• 제목/요약/키워드: Linear trend

검색결과 618건 처리시간 0.029초

A Study on Trend Monitoring of a Long Endurance UAV s Gas Turbine to be Operated at Medium High Altitude

  • Kho, Seong-Hee;Ki, Ja-Young;Kong, Chang-Duk;Oh, Seong-Hwan;Kim, Ji-Hyun
    • 한국추진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국추진공학회 2008년 영문 학술대회
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    • pp.84-88
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    • 2008
  • The UAV propulsion system that will be operated for long time at more than 40,000ft altitude should have not only fuel flow minimization but also high reliability and durability. If this UAV propulsion system may have faults, it is not easy to recover the system from the abnormal, and hence an accurate diagnostic technology must be needed to keep the operational reliability. For this purpose, the development of the health monitoring system which can monitor remotely the engine condition should be required. In this study, a fuzzy trend monitoring method for detecting the engine faults including mechanical faults was proposed through analyzing performance trends of measurement data. The trend monitoring is an engine conditioning method which can find engine faults by monitoring important measuring parameters such as fuel flow, exhaust gas temperatures, rotational speeds, vibration and etc. Using engine condition database as an input to be generated by linear regression analysis of real engine instrument data, an application of the fuzzy logic in diagnostics estimated the cause of fault in each component. According to study results, it was confirmed that the proposed trend monitoring method can improve reliability and durability of the propulsion system for a long endurance UAV to be operated at medium altitude.

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An efficient response surface method considering the nonlinear trend of the actual limit state

  • Zhao, Weitao;Qiu, Zhiping;Yang, Yi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2013
  • In structural reliability analysis, the response surface method is a powerful method to evaluate the probability of failure. However, the location of experimental points used to form a response surface function must be selected in a judicious way. It is necessary for the highly nonlinear limit state functions to consider the design point and the nonlinear trend of the limit state, because both of them influence the probability of failure. In this paper, in order to approximate the actual limit state more accurately, experimental points are selected close to the design point and the actual limit state, and consider the nonlinear trend of the limit state. Linear, quadratic and cubic polynomials without mixed terms are utilized to approximate the actual limit state. The direct Monte Carlo simulation on the approximated limit state is carried out to determine the probability of failure. Four examples are given to demonstrate the efficiency and the accuracy of the proposed method for both numerical and implicit limit states.

일원배치법에서 Umbrella Alternatives에 대한 위치를 이용한 비모수 검정법 (Nonparametric Method in One-way Layout for Umbrella Alternatives based on Placement)

  • 이혜정;김동재
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1181-1189
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    • 2015
  • 임상시험에서 약의 복용량에 따라 처리 효과가 증가하다가, 부작용으로 인해 일정 용량 수준에서 감소하는 추세를 보일 수 있다. 이러한 경향을 우산형 패턴이라 하며, 우산형 패턴의 대립가설에 대한 검정은 이러한 경향이 사전에 예측 가능할 때 유용하다. 이 논문에서는 Orban과 Wolfe (1982)가 제안한 선형 위치(linear placement)를 이용하여 일원배치법에서 우산형 대립가설의 비모수적 검정법을 제안하였다. 또한 Monte Carlo 모의실험을 통하여 기존의 방법들과 검정력(power)을 비교하였다.

Statistical Inference for an Arithmetic Process

  • Francis, Leung Kit-Nam
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2002
  • A stochastic process {$A_n$, n = 1, 2, ...} is an arithmetic process (AP) if there exists some real number, d, so that {$A_n$ + (n-1)d, n =1, 2, ...} is a renewal process (RP). AP is a stochastically monotonic process and can be used for modeling a point process, i.e. point events occurring in a haphazard way in time (or space), especially with a trend. For example, the vents may be failures arising from a deteriorating machine; and such a series of failures id distributed haphazardly along a time continuum. In this paper, we discuss estimation procedures for an AP, similar to those for a geometric process (GP) proposed by Lam (1992). Two statistics are suggested for testing whether a given process is an AP. If this is so, we can estimate the parameters d, ${\mu}_{A1}$ and ${\sigma}^{2}_{A1}$ of the AP based on the techniques of simple linear regression, where ${\mu}_{A1}$ and ${\sigma}^2_{A1}$ are the mean and variance of the first random variable $A_1$ respectively. In this paper, the procedures are, for the most part, discussed in reliability terminology. Of course, the methods are valid in any area of application, in which case they should be interpreted accordingly.

