• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2015년도 학술발표회
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• pp.537-537
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• 2015

In recent decades, the independence and identical distribution (iid) assumption for extreme events has been shown to be invalid in many cases because long-term climate variability resulting from phenomena such as the Pacific decadal variability and El Nino-Southern Oscillation may induce varying meteorological systems such as persistent wet years and dry years. Therefore, in the current study we propose a new parameter estimation method for probability distribution models to more accurately predict the magnitude of future extreme events when the iid assumption of probability distributions for large-scale climate variability is not adequate. The proposed parameter estimation is based on a metaheuristic approach and is derived from the objective function of the rth power probability-weighted sum of observations in increasing order. The combination of two distributions, gamma and generalized extreme value (GEV), was fitted to the GEV distribution in a simulation study. In addition, a case study examining the annual hourly maximum precipitation of all stations in South Korea was performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed approach. The results of the simulation study and case study indicate that the proposed metaheuristic parameter estimation method is an effective alternative for accurately selecting the rth power when the iid assumption of extreme hydrometeorological events is not valid for large-scale climate variability. The maximum likelihood estimate is more accurate with a low mixing probability, and the probability-weighted moment method is a moderately effective option.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.119-128
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• 1994

기관실 상갑판 특히 거주구 외부의 상갑판 판부재는 외적인 수직하중이 거의 작용하지 않음에도 불구하고 건조중인 대형선박에서 갑판에 널리 대처짐 현상이 발생할 때가 있는 반면에 수직하중이 작용하는 거주구 내부의 기관실 상갑판은 처짐발생 크기 및 분포정도가 미미한, 규명하기 어려운 현상들이 나타나고 있다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 3차원 구조해석으로부터 얻은 거주구 및 자중에 의한 정적하중의 영향, 손상보고에 따라 계측된 처짐량 자료 및 분포상황, 초기처짐의 크기 및 형상, 용접잔류응력, 면내하중 성분들을 대상으로 비선형 시리즈 해석을 수행하고, 이로부터 판부재에 발생하는 최대처짐 추정식을 제시하였다. 또한, 본 연구를 통하여 개발된 추정식을 이용하여 기존 손상선박의 처짐원인 분석, 거주구 탑재 및 진수 전후의 기관실 상갑판의 처짐거동 그리고 기존의 선각품질관리기준이 기관실 상갑판의 처짐에 미치는 영향을 살펴보았고, 마지막으로 건조예정에 있는 기관실의 처짐현상을 예측하여 보았다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권3호
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• pp.860-865
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• 2021

A data-based model, such as an AAKR model is widely used for monitoring the drifts of sensors in nuclear power plants. However, since a training dataset and a test dataset for a data-based model cannot be constructed with the data from all the possible states, the model uncertainty cannot be good enough to represent the uncertainty of estimations. In fact, the errors of estimation grow much bigger if the incoming data come from inexperienced states. To overcome this limitation of the model uncertainty, a new measure of uncertainty for a data-based model is developed and the predicted uncertainty is introduced. The predicted uncertainty is defined in every estimation according to the incoming data. In this paper, the AAKR model is used as a data-based model. The predicted uncertainty is similar in magnitude to the model uncertainty when the estimation is made for the incoming data from the experienced states but it goes bigger otherwise. The characteristics of the predicted model uncertainty are studied and the usefulness is demonstrated with the pressure signals measured in the flow-loop system. It is expected that the predicted uncertainty can quite reduce the false alarm by using the variable threshold instead of the fixed threshold.

• 한국음향학회지
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• 제24권7호
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• pp.402-409
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• 2005

