• 제목/요약/키워드: Magnitude Estimation

검색결과 541건 처리시간 0.033초

Coda파를 이용한 국내 관측소지반의 동적 증폭특성에 관한 연구 (A Study of the Dynamic Amplification Characteristics of the Domestic Seismic Observation Sites Using Coda Wave)

  • 김준경;이준대
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제10권7호
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2009
  • 지진원 및 구조물과 지반상호간의 동적 특성을 보다 신뢰성 있게 도출하기 위해 지반의 증폭특성은 반드시 고려되어야하는 요소이다. 지반증폭 특성을 분석할 때 여러 가지 방법이 제시되어 있으나 본 연구에서는 Nakamura(1989)에 의해 제시된 방법을 적용하였다. 본 방법은 얕은 지반의 상시미동의 표면파 특성을 이해하기 위해 제시되어 한계점이 존재하나 근래에 와서 S파 등에 적용되어 지반의 동적인 증폭 특성연구에 많이 이용되고 있다. 일반적으로 S파가 이용되고 있으나 본 연구에서는 지진파 에너지인 Coda 파에 새로이 적용하였다. 최근 국내에 설치된 지진 관측기에 관측된 5개 지진(규모 3.6-5.1)의 약 60 여개의 관측자료를 이용하여 지진관측소 각각 지반의 동적인 증폭 특성을 분석하였다. 관측소마다 저진동수, 고진동수 및 우월주파수가 서로 다른 증폭특성을 보여주었다. 본 연구 결과 관측지반진동에서 지반 고유의 증폭특성을 제거하면 지진원 변수를 보다 신뢰성 있게 도출할 수 있다.

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Ground-Motion Prediction Equations based on refined data for dynamic time-history analysis

  • Moghaddam, Salar Arian;Ghafory-Ashtiany, Mohsen;Soghrat, Mohammadreza
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.779-807
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    • 2016
  • Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) are essential tools in seismic hazard analysis. With the introduction of probabilistic approaches for the estimation of seismic response of structures, also known as, performance based earthquake engineering framework; new tasks are defined for response spectrum such as the reference criterion for effective structure-specific selection of ground motions for nonlinear time history analysis. One of the recent efforts to introduce a high quality databank of ground motions besides the corresponding selection scheme based on the broadband spectral consistency is the development of SIMBAD (Selected Input Motions for displacement-Based Assessment and Design), which is designed to improve the reliability of spectral values at all natural periods by removing noise with modern proposed approaches. In this paper, a new global GMPE is proposed by using selected ground motions from SIMBAD to improve the reliability of computed spectral shape indicators. To determine regression coefficients, 204 pairs of horizontal components from 35 earthquakes with magnitude ranging from Mw 5 to Mw 7.1 and epicentral distances lower than 40 km selected from SIMBAD are used. The proposed equation is compared with similar models both qualitatively and quantitatively. After the verification of model by several goodness-of-fit measures, the epsilon values as the spectral shape indicator are computed and the validity of available prediction equations for correlation of the pairs of epsilon values is examined. General consistency between predictions by new model and others, especially, in short periods is confirmed, while, at longer periods, there are meaningful differences between normalized residuals and correlation coefficients between pairs of them estimated by new model and those are computed by other empirical equations. A simple collapse assessment example indicate possible improvement in the correlation between collapse capacity and spectral shape indicators (${\varepsilon}$) up to 20% by selection of a more applicable GMPE for calculation of ${\varepsilon}$.

Genetic parameters for marbling and body score in Anglonubian goats using Bayesian inference via threshold and linear models

  • Figueiredo Filho, Luiz Antonio Silva;Sarmento, Jose Lindenberg Rocha;Campelo, Jose Elivalto Guimaraes;de Oliveira Almeida, Marcos Jacob;de Sousa, Antonio Junior;da Silva Santos, Natanael Pereira;da Silva Costa, Marcio;Torres, Tatiana Saraiva;Sena, Luciano Silva
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제31권9호
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    • pp.1407-1414
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    • 2018
  • Objective: The aim of this study was to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters for categorical carcass traits using Bayesian inference via mixed linear and threshold animal models in Anglonubian goats. Methods: Data were obtained from Anglonubian goats reared in the Brazilian Mid-North region. The traits in study were body condition score, marbling in the rib eye, ribeye area, fat thickness of the sternum, hip height, leg perimeter, and body weight. The numerator relationship matrix contained information from 793 animals. The single- and two-trait analyses were performed to estimate (co) variance components and genetic parameters via linear and threshold animal models. For estimation of genetic parameters, chains with 2 and 4 million cycles were tested. An 1,000,000-cycle initial burn-in was considered with values taken every 250 cycles, in a total of 4,000 samples. Convergence was monitored by Geweke criteria and Monte Carlo error chain. Results: Threshold model best fits categorical data since it is more efficient to detect genetic variability. In two-trait analysis the contribution of the increase in information and the correlations between traits contributed to increase the estimated values for (co) variance components and heritability, in comparison to single-trait analysis. Heritability estimates for the study traits were from low to moderate magnitude. Conclusion: Direct selection of the continuous distribution of traits such as thickness sternal fat and hip height allows obtaining the indirect selection for marbling of ribeye.

