• 한국연초학회지
• /
• 제14권1호
• /
• pp.57-65
• /
• 1992

The quality of cut tobacco will be deteriorated due to weather conditions such as temperature and relative humidity, when shipping and long term storaging. The change of equilibrium moisture contents in cut tobacco were under influence of relative humidity and temperature but not humectants. Therefore internal packing materials are necessary for cut tobacco to maintain initial quality, including taste, flavour and musty smell during shipping or storaging. When packing cut tobacco for shipping or long term storaging, desiralbe packing density was 200/$m^2$, For the long term storage under R.H 90% and 3$0^{\circ}C$, polyethylene film thickness suitable for packing material are above 100$\mu$, which resulted in 42days of shelf life.

• 한국IT서비스학회지
• /
• 제15권1호
• /
• pp.81-96
• /
• 2016

This study analyzes how breach fee under long-term contract and/or cap regulation on the breach fee can affect the impacts of "Mobile Device Distribution Improvement Act" on handset bundle price, average revenue per unit (ARPU), and social welfare. We conduct comparative analysis with an economic model of duopoly competition in price when users are under long-term contract and the breach fee can be regulated. The results show that the Act lowers the equilibrium prices, lower than incumbent price without the Act. Price of non-dominant Mobile Network Operator (MNO) can be lower than poaching price without the Act if significant portion of switching cost is breach fee or the market is significantly asymmetric. Under the significant circumstances, the Act can raise ARPU even though it improves social welfare. By contrast, the Act increases consumer surplus without affecting social welfare if breach fee is the only source of user's switching cost and is capped by the regulation, and more symmetric market and the stronger cap leads to higher consumer surplus.

• East Asian mathematical journal
• /
• 제34권3호
• /
• pp.317-330
• /
• 2018

We develop a mathematical model for the obesity dynamics to investigate the long term obesity trend with the consideration of psychological and social factors due to the increasing prevalence of obesity around the world. Many mathematical models for obesity dynamics adopted the modeling idea of infectious disease and treated overweight and obese people infectious and spreading obesity to normal weight. However, this modeling idea is not proper in obesity modeling because obesity is not an infectious disease. In fact, weight gain and loss are related to social interactions among different weight groups not only in the direction from overweight/obese to normal weight but also the other way around. Thus, we consider these aspects in our model and implement personal weight gain feature, a psychological factor such as body image dissatisfaction, and social interactions such as positive support on weight loss and negative criticism on weight status from various weight groups. We show that the equilibrium point with no normal weight population will be unstable and that an equilibrium point with positive normal weight population should have all other components positive. We conduct computer simulations on Korean demography data with our model and demonstrate the long term obesity trend of Korean male as an example of the use of our model.

• 산경연구논집
• /
• 제11권3호
• /
• pp.39-50
• /
• 2020

Purpose: Agriculture, which is heavily influenced by climate conditions, is one of the industries most affected by climate change. In this respect, various studies on the impact of climate change on the agricultural market have been conducted. Since climate change is a long-term phenomenon for more than a decade, long-term projections of agricultural prices as well as climate variables are needed to properly analyze the impact of climate change on the agricultural market. However, these long-term price projections are often major constraints on studies of climate changes. The purpose of this study is to analyze the impacts of climate changes on the Korean onion market using ex-post analysis approach in order to avoid the difficulties of long-term price projections. Research design, data and methodology: This study develops an annual dynamic partial equilibrium model of Korean onion market. The behavioral equations of the model were estimated by OLS based on the annual data from 1988 to 2018. The modelling system is first simulated to have actual onion market conditions from 2014 to 2018 as a baseline and then compared it to the scenario assuming the climatic conditions under RCP8.5 over the same period. Scenario analyses were simulated by both comparative static and dynamic approach to evaluate the differences between the two approaches. Results: According to the empirical results, if the climate conditions under RCP8.5 were applied from 2014 to 2018, the yield of onion would increase by about 4%, and the price of onion would decrease from 3.7% to 17.4%. In addition, the average price fluctuation rate over the five years under RCP8.5 climate conditions is 56%, which is more volatile than 46% under actual climate conditions. Empirical results also show that the price decreases have been alleviated in dynamic model compared with comparative static model. Conclusions: Empirical results show that climate change is expected to increase onion yields and reduce onion prices. Therefore, the appropriate countermeasures against climate change in Korean onion market should be found in the stabilization of supply and demand for price stabilization rather than technical aspects such as the development of new varieties to increase productivity.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제29권2호
• /
• pp.195-217
• /
• 2020

지속가능한 발전을 달성하기 위한 방안으로 에너지 집약도 개선이 주목받고 있다. 에너지 가격과 기술 수준은 에너지 집약도에 영향을 미치는 주요한 요인으로 세 변수의 연관성에 관한 실증연구는 해외를 중심으로 진행되어왔다. 그러나 우리나라를 대상으로 한 연구는 드물다. 이에 본 연구에서는 우리나라를 대상으로 에너지 집약도, 에너지 가격, 총요소생산성 간 동태적 관계를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 세 변수는 장기균형관계를 형성하며, 총요소생산성의 증가는 장·단기에서 모두 에너지 집약도를 감소시키는 것으로 나타났다. 총요소생산성의 증가가 에너지 집약도 개선에 미치는 효과는 단기보다 장기에 더 큰 것으로 나타났다. 반면 에너지 가격은 에너지 집약도에 유의미한 영향을 미치지 못하였다. Granger 인과성 검정 결과, 에너지 집약도와 총요소생산성은 상호 Granger 인과하지만, 에너지 가격은 약외생적인 것으로 나타났다. 우리나라의 에너지 집약도 개선을 위해서는 전반적인 기술 수준의 개선이 필요하며, 단기적인 처방보다 장기적인 관점에서 정책적 방안을 마련하는 게 바람직하다는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 수산경영론집
• /
• 제52권2호
• /
• pp.55-67
• /
• 2021

