• Title/Summary/Keyword: Loss Probability

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Study on Environment Corrosion Characteristics of Automobile Component Materials (차량용 부품재료의 환경부식 특성 연구)

  • Park, Keyoung-Dong;Shin, Yeong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.86-91
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    • 2006
  • The compressive residual stress, which is inducing by shot peening process, has the effect of increasing the intrinsic fatigue strength of surface and therefore would be beneficial in reducing the probability of fatigue damage. However, it was not known that the effect of shot peening in corrosion environment. In this study, the influence of shot peening and corrosion condition for corrosion property were investigated on immersed in 3.5% NaCl, 10% HNO3 + 3% HF, 6% $FeCl_3$. The immersion test was performed with two kind of specimen. The immersion periods was performed 150days. Corrosion potential, weight loss were investigated from experimental results. From test results, the effect of shot peening on the corrosion characteristics was evaluated.

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Determining the Proper Capacity of Electric Vehicle Charging Station (전기자동차 충전소의 적정 용량 결정)

  • Hong, Jun-Hee;Choi, Jung-In;Lee, Jong-Hyun;Nam, Young-Woo
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.10
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    • pp.1911-1915
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    • 2009
  • The problem of determining the proper capacity of electric vehicle charging station is studied in the presented paper. Based on the expected arrival rate and the expected charging time, we calculate the proper capacity that guarantees electric vehicles get service better than a given lower bound which is termed the loss of charging probability. The problem is studied by using certain queueing models. We first formulate the problem as a queueless model of type M/M/n/n, known as the Erlang loss system. And then the M/M/n/K type queueing model is formulated to consider the parking space constraint. Results of the study may be used for designing the electric vehicle charging station.

Adaptive Queue Management Based On the Change Trend of Queue Size

  • Tang, Liangrui;Tan, Yaomu
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.1345-1362
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    • 2019
  • Most active queue management algorithms manage network congestion based on the size of the queue but ignore the network environment which makes queue size change. It seriously affects the response speed of the algorithm. In this paper, a new AQM algorithm named CT-AQM (Change Trend-Adaptive Queue Management) is proposed. CT-AQM predicts the change trend of queue size in the soon future based on the change rate of queue size and the network environment, and optimizes its dropping function. Simulation results indicate that CT-AQM scheme has a significant improvement in loss-rate and throughput.

Quantitative Approach for Calculating DRDoS Risk

  • Young-Ryul Choi;Nam-Kyun Baik
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.192-197
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    • 2023
  • A Distributed reflection denial of service (DRDoS) is a variant of DDoS attacks that threatens the availability of services to legitimate users. In response to this evolving threat landscape, the cybersecurity industry and service providers have intensified their efforts to develop effective countermeasures. Despite these efforts, attackers continue to innovate, developing new strategies and tools while becoming more sophisticated. Consequently, DRDoS attacks continue to be harmful. Therefore, ongoing research and development is essential to improve defense against DRDoS attacks. To advance our understanding and analysis of DRDoS attacks, this study examines the unique characteristics of DRDoS attacks and quantifies the risks involved. Additionally, it adopts a quantitative rather than traditional qualitative methods to derive and apply risk, particularly the probability of loss that can be caused by DRDoS attacks.

Reliability Analysis of Gas Turbine Engine Blades (가스터빈 블레이드의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Lee, Kwang-Ju;Rhim, Sung-Han;Hwang, Jong-Wook;Jung, Yong-Wun;Yang, Gyae-Byung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.36 no.12
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    • pp.1186-1192
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    • 2008
  • The reliability of gas turbine engine blades was studied. Yield strength, Young’s modulus, engine speed and gas temperature were considered as statistically independent random variables. The failure probability was calculated using five different methods. Advanced Mean Value Method was the most efficient without significant loss in accuracy. When random variables were assumed to have normal, lognormal and Weibull distributions with the same means and standard deviations, the CDF of limit state equation did not change significantly with the distribution functions of random variables. The normalized sensitivity of failure probability with respect to standard deviations of random variables was the largest with gas temperature. The effect of means and standard deviations of random variables was studied. The increase in the mean of gas temperature and the standard deviation of engine speed increased the failure probability the most significantly.

A Performance Analysis of Burst-format Serial Search DS-SS Acquisition System Using Analog Matched Filter (아날로그 정합 필터를 이용한 버스트형 직렬 탐색 DS-SS 초기 동기 시스템의 성능 분석)

  • 이동욱;김형근;황금찬
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.16 no.8
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    • pp.710-718
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    • 1991
  • In this pape, an analysis approach for the performance of serial search burst-format direct sequence spread-spectrum code acquisiion system using matched filter is presented. And an acquistion system using analog matched filter is analyzed by this approach. And special consideration is focused on the effect of the code autocorelation sideobes. The basic idea of thi approach is the constuction of state tansition digram at the time of random packet arrival and the calculation of the packet loss probability, which is deveoped in terms of the following parameters: the false alarm probability. the etection probability, and the probability of receiver blocking obtained from the blocked customers cleae queeing system model. The analysis results reveal that the performance of the acquisition system is degraded by the effet of the code autocorrelation sidelobes above a certain value of SN/chip.