공기분사가 오일미스트 윤활 시스템용 비접촉 시일의 성능 향상에 미치는 영향 (Air Jet Effect on Performance Improvement of Non-Contact Type Seals for Oil Mist Lubrication Systems)

  • 나병철;전경진;한동철
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제24권9호
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    • pp.2159-2166
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    • 2000
  • Recently, high performance machining center requires special type of sealing mechanism that prevent a leakage of oil jet or oil mist lubrication system. Sealing of oil-air mixture plays important r oles to have an enhanced lubrication for performance machining center. Current work emphasizes on investigations of the air jet effect on the protective collar type labyrinth seal. To improve sealing capabilities of conventional labyrinth seals, air jet is injected against the leakage flow. In this study, an adapted model is introduced to improve sealing capability of conventional non-contact type seals. It has a combined geometry of a protective collar type and an air jet type. Both of a numerical analysis by CFD (Computational Fluid Dynamics) and experimental measurements are carried out to verify sealing improvement. The sealing effects of the leakage clearance and the air jet magnitude aic studied in various parameters. Gas or liquid has been used as a working fluid for most of nori-contact types seals including the labyrinth seal. However, it is more reasonable to regard two-phase flows because oil mist or oil jet are used for high performance spindle's lubrication. In this study, working fluid is regarded as two phases that are mixed flow of oil and air phase. Both of turbulence and compressible flow model are also introduced in a CFD analysis to represent an isentropic process. Estimation of non-leaking property is determined by amount of pressure drop in the leakage path. Results of pressure drop in the experiment match reasonably to those of the simulation by introducing a flow coefficient. Effect of the sealing improvement is explained as decreasing of leakage clearance by air jetting. Thus, sealing effect is improved by amount of air jetting even though clearance becomes larger

Reynolds 수가 2단 원추형 5공프로브를 이용한 3차원 유동 측정에 미치는 영향 - 저속 유동장에서의 보정 결과 - (The Effect of Reynolds Number on the Three-Dimensional Flow Measurements with a Two-Stage Cone-Type Five-Hole Probe in a Non-Nulling Mode)

  • 이상우;전상배
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2002
  • The effects of Reynolds number on the non-nulling calibrations of a cone-type ave-type probe in low-speed flows have been investigated at Reynolds numbers of 2.04$\times$10$^3$, 4.09$\times$10$^3$and 6.13$\times$10$^3$. The calibration is conducted at the pitch and yaw angles in ranges between -35 degrees and 35 degrees with an angle interval of 5 degrees. In addition to the calibration coefficients, reduced pitch and yaw angles, static and total pressures, and velocity magnitude are obtained through a typical non-nulling reduction procedure. The result shows that each calibration coefficient, in general, is a function of both the pitch and yaw angles, so that the pre-existing calibration data in a nulling mode are not enough in accounting far the full non-nulling calibration characteristics. Due to interference of the probe stem, the calibration coefficient are more sensitive to Reynolds number at positive pitch angles than at negative ones. The calibration data reduced in this study may serve as a guide line in the estimation of uncertainty intervals resulted from the Reynolds number effects at low Reynolds numbers.

Errors in Estimated Temporal Tracer Trends Due to Changes in the Historical Observation Network: A Case Study of Oxygen Trends in the Southern Ocean

  • Min, Dong-Ha;Keller, Klaus
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.189-195
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    • 2005
  • Several models predict large and potentially abrupt ocean circulation changes due to anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions. These circulation changes drive-in the models-considerable oceanic oxygen trend. A sound estimate of the observed oxygen trends can hence be a powerful tool to constrain predictions of future changes in oceanic deepwater formation, heat and carbon dioxide uptake. Estimating decadal scale oxygen trends is, however, a nontrivial task and previous studies have come to contradicting conclusions. One key potential problem is that changes in the historical observation network might introduce considerable errors. Here we estimate the likely magnitude of these errors for a subset of the available observations in the Southern Ocean. We test three common data analysis methods south of Australia and focus on the decadal-scale trends between the 1970's and the 1990's. Specifically, we estimate errors due to sparsely sampled observations using a known signal (the time invariant, temporally averaged, World Ocean Atlas 2001) as a negative control. The crossover analysis and the objective analysis methods are for less prone to spatial sampling location biases than the area averaging method. Subject to numerous caveats, we find that errors due to sparse sampling for the area averaging method are on the order of several micro-moles $kg^{-1}$. for the crossover and the objective analysis method, these errors are much smaller. For the analyzed example, the biases due to changes in the spatial design of the historical observation network are relatively small compared to the tends predicted by many model simulations. This raises the possibility to use historic oxygen trends to constrain model simulations, even in sparsely sampled ocean basins.

