• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term index

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Level Shifts and Long-term Memory in Stock Distribution Markets (주식유통시장의 층위이동과 장기기억과정)

  • Chung, Jin-Taek
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2016
  • Purpose - The purpose of paper is studying the static and dynamic side for long-term memory storage properties, and increase the explanatory power regarding the long-term memory process by looking at the long-term storage attributes, Korea Composite Stock Price Index. The reason for the use of GPH statistic is to derive the modified statistic Korea's stock market, and to research a process of long-term memory. Research design, data, and methodology - Level shifts were subjected to be an empirical analysis by applying the GPH method. It has been modified by taking into account the daily log return of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index a. The Data, used for the stock market to analyze whether deciding the action by the long-term memory process, yield daily stock price index of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index and the rate of return a log. The studies were proceeded with long-term memory and long-term semiparametric method in deriving the long-term memory estimators. Chapter 2 examines the leading research, and Chapter 3 describes the long-term memory processes and estimation methods. GPH statistics induced modifications of statistics and discussed Whittle statistic. Chapter 4 used Korea Composite Stock Price Index to estimate the long-term memory process parameters. Chapter 6 presents the conclusions and implications. Results - If the price of the time series is generated by the abnormal process, it may be located in long-term memory by a time series. However, test results by price fixed GPH method is not followed by long-term memory process or fractional differential process. In the case of the time-series level shift, the present test method for a long-term memory processes has a considerable amount of bias, and there exists a structural change in the stock distribution market. This structural change has implications in level shift. Stratum level shift assays are not considered as shifted strata. They exist distinctly in the stock secondary market as bias, and are presented in the test statistic of non-long-term memory process. It also generates an error as a long-term memory that could lead to false results. Conclusions - Changes in long-term memory characteristics associated with level shift present the following two suggestions. One, if any impact outside is flowed for a long period of time, we can know that the long-term memory processes have characteristic of the average return gradually. When the investor makes an investment, the same reasoning applies to him in the light of the characteristics of the long-term memory. It is suggested that when investors make decisions on investment, it is necessary to consider the characters of the long-term storage in reference with causing investors to increase the uncertainty and potential. The other one is the thing which must be considered variously according to time-series. The research for price-earnings ratio and investment risk should be composed of the long-term memory characters, and it would have more predictability.

Long-term Evaluation of Occlusal Adjustment in Patients with Temporomandibular Disorders (측두하악장애환자의 교합교정에 관한 장기평가)

  • Myung Yun Ko;Ki Hong Kwon;Jeom Il Choi
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 1986
  • 18 TMD patients who received occlusal adjustment in PNUH though Jan.1984 to 1985 were followed up for short-term(2-6yrs.) and long-term(1-2yrs.) evaluation. The obtained results were as follows : 1. Pain index showed gradual decrease after occlusal adjustment and significant change on long-term evaluation. 2. Noise index had no significant change throughout the all follow-up evaluation. 3. Opening limitation index showed gradual decrease after occlusal adjustment and significant change on both long-term and short-term evaluation. 4. Maximum comfortable opening exhibited more and more increase and significant change on long-term evaluation.

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Long-run and Short-run Causality from Exchange Rates to the Korea Composite Stock Price Index

  • LEE, Jung Wan;BRAHMASRENE, Tantatape
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2019
  • The paper aims to test long-term and short-term causality from four exchange rates, the Korean won/$US, the Korean won/Euro, the Korean won/Japanese yen, and the Korean won/Chinese yuan, to the Korea Composite Stock Price Index in the presence of several macroeconomic variables using monthly data from January 1986 to June 2018. The results of Johansen cointegration tests show that there exists at least one cointegrating equation, which indicates that long-run causality from an exchange rate to the Korean stock market will exist. The results of vector error correction estimates show that: for long-term causality, the coefficient of the error correction term is significant with a negative sign, that is, long-term causality from exchange rates to the Korean stock market is observed. For short-term causality, the coefficient of the Japanese yen exchange rate is significant with a positive sign, that is, short-term causality from the Japanese yen exchange rate to the Korean stock market is observed. The coefficient of the financial crises i.e. 1997-1999 Asian financial crisis and 2007-2008 global financial crisis on the endogenous variables in the model and the Korean economy is significant. The result indicates that the financial crises have considerably affected the Korean economy, especially a negative effect on money supply.