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Collapse Probability of a Low-rise Piloti-type Building Considering Domestic Seismic Hazard (국내 지진재해도를 고려한 저층 필로티 건물의 붕괴 확률)

  • Kim, Dae-Hwan;Kim, Taewan;Chu, Yurim
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.7_spc
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2016
  • The risk-based assessment, also called time-based assessment of structure is usually performed to provide seismic risk evaluation of a target structure for its entire life-cycle, e.g. 50 years. The prediction of collapse probability is the estimator in the risk-based assessment. While the risk-based assessment is the key in the performance-based earthquake engineering, its application is very limited because this evaluation method is very expensive in terms of simulation and computational efforts. So the evaluation database for many archetype structures usually serve as representative of the specific system. However, there is no such an assessment performed for building stocks in Korea. Consequently, the performance objective of current building code, KBC is not clear at least in a quantitative way. This shortcoming gives an unresolved issue to insurance industry, socio-economic impact, seismic safety policy in national and local governments. In this study, we evaluate the comprehensive seismic performance of an low-rise residential buildings with discontinuous structural walls, so called piloti-type structure which is commonly found in low-rise domestic building stocks. The collapse probability is obtained using the risk integral of a conditioned collapse capacity function and regression of current hazard curve. Based on this approach it is expected to provide a robust tool to seismic safety policy as well as seismic risk analysis such as Probable Maximum Loss (PML) commonly used in the insurance industry.

A data extension technique to handle incomplete data (불완전한 데이터를 처리하기 위한 데이터 확장기법)

  • Lee, Jong Chan
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2021
  • This paper introduces an algorithm that compensates for missing values after converting them into a format that can represent the probability for incomplete data including missing values in training data. In the previous method using this data conversion, incomplete data was processed by allocating missing values with an equal probability that missing variables can have. This method applied to many problems and obtained good results, but it was pointed out that there is a loss of information in that all information remaining in the missing variable is ignored and a new value is assigned. On the other hand, in the new proposed method, only complete information not including missing values is input into the well-known classification algorithm (C4.5), and the decision tree is constructed during learning. Then, the probability of the missing value is obtained from this decision tree and assigned as an estimated value of the missing variable. That is, some lost information is recovered using a lot of information that has not been lost from incomplete learning data.

The Effect of Economic loss and Income levels on Adolescents' Educational Attainment (경제적 상실과 소득수준이 청소년의 교육성취에 미치는 영향)

  • Ku, In-Hoe
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.53
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    • pp.7-29
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    • 2003
  • This study estimates the effect of economic loss including parental job loss and income loss on adolescents' educational attainment before and after family income and poverty are controlled for. Results from this study show that both parental job loss and income loss are negatively associated with the number of schooling years completed by adolescents and the probability that adolescents would enter a college. The negative relationship between economic loss and adolescents' educational attainment persists after income levels are controlled for. Income levels also have a statistically significant effect on adolescents' educational attainment. Among the various measures of income levels, poverty has an especially larger effect. Although the results are not consistent across estimated models, the effects of parental job loss and income loss are as large as that of poverty. Results for the models separately estimated by the sex of adolescents show that female adolescents are more negatively affected by both economic toss and income levels. There is little evidence that male adolescents are negatively affected by economic loss. Yet, male adolescents are negatively affected by income levels including poverty. Findings from this study suggest that societal support for families experiencing economic loss should be improved to avoid the harmful effect of the loss on adolescents' educational attainment. More targeted efforts should be made to financially support families facing both economic loss and poverty.

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Analysis on the Changes of Choices according to the Conditions in the Realistic Probability Problem of the Elementary Gifted Students (확률 판단 문제에서 초등 수학영재들의 선택에 미친 요인 분석과 교육적 시사점)

  • Lee, Seung Eun;Song, Sang Hun
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.603-617
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    • 2013
  • The major purpose of this article is to examine what kind of gap exists between mathematically gifted students' probability knowledge and the reality actually applying that knowledge and then analyze the cause of the gap. To attain the goal, 23 elementary mathematically gifted students at the highest level from G region were provided with problem situations internalizing a probability and expectation, and the problems are in series in which conditions change one by one. The study task is in a gaming situation where there can be the most reasonable answer mathematically, but the choice may differ by how much they consider a certain condition. To collect data, the students' individual worksheets are collected, and all the class procedures are recorded with a camcorder, and the researcher writes a class observation report. The biggest reason why the students do not make a decision solely based on their own mathematical knowledge is because of 'impracticality', one of the properties of probability, that in reality, all things are not realized according to the mathematical calculation and are impossible to be anticipated and also their own psychological disposition to 'avoid loss' about their entry fee paid. In order to provide desirable probability education, we should not be limited to having learners master probability knowledge included in the textbook by solving the problems based on algorithmic knowledge but provide them with plenty of experience to apply probabilistic inference with which they should make their own choice in diverse situations having context.

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