본 논문에서는 고대역 (4kHz-8kHz)의 주기적 성분이 강하게 나타나는 신호에 대해서 MP (Matching Pursuit) 알고리즘을 이용한 부호화 방법을 제안한다. 또한 분석된 스펙트럼 크기 파라미터와 위상 파라미터의 효율적인 양자화 방법을 제안한다. MP 알고리즘은 오류 상쇄 원리와 정현파 모델에 바탕을 두고 있기 때문에 정확한 피치 주기 예측이 필요하다. 고대역의 정확한 피치 주기 예측을 위해 저대역 (0kHz-4kHz) 신호에서 검출한 피치 주기를 이용함으로써 부호화와 비트할당의 효율을 높일 수 있다. 스펙트럼 크기 계수의 양자화를 위해 계수들에 대해 고정 차원 이산코사인 변환 (MDCT : Modified Discrete Cosine Transform) 및 다단계 (multi-stage) 구조를 결합시킨 양자화 기법을 사용하였고, 위상 값들은 스펙트럼 크기에 따른 가중치 필터와 위상의 $2{\pi}$ 순환 특성을 이용하여 양자화하였다. 또한 제안한 양자화 기법과 부호화 방법을 음성 분석-합성 (analysis-by-synthesis) 시스템에 적용하여, 목적 신호와의 비교를 통해 검증한다. 향후 대역 분할을 기본 구조로 하는 계층 구조의 광대역 음성부호화기에의 적용 가능성을 제시한다.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.413-423
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• 2001

Low back disorders (LBDs) are one of the most common and costly work-related musculoskeletal disorders. One of the major possible risk factors of LBDs is to work with static and awkward trunk postures, especially in a complex trunk posture involving flexion, twisting and lateral bending simultaneously. This study is to examine the effect of complex trunk postures on the postural stresses using a psychophysical method. Twelve healthy male students participated in an experiment, in which 29 different trunk postures were evaluated using the magnitude estimation method. The results showed that subjective discomfort significantly increased as the levels of trunk flexion, lateral bending and rotation increased. Significant interaction effects were found between rotation and lateral bending or flexion when the severe lateral bending or rotation were assumed, indicating that simultaneous occurrence of trunk flexion, lateral bending and rotation increases discomfort ratings synergistically. A postural workload evaluation scheme of trunk postures was proposed based on the angular deviation levels from the neutral position. Each trunk posture was assigned numerical stress index depending upon its discomfort rating, which was defined as the ratio of discomfort of a posture to that of its neutral posture. Four qualitative action categories for the stress index were also provided in order to enable practitioners to apply corrective actions appropriately. The proposed scheme is expected to be applied to several field areas for evaluating trunk postural stresses.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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• 제35권11호
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• pp.527-539
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• 2008

본 논문은 큐잉 이론을 이용한 멀티 프로세서 시스템-온-칩(MPSoC)의 버스 매트릭스 기반 통신 구조에 대한 성능 예측 기법을 제안한다. 버스 매트릭스 기반 통신 구조는 다양한 설계 인자를 가지고 있어 이에 대한 성능 최적화는 방대한 설계 공간의 탐색을 필요로 하지만, 현재 널리 사용되고 있는 시뮬레이션에 기반한 방법은 많은 시간을 요하기 때문에 점점 짧아지고 있는 시장 적기 출하(time-to-market) 제약 조건을 만족하기 어렵다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 본 논문에서는 시뮬레이션보다 훨씬 빠르면서 정확하게 성능을 예측할 수 있는 기법을 개발하였다. 제안한 성능 분석 기법은 고성능의 버스 매트릭스를 위해 사용되는 버스 프로토콜인 multiple outstanding transaction을 고려한다. 또한 지수 분포(exponential distribution)를 이용하여 비현실적으로 메모리 시스템을 모델하였던 기존의 연구들과 달리 실제적인 메모리 시스템 모델을 위하여 일반 분포(general distribution)를 이용하였다. 제안한 성능 예측 기법의 정확도 및 효율성을 검증하기 위하여 무작위로 생성된 버스 트랜잭션들과 4-채널 DVR 예제에 적용하였을 때, 사이클 단위의 정확도를 갖는 시뮬레이션과 비교하여 $10^5$배 이상 빠르면서 평균 94% 이상의 정확도를 갖는 것으로 분석되었다.

