• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logit Regression Model

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Application of Logit Model in Qualitative Dependent Variables (로짓모형을 이용한 질적 종속변수의 분석)

  • Lee, Kil-Soon;Yu, Wann
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.10 no.1 s.19
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    • pp.131-138
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    • 1992
  • Regression analysis has become a standard statistical tool in the behavioral science. Because of its widespread popularity. regression has been often misused. Such is the case when the dependent variable is a qualitative measure rather than a continuous, interval measure. Regression estimates with a qualitative dependent variable does not meet the assumptions underlying regression. It can lead to serious errors in the standard statistical inference. Logit model is recommended as alternatives to the regression model for qualitative dependent variables. Researchers can employ this model to measure the relationship between independent variables and qualitative dependent variables without assuming that logit model was derived from probabilistic choice theory. Coefficients in logit model are typically estimated by the method of Maximum Likelihood Estimation in contrast to ordinary regression model which estimated by the method of Least Squares Estimation. Goodness of fit in logit model is based on the likelihood ratio statistics and the t-statistics is used for testing the null hypothesis.

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Analysis of Multicategory Responses with Logit Model on Earlyold Age Pension

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.735-749
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    • 2008
  • This article suggests application of logit model for analysis of multicategory responses. Referring to the reference category, characteristic of each category is obtained from analysis of polytomous logit model. With National Pension data it is illustrated that application of logit model helps it possible to find significant factors which may not be found only with polytomous logit model. Application of the logit model is done by reducing the number of categories. Categories are grouped into the former and the latter group according to reference category. Extra finding of significant factor was possible from logistic regression analysis for the two groups after removing the reference category. It is expected that this application would be helpful for finding information and characteristics on ordered multicategory responses where the proportional odds model does not fit.

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A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

Sampling Based Approach to Bayesian Analysis of Binary Regression Model with Incomplete Data

  • Chung, Young-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 1997
  • The analysis of binary data appears to many areas such as statistics, biometrics and econometrics. In many cases, data are often collected in which some observations are incomplete. Assume that the missing covariates are missing at random and the responses are completely observed. A method to Bayesian analysis of the binary regression model with incomplete data is presented. In particular, the desired marginal posterior moments of regression parameter are obtained using Meterpolis algorithm (Metropolis et al. 1953) within Gibbs sampler (Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Also, we compare logit model with probit model using Bayes factor which is approximated by importance sampling method. One example is presented.

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A Sectoral Stock Investment Strategy Model in Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • DEFRIZAL, Defrizal;ROMLI, Khomsahrial;PURNOMO, Agus;SUBING, Hengky Achmad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to obtain a stock investment strategy model based on the industrial sector in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). This study uses IDX data for the period of January 1996 to December 2016. This study uses the Markov Regime Switching Model to identify trends in market conditions that occur in industrial sectors on IDX. Furthermore, by using the Logit Regression Model, we can see the influence of economic factors in determining trends in market conditions sectorally and the probability of trends in market conditions. This probability can be the basis for determining stock investment decisions in certain sectors. The results showed descriptively that the stocks of the consumer goods industry sector had the highest average return and the lowest standard deviation. The trend in sectoral stock market conditions that occur in IDX can be divided into two conditions, namely bullish condition (high returns and low volatility) and bearish condition (low returns and high volatility). Differences in the conditions are mainly due to differences in volatility. The use of a Logit Regression Model to produce probability of market conditions and to estimate the influence of economic factors in determining stock market conditions produces models that have varying predictive abilities.

Conjoint-like Analysis Using Elimination-by-Aspects Model (EBA 모형을 활용한 유사 컨조인트 분석)