Global warming affects critical natural resources, one of which is the oceans that occupy 70% of the total cover of the earth. In other words, ocean warming is a subset of global warming which needs to be addressed urgently. Purple laver (pyropia spp.) is one of the most vulnerable items to climate change although it is a major export product of Korean fisheries. The purpose of this study is to analyze the causality of how climate change caused by global warming affects the increase or decrease of PLP (purple laver production). The target area for analysis was set to Maro-hae between Jindo-gun and Haenam-gun. We selected marine environmental factors and meteorologic factors that could affect PLP as variables, as well as co-integration tests to determine long-term balance, and the Granger causticity tests. As a result, PLP and marine environmental factors WT (water temperature), pH, and DO confirmed that long-term equilibrium relationships were established, respectively. However, there is only causality with WT and it is confirmed that there is only a correlation between pH and DO (dissolved oxygen). There was no long-term equilibrium relationship between PLP and HDD (heating degree days) and there is a causal effect that HDD affects PLP; however, it was less clear than that of WT. The relationship between PLP and RF (rainfall), WS (wind speed), SS (percentage of sunshine), and FF (farm facilities) was all balanced in the long term, and causality exists. Based on the results of the analysis, policy proposals were made.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
• /
• 제10권2호
• /
• pp.213-222
• /
• 2023

This paper mainly studies the relationship between financial development, inbound tourism development, and economic growth rate in Fujian Province, China. This study uses the data of real GDP, foreign exchange income from international tourism, and financial interrelations ratio from 1994 to 2019. In the analysis process, the Johansen cointegration test is first used to analyze whether the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Then the vector error correction model is established to test the restrictive relationship among the three. Next, the Granger causality test assesses whether the three have a causal relationship. Finally, the contribution rate of the three is analyzed by variance decomposition. The above methods show the following conclusions: first, the three have a long-term equilibrium relationship. Secondly, in the short term, local economic growth is constrained by inbound tourism and financial development. Thirdly, there is a causal relationship between economic growth and inbound tourism in Fujian, while there is a unidirectional causal relationship between financial development and economic growth, financial development, and inbound tourism. Fourthly, the contribution rate of inbound tourism to economic growth fluctuations in Fujian is higher than that of financial development.

• 의료ㆍ복지 건축 : 한국의료복지건축학회 논문집
• /
• 제11권2호
• /
• pp.7-16
• /
• 2005

Recently, as the population of the elderly rapidly increases, the number of the special care facility for the elderly is a big social issue. Especially, special care facilities(nursing home, skilled nursing home, etc) for the elderly in Seoul are insufficient now. So this study quantitatively estimates nursing home beds needed in seoul in 2007, 2012 and 2017, and proposes an allocation of these facilities in Seoul. This study is to clarify problems in supply of long-term care facilities and present a solution for them. The main outcome of this study can be summarized into three parts; first, as architectural planning and supply estimation of long term care facility, an aged population of cities and countries in Seoul should be considered. Second, when the allocation of long term care facility in Seoul, the type of facilities, regional equilibrium etc. should be considered. Third, nursing home and residential care home are linked with the other area.

• 비파괴검사학회지
• /
• 제31권6호
• /
• pp.642-649
• /
• 2011

The long-term aging of ferritic 2.25CrMo steel was characterized using the acoustic nonlinear effect in order to apply to diagnose the degradation behavior of structural materials. We measured the acoustic nonlinearity parameter for each thermally aged specimen by the higher harmonic-generation technique. The acoustic nonlinearity parameter increased with aging time due to equilibrium M6C carbide precipitation, and has a favorable linear relation with Rockwell hardness. This study suggests that acoustic nonlinearity testing may be applicable to diagnostics on strength degradation in rotor steels.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제21권2호
• /
• pp.221-231
• /
• 2008

본 연구는 통상적인 일일자료 대신 주간자료를 사용하여 구제금융시대 전후 한국과 미국의 주식시장 동조화논란에 대해 통계적으로 검정해 보았다. 특히 양국의 주가간에 장기적 균형관계가 존재할 때 단기적 불균형에서 장기균형으로 복귀하는 성향에 대해 기간별로 어떤 차이점이 있는가를 추정하였다. 양국의 개별 주가간 장기적 균형관계는 구제금융기간이 시작되면서 뚜렷해지고 그 이후는 더욱 다양해지는 것으로 나타났다. 특히 구제금융기간이 끝나기 전까지는 단기간의 불균형이 해소되는 속도가 느렸지만 기간 종료 이후는 장기균형이 빠르게 회복된다는 사실이 일관성있게 추정되고 있다.