• 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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• 제25권5호
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• pp.773-782
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• 2022

Estimation of cable tension through proper measurements is one of the essential tasks in evaluating the safety of cable structures. In this paper, a study on cable tension estimation using the built-in accelerometer and camera in a smartphone was conducted. For the experimental study, visual displacement measurement using a smartphone camera and acceleration measurement using a built-in accelerometer were performed in the cable-stayed bridge model. The estimated natural frequencies and transformed tensions from these measurements were compared with the theoretical values and results from the normal visual displacement method. Through comparison, it can be seen that the error between the method using the smartphone and the normal visual displacement is sufficiently small to be acceptable. It has also been shown that those errors are much smaller than the difference between the values calculated by the theoretical model. These results show that the deviation according to the type of measurement method is not large and it is rather important to use an appropriate mathematical model. In conclusion, in the case of cable tension estimation, it can be said that the visual displacement measurement and acceleration using a smartphone can be a sufficiently applicable method, just like the normal visual displacement method. It is also noteworthy that the smartphone accelerometer has a larger magnitude error and has more limitations such as high-frequency sampling instability compared to the visual displacement method, but shows almost the same performance as the visual displacement method in this cable tension estimation.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 2003년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.569-576
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• 2003

Based on the equivalent uniform stress concept Presented by Seed and Idriss, sinusoidal cyclic loads which simplified earthquake loads have been applied in evaluating the liquefaction resistance strength experimentally. However, the liquefaction resistance strength of soil based on the equivalent uniform stress concept can not exactly reflect the dynamic characteristics of the irregular earthquake motion. The liquefaction assessment method which was invented by using the equivalent uniform stress concept is suitable for the severe earthquake region such as Japan or USA, so the proper method to Korea is needed. In this study, estimation of the resistance to liquefaction was conducted by applying real earthquake loading to the cyclic triaxial test. From the test results, the characteristics of the fine sand under moderate earthquake were analyzed and compared with the results under strong earthquakes. Typically real earthquake loads used in this study are divided into two types - impact type and vibration type. Furthermore, results of the liquefaction resistance strength based on the equivalent uniform stress concept and tile concept using real earthquake loading were compared.

• 대기
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• 제17권2호
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• pp.185-193
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• 2007

This study investigates urbanization effect in warming trend of surface air temperature over Korea. The data used in this study consist of the daily minimum and maximum temperatures during the period of 32 years(1968-1999) from 16 stations of KMA. To calculate magnitude and trend of urbanization effect, stations were classified into urban and rural stations using population statistics. Urban stations were defined as those with population densities greater than 1000 persons per kilometer squared in 1995. The others were defined as rural stations. The urban stations were also subdivided into two groups according to their population totals. For estimates of urban effect magnitude, temperature change was calculated by comparing 16-year mean values between 1968-83 and 1984-99. Then, the difference between each urban station and every rural station was calculated. During the analysis period of 32 years, maximum temperature increase is $1.22^{\circ}C$. In the total temperature increase, urban effect is estimated by 28.7%. For minimum temperature, it becomes larger by about 10% than that in maximum temperature. Therefore, urban effect in an increasing trend of minimum temperature is 38.9% in the change of $1.13^{\circ}C$.

• 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지진공학회 2002년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.42-50
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• 2002

The duration and H/V ratio(the amplitude ratio of the horizontal to vertical components) of ground motions caused by earthquakes in southern Korea are analyzed. Total 329 seismograms of horizontal component recorded at hypocentral distances of 10 to 350 km from 27 earthquakes with local magnitude 2 to 4 are used for the analysis. Simplified relation between the duration of ground motion( $T_{d}$) and the ratio($\chi$) of Arias intensity( $I_{A}$) and squared maximum acceleration($\alpha$$_{max}$$^{2}$) is determined to be $T_{d}$ = 3.423$\chi$$^2$+ 8.200$\chi$ + 0.029, which is useful for the estimation of the duration in southern Korea. There are three distinct distance ranges with different linear variations of the duration in hypocentral distance. They are distance intervals of 10~80km, 80~140km, and the distance greater than 140km. The duration in southern Korea shows clear proportionality to the local magnitude at magnitudes greater than 3.1. The value 1.37 of the H/V ratio obtained in southern Korea is similar to the value 1.4 of ENA(Eastern North America). The H/V ratio in southern Korea increases in the frequency range from 0.3 to 10Hz. The duration and H/V ratio of ground motions derived in this study could be used in the stochastic simulation of strong ground motion.ion.n.n.