• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear trend

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A model of predicting performance of Olympic female weightlifters using time series analysis

  • Won, Jin-hee;Cho, In-ho
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.216-222
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the performance of female weightlifters using time series analysis. Based on this purpose, a time series analysis was used to calculate the performance prediction model for women(58kg) among the domestic women weightlifters who participated in the Olympics. As a result of creating time series data based on 10 years of record and then evaluating the sequential charts of each athlete group, the female athletes' records did not show any seasonality or difference. In addition, after examining the independence of the data through the creation of a time series model, it was shown that the models produced conformed to the criteria for compliance and that there was no difference in the data, but there was a trend. Accordingly, Holt linear trend analysis of the exponential smoothing model was applied. As a result of deriving the prediction model of the athletes through this process, it was found that the women (58kg) who participated in the Olympics continued to improve within the range of 166.11kg to 184.1kg.

A Study on Changing Process of Nonlinear Expression Methods appeared in Frank Gehry's works according to Digital Archhitecture's introduction (디지털 건축의 도입에 따른 프랭크 게리의 작품에서 나타나는 비선형적 표현 기법의 변화 과정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Heang-Woo;Seo, Jang-Hoo;Kim, Yong-Seong
    • Journal of The Korean Digital Architecture Interior Association
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.5-12
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    • 2013
  • Conceptual and technical design designated as digital architecture has been discussed with disorderly meaning as a conception only. Thus, this study aims at verification of development possibility for the digital architecture by analyzing how works of Frank Gehry have effect on nonlinearity of the digital architecture. Nonlinear characteristics appeared on works of Frank Gehry analyzed on the basis of expression techniques and modeling principle are as follows: 1) Initial works show a trend to gradually change and develop from horizontal and vertical linear structure to nonlinear pattern. 2) From a nonlinear modeling principle, initial works appear the primary deformation elements only, while afterwards, they are gradually developing to a pattern to mix the primary and secondary deformation elements as introduction of digital architecture. 3) Through specific cases, Frank Gehry has conducted attempts with various method for nonlinear pattern expression. 4) From the initial works to the latest works, continuity becomes higher and changed to nonlinear pattern. This study is significant from a viewpoint that it has verified development possibility of digital architecture by analyzing nonlinear trend of digital architecture for Frank Gehry and it is required to conduct multilateral researches related to the digital architecture.

Determinants of Family Mealtime Frequency for Fathers with their Children (아버지와 자녀의 가족식사 빈도에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Lee, Hyun Ah
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.361-375
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    • 2018
  • This study recognizes the changes of the father's role and the importance of family mealtimes as well as examines the individual, family and social contexts surrounding the father's family mealtime. This study analyzed the trend of the father's family mealtime frequency and factors affecting them in order to explore the current conditions of their father's work and family balance through family mealtimes. Data from 492 fathers who have school aged children were collected through an online survey. The overall trend of the frequency of father's family meals showed an average of 2.4 breakfasts and an average of 3.2 dinners per week. The frequency of the father's family meals showed statistically significant differences according to the father's age, children's school age, dual income, weekly working hours, working flexibility, leaving on-time and the priority of work and family. The analysis of hierarchical linear regressions was conducted to determine factors affecting the frequency of father's family mealtime to show that the frequency of father's family mealtime was best explained by father's working conditions and perception variables. Working conditions such as working hours, leaving work on time, working flexibility were significant variables in regards to the father's family mealtime frequency. The father's perception towards parental efficacy, wife's support, and work-family priority were significant factors in regards to the father's family mealtime frequency. This study is meaningful in that it provides basic data on policy making for the compatibility of the father's work and family.

