• 제목/요약/키워드: Market Risk Management

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Modeling and Forecasting Saudi Stock Market Volatility Using Wavelet Methods

  • ALSHAMMARI, Tariq S.;ISMAIL, Mohd T.;AL-WADI, Sadam;SALEH, Mohammad H.;JABER, Jamil J.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권11호
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2020
  • This empirical research aims to modeling and improving the forecasting accuracy of the volatility pattern by employing the Saudi Arabia stock market (Tadawul)by studying daily closed price index data from October 2011 to December 2019 with a number of observations being 2048. In order to achieve significant results, this study employs many mathematical functions which are non-linear spectral model Maximum overlapping Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) based on the best localized function (Bl14), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models. Therefore, the major findings of this study show that all the previous events during the mentioned period of time will be explained and a new forecasting model will be suggested by combining the best MODWT function (Bl14 function) and the fitted GARCH model. Therefore, the results show that the ability of MODWT in decomposition the stock market data, highlighting the significant events which have the most highly volatile data and improving the forecasting accuracy will be showed based on some mathematical criteria such as Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE), Root Means Squared Error (RMSE), Akaike information criterion. These results will be implemented using MATLAB software and R- software.

해외 발전플랜트 리스크 분류체계 및 관계형 데이터베이스 구축 방안 (Risk Classification and Relational Database Schema in Overseas Power Plant Construction)

  • 김민;정영수
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2014년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.192-193
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    • 2014
  • Due to the decreasing domestic construction market since 2007, Korean construction companies are expanding overseas market. As a result, the international market share by Korea has been continuously increased and achieved 65.2 billion dollars in 2013. Despite of such visible results, profitability concerns are constantly arising. It is pointed out that the low-priced bid competition between Korean construction companies and various unpredictable risks are the most crucial factors which aggravate the profitability in the overseas projects. From this point of view, predicting the risks in advance and controling them could be the most important tasks to improve the profitability. This research proposed 202 risk factors with a hierarchy and relational database schema for power plant construction, which is based on the 24 risk classifications in previous research (Kim & Jung 2013). Proposed risk classification and relational database schema could be utilized as the basic data in risk management system.

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분산분해와 뎁트랭크를 활용한 정보흐름에 기반으로 시스템 위험 측정에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on Measuring Systemic Risk Based on Information Flows using Variance Decomposition and DebtRank)

  • 박아영;김호용;오갑진
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제40권4호
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2015
  • We analyze the systemic risk based on the information flows using the variance decomposition, DebtRank methods, and the Industry Sector Indices during 2001. 01 to 2015. 08. Using the KOSPI stock market as our setting, we find that (i) the systemic risk calculated by information flows of variance decompositions method shows strong positive relations with the market volatility, (ii) the magnitude of systemic risk measured from the information flows network by DebtRank method increases after the subprime financial crisis.

코플라 함수를 이용한 국내 시중은행의 통합위험 측정 (A Study on Measuring the Integrated Risk of Domestic Banks Using the Copula Function)

  • 장경천;이상헌;김현석
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.359-383
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 국내 시중은행의 통합위험 측정시 시장위험과 신용위험간에 존재하는 포트폴리오이론에 따른 분산효과에 대해서 실증적으로 검증하였다. 이를 위하여 최근 통합위험 측정에 있어서 연구되고 있는 하향식 통합위험 측정방식, 즉 시장위험과 신용위험의 위험분포도를 도출하고 이들 특성을 유지하면서 결합하는 측정방식을 사용하였다. 한편 비교모형으로는 금융회사의 내부모형을 통해 산출되는 시장위험과 신용위험의 단순합산, 그리고 실무에서 많이 사용되는 위험액 자체에 임의의 상관관계를 고려하는 단순통합모형을 사용하였다. 실증분석에서 시장 및 신용위험 등 위험유형별 위험을 산출하고 코플라 함수를 이용하여 '09.3월말을 기준으로 국내은행에 대한 통합위험을 산출한 결과 내부모형의 단순합산에 비해 분산효과가 31.3%로 추정되어 위험의 분산효과가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 포트폴리오이론에 따르면 위험유형별 분산효과뿐만 아니라 위험유형간에도 분산효과가 존재한다는 사실을 시사하고 있는데, 본 연구는 실증적 검증을 통하여 위험유형간에 분산효과가 존재하고 있음을 확인하고 있다. 이러한 결과는 향후 자기자본규제뿐만 아니라 이론적으로나 실무적으로 중요한 의미를 가지며, 감독당국을 포함한 모든 시장 참가자들의 지속적으로 관심을 가져야 할 것으로 판단된다.

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ISO14971:2019 세부분석과 Post Market Surveillance의 적용 방안 - IVDR 요구사항 중심으로 (ISO14971:2019 detailed analysis and Post Market Surveillance Application Method - Focusing on IVDR requirements)

  • 강일규
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.199-213
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    • 2022
  • EN ISO 14971:2012 a risk management standard approved and applied as a European standard in 2012, will be adopted and applied as ISO 14971:2019 published in December 2019, ISO/TR 24971(Guidance) published in June 2020 from May 2022. After that, it is applied to IVDD surveillance and IVDR new and conversion, and the manufacturer is already preparing for application or is starting preparation for application. In addition, 98/78/EEC IVDD applied from 1998 will also be applied as REGULATION (EU) 2017/746 IVDR from May 2022. In particular, in IVDR, the requirements for post-marketing investigations such as Post Market Surveillance (PMS), Summary of safety and performance(SSP), Periodic Safety Update Report(PSUR) and Post Market Performance Follow Up(PMPF), which were not required in the existing IVDD, increased, and the contents were also specified. This study focused on ISO14971:2019 among these strengthened and newly applied regulations, and tried to present a detailed analysis and application plan of Post Market Surveillance (PMS) required by 2017/746 IVDR.