Long-term Effects of Inorganic Fertilizer and Compost Application on Rice Sustainability in Paddy Soil

  • Lee, Chang Hoon;Park, Chang Young;Jung, Ki Youl;Kang, Seong Soo
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.223-229
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    • 2013
  • Sustainability index was calculated to determine the best management for rice productivity under long-term inorganic fertilizer management's practices. It is based on nutrient index, microbiological index and crop index related to sustainability as soil function. Indicators for calculating sustainability index were selected by the comparison of soil properties and rice response in paddy soil with fertilization. Total twenty two indicators were determined to assess nutrient index, microbiological index and crop index in order to compare the effect of different fertilization. The indices were applied to assess the sustainability with different inorganic fertilizer treatments such as control, N, NK, NP, NPK, NPK+Si, and NPK+Compost. The long-term application of compost with NPK was the highest sustainability index value because it increased nutrient index, microbial index and crop index. The use of chemical fertilizers resulted in poor soil microbial index and crop index, but the treatments like NP, NPK, and NPK+Si were maintained sustainability in paddy soil. These results indicate that application of organic and chemical fertilizer could be a good management to improve rice sustainability in paddy soil.

Resource use of the Elderly in Long-term Care Hospital sing RUG-III (요양병원 입원노인의 환자군 분류에 따른 자원이용수준)

  • 김은경
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: This study was to classify elderly in long-term care hospitals for using Resource Utilization Group(RUG-III) and to consider feasibility of payment method based on RUG-III classification system in Korea. Method: This study designed by measuring resident characteristics using the Resident Assessment Instrument-Minimum Data Set(RAI-MDS) and staff time. The data were collected from 382 elderly over sixty-year old, inpatient in the five long-term care hospitals. Staff time was converted into standard time based on the average wage of nurse and aids. Result: The subjects were classified into 4 groups. The group of Clinically Complex was the largest(46.3%), Reduced Physical Function(27.2%), Behavior Problem(17.0%), and Impaired Cognition(9.4%). The average resource use for one resident in terms of care time(nurses, aids) was 183.7 minutes a day. Relative resource use was expressed as a case mix index(CMI) calculated as a proportion of mean resource use. The CMI of Clinically Complex group was the largest(1.10), and then Reduced Physical Function(0.93), Behavior Problem(0.93), and Impaired Cognition(0.83) followed. The difference of the resource use showed statistical significance between major groups(p<0.0001). Conclusion: The results of this study showed that the RUG-III classification system differentiates resources provided to elderly in long-term care hospitals in Korea.

Development and Application of Drought Index Based on Accumulative Pattern of Daily Rainfall (일 단위 강수량의 누적 패턴을 이용한 가뭄지수 개발 및 적용)

  • Kwon, Minsung;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Jun, Kyung Soo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2016
  • This study proposed a new drought index considering the accumulative pattern of daily rainfall, i.e., Rainfall Accumulation Drought Index (RADI). The RADI can be easily calculated at daily scale by comparing the long-term averaged cumulative rainfall to the observed cumulative rainfall for a specific duration. This study evaluated the availability of the RADI in the field of monitoring short-term and long-term droughts by investigating the spatial and temporal variability and the recurrence cycle of drought in South Korea. To present the short-term and long-term droughts, the various SPIs with different durations should be used in practice. However, the RADI can present and monitor both short-term and long-term droughts as a single index. By investigating the national average of the RADI, specific drought patterns of 20-year cycle were identified in this study. This study also proposed a five-level drought classification considering occurrence probability that would be a suitable alternative as a drought criterion for drought forecast/response.

The Reliability and Validity of Korean Version of the Wheelchair User's Shoulder Pain Index in Wheelchair Users (휠체어 사용자를 위한 한국어판 WUSPI의 신뢰도와 타당도)