A Study of Medication Adherence Using Textile Proximity Sensor (섬유 근접센서를 이용한 복약 여부 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ho, Jong Gab;Wang, Changwon;Min, Se Dong
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.7
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    • pp.1257-1262
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether to take a medicine based on a measuring data using textile proximity sensor. We developed a proximity sensor of ring type using conductive textile, and acquired a data in accordance with the quantity of each pills. To evaluate our approach, we designed an experimental protocol that is counting pills subtracting the one which contains range of 0 T(Tablet, 4,100mg) from 20 T. And, The experiments were performed a nine times in the same way. In order to remove a noise and smoothen data, data preprocessing were performed using resampling method and moving average filter which has ten points. Then, we calculated a linear trend line equation, and analyzed a correlation between pill quantity and trend line equation. As a results, correlation coefficient was shown at 0.833 through using a Spearman's correlation method and we could be determined that data was continuos decreases when take a medicine.

Prediction of electricity consumption in A hotel using ensemble learning with temperature (앙상블 학습과 온도 변수를 이용한 A 호텔의 전력소모량 예측)

  • Kim, Jaehwi;Kim, Jaehee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.319-330
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    • 2019
  • Forecasting the electricity consumption through analyzing the past electricity consumption a advantageous for energy planing and policy. Machine learning is widely used as a method to predict electricity consumption. Among them, ensemble learning is a method to avoid the overfitting of models and reduce variance to improve prediction accuracy. However, ensemble learning applied to daily data shows the disadvantages of predicting a center value without showing a peak due to the characteristics of ensemble learning. In this study, we overcome the shortcomings of ensemble learning by considering the temperature trend. We compare nine models and propose a model using random forest with the linear trend of temperature.

Pasture Vegetation Changes in Mongolia

  • Erdenetuya, M.
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.18 no.2 s.23
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    • pp.105-106
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    • 2004
  • The NDVI(normalized difference vegetation index) dataset is unique or main tool to assess the global, multi seasonal, multi annual, and multi spectral changes over the World. These features are useful for environmental studies in particular, for the vegetation coverage monitoring of the country as Mongolia, where are large pastureland and pastoral animal husbandry, which dependent on natural conditions. Pasture vegetation cover is changing accordingly with both of global climate change and anthropogenic effect or human impacts. Using past 20 years (1982-2001) NDVI derived from NOAA satellite, its dynamical trend has been decreased in all natural zones differently. Also applied the method named "Two Years Differences" which could calculate the number of years with increased or decreased NDVI values at the same place. From May to September have occurred the 9 years maximum decreases of NDVI over Mongolia, but it obtained differently in spatial and temporal scale. In 24.4 ? 32.7% of all territory occurred one year decrease of NDVI and in 18% occurred more than 3 years frequent decrease of NDVI. According to the linear trend of NDVI and in 18% occurred more than 3 years frequent decrease of NDVI dynamics over 69% of whole territory of Mongolia NDVI values had been decreased due to both natural and human induced impacts to the pasture condition. In this paper also included some results of the integrated analyses of NOAA/NDVI and ground truth data over Monglia separately by natural zones.

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On nonlinear deflection analysis and dynamic response of sandwich plates based on a numerical method

  • Yong Huang;Zengshui Liu;Shihan Ma;Sining Li;Rui Yu
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.79-90
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    • 2023
  • Nonlinear forced vibration properties of three-layered plates containing graphene platelets (GPL) filled skins and an auxetic core have been inquired within the present paper. Owning reduced weight as well as reduced stiffness, rectangle-shaped auxetic cores have been frequently made from novel techniques such as additive manufacturing. Here, the rectangle shape core is amplified via the graphene-filled layers knowing that the layers possess uniform and linear graphene gradations. The rectangle shape core has the equivalent material specifications pursuant to relative density value. The sandwich plate is formulated pursuant to Kirchhoff plate theory while a numerical trend has been represented to discretize the plate equations. Next, an analytical trend has been performed to establish the deflection-frequency plots. Large deflections, core density and GPL amplification have showed remarkable impacts on dynamic response of three-layered plates.

