• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lognormal Distribution

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Development of Cut-in Lane Changing Model Based on Observed Driver's Behavior in Uninterrupted Traffic Flow (연속교통류에서의 끼어들기 행태 분석 및 모형 개발)

  • Kim, Kyung-Hee;Chang, Myung-Soon;Kim, Jin-Tae;Kim, Eung-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.145-157
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    • 2004
  • Microscopic freeway simulation models project the uncertain values of performance measures for subject traffic conditions by explaining drivers' driving behavior with lane changing and car-following models. However, the existing lane changing models are limited to gap acceptance oriented passive behavior of drivers and not able to capture more-or-less aggressive driving behavior(e.g. cut-in lane changing) ordinarily obseved in field. This paper suggests the definition of cut-inlane changing and presents its characteristics based on the findings from two different freeway on- and off-ramp sections. In addition, this paper proposes a new lane changing model capable of handling both passive and active drivers' driving behavior for better performance of simulations. The proposed lane changing model was tested with Hanyang Simulatin (HYTSIM), a microscopic freeway simulation program developed for this study. The HYTSIM simulation results reflecting the performance of the proposed lane changing model were compared against the field data. The test results showed that the distribution of gaps collected when vehicles change lanes were statistically identical to the field data at 95% confidence level.

Development of the 'Three-stage' Bayesian procedure and a reliability data processing code (3단계 베이지안 처리절차 및 신뢰도 자료 처리 코드 개발)

  • 임태진
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 1994
  • A reliability data processing MPRDP (Multi-Purpose Reliability Data Processor) has been developed in FORTRAN language since Jan. 1992 at KAERI (Korean Atomic Energy Research Institute). The purpose of the research is to construct a reliability database(plant-specific as well as generic) by processing various kinds of reliability data in most objective and systematic fashion. To account for generic estimates in various compendia as well as generic plants' operating experience, we developed a 'three-stage' Bayesian procedure[1] by logically combining the 'two-stage' procedure[2] and the idea for processing generic estimates[3]. The first stage manipulates generic plant data to determine a set of estimates for generic parameters,e.g. the mean and the error factor, which accordingly defines a generic failure rate distribution. Then the second stage combines these estimates with the other ones proposed by various generic compendia (we call these generic book type data). This stage adopts another Bayesian procedure to determine the final generic failure rate distribution which is to be used as a priori distribution in the third stage. Then the third stage updates the generic distribution by plant-specific data resulting in a posterior failure rate distribution. Both running failure and demand failure data can be handled in this code. In accordance with the growing needs for a consistent and well-structured reliability database, we constructed a generic reliability database by the MPRDP code[4]. About 30 generic data sources were reviewed and available data were collected and screened from them. We processed reliability data for about 100 safety related components frequently modeled in PSA. The underlying distribution for the failure rate was assumed to be lognormal or gamma, according to the PSA convention. The dependencies among the generic sources were not considered at this time. This problem will be approached in further study.

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Non-Gaussian feature of fluctuating wind pressures on rectangular high-rise buildings with different side ratios

  • Jia-hui Yuan;Shui-fu Chen;Yi Liu
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.211-227
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    • 2023
  • To investigate the non-Gaussian feature of fluctuating wind pressures on rectangular high-rise buildings, wind tunnel tests were conducted on scale models with side ratios ranging from 1/9~9 in an open exposure for various wind directions. The high-order statistical moments, time histories, probability density distributions, and peak factors of pressure fluctuations are analyzed. The mixed normal-Weibull distribution, Gumbel-Weibull distribution, and lognormal-Weibull distribution are adopted to fit the probability density distribution of different non-Gaussian wind pressures. Zones of Gaussian and non-Gaussian are classified for rectangular buildings with various side ratios. The results indicate that on the side wall, the non-Gaussian wind pressures are related to the distance from the leading edge. Apart from the non-Gaussianity in the separated flow regions noted by some literature, wind pressures behind the area where reattachment happens present non-Gaussian nature as well. There is a new probability density distribution type of non-Gaussian wind pressure which has both long positive and negative tail found behind the reattachment regions. The correlation coefficient of wind pressures is proved to reflect the non-Gaussianity and a new method to estimate the mean reattachment length of rectangular high-rise building side wall is proposed by evaluating the correlation coefficient. For rectangular high-rise buildings, the mean reattachment length calculated by the correlation coefficient method along the height changes in a parabolic shape. Distributions of Gaussian and non-Gaussian wind pressures vary with side ratios. It is inappropriate to estimate the extreme loads of wind pressures using a fixed peak factor. The trend of the peak factor with side ratios on different walls is given.

Some Problems on Acidic Plutonic Rocks in Korea (한국(韓國)의 성성심성암류연구(醒性深成岩類硏究)의 몇가지 과제(課題))

  • Lee, Dai Sung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.21-38
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    • 1972
  • In this paper, the author discussed about following subjects for the studies of acidic plutonic rocks in Korea. (1) The criteria of distinction between ortho-origin and para.origin of acidic plutonic rocks using the statistic chemical treatment of lognormal type distribution of H.L. Arhens (1954, 1957, 1963), the normative Q-Ab-Or triangle of O.F. Tuttle and N.L. Bowen(1958), plagioclase twin type of M. Gorai(1952) and optical measurement of ordering degree of plagioclase of K. Uruno(1963), (2) Macroscopic structural classification of migmatites of K.R. Mehnert(l968), (3) Volcano-plutonism comparing the geological features in the younger orogenic belts in Japan and Cordillera in America and (4) The original sources of granitic magma in the viewpoint of isotope geology.

