• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lottery

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Forecasting the Results of Soccer Matches Using Poisson Model (포아송 확률 모형을 이용한 축구 경기 결과 예측)

  • Seong, Hyun;Chang, Woo-Jin
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2007
  • As the sales of the Sports Toto, the Korean lottery on sports games, have increased significantly in recent five years, interest in predicting the various results of sports matches has also been raised. Dixon and Coles (1997) proposed a bivariate Poisson model to predict the results of English soccer league matches. In this paper, we pay attention to the physical condition of players that may affect soccer match results and revise Dixon and Coles' model to consider probable fatigue due to the players' short rest followed by their frequent matches. We observed the fatigue effect in the match results, and found positive betting returns available when using our prediction model. Furthermore, the validity of probability-based odds in European and Korean betting markets is analyzed.

Determination of a Multiattribute Utility Function Based on the Pairwise Comparison and the Application to Injection Molding Design (쌍대비교에 기초한 다속성 효용함수의 결정 및 사출성형설계에 대한 응용)

  • 박종천;김경모
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.465-472
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    • 2003
  • Engineering design can be viewed as a decision making process, which involves the nonlinear tradeoffs task among the multiple conflicting attributes and considers the robustness of design. In order to obtain best engineering design, methodology for accurate assessment of his/her preference about the multiple attributes is required. Conventionally, intuitive procedures based on lottery questions are used to elicit the designer's preference structure: however, they can lead to inconsistent and inexact preference results due to the rank reversal problems derived from the designer's big cognitive burden. In this paper, alternatively, a design methodology based on multiattribute utility function through the pairwise comparison among alternatives is presented. The proposed procedure is applied to an actual injection mold design with the aid of the CAE simulation and the result is discussed.

A Study on Development of Site to Maximize Network Advertisement Effect (네트워크 광고 효과 극대화를 위한 사이트 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 이공섭
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.177-185
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    • 2000
  • In recent dates, Internet advertising effects are expanded by the steep increment of the Internet users and the extension of the advertising market will be accelerated through Internet. This paper indicates the importance of Internet advertising and suggests the solution of a network advertising service. The system is divided into an Advertise Server, an Advertiser and a Web Publisher. This study proposes both the collection and the analysis of traffic data in real time. Also, the banner advertising frames are smoothed for the impression using the solution for the banner exchange engine and are developed using various impression methods, that is, Fixed/variable Banner, Scheduling Banner, Multi-Impression Banner, and Frame Remote Control to increase the advertising effect. And then to increase the advertising effect web publisher, which is specialized in lottery site, is constructed using the network advertising service and various advertising technology.

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복권형 투자

  • Gang, Won
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2022.11a
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    • pp.237-240
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    • 2022
  • 창업기업은 ICO나 크라우드펀딩 등을 통해 소액주주로부터 자금을 조달하여 캐즘(chasm)을 무사히 통과하게 되면 전문투자기관으로부터 시리즈 투자를 유치하게 된다. 이는 시리즈 단계에서는 창업기업의 불확실성을 줄여주는 전문투자기관이 필요한 반면, 사업의 불확실성이 더 높은 캐즘단계에서는 전문투자기관이 존재하지 않아도 소액투자자들의 모집이 가능하다는 역설이라 할 수 있다. 이러한 역설을 설명하기 위해 본 연구에서는 일반투자자들이 복권형투자(lottery-type investment)에 참여하고 있음을 가정하고, 이에 대한 이론적인 고찰을 시도하였다. 복권형투자는 수익률의 분포가 높은 양의 왜도를 가질 때 이론적으로 가능하다. 사실 경제현상에서 정규분포를 찾아보긴 어렵고 왜도가 높은 파레토분포가 더 일반적이다. 정규분포에 기초한 기존의 가격모델은 오히려 특수해라고 할 수 있다. 기대효용이론에 기초한 복권형투자 모형은 실증분석을 통해 파레토분포의 형상모수(𝛼) 값이 먼저 추정되어야 설계가 가능하다.

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Typology of Gambles: A Study of Gambling Behaviors and Problems (도박유형에 따른 도박행동과 도박문제의 차이)

  • Hoon Jang ;Sangyeon Yoon ;Taekyun Hur
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.331-354
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    • 2010
  • Previous psychological studies in gambling have mainly focused on the characteristics of gamblers. the purpose of the present study was to categorize gambles in Korea into subtypes based on winning probability and money and to examine variations of gambling behaviors and problems across the gamble subtypes. A survey on 1,304 gamble participants were conducted, of their gambling behaviors, personal and social problems, and CPGI. First, factor analyses on perceived winning probability and money revealed 6 subtypes of gambles: amusement type, lottery type, internet type, slot-machine type, racing type and casino type. Secondly, comparisons among gamble subtypes revealed the differences in gambling behaviors, gambling-related cognitions, emotional experiences during gambling, and personal/social problems related to gambling. The gambling behaviors in slot-machine type, racing type, and casino type were more negative than those in amusement type, and lottery type. Gamblers in internet type were found to have potential for latent problems of gambling. In discussion, the academic and practical values and implications of typology of gambles were further discussed.

