial effects on plant growth The compost constituents vary widely, however, the degree of maturity is very important factor in compost quality. So this experiment carried out to determine the rapid estimation of the quality in cattle, pig, chicken and waste composts using near infrared reflectance spectroscopy(NIRS). Near infrared reflectance spectra of composts was obtained by Infra Alyzer 500 scanning spectrophotometer at 2-nm intervals from 1100 to 2500nm. Multiple linear regression(MLR) or partial least square regression (PLSR) was used to evaluate a NIRS method for the rapid and nondestructive determination of humic acid contents in composts. The results summarized that NIR spectroscopy can be used as a routine testing method to determine quantitatively the humic acid content in the compost samples ondestructively. Especially, we supposed that absorbance around 2300nm is related to humic acid as a factor of compost maturity. However the NIR absorption approach is empirical, it actually requires many combinations of samples and data manipulations to obtain optimal prediction.

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Determination of the Protecting Periods of Frost Damage at Early Age in Cold Weather Concreting (한중콘크리트의 초기 동해 방지를 위한 초기 양생기간의 산정)

  • 한천구;한민철
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.47-55
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    • 2000
  • Protections from the frost damage at early ages are one of the serious problems to be considered in cold weather concreting. Frost damage at early ages brings about the harmful influences on the concrete structures such as surface cracks and declination of strength development. Therefore, in this paper, protecting periods of frost damage at early ages according to the standard specifications provided in KCI(Korean Concrete Institute) are suggested by appling logistic curve, which evaluates the strength development of concrete with maturity. W/B, kinds of cement and curing temperatures are selected as test parameters. According to the results, the estimation of strength development by logistic curve has a good agreement between calculated values and measured values. As W/B and compressive strength for protecting from frost damages at early ages increase, it is prolonged. It shows that the protecting periods of FAC(Fly Ash Cement) and BSC(Blast-furnace Slag Cement) concrete are longer than those of OPC(Ordinary Portland Cement) concrete. The protecting peridos from frost damage at early age by JASS are somewhat shorter than those by this paper.

Characteristics of Temperature History at Each Section of Mat Foundation Concrete Applying Double Bubble Sheets (이중버블시트를 적용한 매트 기초콘크리트의 부위별 온도이력 특성)

  • Kim, Tae-Cheong;Kim, Jong;Jeon, Chung-Keun;Shin, Dong-An;Oh, Seon-Kyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.13-14
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    • 2016
  • This study is aimed to analyze temperature history at each section of mat foundation concrete applying double bubble sheets. The results of the study are as follows. Firstly, the results of measuring the temperature history indicate that the lowest external temperature has been recorded at -5.6℃ for the three-day measurement period. For the central section, the result indicates that the lower, center and upper part have all secured the concrete curing temperature of 18℃ or higher. This results are believed to have resulted from excellent heat insulation performance of double bubble sheets. For the edge section between the edge form and the concrete interface, the temperature has been measured, on average, approximately 12℃ lower than the central section. However, all measured sections have indicated the temperature of 5℃ or higher. Meanwhile, an analysis has been conducted through the estimation equation of compressive strength of maturity during the curing period in order to examine the possibility of early frost damage and the aspect of securing strength. It has been confirmed that the compressive strength is higher than 50°D·D, namely, 5MPa, on the 3rd day of the aging process, which allows early frost damage to be avoided.

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Dental maturity of Saudi children: Role of ethnicity in age determination

  • Baghdadi, Ziad D.
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Demirjian's dental maturity scores and curves have been widely used for human age determination. Several authors have reported considerable differences between the true and estimated age based on the Demirjian curves, which have been accounted for by ethnicity. The purpose of the current study was to assess the role of ethnicity-specific dental maturation curves in age estimation of Saudi children. Materials and Methods: A sample of 452 healthy Saudi children aged 4 to 14 years were aged based on the original French-Canadian Demirjian curves and several modified Demirjian curves specified for certain ethnic groups: Saudi, Kuwaiti, Polish, Dutch, Pakistani, and Belgian. One-way ANOVA and a post hoc Scheff$\acute{e}$'s test were used to assess the differences between chronological age and dental age estimated by the different curves (P<0.05). Results: The curves designed for Dutch, Polish, Saudi, and Belgian (5th percentile) populations had a significantly lower error in estimating age than the original French-Canadian and Belgian (50th percentile) curves. The optimal curve for males was the Saudi one, with a mean absolute difference between estimated age and chronological age of 8.6 months. For females, the optimal curve was the Polish one, with a mean absolute difference of 7.4 months. It was revealed that accurate age determination was not related to certain ethnicity-specific curves. Conclusion: We conclude that ethnicity might play a role in age determination, but not a principal one.

