• Title/Summary/Keyword: Liquidity crisis

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A Study on the Pattern Changes and Determinants of Corporate Cash Holding (기업의 현금보유 패턴 변화 및 결정요인에 대한 연구)

  • Lim, Kyung-Mook;Choi, Yong-Seok
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.75-116
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    • 2007
  • This study examines what changes and impacts have brought to the corporate cash holding after the financial crisis. The main findings can be summarized by two parts. First, the recent high increase in cash holding is only found in few companies, meaning that the level of the overall ratio has not risen. Second, Korean companies tend to have a higher ratio of cash holding when they have more uncertainty about their business performances. The higher the uncertainty in overall business performances also has some effects on the cash holding patterns of the Korean companies.

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The Impact of Horizontal Mergers on the Performance of the Jordanian Banking Sector

  • AL-HROOT, Yusuf Ali;AL-QUDAH, Laith Akram;ALKHARABSHA, Faris Irsheid
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.7
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2020
  • This paper examines the impact of mergers on the financial performance of the Jordanian banking sector. This paper applies the financial approaches in analysing the effects of mergers on Jordanian banks' performance for two the periods: four years pre-merger and four years' post-merger for the period from 2001 to 2009. The sample of the study solely contains the case of the merger of the Jordan Ahli Bank (AHLI bank) with Philadelphia Bank in 2005. Data are tested for normality using the Shapiro-Wilk Test and Kolmogorov Smirnov test. The financial ratios and a statistical technique as a Mann-Whitney U test were used to assess the significant differences in the financial performance of the selected banks pre- and post-merger by investigating the performance-related financial ratio groups that are expressed by leverage, liquidity, efficiency, and cash flow ratio. The results show that there is an insignificant improvement in the ratios of AHLI bank in the period after the merger, except for the superior result provided by this study indicating that the leverage ratios improved significantly. The reason for the insignificant improvement in financial ratios may be that the post-merger period corresponds to the period of the global financial crisis that began in 2007.

Financial Distress Prediction Using Adaboost and Bagging in Pakistan Stock Exchange

  • TUNIO, Fayaz Hussain;DING, Yi;AGHA, Amad Nabi;AGHA, Kinza;PANHWAR, Hafeez Ur Rehman Zubair
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.665-673
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    • 2021
  • Default has become an extreme concern in the current world due to the financial crisis. The previous prediction of companies' bankruptcy exhibits evidence of decision assistance for financial and regulatory bodies. Notwithstanding numerous advanced approaches, this area of study is not outmoded and requires additional research. The purpose of this research is to find the best classifier to detect a company's default risk and bankruptcy. This study used secondary data from the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) and it is time-series data to examine the impact on the determinants. This research examined several different classifiers as per their competence to properly categorize default and non-default Pakistani companies listed on the PSX. Additionally, PSX has remained consistent for some years in terms of growth and has provided benefits to its stockholders. This paper utilizes machine learning techniques to predict financial distress in companies listed on the PSX. Our results indicate that most multi-stage mixture of classifiers provided noteworthy developments over the individual classifiers. This means that firms will have to work on the financial variables such as liquidity and profitability to not fall into the category of liquidation. Moreover, Adaptive Boosting (Adaboost) provides a significant boost in the performance of each classifier.

Capital Structure of Malaysian Companies: Are They Different During the COVID-19 Pandemic?

  • MOHD AZHARI, Nor Khadijah;MAHMUD, Radziah;SHAHARUDDIN, Sara Naquia Hanim
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2022
  • This study examined the level of capital structure and its determinants of publicly traded companies in Malaysia before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The data for this study was examined using Python Programming Language and time-series financial data from 2,784 quarterly observations in 2019 and 2020. The maximum debt is larger before the COVID-19 period, according to the findings. During the COVID-19 period, short-term debts and total debts have both decreased slightly. However, long-term debts have increased marginally. As a result, this research demonstrates that the capital structure has changed slightly during the COVID-19 period. The findings imply that independent of the capital structure proxies, tangibility, liquidity, and business size had an impact on capital structure in both periods. It was found that profitability had a significant impact on total debts both before and after the COVID-19 crisis. While higher-profit enterprises appear to have lesser short-term debts before the COVID-19 periods, they are also more likely to have lower long-term debts during the COVID-19 periods. Even though growing companies tend to have higher short-term debts and thus total debts during those periods, longterm debts are unaffected by potential growth.