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The Importance of Financial Literacy: Household's Income Mobility Measurement and Decomposition Approach

  • MONSURA, Melcah Pascua
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.647-655
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    • 2020
  • This study introduced income mobility analysis using pseudo-longitudinal panel data from Family Income and Expenditure Survey (FIES) to consider the dynamic process of individual's well-being through time. Since there is no comprehensive measurement of income mobility because of its dynamic process, various income mobility indices such as Chi-square, Average Jump Index, Atkinson et al. Mobility Ratio, and Shorrocks' Mobility Index were used. These indices revealed that Filipino households' income movements are more mobile than expected, and their income status improved from 2000 to 2015. As income mobility takes place, income inequality is reduced by 91.80 percent (91.80%). Furthermore, the growth effect is the main factor of income mobility. This indicates that households took the economic opportunities from economic growth to earn more. However, income mobility due to transfer effect (transfer of income from one household to another through lottery winning and borrowing) increased when the economy is not good. The higher income mobility due to growth effect compared to transfer effect, whether the economy is good or bad, means that households learned how to use their income in savings, investments, and entrepreneurship. This is the result of a successful financial literacy program of the government wherein households realized financial stability and security.

The Prediction of Bidding Price using Deep Learning in the Electronic Bidding (전자입찰에서 딥러닝을 이용한 입찰 가격예측)

  • Hwang, Dae-Hyeon;Bae, Young-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.147-152
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    • 2020
  • The bidding program uses statistical analysis method of the collected bidding information and the accumulated bidding results from the public/private sector; however, it is not easy to predict the accurate bidding price by winning the bid method through multiple lottery. Therefore, this paper analyzes the accuracy of the current state data of the electric construction bid from January 2015 to August 2019 acquired from the electric net, which is an electronic bidding site, We use MLP and RNN method, and proposes a technique to predict the bidding amount necessary for the winning bid by predicting the amount between the first and the lowest bidder.

Sensorless Control of High-Speed BLDC (고속 BLDC 전동기의 센서리스 제어)

  • Cho, Heung-Hyeon;Kim, Won-Bae
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 2020
  • The products using blowers include hand dryers, automatic car washers, dryers, and vacuum cleaners. The features of these products require a structure and control algorithm so that a strong wind is blown out at the moment. Electric motors according to the existing excitation method include a direct winding type, a decentralized type, a lottery type, and a permanent magnet type. Conventional electric motors have a disadvantage when the starting current is large during high-speed rotation and the number of rotations is irregular. In order to improve this, research on high-speed BLDC motor control has designed 800W-class high-speed BLDC motor control and circuit through driving circuit design, sensorless control algorithm, simulation, experiment, etc., and more than 95% high efficiency evaluation method of driving performance of controller, prototype experiments and verification were studied.

Blockchain Oracle for Random Number Generator using Irregular Big Data (비정형 빅데이터를 이용한 난수생성용 블록체인 오라클)

  • Jung, Seung Wook
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2020
  • Blockchain 2.0 supports programmable smart contract for the various distributed application. However, the environment of running smart contract is limited in the blockchain, so the smart contract only get the deterministic information, such as block height, block hash, and so on. Therefore, some applications, which requires random information, such as lottery or batting, should use oracle service that supply the information outside of blockchain. This paper develops a random number generator oracle service. The random number generator oracle service use irregular big data as entropy source. This paper tests the randomness of bits sequence generated from oracle service using NIST SP800-22. This paper also describes the advantages of irregular big data in our model in perspective of cost comparing hardware entropy source.

Use of New Fibers for the Development of Security Paper (특수섬유를 이용한 보안용지의 개발)

  • Jung, Sun-Young;Gil, Sang-Hyuk;Kim, Young-Wook;Seo, Yung-Bum
    • Journal of Korea Technical Association of The Pulp and Paper Industry
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.16-23
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    • 2012
  • Use of security papers for monetary papers, gift certificates, and lottery tickets increases every year. As the use of security papers increase, there are more possibility of counterfeits. In this study, we used unique fibers from the sea to increase the difficulties against counterfeiting. The red algae fibers give opacity as much as calcium carbonates, and have unique shape in length ($500{\sim}900\;{\mu}m$) and width ($1{\sim}4\;{\mu}m$) to be discerned from other natural fibers such as wood and cotton fibers. We mixed red algae fibers to wood fibers in a series of fixed ratios to make single and multiply papers for making security papers. Paper with dyed red algae fibers were also used. Paper made without fillers gave enough opacity for printing when red algae fibers were used more than 20% of the fiber furnish. Those properties may allow red algae fibers to be a potential candidate for fiber raw materials of security paper.