• Title/Summary/Keyword: Logistic Function

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Probabilistic Forecasting of Seasonal Inflow to Reservoir (계절별 저수지 유입량의 확률예측)

  • Kang, Jaewon
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.965-977
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    • 2013
  • Reliable long-term streamflow forecasting is invaluable for water resource planning and management which allocates water supply according to the demand of water users. It is necessary to get probabilistic forecasts to establish risk-based reservoir operation policies. Probabilistic forecasts may be useful for the users who assess and manage risks according to decision-making responding forecasting results. Probabilistic forecasting of seasonal inflow to Andong dam is performed and assessed using selected predictors from sea surface temperature and 500 hPa geopotential height data. Categorical probability forecast by Piechota's method and logistic regression analysis, and probability forecast by conditional probability density function are used to forecast seasonal inflow. Kernel density function is used in categorical probability forecast by Piechota's method and probability forecast by conditional probability density function. The results of categorical probability forecasts are assessed by Brier skill score. The assessment reveals that the categorical probability forecasts are better than the reference forecasts. The results of forecasts using conditional probability density function are assessed by qualitative approach and transformed categorical probability forecasts. The assessment of the forecasts which are transformed to categorical probability forecasts shows that the results of the forecasts by conditional probability density function are much better than those of the forecasts by Piechota's method and logistic regression analysis except for winter season data.

The design of digital circuit for chaotic composition map (혼돈합성맵의 디지털회로설계)

  • Park, Kwang-Hyeon;Seo, Yong-Won
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.652-657
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    • 2013
  • In this paper the design methode of a separated composition state machine based on the compositive map with two chaotic maps together and the result of that is proposed. The digital circuits of chaotic composition map for the use of chaotic binary stream generator are designed in this work. The discretized truth table of chaotic composition function which is composed of two chaotic functions - the saw tooth function and skewed logistic function - is made out, and also simplefied Boolean algebras of digital circuits are obtained as a mathematical model. Consequently, the digital circuits of the map for chaotic composition function are presented in this paper.

Image encryption through the chaos function and elementary row column operations (카오스 함수와 기본 행렬변환을 통한 영상의 암호화)

  • Kim, Tae-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.269-272
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    • 2005
  • For the efficient image encryption, we proposed the encryption algorithm using the chaotic function and elementary matrix operation defined on the bit plane decomposition. Though the chaotic encryption algorithm is faster than block encryption, it uses a real number computation. In this sense, we use the row and column operations on the bit-plane decomposed images combined with logistic function for the recursive rounding number, too.

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Reasonability of Logistic Curve on S/W (로지스틱 곡선을 이용한 타당성)

  • Kim, Sun-Il;Che, Gyu-Shik;Jo, In-June
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • The Logistic cone is studied as a most desirable for the software testing effort. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull cure as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing- effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

A Study on the Regional Logistic Industry Status in Incheon (인천광역시의 물류산업 현황에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Jung-Hwan;Lee, Doo-Yong;Zhang, Jing-Iun;Jho, Yong-Chul;Choi, Soon-Young;Lee, Chang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2011
  • Incheon port is located near the Seoul metropolitan area and it is gateway port to Korea. It has the efficient location conditions in geography and economics. Many logistics industry had been developed taking the advantage of above conditions. Since Incheon International Airport opened in 2001, the function in logistics had been grown gradually. But most of logistics companies in Incheon are lack of basic usage of logistic information. To identify the status for logistic industry in Incheon we analysed various statistical data and literature in this study. From the survey results, we found that logistic industry has higher weight than other industries. It is sure that logistics industry is the specific industry in Incheon.

Hazard Map of Road Slope Using a Logistic Regression Model and GIS (Logistic 회귀모형과 GIS기법을 활용한 접도사면 붕괴확률위험도 제작)

  • Kang Ho-Yun;Kwak Young-Joo;Kang In-Joon;Jang Yong-Gu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2006
  • Slope failures are happen to natural disastrous when they occur in mountainous areas adjoining highways in Korea. The accidents associated with slope failures have increased due to rapid urbanization of mountainous areas. Therefore, Regular maintenance is essential for all slope and conducted to maintain road safety as well as road function. In this study, we take priority of making a database of risk factor of the failure of a slope before assesment and analysis. The purpose of this paper is to recommend a standard of Slope Management Information Sheet(SMIS) like as Hazard Map. The next research, we suggest to pre-estimated model of a road slope using Logistic Regression Model.

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A study on the parameter estimation of S-Shaped Software Reliability Growth Models Using SAS JMP (SAS JMP를 이용한 S형 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모델에서의 모수 추정에 관한 연구)

  • 문숙경
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.130-140
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    • 1998
  • Studies present a guide to parameter estimation of software reliability models using SAS JMP. In this paper, we consider only software reliability growth model(SRGM), where mean value function has a S-shaped growth curve, such as Yamada et al. model, and ohba inflection model. Besides these stochastic SRGM, deterministic SRGM's, by fitting Logistic and Gompertz growth curve, have been widely used to estimate the error content of software systems. Introductions or guide lines of JMP are concerned. Estimation of parameters of Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is accomplished by using JMP. The differences between Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is accomplished by using JMP. The differences between Yamada et al. model and Logistic model is discussed, along with the variability in the estimates or error sum of squares. This paper have shown that JMP can be an effective tool I these research.

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Economic Component Screening Procedures for Multi-Component Products Supplied with Warranty (조립제품을 구성하는 부품에 대한 전수검사 방식의 경제적 설계)

  • Chang, Young-Soon;Bai, Do-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.366-373
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    • 2001
  • Economic component screening procedures for multi-component assembly products supplied with warranty are proposed. It is assumed that the screening variable is continuous and the performance variable is dichotomous. Logistic and normal models are considered; the proportion of conforming items is a logistic function of the screening variable in the logistic model and the screening variable given the performance variable is normally distributed in the normal model. Cost models are constructed which involve three cost components; screening inspection cost for each component, cost due to disposing a rejected component, and warranty cost for an assembly product. Methods of finding the optimal screening procedures are presented and numerical examples are given.

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Bayesian estimation in the generalized half logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Se, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.977-989
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    • 2011
  • The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter and reliability function in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data under various loss functions. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

An Introduction to Logistic Regression: From Basic Concepts to Interpretation with Particular Attention to Nursing Domain

  • Park, Hyeoun-Ae
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.154-164
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: The purpose of this article is twofold: 1) introducing logistic regression (LR), a multivariable method for modeling the relationship between multiple independent variables and a categorical dependent variable, and 2) examining use and reporting of LR in the nursing literature. Methods: Text books on LR and research articles employing LR as main statistical analysis were reviewed. Twenty-three articles published between 2010 and 2011 in the Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing were analyzed for proper use and reporting of LR models. Results: Logistic regression from basic concepts such as odds, odds ratio, logit transformation and logistic curve, assumption, fitting, reporting and interpreting to cautions were presented. Substantial shortcomings were found in both use of LR and reporting of results. For many studies, sample size was not sufficiently large to call into question the accuracy of the regression model. Additionally, only one study reported validation analysis. Conclusion: Nursing researchers need to pay greater attention to guidelines concerning the use and reporting of LR models.