• 제목/요약/키워드: Market Flow

검색결과 605건 처리시간 0.028초

The Impact of Operating Cash Flow in Decision-Making of Individual Investors in Vietnam's Stock Market

  • NGUYEN, Dung Duc;NGUYEN, Cong Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제7권5호
    • /
    • pp.19-29
    • /
    • 2020
  • The paper examines the impact of information about cash flow from operating activities of firms listed on Vietnam's stock market to the decision making of individual investors. Data were collected from interviews with 160 individual investors about their investment decisions based on information on profit growth and cash flow growth from operating activities. T-test was conducted to research on Vietnam's stock market - a market considered as information that is not really public, transparent and ineffective. The research results show that: (1) investors do not care about cash flow from operating activities when making investment decisions if the company's profits grow positively, (2) information about cash flow from operating activities only affects the decisions of individual investors once profit growth is negative, and (3) conflicting information between profit growth and cash flow growth from business activities significantly affects the confidence and comfort of investors in Vietnam's stock market when they make investment decisions. Then, the study points out the mistake of investors when making investment decisions, and offers recommendations to investors when making investment decisions, not only concerned with profit growth, but also paying special attention to cash flow growth, especially cash flow from the company's business operations.

펀드플로우와 시장위험 (Fund Flow and Market Risk)

  • 정효윤;박종원
    • 재무관리연구
    • /
    • 제27권2호
    • /
    • pp.169-204
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 한국금융시장의 자료를 이용하여 펀드플로우와 시장위험간의 관계를 검증하고, 펀드플로우의 변화가 시장의 위험수준의 변화를 설명할 수 있는지를 분석하였다. 이는 펀드플로우와 시장위험간의 관계에 대한 학문적 시사점을 제공하고 일각에서 제기하고 있는 펀드런에 의한 시스템리스크 유발가능성을 탐색한다는 점에서 의미를 갖는다. 주식형 펀드플로우와 주식시장 위험에 대한 분석결과는 펀드자금의 유입이 시장위험과 (+)의 관계를 가짐을 보여준다. 채권형 펀드의 경우 펀드플로우는 채무불이행위험프리미엄과 음(-)의 관계를, 기간프리미엄과는 양(+)의 관계를 갖는다. MMF의 결과는 MMF로의 자금유입이 시장의 유동성위험을 줄여줌을 보여준다. 예측오차의 분산분해를 통한 전이지수의 구성을 통해 펀드플로우의 변화가 시장위험의 변화를 얼마나 설명할 수 있는지를 분석한 결과는 설명력이 제한적이며 변동이 매우 심한 결과를 보여준다. 주식시장의 경우 한국자본시장에서 서브프라임 사태의 영향이 본격화된 시기인 2007년 말 이후 펀드플로우에 가해진 변화가 시장의 위험변동을 설명하는 비율이 상대적으로 크게 증가해 이러한 추세가 상당기간 지속되는 모습을 보인다. 반면, 채권시장의 경우 2008년 말 이후 펀드플로우에 가해진 충격이 채권시장의 위험에 전이되는 현상이 지속적으로 나타나며, 단기 금융시장의 경우에는 이러한 현상이 체계적으로 발생하지 않는다. 주식시장과 채권시장에서 보인 특정시기를 중심으로 하는 전염효과의 지속현상은 펀드플로우에 가해진 예상치 못한 충격이 시장위험을 증가시킬 수 있음을 의미한다. 그러나 회귀분석과 VAR 모형의 추정결과, 그리고 분산분해의 설명력 등을 고려하여 판단할 때 본 연구의 결과는 펀드플로우의 변화가 시장위험의 변동을 설명하는 설명력이 제한적이어서 일부에서 우려하는 펀드런에 따른 금융시장의 시스템리스크의 증가와 전반적인 위기의 확산으로 나타날 가능성은 높지 않음을 말해준다.