중국 모바일 결제서비스의 발전과 사용동기 - 중국 모바일 결제서비스 알리페이, 위챗페이를 중심으로 - (Growth and Motivations for Chinese Mobile Payment Service: An Empirical Study Using Ali-Pay and Wechat-Pay Users in Chinese Market)

  • 윤창룡;이새봄;노인성;서영호
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제45권1호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is how Chinese users' personal traits affect the intention to use mobile payment. This research selects personal innovativeness and habit of cash payment as personal traits, and considers perceived risks and relative advantage as personal beliefs. In addition, the research divided perceived risks into three multi-faceted risks, which are privacy risk, financial risk and performance risk. Methods: The method of this study used questionnaire survey to collect 241 data on users' perception on mobile payment, and also used a structural equation modeling method. Results: The result of this paper shows that all hypotheses are statistically significant except 4 hypotheses. Conclusion: The result of this study found that personal innovativeness is negatively related with all 3 kinds of perceived risks as anticipated. And Chinese users' traditional habit of cash payment negatively affects intention to use mobile payment but is not statistically significant affecting three perceived risks. Among perceived risks, privacy risk is the most negatively influencing factor to relative advantage.

Factors Affecting Financial Risk: Evidence from Listed Enterprises in Vietnam

  • DANG, Hang Thu;PHAN, Duong Thuy;NGUYEN, Ha Thi;HOANG, Le Hong Thi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2020
  • This paper analyzes factors affecting enterprise's financial risk listed on the Vietnam stock market. The panel data of research sample includes 524 non-financial listed enterprises on the Vietnam stock market for a period of eleven years, from 2009 to 2019. The Generalized Least Square (GLS) is employed to address econometric issues and to improve the accuracy of the regression coefficients. In this research, financial risk is measured by the Alexander Bathory model. Debt structure, Solvency, Profitability, Operational ability, Capital structure are independent variables in the study. Firm Size, firm age, growth rate are control variables. The model results show that in order to prevent and limit financial risk for enterprises listed on the Vietnam Stock Market, attention should be paid to variables reflecting Liability structure ratio, Quick Ratio, Return on Assets, Total asset turnover, Accounts receivable turnover, Net assets ratio and Fixed assets ratio. The empirical results show that there are differences in the impact of these factors on the financial risk in state-owned enterprises and non-state enterprises listed on the Vietnam stock market. The findings of this article are useful for business administrators, helping business managers make the right financial decisions to improve the efficiency of financial risk management in enterprises.

추세동반투자전략이 개별투자주체의 투자성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

  • 오형식;김우창
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.77-80
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    • 2000
  • Feedback herding strategy in stock market means considering other investor's strategy as a basis of market forecasting of next term. Generally, individual investors use that strategy which mimics the strategy of institutional investors. When it is used in stock market, both kind of investors, preceders and followers, can take the higher average of rate of return to normal market in which no feedback herding strategy is not use, the more investors take part in. And variance of return, the risk of investment, are same to both group.

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Important Role of Power Exchange in Conducting Futures Market for Stabilizing Electric Power Industry in Transition

  • Yoon, Yong T.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • 제3A권1호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2003
  • At present the electric power industry in Korea is going through a major restructuring process. The restructuring is motivated by a desire to reduce electricity supply costs, to attract new in-vestment in modern generation, transmission and distribution facilities, and to stimulate innovation in the wholesale production and the retail supply of electricity. The experience to date shows that restructuring of electric power industry in the US, however, is marred with a number of problematic market performances including unreasonably high prices at wholesale. This paper investigates the important role of Power Exchange for stabilizing electric power industry in transition by offering various financial products. These financial products are used for risk hedging by the market participants. The paper focuses on the risk hedging by an individual supplier and derives an explicit decision rule that incorporates the attitude towards the risks. In addition to providing the financial products for risk hedging by market participants, the Power Exchange plays another very important role of financial safeguard system. Because of its unique characteristics, the Power Exchange is well suited for financial surveillance where it performs the early detection of unsound financial (and to a large extent operational) practices on the part of any system users and protect the system integrity and the market participants from the consequences of a default in the clearing structure.

프로젝트 파이낸싱을 활용한 국내 SOC 민간투자사업 건축기획 단계에서의 리스크 관리 (A Risk Management of Architectural Planning Phase in the Korea Private Infrastructure Project Using Project Financing)

  • 이신영;김선규;이낙운
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제27권B호
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2007
  • Project Financing(PF) was introduced from the way of banks' conditional financing that take buried oil as security and offer required money to oil explores which have weak loaning ability in the U.S. 1930s. After that PF has developed with financial market and it has been activated in the market of Korea since 'An Institution about Private Financing Invitation Promotion' was established. Started with I-Hwa Ryoung tunnel project, PF has been used in the Metropolitan Area Airport Highway and etc. But because of the risk that occurred by PF's complexity and uncertainty, PF has not been used fully and there are only few practical examples. The purpose of the present study is to investigate how to decrease, identify and extract the risky factors of project that being planned by PF.

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