• 제목/요약/키워드: Load Prediction

검색결과 1,423건 처리시간 0.032초

반경방향과 모멘트하중 하에서의 깊은홈 볼베어링의 피로수명 평가 -동등가하중식 제안- (Prediction of the Fatigue Life of Deep Groove Ball Bearing under Radial and Moment Loads -Equivalent Dynamic Loads-)

  • 김완두;한동철
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제18권7호
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    • pp.1654-1663
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    • 1994
  • Even if the ball bearing was conservatively designed considering the dynamic capacity and the rating life, sometimes the bearing was early failed on account of the misalignment and the lubricant contaminations etc. Misalignment was generated when bearing-shaft system transmitted large power and when the bearing was inadequately mounted. It was possible to predict the fatigue life of ball bearing under the misalignment considering the motions of ball, cage and raceway, and the factors of the effect on fatigue life. Misalignment affected on ball bearing as radial and moment load and the relationships between misalignment and moment were obtained. In this paper, the analysis of the load distributions between ball and raceway, and the prediction of fatigue life of deep groove ball bearing under radial and moment loads were carried out. And, the new formulation of equivalent dynamic load considering the effects of moment load was proposed.

교차검증을 이용한 SVM 전력수요예측 (SVM Load Forecasting using Cross-Validation)

  • 조남훈
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제55권11호
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    • pp.485-491
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we study the problem of model selection for Support Vector Machine(SVM) predictor for short-term load forecasting. The model selection amounts to tuning SVM parameters, such as the cost coefficient C and kernel parameters and so on, in order to maximize the prediction performance of SVM. We propose that Cross-Validation method can be used as a model selection algorithm for SVM-based load forecasting technique. Through the various experiments on several data sets, we found that the difference between the prediction error of SVM using Cross-Validation and that of ideal SVM is less than 5%. This shows that SVM parameters for load forecasting can be efficiently tuned by using Cross-Validation.

Vibration Correlation Technique을 이용한 내부 압력을 받는 금속재 단순 원통 구조의 비파괴적 전역 좌굴 하중 예측 (Nondestructive Buckling Load Prediction of Pressurized Unstiffened Metallic Cylinder Using Vibration Correlation Technique)

  • 전민혁;공승택;조현준;김인걸;박재상;유준태;윤영하
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2022
  • 내부 압력과 압축하중을 받는 발사체 추진제 탱크 구조의 좌굴 하중을 비파괴적으로 예측할 수 있는 기법이 필요하다. 기하학적 초기 결함이 존재하는 단순 원통 구조의 전역 좌굴 하중은 좌굴이 발생하지 않는 범위에서의 고유진동수-압축하중의 상관관계를 이용한 Vibration correlation technique (VCT)을 사용하여 비파괴적으로 예측 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 내부 압력과 압축하중을 동시에 받는 추진제 탱크 구조 형태인 얇은 금속재 단순 원통 구조의 진동 및 좌굴 시험을 수행하였고 VCT를 이용하여 전역 좌굴 하중을 예측하였다. 두께가 얇은 구조의 진동 시험을 위해 스피커를 이용한 비접촉식 가진 방법을 이용하였고 응답은 고분자 압전 센서(PVDF)로 측정하였다. VCT로 예측된 전역 좌굴 하중을 좌굴 시험에서 측정된 좌굴 하중과 비교하여 비파괴적 전역 좌굴 하중 예측 기법을 검증하였다.

국산 간벌 소경재를 이용한 다중접착접합 기둥부재의 압축강도성능 (Compression strength performance of multi-layer glued columns by using square lumbers produced from domestic small diameter logs)

  • 신일중;김윤희;장상식
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.533-540
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    • 2011
  • This study is to develop a mulit-layer glued columns for construction of Korean-style houses by using domestic small diameter logs. Dried small square lumber glued each other to develop a multi-layer glued columns and evaluated its performance of strength. Then, predicted the design load of multi-layer glued columns and make a comparison between actual load and design load of multi-layer glued columns. In the results, allowable load by allowable stress of multi-layer glued columns was measured one-third of actual columns load and prediction load was measured less than 10~30% of the actual load. Therefore, muilt-layer glued member has a standard allowable stress of compressive of 13 MPa (Larix leptolepis) and 19 MPa (Chamaecyparis obtusa) when used as columns. Also, using compression strength of small diameter square logs could calculate maximum loads of multi-layer glued member as column.

Voltage Stability Prediction on Power System Network via Enhanced Hybrid Particle Swarm Artificial Neural Network

  • Lim, Zi-Jie;Mustafa, Mohd Wazir;Jamian, Jasrul Jamani
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.877-887
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    • 2015
  • Rapid development of cities with constant increasing load and deregulation in electricity market had forced the transmission lines to operate near their threshold capacity and can easily lead to voltage instability and caused system breakdown. To prevent such catastrophe from happening, accurate readings of voltage stability condition is required so that preventive equipment and operators can execute security procedures to restore system condition to normal. This paper introduced Enhanced Hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm to estimate the voltage stability condition which utilized Fast Voltage Stability Index (FVSI) to indicate how far or close is the power system network to the collapse point when the reactive load in the system increases because reactive load gives the highest impact to the stability of the system as it varies. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) had been combined with the ANN to form the Enhanced Hybrid PSO-ANN (EHPSO-ANN) algorithm that worked accurately as a prediction algorithm. The proposed algorithm reduced serious local minima convergence of ANN but also maintaining the fast convergence speed of PSO. The results show that the hybrid algorithm has greater prediction accuracy than those comparing algorithms. High generalization ability was found in the proposed algorithm.