  • PDF

플로우 경험이 휴대폰 서비스 이용에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effects of Flow on the Utilization of Mobile Phone Service)

  • 박윤서;이승인;이효선
    • 경영과학
    • /
    • 제27권3호
    • /
    • pp.117-135
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to segment the mobile phone users based on the flow types and to understand the differences in mobile phone usage behavior between the segmented groups. The 'flow' construct, which was introduced first in marketing by Hoffman and Novak[44], has been used as an important keyword for understanding consumer behavior on the World Wide Web. In this paper, we will try to use the flow aspect for the mobile market segmentation, which is one of the most fundamental tools for developing a successful marketing strategy on the mobile phone service market. We collected survey data from consumers and analyzed the data with the SPSS 12.0 package where we did ${\chi}^2$-test, factor analysis, one-way ANOVA and cluster analysis. Main results of this study are as follow. First, the flow types of the mobile phone users were classified into five types, which are named as the 'Flow' type, 'Apathy' type, 'Anxiety' type, 'Boredom' type, 'Control' type. Second, most of the results related to the usage of mobile phone service showed statistically significant differences between flow types. These findings suggest that the mobile phone service marketers should consider the various flow types of users and work out effective market segmentation strategies based on these consumer flow types.

일본 냉동새우 선물시장의 효율성과 정보흐름에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Efficiency and Information for Future Market of Japan's Frozen Shrimp)

  • 이병근;전혜민;김기수
    • 수산경영론집
    • /
    • 제40권1호
    • /
    • pp.51-74
    • /
    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to ascertain that how the futures market of the Japanese frozen shrimp that is the only fisheries asset all over the world can be efficient. Accordingly, this paper examines efficiency and information flow of the Japanese frozen shrimp market using data from Kansai Commodities Exchange frozen shrimp futures closing prices and spot prices. And then this paper estimates a forward price model using that data. From the model, risk premium is estimated and we could also analyse the future information flow into the futures market which reveals future spot prices. This thesis reached to conclusions as follows: First, the null of zero risk premium is rejected and the value of that is negative. Second, the time pattern of information flow into the futures market is that most of the information on future price arrives within a week and for the last week, most of relevant information is already incorporated. The result of this study contrasts with that of Stockman(1978) about currency futures market of U.S.

  • PDF

병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측 (A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information)

  • 문영전;양동현
    • 한국병원경영학회지
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.19-41
    • /
    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

  • PDF

한.미.중 의료기기에 관한연구 (A Study on the Medical Devices in Korea, U.S., and China)

  • 배홍균
    • 무역상무연구
    • /
    • 제59권
    • /
    • pp.181-205
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study has analyzed the international trade flow of medical devices in Korea, China, and U.S. more theoretically and systematically through a mutual connection of the medical device export structure of Korea and the import structure of China and U.S. organically, with an intensity approach on the bilateral international trade flow. Also, it is meaningful to find a solution to boost exports of Korea to China and U.S.. Therefore in this study, we recognize the importance of the medical device market in China and U.S., which is the main competition for Korea and its market, and look into the trade situation of these three countries. We also look into the relative market stream and the trade intensity of the main medical devices in Korea, China and U.S., and seek measures for the steady growth of the medical device market in these three countries.

  • PDF

경쟁적 전력시장 하에서의 최적조류계산 응용에 관한 연구 (The uses of Optimal Power Flow in Competitive Electric Power market)

  • 허돈;박종근;김발호
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
    • /
    • 제50권8호
    • /
    • pp.379-387
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper shows that we can make simple modifications to an existing optimal power flow(OPF) algorithm that minimizes generation costs in order to solve the maximization of social welfare objective of the OPF in a competitive electric power market. We have illustrated the potential for the use of OPF in light of the marked impacts on nodal prices and generation/demand allocation levels among competing suppliers. This paper can provide all market players with the transparent information that ensures sufficient control over producers and consumers in case of economic of secure operation with transmission line outage while maximizing the sum of participants social benefit of participating in the electricity energy market.