  • Park, Sang-Jun
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.139-147
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    • 2008
  • Conjoint Analysis is marketers' favorite methodology for finding out how buyers make trade-offs among competing products and suppliers. Thousands of applications of conjoint analysis have been carried out over the past three decades. The conjoint analysis has been so popular as a management decision tool due to the availability of a choice simulator. A conjoint simulator enables managers to perform 'what if' question accompanying the output of a conjoint study. Traditionally the First Choice Model (FCM) has been widely used as a choice simulator. The FCM is simple to do, easy to understand. In the FCM, the probability of an alternative is zero until its value is greater than others in the set. Once its value exceeds that threshold, however, it receives 100%. The LOGIT simulation model, which is also called as "Share of Preference", has been used commonly as an alternative of the FCM. In the model part worth utilities aren't required to be positive. Besides, it doesn't require part worth utilities computed under LOGIT model. The simulator can be used based on regression, monotone regression, linear programming, and so on. However, it is not free from the Independent from Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) problem. This paper proposes the EBA (Elimination-By-Aspects) model as a useful conjoint-like method. One advantage of the EBA model is that it models choice in terms of the actual psychological processes that might be taking place. According to EBA, when choosing from choice objects, a person chooses one of the aspects that are effective for the objects and eliminates all objects which do not have this aspect. This process continues until only one alternative remains.

Multiple Regression Analysis between Weather Factor and Line Outage using Logit Model (로짓(Logit) 모델을 이용한 날씨요소와 송전선로 고장의 다중회귀분석)

  • Shin, Dong-Suk;Lee, Youn-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Baek-Seok;Bang, Min-Jae
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.187-189
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    • 2004
  • This paper investigates the effect of weather factors(such as winds, rain, snows, temperature, clouds and humidity) on transmission line outages. The result shows that weather variables have significant effects on the transmission line historical outages and the relationship between them is nonlinear. Multiple regression analysis using Logit model is proved to be appropriate in forecasting line failure rate in KEPCO systems. It could also provide system operators with useful informations about system operation and planing.

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Comparison of Multinomial Logit and Logistic Regression on Disability Pensioners' Characteristic (다범주 자료의 다항로짓 모형과 로지스틱 회귀모형 비교;장애연금 특성분석 중심으로)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.589-602
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    • 2008
  • This article studies on disability pensioners' characteristic with multinomial logit and logistic regression model. Seven factors are examined on whether each factor is reflected in degree of disability in the disability pension. By incorporating multinomial logit and logistic regression model, effectiveness and characteristic of the seven factors are investigated on the degree of disability. Result shows all the seven factors are significant on the degree of disability, while among the seven, five factors, age, sex, type of coverage, type of category, insured duration show a trend in degree of disability and the other two, cause of disability and class of standard monthly income are not effective on trend in degree of disability. Results from analyses might be useful for disability pension management.

A Study on the Usefulness of EVA as Hospital Bankruptcy Prediction Index (병원도산 예측지표로서 EVA의 유용성)

  • 양동현
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.54-76
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    • 2002
  • This study investigated how much EVA which evaluate firm's value can explain hospital bankruptcy prediction as a explanatory variable including financial indicators in Korea. In this study, artificial neural network and logit regression which are traditional statistical were used as the model for bankruptcy prediction. Data used in this study were financial and economic value added indicators of 34 bankrupt and -:4 non-bankrupt hospitals from the Database of Korean Health Industry Development Institute. The main results of this study were as follows: First, there was a significant difference between the financial variable model including EVA and the financial variable model excluding EVA in pre-bankruptcy analysis. Second, EVA could forecast bankruptcy hospitals up to 83% by the logistic analysis. Third, the EVA model outperformed the financial model in terms of the predictive power of hospital bankruptcy. Fourth, The predictive power of neural network model of hospital bankruptcy was more powerful than the legit model. After all the result of this study will be useful to future study on EVA to evaluate bankruptcy hospitals forecast.

Comparison of Goodness-of-Fit Tests using Grouping Strategies for Multinomial Logit Regression Model (다항 로짓 회귀모형에서의 그룹화 전략을 이용한 적합도 검정 방법 비교)

  • Song, Mi Kyung;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.889-902
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    • 2013
  • Several goodness-of-fit test statistics have been proposed for a multinomial logit regression model; however, the properties of the proposed tests were not adequately studied. This paper evaluates three different goodness-of-fit tests using grouping strategies, proposed by Fagerland et al. (2008), Bull (1994), and Pigeon and Heyse (1999). In addition, Pearson (1900)'s method is also examined as a reference. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the four methods in terms of null distribution and power. A real data example is presented to illustrate the methods.