• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market Timing

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Labor Force Withdrawal And Entry (Surrounding First Birth of Married Women) (출산을 전후한 시기 여성의 노동시장 이탈과 진입 (미국 기혼여성의 경우))

  • 장지연
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.5-42
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    • 1997
  • This study contributes to understanding women's labor market behavior by focusing on a particular set of labor force transitions - labor force withdrawal and entry during the period surrounding the first birth of a child. In particular, this study provides a dynamic analyses, using longitudinal data and event history analysis, to conceptualize labor force behaviors in a straightforward way. The main research question addresses which factors increase or decrease the hazard rates of leaving and entering the labor market. This study used piecewise Gompertz model, following the guide of the non-parametric analysis on the hazard rates, which allowed relatively detailed description on the distribution of timing of leave and entry to the labor market as parameters of interest. The results show that preferences and structural variables, as well as economic considerations, are very important factors to explain the labor market behavior of women in the period surrounding childbirth.

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Tests for the Structure Change and Asymmetry of Price Volatility in Farming Olive Flounder (양식 넙치가격 변동성의 구조변화와 비대칭성 검증)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2014
  • This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

Analysis of Initial Synchronization Performance in OFDMA/TDD Systems (OFDMA/TDD 시스템의 초기 동기 성능 분석)

  • Seung Young-Min;Kim Ki-Nam;Cho Sung-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.410-414
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    • 2006
  • In the present, Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiple Access (OFDMA) that wireless access scheme for high speed data transmission is noticed in mobile communication market and OFDMA/TDD scheme will be used combining Time Division Duplex (TDD) scheme based on OFDMA. The Base Station's receiver synchronizes the symbol timing to anyone user's symbol and the other user's symbols have some Symbol Timing Offset (STO). Linear phase shift is occurred by each user's STO in an OFDMA symbol and the Multiple Access Interference (MAI) caused by the summation of each user's linear phase shift degrades the performance of ranging code detection. In this paper, we analyze the ranging code detection performance for each users STO in OFDMA/TDD system. Simulation results show that the more users access and mobile speed increase, the more ranging code detection performance degrades.

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Research on Determine Buying and Selling Timing of US Stocks Based on Fear & Greed Index (Fear & Greed Index 기반 미국 주식 단기 매수와 매도 결정 시점 연구)

  • Sunghyuck Hong
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2023
  • Determining the timing of buying and selling in stock investment is one of the most important factors to increase the return on stock investment. Buying low and selling high makes a profit, but buying high and selling low makes a loss. The price is determined by the quantity of buying and selling, which determines the price of a stock, and buying and selling is also related to corporate performance and economic indicators. The fear and greed index provided by CNN uses seven factors, and by assigning weights to each element, the weighted average defined as greed and fear is calculated on a scale between 0 and 100 and published every day. When the index is close to 0, the stock market sentiment is fearful, and when the index is close to 100, it is greedy. Therefore, we analyze the trading criteria that generate the maximum return when buying and selling the US S&P 500 index according to CNN fear and greed index, suggesting the optimal buying and selling timing to suggest a way to increase the return on stock investment.

The Effects of Compliance Timing on Multinational Enterprises' Corporate Performance in China: An Application of Institutional Perspectives

  • Yang, Woo-Young;Han, Byoung-Sop
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - Multi-National Enterprises (MNEs) tend to face a high level of institutional pressures in regions with high institutional development level. When complying with institutional pressures, firms try to make decisions to maximize profit while minimizing the risks to them. The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of the institutional development level on institutional compliance timing by MNEs and the relationship between compliance speed and corporate performance. Design/methodology - The research focuses on three main variables, which are the institutional development level (as a determination of the institutional pressure level), the firm's compliance speed (as a determination of the compliance timing), and the firm's financial performance (as a determination of the corporate performance). We collected 19,869 firm-level data from CSMAR (the China Stock Market and Accounting Research), 6,922 CSR data from RKS (the Rankins CSR Ratings), and province and city-level data from the NERIM (National Economic Research Institute Index of Marketization) and NBSC (National Bureau of Statistics of China). The firms in China were chosen for analysis, and the analysis period was from 2008 to 2017. Random Effects GLS Regression was used to test the relationships among the variables. Findings - This study examined the effect of the institutional development level on the firm's compliance speed, together with the effect of compliance speed on the firm's financial performance of the MNEs in China. We found that the institutional development level positively influenced firms' financial performances, which means the firms' financial performances are better in the region with a high institutional development level. The compliance speed of institutional practice by firms was faster in the higher level of institutional development. However, the firm's delayed compliance led to better financial performance. Originality/value - Studies in the resource dependence view of Institutional Theory often fall short in understanding the theory by overlooking the firm's active decision-making. Thus, the findings do not present a full scope of corporate performance in this regard. This study not only found a way to test the role of a firm's independent decision-making (i.e., compliance timing) when facing the institutional pressure but also prove the significant role of the compliance timing on corporate performance. Also, we were able to test the effect of institutional development level, controlling location-specific variables because we used CSR performance data for MNEs operating in China. Lastly, by doing the above, the findings of this study suggest practical implications to the industry practitioners in MNEs.