An Improved RF Detection Algorithm Using EMD-based WT

  • Lv, Xue;Wang, Zekun
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.3862-3879
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    • 2019
  • More and more problems for public security have occurred due to the limited solutions for drone detection especially for micro-drone in long range conditions. This paper aims at dealing with drones detection using a radar system. The radio frequency (RF) signals emitted by a controller can be acquired using the radar, which are usually too weak to extract. To detect the drone successfully, the static clutters and linear trend terms are suppressed based on the background estimation algorithm and linear trend suppression. The principal component analysis technique is used to classify the noises and effective RF signals. The automatic gain control technique is used to enhance the signal to noise ratios (SNR) of RF signals. Meanwhile, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) based wavelet transform (WT) is developed to decrease the influences of the Gaussian white noises. Then, both the azimuth information between the drone and radar and the bandwidth of the RF signals are acquired based on the statistical analysis algorithm developed in this paper. Meanwhile, the proposed accumulation algorithm can also provide the bandwidth estimation, which can be used to make a decision accurately whether there are drones or not in the detection environments based on the probability theory. The detection performance is validated with several experiments conducted outdoors with strong interferences.

Association between dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake and depression in postmenopausal women

  • Chae, Minjeong;Park, Kyong
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.468-478
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    • 2021
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to analyze the association between dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake and depression in postmenopausal women using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) VI. SUBJECTS/METHODS: The KNHANES is a cross-sectional nationwide health and nutrition survey. Dietary data, including omega-3 fatty acids, were assessed using the 24-h recall method. Depression was evaluated using a survey questionnaire. The association between dietary omega-3 fatty acids and depression was evaluated using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Depression, according to the dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake, was expressed as the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). A total of 4,150 postmenopausal women were included in the analysis. RESULTS: In the fully-adjusted model, the group with the highest dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake significantly showed lower prevalence of depression than the group with the lowest intake (OR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.33-0.83); a significant linear trend was detected (P for trend = 0.04). According to the dose-response analysis using cubic restricted spline regression, this association was linear and monotonic (P for non-linearity = 0.32). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, the dietary omega-3 fatty acid intake in postmenopausal women was inversely proportional to depression in a dose-response manner. Large cohort studies are needed to verify the causality between omega-3 fatty acids and depression in Korean postmenopausal women.

비정상성 빈도해석을 위한 기상인자 선정 및 확률강우량 산정 (Selection of Climate Indices for Nonstationary Frequency Analysis and Estimation of Rainfall Quantile)

  • 정태호;김한빈;김현식;허준행
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제39권1호
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    • pp.165-174
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    • 2019
  • 수문관측자료에서 비정상성(nonstationarity)이 관측됨에 따라 수공구조물 설계에서 비정상성 빈도해석에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 대기-해양 시스템에 내재된 기후 변동성은 비정상성 현상과 관련이 있는 것으로 알려져 있지만, 비정상성 빈도해석은 일반적으로 선형적 추세를 기반으로 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 기후 변동성과 극치 강우 사상의 장기 경향성을 고려하기 위하여 기상인자를 활용한 비정상성 빈도해석을 수행하였다. 먼저, 경향성이 나타나는 11개 기상관측지점의 연 최대치 강우자료에 대하여 통계적 분해 방법인 앙상블 경험적 모드분해법을 활용해 자료에 내재된 장기 경향성을 추출하였으며, 계절에 따른 다양한 기상인자와의 상관성 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 연 최대 강우 발생년도를 기준으로 전년도 가을철 AMM과 전년도 가을철 AMO, 그리고 전년도 여름철 NINO4가 10개 이상의 지점에서 연 최대치 강우자료의 장기 경향성에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 선정된 기상인자를 일반 극치(generalized extreme value, GEV) 분포모형에 적용하여 비정상성 GEV (NS-GEV) 모형을 구축하고 기존의 선형적 추세를 고려한 NS-GEV 모형과의 AIC값을 비교하여 최적모형을 선정하였다. 선정된 모형과 기존의 선형적 추세를 고려한 NS-GEV 모형에 대한 성능 평가를 통해 기상인자를 활용한 NS-GEV 모형이 극치강우사상을 반영하여 확률강우량의 과소산정 문제를 보완할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