하천홍수량의 지역화 회귀모형개발을 위한 지역빈도해석 (Regional Frequency Analysis for a Development of Regionalized Regression Model of River Floods)

  • 노재식;이길춘
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.139-154
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    • 1993
  • 본 연구는 자연하천 유역에서의 수위관측점들을 대상으로 지점 홍수빈도해석을 실시하고 하천홍수량의 지역빈도해석에 의한 지역화 회귀모형을 개발한 것이다. 홍수빈도해석은 국내 주요 5대 하천유역인 한강, 금강, 영산강, 섬진강 및 낙동강 유역내에 있는 자연하천관측점들을 대상으로 홍수빈도모형을 이용하여 지점별 홍수량의 크기 및 빈도를 추정하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 홍수빈도예측을 위한 모형의 적용성과 효용성을 비교, 검토하였다. 그 결과 단기간 기록년수의 자료에서는 부분기간치계열 방법의 POT(Peaks Over a Threshold)모형이 연최대치계열 방법의 ANNMAX(ANNual MAXimum) 모형보다 효과적이고 합리적임이 판명되었다. 지역 홍수빈도해석에서 홍수빈도모형에 의한 지점별 홍수추정량과 홍수유출에 영향을 미치는 지형학적 유역 특성인자들간의 상관분석법에 의해 미계측 지점에서의 설계홍수량 추정이 용이한 지역화 회귀모형을 개발하고, 첨두홍수량과 유역 특성인자들간의 상관도를 재현기간별로 작성 제시하였다.

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파랑지배환경에서의 미세퇴적물 수직이동에 관한 모형 (A Model for Vertical Transport of Fine Sediment and Bed Erodibility in a Wave-Dominated Environment)

  • Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • 한국해안해양공학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 1995
  • 파랑운동하에서 미세한 해저물질로 인한 혼탁도 예측은 해안 또는 호소환경에 민간이 끼친 영향을 평가하는데 있어서 중요하다. 파랑은 이토의 퇴적작용을 완화하고 급격한 부유농도구배를 형성하려는 경향이 있어 해저면 가까이의 퇴적물에 미치는 부하가 대체로 해수면 가까이의 것보다 크다. 물리적으로 실질적이나 단순화된 방법으로 질량보존법칙이 미세입자의 농도분포 진척과 비쇄파 진행파의 작용하에서 해저면 진흙층의 침식에 상당하는 깊이를 모의하는데 사용되어 왔다. 앞서의 현장 관측은 해저면 근처의 모의된 경향을 보여주고 있는데 특성은 농도가 크면 매우 적은 표층토사와 결합되어 진흙층을 액상화시킨다. 결론적으로 해저면 침식 깊이의 예측은 호수역학의 이해와 충분한 현장에서의 토사농도단면측정이 요구된다. 해저면을 무시한 해수면 토사농도만의 측정은 해저면 침식 길이의 총체적인 과소평가를 유발할 수 있다.

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등가정적해석법에 의한 수계 파이프 시스템의 내진설계 (The Seismic Design of Water Extinguishing Piping Systems for Equivalent Static Analysis Method)

  • 이동명
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.100-105
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 수계소화설비 가압송수장치의 파이프라인에 대한 내진설계를 수행하였다. 내진해석에 필요한 내진설계용 스펙트럼에 대응하는 인공지진 진동파형을 작성하였고, 작성된 인공지진 진동에 대한 응답 스펙트럼 가속도를 결정하여 등가정적하중을 결정하였다. 내진설계를 위한 공학적 기반을 구축하였으며, 수계 및 가스계 파이프 시스템의 내진설계를 위한 등가정적해석법을 제시하였다. 또한 본 연구의 결과로부터 수계설비의 파이프라인뿐만 아니라 소방설비의 내진설계 및 성능평가에 응용할 수 있는 기틀을 마련하였다. 향후 진도규모 및 지반종류에 따른 추가적인 연구가 수행된다면 소방시스템의 신뢰성 향상과 안전성 제고, 성능위주설계가 이루어질 수 있을 것으로 본다.

조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용한 도라지 제조기술의 경제적 가치 추정 연구 -도라지 건강기능식품 가상시장을 중심으로- (Study on Economic Valuation of Manufacturing Technology of Platycodon grandiflorum Using Contingent Valuation Method - Focusing on the Virtual Market of Platycodon grandiflorum's Health Functions Food -)

  • 이현지;장인수;조하은;김홍석
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.137-147
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    • 2020
  • Rural Development Administration (RDA) has developed a manufacturing technology which can increase the amount of platycodin D in Platycodon grandiflorum. A study is needed to estimate the value of this new technology and predict the market demand for a new product. This study estimates additional amount of willingness to pay (WTP) using contingent valuation method (CVM) for a new product with the technology that RDA has developed. The survey was created under virtual health functional foods market of Platycodon grandiflorums. It was conducted with 1,000 adult males and females aged between 19 and 59 years old in 17 major cities and provinces nationwide from December 4 to December 7, 2018. The amount of WTP for the health functional Platycodon grandiflorum was drawn using maxinum likelihood estimation method. The estimated average and median WTP values are 21,933.85 won per person and 10,000 won per person, respectively. The independent factors, including the ratio of monthly average health function food consumption to income, the average monthly income level of a household, and existence of family members or relatives engaged in food and nutrition-related professions in a household, have been shown to have a statistically significant influence on the WTP. This study presents the potential magnitude of health functional food market and the value of the new technology based on health functional food market.