• 제목/요약/키워드: Logit Model

검색결과 701건 처리시간 0.03초

On an Optimal Bayesian Variable Selection Method for Generalized Logit Model

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Lee, Ae Kuoung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.617-631
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    • 2000
  • This paper is concerned with suggesting a Bayesian method for variable selection in generalized logit model. It is based on Laplace-Metropolis algorithm intended to propose a simple method for estimating the marginal likelihood of the model. The algorithm then leads to a criterion for the selection of variables. The criterion is to find a subset of variables that maximizes the marginal likelihood of the model and it is seen to be a Bayes rule in a sense that it minimizes the risk of the variable selection under 0-1 loss function. Based upon two examples, the suggested method is illustrated and compared with existing frequentist methods.

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Application of GLIM to the Binary Categorical Data

  • Sok, Yong-U
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.158-169
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    • 1999
  • This paper is concerned with the application of generalized linear interactive modelling(GLIM) to the binary categorical data. To analyze the categorical data given by a contingency table, finding a good-fitting loglinear model is commonly adopted. In the case of a contingency table with a response variable, we can fit a logit model to find a good-fitting loglinear model. For a given $2^4$ contingency table with a binary response variable, we show the process of fitting a loglinear model by fitting a logit model using GLIM and SAS and then we estimate parameters to interpret the nature of associations implied by the model.

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철도 네트워크에서 환승수요를 고려한 다항로짓 기반 통행배정 모형 연구 (A LOGIT based Traffic Assignment Model Considering Passenger Transfer on Railway Network)

  • 박범환;노학래;천승훈;이진선
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.276-284
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 철도 네트워크에서의 통행배정 모형에 관한 것이다. 기존의 통행배정모형은 주로 도로 혹은 도시 대중교통 네트워크에 초점을 둔 연구로서, 최적전략 기반 통행배정 모형을 비롯한 대부분의 통행배정 모형 이 지역간 철도 네트워크에 대해서는 비현실적인 수요를 생성한다고 알려져 있다. 특히 KTX개통 이후, KTX가 포함된 환승경로를 이용하는 승객이 점차 증가하는 추세이며, 이러한 KTX가 포함된 환승 경로 및 스케줄이 지속적으로 개선되고 있다. 본 연구는 환승을 고려한 새로운 다항로짓 기반 통행배정 모형을 제시한다. 특히 본 연구에서 제시하는 모형은, 통행 시간, 경로의 최소 운행횟수, 환승 저항 등 다양한 변수가 포함된 효용함수가 주어져 있을 때, K개의 최대 효용을 갖는 경로를 탐색하는 알고리즘을 포함하고 있다.

조건부가치측정법을 이용한 부산시 상수도 수질개선에 대한 WTP 추정 (Estimating willingness-to-pay for the tap water quality improvement in Busan using contingent valuation method)

  • 표희동;추재욱
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제28권5호
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2014
  • The paper is to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for tap water quality improvement in Busan, using parametric approach in contingent valuation method(CVM). For parametric approach linear logit model and log logit model are employed in double-bounded dichotomous choice format of CVM. For the reliability and the validity of contingent valuation method a survey was conducted for 665 respondents, who were sampled by stratified random sampling method, by personal interview method. The result of mean WTP for the tap water quality improvement in Busan was estimated to be 3,687 won and 3,660 won per month per household, while median WTP being 1,884 won and 1,892 won per month per household, respectively by linear logit model and log logit model. Provided that our sample is broadly representative of the Busan's population, an estimate of the annual aggregated benefit of residential water improvement for all Busan households is approximately 29.7 billion won to 29.8 billion won based on median WTP.

순서형 로짓 모형을 이용한 여수 아쿠아리움 방문확률의 추정 (The Estimation of a Probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium with an Ordered Logit Model)

  • 이창근;하재연;김의준
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this paper is to estimate a probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium with an ordered logit model. Ordered logit model is affordable to estimate the probability when the dependant variable represents likert-type scale. The estimated results are as follows. The more income induces the visiting-expectation. The experience for another aquarium and the visiting-expectation for the Yeosu EXPO are contributed to the visiting-expectation for the Yeosu Aquarium. The needs to visit the Yeosu Aquarium is low in Kyoungsang area and Seoul-Kyounggi-Incheun Metropolitan area. This is related to the Aquarium facilities, which were established in each area. In average level conditions regarding to all independent variables the probability to visit the Yeosu Aquarium is calculated to 15.75%. However, the probability to visit to the Yeosu Aquarium is decreasing according to the change of an admission fee.

A Generalized Mixed-Effects Model for Vaccination Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2004
  • This paper deals with a mixed logit model for vaccination data. The effect of a newly developed vaccine for a certain chicken disease can be evaluated by a noninfection rate after injecting chicken with the disease vaccine. But there are a lot of factors that might affect the noninfecton rate. Some of these are fixed and others are random. Random factors are sometimes coming from the sampling scheme for choosing experimental units. This paper suggests a mixed model when some fixed factors need to have different experimental sizes by an experimental design and illustrates how to estimate parameters in a suggested model.