  • Park, Ji-Yeon;Cho, Sang-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Physical Medicine
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.573-582
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to establish the reliability and validity of the Wheelchair User's Shoulder Pain Index (WUSPI), which was translated into Korean for long-term wheelchair users. This index measured 15 functional activities, including transfer, self-care, wheelchair mobility and general activities. METHODS: To assess test-retest reliability, 23 long-term wheelchair users completed this self-administered index twice within the same day. Reliability was determined by the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), and Cronbach's alpha was used to measure internal consistency. To examine concurrent validity, 21 long-term wheelchair users completed the questionnaire, and we examined the correlation between the index score and the shoulder range of motion measurements. RESULT: The results showed that the intraclass correlation for test-retest reliability of the total index score ranging from .88 to .99 was good to excellent. Additionally, Cronbach's alpha was .96. The internal consistency indicated excellent. Concurrent validity showed negative correlations of total index score to range of motion measurements of shoulder flexion (rho=-.58), extension (rho=-.09), abduction (rho=-.59), external rotation (rho=-.07) and internal rotation (rho=-.3), suggesting a relationship of total index score to loss of shoulder range of motion. CONCLUSION: The Korean WUSPI shows not only high reliability and internal consistency, but also concurrent validity with loss of shoulder flexion and abduction.

Analysis of Drought Characteristics in Gyeongbuk Based on the Duration of Standard Precipitation Index

  • Ahn, Seung Seop;Park, Ki bum;Yim, Dong Hee
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.863-872
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    • 2019
  • Using the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), this study analyzed the drought characteristics of ten weather stations in Gyeongbuk, South Korea, that precipitation data over a period of 30 years. For the number of months that had a SPI of -1.0 or less, the drought occurrence index was calculated and a maximum shortage months, resilience and vulnerability in each weather station were analyzed. According to the analysis, in terms of vulnerability, the weather stations with acute short-term drought were Andong, Bonghwa, Moongyeong, and Gumi. The weather stations with acute medium-term drought were Daegu and Uljin. Finally the weather stations with acute long-term drought were Pohang, Youngdeok, and Youngju. In terms of severe drought frequency, the stations with relatively high frequency of mid-term droughts were Andong, Bonghwa, Daegu, Uiseong, Uljin, and Youngju. Gumi station had high frequency of short-term droughts. Pohang station had severe short-term ad long-term droughts. Youngdeok had severe droughts during all the terms. Based on the analysis results, it is inferred that the size of the drought should be evaluated depending on how serious vulnerability, resilience, and drought index are. Through proper evaluation of drought, it is possible to take systematic measures for the duration of the drought.

Long-Term Evaluation of Conservative Treatment for Craniomandibular Disorders (두개하악장애환자의 보존적 치료에 관한 장기평가)

  • June-Sang Park;Myung-Yun Ko
    • Journal of Oral Medicine and Pain
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.81-96
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    • 1993
  • In order to evaluate the prognosis of conservative treatment for Craniomandibular Disorders, 127 patients were subjected at the Dept. of Oral Medicine, Pusan National University Hospital from 1983 through 1991. All the changes of patients' symptoms and related factors were analyzed before treatment, after treatment and at follow-up examination by means of subjective and objective symptom indicies (Ai, AAI, SDS, Di, CDS, MCO). 1. All the indices were reduced and MCO became increased at follow-up examination (p<0.01). 2. As the duration after treatment became longer, all the indices became reduced and MCO became increased. 3. There were no significant differences in index scores according to sex and age. 4. Long-term patients showed higher index scores and lower MCO than short-term patients(p<0.01). 5. Chronic group showed higher index scores and lower MCO than acute group (p<0.05). 6. Macrotrauma group showed higher index scores and lower MCO than microtrauma group (p<0.05) 7. While muscle group showed the lowest MCO, muscle and joint group showed the highest index scores (p<0.01). 8. The long-term success rate of conservative treatment was more than 80% (p<0.01)

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Asset Allocation Strategies for Long-Term Investments

  • Kim, Chang-Soo;Shin, Taek-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.145-182
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    • 2008
  • As the life expectancy increases resulting in the aged society, the post-retirement life became one of the most important concerns of people. The long-term investment vehicles such as retirement savings and pension plans have been introduced to meet such demand of society. This paper examines the impact of asset allocation strategies on the long-term investment performance. Because of the unusually long investment horizon and the compounding effect, a suboptimal asset mix in a retirement plan can be a very costly and irreversible mistake. Instead of relying on anecdotal evidence to evaluate the merits of different allocation strategies, this paper performs various tests including stochastic dominance tests using both actual data and Monte Carlo simulated data that best fit the historical experience. The results indicate 1) the long-term investments perform better than the short-term investments, 2) the optimal asset allocation strategy for the long-term investments should be highly equity dominated.

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