  • PDF

기술축적과정에서의 사용자-생산자 관계 : 우리나라 기계제어 컴퓨터 사례

  • 임채성
    • 기술혁신연구
    • /
    • 제9권1호
    • /
    • pp.149-165
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper analyses characteristics of the numerical controller industry in market formation and the flow of information between users and producers and the characteristic of knowledge base of the industry and discuses the difficulties derived, from the characteristics, in accumulation of technological capability. In market formation between users and producers, the multi-layered market is not favorable to domestic producers in that lower end market is not large enough to provide cradle market to them which produce inferior quality and lower price than imported products. The credibility of the performance of a product is different to prove until a critical mass of products are sold. Therefore gaining market share is deterred by unproven credibility of the performance of the product. The flow of information between users and producers is limited. The flow of information on users environment through mass market to producers is essential for improving credibility of a product. The nature of knowledge base is tacit and the means of knowledge transmission is limited. Technological licensing and reverse engineering, which have been conventional means of knowledge transmission, are not useful in the numerical controller industry. These characteristics provide conditions of vicious circle in accumulation of technological capability of the numerical controller industry. This paper argues that these characteristics of the industry challenge existing approach to R&D management and framework of science and technology policy.

  • PDF

클러스터 형성을 위한 지식 집약적 IT 부품 연구개발정책의 Dilemma : 공작기계제어 컴퓨터 사례 (The Formation of the Machine Tool Cluster and The Accumlation of Technological Capability of the Numerical Controller Industry in Korea)

  • 임채성
    • 기술경영경제학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 기술경영경제학회 2000년도 제17회 하계학술발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.47-64
    • /
    • 2000
  • This paper analyses characteristics of the numerical controller industry in market formation and the Flow of information between users and producers and the characteristic of knowledge base of the industry and discusses the difficulties derived, from the characteristics, in accumulation of technological capability In market formation betweenusers and producers, the multi-layered market is not favorable to domestic producers in that lower end market is not large enough to provide cardle market to them which produce inferior quality and lower price than importer products. The credibility of the permance of a product is difficult to prove until a critical mass of products are sold. Therefore gaining market share is deterred by unproven credibility of the performance of the product. The flow of information between users and producers is limited. The flow of information on users environment through mass market to producers is essential for improving credibility of a product. The nature of knowledge base is tacit and the means of knowledge transmission is limited. Technological licensing and reverse engineering, Which have been conventional industry. These characteristics provide conditions of vicious circle in accumulation of technological capability of the numerical controller industry. This paper argues that these characteristics of the industry challenges existing approach to R&D management and framework of science and technology policy.

  • PDF

IT 바탕으로 한 ′기술수렴′(Technological Convergence)과 기술추격의 장애: 기계 제어 컴퓨터 사례

  • 임채성
    • 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국기술혁신학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회:발표자료
    • /
    • pp.411-430
    • /
    • 2001
  • This Paper analyses characteristics of the numerical controller industry in market formation and the flow of information between users and producers and the characteristic of knowledge base of the industry and discusses the difficulties derived, from the characteristics, in accumulation of technological capability In market formation between users and producers, the multi-layered market is not favorable to domestic producers in that lower end market is not large enough to provide cradle market to them which produce inferior quality and lower price than imported products. The credibility of the performance of a product is difficult to prove until a critical mass of products are sold. Therefore gaining market share is deterred by unproven credibility of the performance of the product. The flow of information between users and producers is limited. The flow of information on users environment through mass market to producers is essential for improving credibility of a product. The nature of knowledge base is tacit and the means of knowledge transmission is limited. Technological licensing and reverse engineering, which have been conventional means of knowledge transmission, are not useful in the numerical controller industry. These characteristics provide conditions of vicious circle in accumulation of technological capability of the numerical controller industry. It is conjectured that these characteristics are derived from the fact that the numerical controller is the result of IT based technological convergence in controlling machining process. This paper argues that these characteristics of the industry challenges existing approach to R&D management and framework of science and technology Policy.

  • PDF