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Analysis of PN Code Acquisition Performance with Multiple Antennas in a UWB System (다중 안테나를 적용한 UWB 시스템의 PN 부호 포착 성능 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Cheol;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.69-72
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, pseudo noise (PN) code acquisition performance with multiple antennas in a UWB time hopping/code division multiple access system is analyzed. The closed form for the conditional probability is derived, using the Gauss-Hermite quadrature formula, when the signal with Gaussian distribution goes through the lognormal fading channel. The performance comparison of the above mentioned schemes shows that the code acquisition performance with a diversity combining technique, especially when increasing the number of antennas, is more robust than that using no diversity.

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A Study for the Increased Reliability of Al-1%Si Thin Film Metallizations (Al-1%Si 박막 금속화의 신뢰도 향상을 위한 연구)

  • 최재승;김진영
    • Journal of the Korean Vacuum Society
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.382-388
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    • 1992
  • Electromigration은 인가된 전계하에서 발생하는 전자풍력에 의한 금속 이온의 현 상이며, 반도체 디바이스의 주요 결함 원인으로 보고되어 왔다. 선폭 1$mu extrm{m}$의 Al-1%Si 금속 박막전도체에 대한 electromigration 수명 실험을 위해 인가된 d.c. 전류밀도는 10MA/cm2 이었고, electromigration에 대한 활성화 에너지 측정을 위한 분위기 온도는 $80^{\circ}C$, 10$0^{\circ}C$ 그리고 $120^{\circ}C$이었다. 평균수명 및 신뢰성에 대한 보호 절연막 효과를 위해 두께 3000 $\AA$의 SiO2 산화막을 sputtering 진공증착기를 사용하여 Al-1%Si 금속 박막 전도체 위에 증착하였 다. 주요 연구 결과는 다음과 같다. Al-1%Si 금속 박막 전도체의 electromigration에 대한 활성화 에너지값은 0.75eV이었고 온도가 증가함에 따라 Al-1%Si의 수명은 감소하였고 신 뢰성은 향상되었다. SiO2 보호막은 electromigration에 대한 저항성을 크게 함으로써 평균수 명을 향상시켰으며, electromigration failure는 lognormal failure distribution은 갖는 것으로 나타났다.

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On the Dominance - Diversity in the Forest Vegetation of Mt. Halla National Park (漢拏山 國立公園 森林植生의 優占度-多樣性에 關하여)

  • Yim, Yang-Jai;Lee, Jin-Hwa
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.257-271
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    • 1991
  • Two types in the species-importance, one type of carpinus laxiflora, carpinus tschonoskii, quercus serrata, quercus grosseserrata and pnus densiflora community and another type of abeies koreana community classified by zurich-montpellier method, were recognized based on the data from 81 sample plots. The forme species sequence-importance curves were coincidred with the ideal curve calculated by preston's lognormal-distribution theory(1948), with small variations among five communities, and the latter with that of motomura's niche pre-emption hypothesis(1932). It seems that plant community classified by phytosociological method based on the unit concept coincide with the vegetation type recognized by species population analyse based on the continuum concept and the dominance-diversity reflrcts on the difference in the coenocline among their plant communities.

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The Diagnosis for Life Data in Accelerated Life Testing (가족수명시험에서의 수명데이타에 관한 진단)

  • Bae, Suk-Joo;Kang, Chang-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.29-43
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    • 1996
  • This paper identifies these data by the data diagnosis in lognormal distribution and presents the method to obtain exact parameter estimates and confidence intervals of regression line. The life-stress relationship uses Arrhenius model and life data generate Class-H insulation complete data by simulation. Also, the method to estimate parameters uses least squares estimation and externally Studentized residuals can be used as test statistics for identifing outliers. And influential cases are identified by Cook's distance. This research is intended to obtain the useful information for the life of products and test method, to save time and costs, and to help optimum accelerated life test plans.

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Reliability Analysis of Degradation Data Based on Accelerated Model -With Photointerrupter Used in Home VCR(Video Cassette Recorder)- (가속 모델에 기초한 열화 데이터의 신뢰성 해석 -가정용 영상 재생기에 사용되는 광센서를 중심으로-)

  • Kwon, Soo-Ho;Huh, Yang-Hyun;Lim, Tae-Jin
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.448-457
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    • 1999
  • Accelerated degradation is concerned with models and data analyses for degradation of product performance over time at overstress and design conditions. Although there have been numerous studies with accelerated degradation theory in reliability, very few actually apply to parametric statistical analyses. This paper shows how to analyze degradation data, provides tests for how well the assumptions hold. Reel sensors, a sort of photointerrupters in home VCR, hive been tested, and least-square analyses are used to illustrate our approach. Tests for linearity of the performance-time relationship, dependence of the lognormal distribution, and the standard deviation on time are performed. The mean life of tested sensors is assessed at about 414,000 hours, and the Arrhenius activation energy of this reaction is concluded to be 0.39 eV as results.

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Analytical fragility curves for typical Algerian reinforced concrete bridge piers

  • Kibboua, Abderrahmane;Naili, Mounir;Benouar, Djillali;Kehila, Fouad
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.411-425
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    • 2011
  • This paper illustrates the results of a seismic vulnerability study aimed to derive the fragility curves for typical Algerian reinforced concrete bridge piers using an analytical approach. Fragility curves express the probability of exceeding a certain damage state for a given ground motion intensity (e.g., PGA). In this respect, a set of 41 worldwide accelerometer records from which, 21 Algerian strong motion records are included, have been used in a non-linear dynamic response analyses to assess the damage indices expressed in terms of the bridge displacement ductility, the ultimate ductility, the cyclic loading factor and the cumulative energy ductility. Combining the damage indices defined for 5 damage rank with the ground motion indices, the fragility curves for the bridge piers were derived assuming a lognormal distribution.