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로짓 模型을 利用한 都心居住의 適住者 選定에 관한 硏究 - 大邱市를 中心으로 - (Study on the Selection of Suitable Resident for C.B.D. Living by Using the Logit Model -The Case of Taegu City-)

  • 임준홍;김한수
    • 한국주거학회논문집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 1999
  • This study is for the development of C.B.D. residential land that is available in the changeable housing market and urban planning paradigm. The results are as follows. First, we developed a Logit model to analyzed the suitable resident for living downtown and we used several variables in the model such as their living place, the location of their works, in come according to sex and age, and whether they have a car or not. Second, in analysis for the suitable residents using the Logit model, the main demanders who live in C.B.D. or have a job there and the young and old were chosen, Third, it shows that the suitable residents prefer semi-C.B.D. because it has convenient accessibility to C.B.D. rater quickly (in ten minutes). They prefer apartment and Mixed-Use building. Fourth, there are much residential land in semi-C.B.D. (63.7%) so as to support enough land in ease of redevelopment. The land price is tremendously low compared to that of land for business or for C.B.D.

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Preferences for Supercomputer Resources Using the Logit Model

  • Hyungwook Shim;Jaegyoon Hahm
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2023
  • Public research, which requires large computational resources, utilizes the supercomputers of the National Supercomputing Center in the Republic of Korea. The average utilization rate of resources over the past three years reached 80%. Therefore, to ensure the operational stability of this national infrastructure, specialized centers have been established to distribute the computational demand concentrated in the national centers. It is necessary to predict the computational demand accurately to build an appropriate resource scale. Therefore, it is important to estimate the inflow and outflow of computational demand between the national and specialized centers to size the resources required to construct specialized centers. We conducted a logit model analysis using the probabilistic utility theory to derive the preferences of individual users for future supercomputer resources. This analysis shows that the computational demand share of specialized centers is 59.5%, which exceeds the resource utilization plan of existing specialized centers.

노드중복과 링크중복문제를 고려한 로짓선택확률의 비교연구 (A study on logit choice probability model taking into account the problems of common-nodes and common-links)

  • 백승걸;임용택;임강원
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2000
  • 로짓경로선택모형의 문제점으로 지적되고 있는 순환교통류(cyclic flow)와 경로중복(path overlapping)은 노드중복(common nodes)과 링크중복(common links)문제로 해석할 수 있다. 노드중복은 최단경로 보장문제 및 균형배정시 효율성 문제와, 링크중복은 비관련대안의 독립성 문제와 관련된다. 최근 위 문제들에 대한 연구가 각각 이루어지고 있으나, 두 가지 문제를 모두 고려한 연구나 이런 경우 로짓모형의 속성을 비교한 연구는 없었다. 이 글에서는 노드중복과 링크중복을 고려한 경우와 그렇지 않은 경우의 선택확률을 비교하여 현재 이용되고 있는 로짓경로선택모형의 문제점과 한계를 살펴보았다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 노드중복문제와 링크중복문제를 동시에 고려한 로짓경로선택모형을 제시하였다. 이는 기존의 링크중복개념을 특정링크를 기준으로 통행기점에서 특정링크의 초기노드가지의 링크중복과 특정링크 종점노드부터 통행종점가지의 링크중복으로 세분화한 것이라고 할 수 있다. 제시된 모형을 이용하여 가상네트워크에서 경로 및 링크선택확률을 계산한 결과, 노드 중복과 링크중복을 고려함으로써 선택대안들간의 차별성을 고려하면서 특정경로 또는 특정링크의 선택확률이 과소 또는 과대추정되는 문제를 감소시킬 수 있었다. 이러한 결과를 통해 중복경로와 순환경로를 배제한 다중경로를 보다 효과적으로 도출할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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제주지역 호텔기업 부실예측모형 평가 (Assessing Distress Prediction Model toward Jeju District Hotels)

  • 김시중
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제8권4호
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - This current study will investigate the average financial ratio of top and failed five-star hotels in the Jeju area. A total of 14 financial ratio variables are utilized. This study aims to; first, assess financial ratio of the first-class hotels in Jeju to establishing variables, second, develop distress prediction model for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis and third, evaluate distress prediction capacity for the first-class hotels in Jeju district by using logit analysis. Research design, data, and methodology - The sample was collected from year 2015 and 14 financial ratios of 12 first-class hotels in Jeju district. The results from the samples were analyzed by t-test, and the independent variables were chosen. This was an empirical study where the distress prediction model was evaluated by logit analysis. This current research has focused on critically analyzing and differentiating between the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area by utilizing the 14 financial ratio variables. Results - The verification result of the accuracy estimated by logit analysis has shown to indicate that the distress prediction model's distress prediction capacity was 83.3%. In order to extract the factors that differentiated the top hotels in the Jeju area from the failed hotels among the 14 chosen, the analysis of t-black was utilized by independent variables. Logit analysis was also used in this study. As a result, it was observed that 5 variables were statistically significant and are included in the logit analysis for discernment of top and failed hotels in the Jeju area. Conclusions - The distress prediction press' prediction capability was compared in this research analysis. The distress prediction press prediction capability was shown to range from 75-85% by logit analysis from a previous study. In this current research, the study's prediction capacity was shown to be 83.33%. It was considered a high number and was found to belong to the range of the previous study's prediction capacity range. From a practical perspective, the capacity of the assessment of the distress prediction model in the top and failed hotels in the Jeju area was considered to be a prominent factor in applications of future hotel appraisal.