Estimating China's Capital Flows-at-risk: The Case of Potential US Financial Sanctions

  • DAEHEE, JEONG
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.43-78
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    • 2022
  • The arena of strategic competition between the US and China is expandable from international politics, trade and commerce to finance. What would happen if financial sanctions against China are imposed by the US? Would US financial sanctions lead to a sudden outflow of foreign capital and a liquidity crisis in China? We try to address these questions by estimating China's capital flows-at-risk with the CDS premium on Chinese sovereign funds. We follow Gelos et al. (2019) in setting up a quantile regression model from which China's foreign capital flow-at-risks are estimated. Based on our analysis of China's monthly capital flow data, we find that a rise in the CDS premium has statistically significant negative impacts on China's foreign capital flows-at-risk, mainly in banking flows. However, the analysis also found that due to favorable global conditions, an increase in the CDS premium is unlikely to trigger a shift to a sudden outflow of foreign capital at the moment. Meanwhile, this study found no statistically significant correlation between Korea's capital flows-at-risk and the CDS premium, suggesting that the negative impact of US financial sanctions on China would not increase the probability of capital flight from Korea in a significant manner.

(A) Study on the Structure Change of Financial Industrial for strengthening Global Financial Control (글로벌 금융 규제 강화에 따른 금융산업의 구조변화에 대한 연구)

  • Ham, Hyung-Bum;Choi, Chang-Youl
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.47-67
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    • 2014
  • Since the global financial crisis, criticism against the integrity of financial institutions proposed new financial regulations such as Basel III. These systems are expected to have impacts multilaterally on management and structure of mid- and long-term financial industry. It is also believed that financial institutions will inevitably review business model to respond to these enhanced regulations. The ongoing global financial regulation pursues regulation scope extension, introduction of global regulatory capital system, introduction of global liquidity, etc. As for quantitative index, Basel Committee on Banking Supervision is promoting QIS which is discussed mainly on implementation time from the juridical point of view. This study aims to present domestic banking industry's structural changes depending on regulation enhancement of foreign countries after global financial crisis, and suggest strategy that improves competitiveness of products. Looking at the research result, global financial regulation requires compliance with the regulations through treaties but it shows negative time center around banks. Furthermore, it is also pointed out financially advanced countries' passive attitude on regulation enhancement is problem. Therefore, regulations differentiated between developing and developed countries, dualistic regulations on financial industry, participation of advanced nations, etc are the postulation to change the structure of financial industry.

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Study on Management Plan of the Financial Supervisory Service According to Increase of Risk of Household Debts (중소형증권사 Project-Financing 우발채무 확대에 따른 금융감독원 관리방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, YunHong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2018
  • In 2018, the real estate markets have hardly been transacted according to the government's tight regulations of real estates, and have the high possibility to reach a low hit due to the hike of loan interest rates following the U. S rise of base money rate. The key profits for the large construction companies mainly come from the overseas plant projects and the domestic non-governmental construction projects. They suffered a lot such as the lowering of their credit ratings due to the large losses caused by the frquent design changes and work delay. Even in the domestic non-governmental construction projects, the general business risks are on the rise due to the property marketing moving over to the decreasing phase. The small and medium sized security companies has realized a lot of operaring profits as they participated in the PF market to make up for the losses in the securities trading business. But, now as the housing market is not so good around the nation except Seoul and the financial states of large construction companies are not good enough, they can face the liquidity crisis if there happens the problems in the PF backed securities which they have handled. As Korean economy experienced the crisis in the savings banks before, it is recommended that Financial Supervisory Service proposes the preemptive control method and supervision direction to overcome the crisis.