컨시스턴스 해슁을 이용한 분산 웹 캐싱 시스템의 성능 향상을 위한 Hot Spot 예측 방법 (Hot Spot Prediction Method for Improving the Performance of Consistent Hashing Shared Web Caching System)

  • 정성칠;정길도
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제29권5B호
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    • pp.498-507
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    • 2004
  • 월드 와이드 웹에서 사용자의 요청에 대한 웹 서버의 신속하고 정확한 서비스는 매우 중요하다. 그러나 최근에 는 인터넷 사용자의 급속한 증가로 인하여 신속한 서비스가 어려운 상황이다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 분산 웹 캐싱이 사용되고 있다. 분산 웹 캐싱의 성능은 히트 율에 의해서 결정되며 히트 율은 메모리 사이즈, 서버의 처리속도, 로드밸런싱 등의 영향을 받는다. 기존의 로드밸런싱은 주로 현재의 시스템 상태를 기준으로 실시하고 있으나, 미래에 발생할 서비스를 예측하는 방법을 이용하여 로드밸런싱을 실시함으로써 히트 율의 향상이 가능하다. 본 연i레서는 웹 서버 또는 프록시에 요청하는 가장 빈번한 hot spot을 예측하구 예측된 hot spot을 공유하고 있는 프록시에 미리 패치함으로써 프록시의 활용을 개선하는 Hot Spot Prediction Method (HSPM)을 제안한다. 시뮬레이션을 통하여 제안한 방법이 기존의 consistent hashing보다 로드밸런싱, 히트 율 측면에서 우수함을 확인하였다.

Forecasting Load Balancing Method by Prediction Hot Spots in the Shared Web Caching System

  • Jung, Sung-C.;Chong, Kil-T.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.2137-2142
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    • 2003
  • One of the important performance metrics of the World Wide Web is how fast and precise a request from users will be serviced successfully. Shared Web Caching (SWC) is one of the techniques to improve the performance of the network system. In Shared Web Caching Systems, the key issue is on deciding when and where an item is cached, and also how to transfer the correct and reliable information to the users quickly. Such SWC distributes the items to the proxies which have sufficient capacity such as the processing time and the cache sizes. In this study, the Hot Spot Prediction Algorithm (HSPA) has been suggested to improve the consistent hashing algorithm in the point of the load balancing, hit rate with a shorter response time. This method predicts the popular hot spots using a prediction model. The hot spots have been patched to the proper proxies according to the load-balancing algorithm. Also a simulator is developed to utilize the suggested algorithm using PERL language. The computer simulation result proves the performance of the suggested algorithm. The suggested algorithm is tested using the consistent hashing in the point of the load balancing and the hit rate.

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비행하중하에서 2124-T851 알루미늄합금의 피로균열진전 예측 (Prediction of Crack Growth in 2124-7851 Al-Alloy Under Flight-Simulation Loading)

  • 심동석;황돈영;김정규
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제26권8호
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    • pp.1487-1494
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    • 2002
  • In this study, to propose the prediction method of the crack growth under flight-simulation loading, crack growth tests are conducted on 2124-7851 aluminum alloy specimens. The prediction of crack growth under flight-simulation loading is performed by the stochastic crack growth model which was developed in previous study. First of all, to reduce the complex load history into a number of constant amplitude events, rainflow counting is applied to the flight-simulation loading wave. The crack growth, then, is predicted by the stochastic crack growth model that can describe the load interaction effect as well as the variability in crack growth process. The material constants required in this model are obtained from crack growth tests under constant amplitude loading and single tensile overload. The curves predicted by the proposed model well describe the crack growth behavior under flight-simulation loading and agree with experimental data. In addition, this model well predicts the variability of fatigue lives.

음원 분포선 위치가 발사체 이륙 음향하중에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Source Line Location on Lift-off Acoustic Loads of a Launch Vehicle)

  • 최상현;이정권;이익진
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제25권8호
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    • pp.539-545
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    • 2015
  • Intense acoustic load is generated when a launch vehicle lifts off, causing the damaging vibrations at the launch vehicle or satellite within the fairing. This paper is concerned with the prediction of lift-off acoustic loads for a launch vehicle. As a test example, the lift-off acoustic load on the Korean launch vehicle, NARO, is predicted by the existing calculation tool, the modified Eldred's second method. Although the acoustic sources, assumed as point sources, are to be located along the center line of the exhaust plume when using the Eldred's prediction method, the exact location of the deflected center line of exhaust gas flow is not usually known. To search for the most appropriate source positions, six models of source line distribution are suggested and the acoustic load prediction results from these models are compared with the actual measurements. It is found that the predicted sound pressure spectrum of the Naro is the most similar to the measured data when the centerline of the turbulent kinetic energy contour is used as the source line.

바람 하중에 의한 크루즈선의 횡경사 예측 및 제어에 관한 연구 (Study on Prediction and Control of Wind-Induced Heel Motion of Cruise Ship)

  • 김재한;김용환;김용수
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제50권4호
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    • pp.206-216
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    • 2013
  • The present study considers the prediction of wind-induced heel of cruise ship and its stabilization. Wind load in ocean exerts on the surface of superstructure of cruise ship, which causes the heel moment on the ship. The calculation of wind load starts from choosing wind speed profile, so that the logarithmic wind profile model is applied in this study. Heel moment by wind load is calculated by adopting approximate formulation and applied to the ship motion analysis in time domain. Motion stabilizers, such as stabilizing fin and U-tube tank, are considered to reduce the heel effect as well as excessive roll motion. From this study, it is expected that the present method can be applied to the prediction and stabilization of the heel motion of cruise ships.