Design and Application of Career Education Program Related to the Subject Manual Training and Home Economics of Middle School (중학교 기술·가정교과와 연계한 진로교육 프로그램의 구안과 적용)

  • Lee, Hee Soon;Kim, Hee Jin;Yun, Song Hea;Cheon, Seong Moon
    • Journal of vocational education research
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.247-263
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is making the career education program related to the subject, Manual Training and Home Economics, to present the effective guidance and to improve career maturity of students about the unit, "Making a choice of career and Job ethics" of middle school senior's course. In order to estimate this program, 60 students of 2 classes were chosen as research subjects among middle school seniors and each of classes was divided into two groups, an experimental group and a control group. After the experimental group was trained the career education program related to Manual Training and Home Economics for 15 sessions, the effect was verified by comparing tests before and after program execution. In order to prove effects of the program. Each grade of both the experimental group and the control group was taken analysis of covariance (ANCOVA). Result of the program experiment is following. First, after executing the career education program related to Manual Training and Home Economics to the experimental group, participants showed that both attitude and ability for career maturity were improved in each sub-factor field of the career maturity as a result of tests before and after program execution. Second, in program satisfaction estimation, most of students had a positive attitude and in every time satisfaction, they made high estimation on the program, especially including the proper level of students and interesting activities. Finally, the final program was completed based on the result of effect analysis of the program.

A Study on the Estimation of Launch Success Probability for Space Launch Vehicles Using Bayesian Method (베이지안 기법을 적용한 우주발사체의 발사 성공률 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seung-Woo;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2020
  • The reliability used as a performance indicator during the development of space launch vehicle should be validated by the launch success probability, and the launch data need to be fed back for reliability management. In this paper, the launch data of space launch vehicles around the world were investigated and statistically analyzed for the success probabilities according to the launch vehicle models and maturity. The Bayesian estimation of launch success probability was reviewed and analyzed by comparing the estimated success probabilities using several prior distributions and the statistical success probability. We presented the method of generating prior distribution function and considerations for Bayesian estimation.

Analysis of Gonadosomatic Index (GSI) and Sexual Dimorphism of Coreoleuciscus splendidus in Age Groups (연령에 따른 쉬리 Coreoleuciscus splendidus의 성적이형과 생식소 숙도 분석)

  • Song, Ha-Yoon;Kim, Kyeong-Mu;Shin, A-Ri;Lee, Jin-Seok;Park, Hee-Won;Lee, Wan-Ok
    • Korean Journal of Ichthyology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.176-189
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    • 2017
  • Age estimation and sexual dimorphism of Coreoleuciscus splendidus were estimated using otolith, length-frequency distribution and 23 morphological measurements, from 245 individuals collected from September 2016, February and April 2017 in the Gapyeong stream, Han River, Korea. Result of age estimation of C. splendidus, we most examined were 2, 3 and 4-age, and the maximum observed ages were 5-age. Nine out of twenty-three morphometric measurements were significantly different between the genders. Anal fin have showing major sexual dimorphism in particular between adult individuals. This sexual dimorphism was based on extension of anal fin soft rays of male individuals. Therefore anal fin of males is always longer and wider than females. During spawning season male individuals possess nuptial tubercles on anal fin rays. However, another measurements and morphological characters does not exhibit sexual dimorphism in the between male and female individuals. The sexual dimorphism was observed to only over 2-years old individuals with sexual maturity. But juvenile and 1-years old individuals do not have sexual dimorphism with sexual maturity. Peak season of spawning was April to May and they start first spawning at 2-age. The ages at major spawning groups were most 3-age, and they maximum GSI index was 14.91 (female), 8.96 (male) at 5-age, respectively.