• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.83-91
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• 1999

In order to build and manage an ATM network effectively under several types of control methods, it is necessary to estimate the performance of the equipments in various viewpoints, especially of ATM multiplexer. As for the method to model the input stream into the ATM multiplexer, many researches have been done to characterize it by, such as, fluid flow, MMPP(Markov Modulated Poisson Process), or MMDP (Markov Modulated Deterministic Process). We introduce an MRP(Markov Renewal Process) to model the input stream which has proper structure to represent the burst traffic with high correlation. In this paper, we build a model for aggregated heterogeneous ON-OFF sources of ATM traffic by MRP. We make discrete time MR/D/1/B queueing system, whose input process is the superposed MRP and present a performance analysis by finding CLP(Cell Loss Probability). A simulation is done to validate our algorithm.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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• v.26 no.2
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• pp.317-320
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• 2022

This paper studies real-time error in the context of monitoring a symmetric binary information source over a delay system. To obtain the average real-time error, the delay system is modeled and analyzed as a discrete time Markov chain with a finite state space. Numerical analysis is performed on various system parameters such as state transition probabilities of information source, transmission times, and transmission frequencies. Given state transition probabilities and transmission times, we investigate the relationship between the transmission frequency and the average real-time error. The results can be used to investigate the relationship between real-time errors and age of information.

• 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.02a
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• pp.487-492
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• 2008

Facial expression recognition is an intensive research area for designing Human Computer Interfaces. In this work, we present a new facial expression recognition system utilizing Enhanced Independent Component Analysis (EICA) for feature extraction and discrete Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for recognition. Our proposed approach for the first time deals with sequential images of emotion-specific facial data analyzed with EICA and recognized with HMM. Performance of our proposed system has been compared to the conventional approaches where Principal and Independent Component Analysis are utilized for feature extraction. Our preliminary results show that our proposed algorithm produces improved recognition rates in comparison to previous works.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.295-304
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• 2016

Purpose: This paper presents an application of Markov Process to reliability and availability analysis. In order to do that of analysis, we set up a specific case of Tablet PC and it's usage scenario. The case has it some spares and maintenance and repair processes. Methods: Different configurations of the tablet PC and as well as their functions are defined. The system configuration and calculated failure rates of components are modeled from Windchill Quality Solution. Two models, without a spare and with spare, are created and compared using Markov Process. The Matlab numerical analysis is used to simulate and show the change of state with time. Availability of the system is computed by determining the time the system stays in different states. Results: The mission availability and steady-state condition availability in accordance with the mission are compared and the availability of the system with spares have improved availability than without spares. Simulated data shows that downtime of the system increased which results in greater availability through the consideration of spares. Conclusion: There's many techniques and methods to do reliability and availability analysis and mostly are time-independent assumptions. But Markov Process, even though its steady-state and ergodic properties, can do time analysis any given time periods.

• International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.775-787
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• 2014

Availabilities of subsea Blowout Preventers (BOP) in the Gulf of Mexico Outer Continental Shelf (GoM OCS) is investigated using a Markov method. An updated ${\beta}$ factor model by SINTEF is used for common-cause failures in multiple redundant systems. Coefficient values of failure rates for the Markov model are derived using the ${\beta}$ factor model of the PDS (reliability of computer-based safety systems, Norwegian acronym) method. The blind shear ram preventer system of the subsea BOP components considers a demand rate to reflect reality more. Markov models considering the demand rate for one or two components are introduced. Two data sets are compared at the GoM OCS. The results show that three or four pipe ram preventers give similar availabilities, but redundant blind shear ram preventers or annular preventers enhance the availability of the subsea BOP. Also control systems (PODs) and connectors are contributable components to improve the availability of the subsea BOPs based on sensitivity analysis.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.19 no.8
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• pp.1915-1926
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• 1995