Google Trends 의 키워드 빅데이터 분석을 활용한 글로벌 스타트업 트렌드 분석: 2017~2022 (Analyzing Global Startup Trends Using Google Trends Keyword Big Data Analysis: 2017~2022)

  • 김재억;전병훈
    • Journal of Platform Technology
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2023
  • 글로벌시대의 환경속에서 '스타트업'의 트렌드와 인사이트를 파악하기 위해 빅데이터 분석 플랫폼인 Google Trends를 활용하여 최근 글로벌 스타트업 생태계를 심층 트렌드 분석을 실시하였다. 분석의 타당성을 위해 BIGKinds를 통해 핵심 키워드 '스타트업'과 '글로벌'의 상관관계를 검증하였다. 또한 '스타트업' 키워드나 용어의 검색 빈도를 파악하기 위해 Google Trends를 이용하여 추출한 데이터를 기반으로 네트워크 분석을 수행하였다. 연구결과, 키워드 사이에 강한 양적 선형관계를 보여주어 통계적으로 유의미한 상관관계를 나타냈다(상관계수: +0.8906). Google Trends를 사용한 글로벌 스타트업 트렌드를 탐색한 결과 '그림4'와 같이 각 국가들의 시기별 관심도가 증가하거나 감소하는 매우 비슷한 선형적 형태를 나타났다. 특히 스타트업 관심도가 2020년 중반부터 코로나-19 팬데믹으로 인해 35~76 범위내에서 낮게 나타났지만, 2022년 3월 이후 스타트업 관심도가 눈에 띄게 상승하는 트렌드를 보였다. 또한, 한국을 제외한 각 국가별 Startups 관심도는 아주 비슷한 추세이고, 관련 주제는 startup company, technology, investment, funding, 키워드 검색어는 best startup, tech, business, invest, health, fintech 등이 공통적으로 나타나 매우 높은 상관관계가 있음을 확인하였다.

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Modeling the Growth of Neurology Literature

  • Hadagali, Gururaj S.;Anandhalli, Gavisiddappa
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.45-63
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    • 2015
  • The word ‘growth’ represents an increase in actual size, implying a change of state. In science and technology, growth may imply an increase in number of institutions, scientists, or publications, etc. The present study demonstrates the growth of neurology literature for the period 1961-2010. A total of 291,702 records were extracted from the Science Direct Database for fifty years. The Relative Growth Rate (RGR) and Doubling Time (Dt.) of neurology literature have been calculated, supplementing with different growth patterns to check whether neurology literature fits exponential, linear, or logistic models. The results of the study indicate that the growth of literature in neurology does not follow the linear, or logistic growth model. However, it follows closely the exponential growth model. The study concludes that there has been a consistent trend towards increased growth of literature in the field of neurology.

A Study of HME Model in Time-Course Microarray Data

  • Myoung, Sung-Min;Kim, Dong-Geon;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.415-422
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    • 2012
  • For statistical microarray data analysis, clustering analysis is a useful exploratory technique and offers the promise of simultaneously studying the variation of many genes. However, most of the proposed clustering methods are not rigorously solved for a time-course microarray data cluster and for a fitting time covariate; therefore, a statistical method is needed to form a cluster and represent a linear trend of each cluster for each gene. In this research, we developed a modified hierarchical mixture of an experts model to suggest clustering data and characterize each cluster using a linear mixed effect model. The feasibility of the proposed method is illustrated by an application to the human fibroblast data suggested by Iyer et al. (1999).