A Study on the Application of Zero Rate of V.A.T. to National Housing Supply and Construction Service (국민주택 공급 및 건설용역에 대한 부가가치세 영세율 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, Kye-Won;Hwang, Uk-Sun;Lee, Jong-Gwang;Kim, Yong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.64-73
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    • 2010
  • The stagnation of unsold houses is recently aggravated due to domestic and overseas crisis of finance and real-sector economy and domestic housing construction is in serious difficulty. Thus, tax support is necessary for national housing construction. Due to the current tax exemption system of national housing, V.A.T. paid in the construction of national housing is not deducted. Namely, it is ascribed to consumer as it is reflected in the construction cost. This research intends to analyze the limit of V.A.T. tax exemption system, to present the necessity of applying zero rate and to calculate the scale of non-deduction of V.A.T. purchase tax amount for national housing by analyzing the construction site of apartment house of house constructor in order to analyze the effect of zero rate when it is applied on the basis of above ground. In the zero rate system, V.A.T. is not collected from the consumers like the present tax exemption system. However, the purchase tax amount borne in the construction of national housing is deducted totally. As purchase tax is deducted, constructor will promote supplying national housing thanks to the effect of solving financial difficulties and improving liquidity. Since the architecture cost and parceling-out price can be lowered due to the improved liquidity of constructor, the policy will actually help the people without house.

A Study on the Development of the Cash-Flow Forecasting Model in Apartment Business factoring tn Housing Payment Collection Pattern and Payment Condition for Construction Expences (분양대금 납부패턴과 공사대금 지급방식 변화를 고려한 공동주택사업의 현금흐름 예측모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Soon-Young;Kim Kyoon-Tai;Han Choong-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.353-358
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    • 2001
  • Since the financial crisis broke out, liquidity has become the critical issue in housing construction industry. In order to secure liquidity, it is prerequisite to precisely forecast cash flow. However, construction companies have failed to come up with a systematic process to manage and forecast cash flow. Until now, companies have solely relied on the prediction of profits and losses, which is carried out as they review business feasibility. To obtain more accurate cash flow forecast model, practical pattern of payments should be taken into account. In this theory, basic model that analyzes practical housing payment collection pattern resulting from prepayments and arrears is described. This model is to complement conventional cash flow forecast scheme in the phase of business feasibility review. Analysis result on final losses in cash that occur as a result of prepayment and arrears is considered in this model. Additionally, in the estimation of construction cost in the phase of business feasibility review, real construction prices instead of official prices are applied to enhance accuracy of cash outflow forecast. The proportion of payment made by a bill and changes in payment date caused by rescheduling of a bill are also factored in to estimate cash outflow. This model would contribute to achieving accurate cash flow forecast that better reflect real situation and to enhancing efficiency in capital management by giving a clear picture with regard to the demand and supply timing of capital.

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A Study on the Evaluation and Improvement of Rental Housing Asset Securitization in Korea: Case Study on Korea Land and Housing Corporation (임대주택 자산유동화 사례평가 및 구조개선사항 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Kwon;Kwon, Chi-Hung
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.107-117
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to assess the rental housing ABS in Korea, and to suggest ways of improving the structure of existing rental housing ABS. Thus, the three major assessment for existing public rental housing ABS case can be summarized as follows : First, when viewed in terms of the accounting treatment, rental housing ABS which use the future receivables as underlying asset, can not enjoy off-balance-sheet effect. Second, when viewed from the point of financing costs, the rental housing ABS interest rate being higher than unsecure bond is very unreasonable nevertheless the ABS being off-balanced. Third, when viewed from the liquidity effect, the originator (LH) use the ABS as a means of diversifying funding in a serious liquidity crisis situation. The Improvement of rental housing ABS based on the evaluation results can be summarized into two broad. First, it is a plan to handle the off-balance-sheet effect in a way of changing the accounting treatment of rental payment. Second, it is a plan to reducing the structuring cost and interest rate in ways of multi-asset securitization structure, self-trust structure, and adopting legal CB structure.