The Fatigue characteristics of 8-harness satin woven CFRP composites with a circular hole are experimentally investigated under constant amplitude tension-tension loading. It is found in this study that the fatigue damage accumulation behavior is very random and history-independent, and the fatigue cumulative damage is linearly related with the mean number of cycles to a specified damage state. From these results, it is known that the fatigue characteristics of CFRP composites satisfy the basic assumptions of Markov chain theory and the parameter of Markov chain model can be determined only by mean and variance of fatigue lives. The predicted distribution of the fatigue cumulative damage using Markov chain model shows a good agreement with the test results. For the fatigue life distribution, Markov chain model makes similar accuracy to 2-parameter Weibull distribution function.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.76-88
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• 1991

Stochastic convexity (concavity) of a stochastic process is a very useful concept for various stochastic optimization problems. In this study we first establish stochastic convexity of a certain class of Markov additive processes through probabilistic construction based on the sample path approach. A Markov additive process is abtained by integrating a functional of the underlying Markov process with respect to time, and its stochastic convexity can be utilized to provide efficient methods for optimal design or optimal operation schedule wide range of stochastic systems. We also clarify the conditions for stochastic monotonicity of the Markov process. From the result it is shown that stachstic convexity can be used for the analysis of probabilitic models based on birth and death processes, which have very wide applications area. Finally we demonstrate the validity and usefulness of the theoretical results by developing efficient methods for the optimal replacement scheduling based on the stochastic convexity property.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.1043-1050
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• 2022

Markov chains and Monte Carlo Simulation were applied to account for the probabilistic nature of pavement deterioration over time using data collected in the field. The primary purpose of this study was to evaluate pavement network performance of Western Australia (WA) by applying the existing pavement management tools relevant to WA road construction networks. Two approaches were used to analyze the pavement networks: evaluating current pavement performance data to assess WA State Road networks and predicting the future states using past and current pavement data. The Markov chains process and Monte Carlo Simulation methods were used to predicting future conditions. The results indicated that Markov chains and Monte Carlo Simulation prediction models perform well compared to pavement performance data from the last four decades. The results also revealed the impact of design, traffic demand, and climate and construction standards on urban pavement performance. This study recommends an appropriate and effective pavement engineering management system for proper pavement design and analysis, preliminary planning, future pavement maintenance and rehabilitation, service life, and sustainable pavement construction functionality.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.805-814
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• 1994

In this paper, we introduce a new method which is available for analyzing the throughput of the packet radio network by using the auxiliary Markov transient matrix with a failure state and a success state. And we consider the effect of symbol error for the network state(X, R) consisted of the number of transmitting PRU X and receiving PRU R. We examine the packet radio network of a continuous time Markov chain model, and the direct sequence binary phase shift keying CDMA radio channel with hard decision Viterbi decoding and bit-by-bit changing spreading code. For the unslotted distributed multi-hop packet radio network, we assume that the packet error due to a symbol error of radio channel has Poisson process, and the time period of an error occurrence is exponentially distributed. Through the throughputs which are found as a function of radio channel parameters, such as the received signal to noise ratio and chips of spreading code per symbol, and of network parameters, such as the number of PRU and offered traffic rate, it is shown that this composite analysis enables us to combine the Markovian packet radio network model with a coded DS/BPSK CDMA radio channel.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.3
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• pp.213-225
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• 2009

A stationary Markov chain model is a stochastic process with the Markov property. Having the Markov property means that, given the present state, future states are independent of the past states. The Markov chain model has been widely used for water resources design as a main tool. A main assumption of the stationary Markov model is that statistical properties remain the same for all times. Hence, the stationary Markov chain model basically can not consider the changes of mean or variance. In this regard, a primary objective of this study is to develop a model which is able to make use of exogenous variables. The regression based link functions are employed to dynamically update model parameters given the exogenous variables, and the model parameters are estimated by canonical correlation analysis. The proposed model is applied to daily rainfall series at Seoul station having 46 years data from 1961 to 2006. The model shows a capability to reproduce daily and seasonal characteristics simultaneously. Therefore, the proposed model can be used as a short or mid-term prediction tool if elaborate GCM forecasts are used as a predictor. Also, the nonstationary Markov chain model can be applied to climate change studies if GCM based climate change scenarios are provided as inputs.