Forecast of the Daily Inflow with Artificial Neural Network using Wavelet Transform at Chungju Dam (웨이블렛 변환을 적용한 인공신경망에 의한 충주댐 일유입량 예측)

  • Ryu, Yongjun;Shin, Ju-Young;Nam, Woosung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.1321-1330
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the daily inflow at the basin of Chungju dam is predicted using wavelet-artificial neural network for nonlinear model. Time series generally consists of a linear combination of trend, periodicity and stochastic component. However, when framing time series model through these data, trend and periodicity component have to be removed. Wavelet transform which is denoising technique is applied to remove nonlinear dynamic noise such as trend and periodicity included in hydrometeorological data and simple noise that arises in the measurement process. The wavelet-artificial neural network (WANN) using data applied wavelet transform as input variable and the artificial neural network (ANN) using only raw data are compared. As a results, coefficient of determination and the slope through linear regression show that WANN is higher than ANN by 0.031 and 0.0115 respectively. And RMSE and RRMSE of WANN are smaller than those of ANN by 37.388 and 0.099 respectively. Therefore, WANN model applied in this study shows more accurate results than ANN and application of denoising technique through wavelet transforms is expected that more accurate predictions than the use of raw data with noise.

Comparisons of the Pan and Penman Evaporation Trends in South Korea (우리나라 증발접시 증발량과 Penman 증발량 추세 비교분석)

  • Rim, Chang-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5B
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2010
  • The effects of geographical and climatic factors on annual and monthly pan and Penman evaporation were analyzed. 52 climatological stations were selected and trend analyses were performed. Furthermore, cluster analysis and multiple linear regression analysis were performed to understand the effects of geographical and climatic factors on pan and Penman evaporation. Based on stepwise multiple linear regression analysis, annual pan evaporation is proved to be mainly controlled by urbanization as geographical factor, and annual pan evaporation is also controlled by temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation as climatic factor. Especially wind speed is considered to be most significant climatic factor which affects pan evaporation. Meanwhile, Penman evaporation is not affected by geographical factors but it is affected by climate factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and solar radiation except precipitation. Furthermore, the study results show that only proximity to coast affects pan evaporation trend on July; however, geographical and climatic factors do not affect pan evaporation trends in annual basis and monthly basis (January, April, and October). On the other hand, Penman evaporation trends were not affected by geographical factors in annual and monthly basises.

Effects of Lacquer (Rhus verniciflua) Meal Supplementation on Layer Performance

  • Yang, Y.X.;Lohakare, J.D.;Chae, B.J.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.82-88
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    • 2007
  • Two experiments were conducted to see the effects of lacquer meal (Rhus verniciflua) on layer performance. In Exp. 1, seventy-two Hy-Line brown layers, 46 wk of age were fed 0, 1.5% and 3.0% lacquer added diets for 6 weeks. Diets contained 2,650 kcal/kg ME and 16.50% CP. In Exp. 2, high-energy diets were fed to 72 Hy-line brown layers of 46 wk age for 6 wk. The diets were: control (3,000 kcal/kg ME and 16.50% CP); T1 and T2 contained 1.5 and 3.0% lacquer respectively, in addition to high energy levels. Each treatment had four replicates with 6 birds each in both the experiments. During Exp.1, there was no effect on average daily feed intake, egg production and feed efficiency, however, egg weight was linearly (p=0.0128) decreased with the addition of lacquer in diets. The egg quality parameters measured at bi-weekly intervals did not reveal any particular trend. In Exp 2., high-energy diets have decreased the feed intake and egg production in all groups. However, feeding lacquer at 1.5% increased the egg production by 9% than control. The yolk fat content was increased due to treatments showing quadratic trend (p=0.0683). The liver fat content was decreased by 40-43% than control in lacquer added diets. Except palmitic, oleic and arachidonic acids, some yolk fatty acids showed a linear decreasing trend in lacquer diets. The serum triglycerides and total cholesterol levels were not influenced with lacquer in the diets; however, the serum glucose level was linearly decreased with the addition of lacquer. In conclusion, lacquer meal supplementation significantly affected the performance of layers fed high-energy diets.