The Effect of Optimistic Investors' Sentiment on Anomalious Behaviors in the Hot Market IPOs (낙관적 투자자의 기대가 핫마켓상황 IPO 시장의 이상현상에 미치는 영향력 검증)

  • Kim, Hyeon-A;Jung, Sung-Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.1-33
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    • 2010
  • This study explores if the higher initial returns and the poorer long-run performance observed in the IPOs markets are associated with the firms offered in the 'hot markets,' and then empirically examines the effect of optimistic investors' sentiment on this phenomenon, particularly in the aspects of both pricing mechanism and the opportunistic behavior of offering firms. We analyzed a total of 432 IPO firms for the years between 2001 and 2005. This analysis finds that the initial returns and long-run under-performances of 'IPOs in the hot market' are significantly higher than those of 'IPOs in the cold market.' This study also finds that the proxy variables for the optimistic investors' sentiment have a positive effect on the initial return and negative effect on the long-run performance. Finally, this research finds no difference of ownership structure, venture capital backed, and financial properties between hot market IPOs and cold market IPOs. R&D expenditure rate and financial qualities of IPOs are higher in the hot market than in the cold market. These results do not support the 'windows of opportunity' hypothesis that low quality firms take advantage of hot market condition for successful IPOs.

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The Internalization Strategies for Venture Business (벤처기업의 국제화 전략)

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Kim, Pan-Jin;Na, Seung-Hwa
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.101-122
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    • 2009
  • This study examines internationalization determinant factors, motivation and goal of internalization, market entry methods, timing, region, internalization strategy and access method, internationalization performance and success factors, problems and troubles of internalization, and ultimately suggests internalization strategies for domestic venture companies. The study found that interior factors of internationalization determinant factors are characteristics of new firm and technological capabilities while exterior factors include narrow domestic market, industrialization level, competition level, product life cycle, economy of scale, and global network. Motivation was found to include securing and preoccupying market, cost reduction and efficient production through moving of production base, and the necessity of network formation.

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Investigating Railway Market Trends based on the Characteristics of International Railway Business Orders (해외 철도사업 발주 특성에 따른 철도 시장 동향 분석)

  • Oh, Ji-Taek;Hwang, Seonkeun;Pyo, Sukhoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.785-791
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    • 2016
  • This research suggests feasible means for domestic railway industries to actively enter overseas railway markets by thoroughly analyzed the business trends of the expanding international railway markets and their characteristics. The 983 independent cases of international railway orders introduced in domestic markets during the past five years were analysed. In order to enhance the efficiency and consistency of the series of analysis, one classification system was established, and proportions of each category were assessed after the analysis of each piece of business information in the classification. It can be concluded from the analysis that early entrance into new projects with system design similar to that used in Korea will enrich the chances for domestic industries to enter the expanding international railway market, because Korean business is likely face competition from other companies for low-price contracts if the entering timing to the market is too late.

The Prediction of the Apartment Construction Project Cashflow with Changing Sales Point (분양시기 변동에 따른 공동주택 건설공사 현금흐름 예측)

  • Bae Jun-Ho;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.234-237
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    • 2003
  • The Korean housing supply have been provided by the Pre-construction sales system. The Pre-construction sales system contributed to large housing supply. But it followed by the market anomaly. Along the housing market is changing to tile market for consumers, it requires new policy and regulations. This market changes and needs to modify the policy make a discussion about introducing the Post-construction sales system. it concerns to change the time to sale. This paper analyzes the present feasibility study and makes a tool to predict construction cashflow considering changed sales point. The sales timing leads to decide the amount of financial costs in the construction project and that cost affects to the feasibility. The accurate cashflow prediction is required for a successful apartment construction delivery.

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Using correlated volume index to support investment strategies in Kospi200 future market (거래량 지표를 이용한 코스피200 선물 매매 전략)

  • Cho, Seong-Hyun;Oh, Kyong Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.235-244
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we propose a new trading strategy by using a trading volume index in KOSPI200 futures market. Many studies have been conducted with respect to the relationship between volume and price, but none of them is clearly concluded. This study analyzes the economic usefulness of investment strategy, using volume index. This analysis shows that the trading volume is a preceding index. This paper contains two objectives. The first objective is to make an index using Correlated Volume Index (CVI) and second objective is to find an appropriate timing to buy or sell the Kospi200 future index. The results of this study proved the importance of the proposed model in KOSPI200 futures market, and it will help many investors to make the right investment decision.