• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear trend

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Application of a Non-stationary Frequency Analysis Method for Estimating Probable Precipitation in Korea (전국 확률강수량 산정을 위한 비정상성 빈도해석 기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Lee, Gi-Chun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we estimated probable precipitation amounts at the target year (2020, 2030, 2040) of 55 weather stations in Korea using the 24 hour annual maximum precipitation data from 1973 through 2009 which should be useful for management of agricultural reservoirs. Not only trend tests but also non-stationary tests were performed and non-stationary frequency analysis were conducted to all of 55 sites. Gumbel distribution was chosen and probability weighted moment method was used to estimate model parameters. The behavior of the mean of extreme precipitation data, scale parameter, and location parameter were analyzed. The probable precipitation amount at the target year was estimated by a non-stationary frequency analysis using the linear regression analysis for the mean of extreme precipitation data, scale parameter, and location parameter. Overall results demonstrated that the probable precipitation amounts using the non-stationary frequency analysis were overestimated. There were large increase of the probable precipitation amounts of middle part of Korea and decrease at several sites in Southern part. The non-stationary frequency analysis using a linear model should be applicable to relatively short projection periods.

Numerical Investigation of Effect of Opening Pattern of Flow Control Valve on Underwater Discharge System using Linear Pump (유량제어밸브 개방형태가 선형펌프 방식 수중사출 시스템에 미치는 영향에 관한 수치적 연구)

  • Lee, Sunjoo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.255-265
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    • 2019
  • In the present study, the effect of opening patterns of a flow control valve on underwater discharge systems using a linear pump was investigated numerically. For that, a improved mathematical model was developed. The improvement is to separate a middle tank from a water cylinder because the cross-section area of the inlet of the middle tank is an important parameter. To validate the improved model, calculation results were compared with a previous study. The results showed that $2^{nd}$ order or more polynomial opening patterns had an advantage over ramp opening patterns. Higher an order of polynomial resulted in wider operating limits. An escape velocity and a maximum acceleration of underwater vehicle were affected by time derivative of the cross-section area of the flow control valve. Besides, as a velocity profile of the vehicle got closer to linearity, the escape velocity got faster and the maximum acceleration got smaller. And velocities of the vehicle and piston had similar variation trend.

Long-Term Trend Analysis of Nutrient Concentrations at Lake Paldang (팔당호의 영양염류 장기변동 추세분석)

  • Chang, Seung-Hyun;Chung, In-Young;Kim, Sung-Mi;Yang, Hee-Jung;Kim, Sung-Soo;Kong, Dong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study was to understand of water quality characteristics of lake Paldang, especially at a certain representative site, right in front of Paldang dam ($P_2$ site) and to propose the directions of water quality management of lake Paldang. Water characteristics at $P_2$ site was investigated by principle components analysis and the Pearson correlation coefficient analysis. Also, seasonality was identified by the Kruskal-Wallis test and long term trend of nutrients and chlorophyll-a was analyzed by seasonal decomposition method at lake Paldang statistically. The primary factor affecting on water quality at $P_2$ site was identified as nutrients, while physical parameters, such as rainfall and inflow rate were also important factors. At the result of linear regression analysis particulate organic phosphorus (POP) vs total phosphorus (TP) showed very high correlation of 0.78. TP loading was increased annually from 1995 to 2006. Chlorophyll-a and nutrients show seasonality at $P_2$ site. Long term trend of Chlorophyll-a was increased by increase of TP at lake Paldang.

Modeling the Trend of Apartment Market Price in Seoul (서울시 아파트 가격 추세의 모형화)

  • Hwang, Eun-Yeon;Kwon, Yong-Chan;Jang, Dong-Ik;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.173-191
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    • 2008
  • The goal of this paper is analyzing and modeling the trend of apartment market price in Seoul using the dynamic linear model(DLM). We use the market price per pyeong of 30-pyeong-apartment provided by "KB apartment market price database" of Kookmin bank. The data is collected from June $24^{th}$, 2003 to August $28^{th}$, 2006. The inspection of the data reveals that the trend of apartment market price in Seoul can be divided into two groups and we assume that the price is expressed by the common trend of divided groups. We try to estimate the price of apartment by DLM using the Bayesian method.

A Study on Logconductivity-Head Cross Covariance in Two-Dimensional Nonstationary Porous Formations (비정체형 2차원 다공성 매질의 대수투수계수-수두 교차공분산에 관한 연구)

  • 성관제
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 1996
  • An expression for the cross covariance of the logconductivity and the head in nonstationary porous formation is obtained. This cross covariance plays a key role in the inverse problem, i.e., in inferring the statistical characteristics of the conductivity field from head data. The nonstationary logconductivity is modeled as superposition of definite linear trend and stationary fluctuation and the hydraulic head in saturated aquifers is found through stochastic analysis of a steady, two-dimensional flow. The cross covariance with a Gaussian correlation function is investigated for two particular cases where the trend is either parallel or normal to the head gradient. The results show that cross covariances are stationary except along separation distances parallel to the mean flow direction for the case where the trend is parallel to head gradient. Also, unlike the stationary model, the cross covariance along distances normal to flow direction is non-zero. From these observations we conclude that when a trend in the conductivity field is suspected, this information must be incorporated in the analysis of groundwater flow and solute transjport.

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Quantification of Microstructures in Mice Alveolar Bone using Micro-computed tomography (${\mu}CT$)

  • Park, Hae-Ryoung;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Park, Byung-Ju
    • International Journal of Oral Biology
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.87-92
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    • 2013
  • Periodontal inflammation increases the risk of tooth loss, particularly in cases where there is an associated loss of alveolar bone and periodontal ligament (PDL). Histological and morphometric evaluation of periodontal inflammation is difficult. Especially, the lengths of the periodontal ligament and interdental alveolar bone space have not been quantified. A quantitative imaging procedure applicable to an animal model would be an important clinical study. The purpose of this study was to quantify the loss of alveolar bone and periodontal ligament by evaluation with micro-computed tomography (micro-CT). Another purpose was to investigate differences in infections with systemic E. coli LPS and TNF-${\alpha}$ on E. coli lipopolysaccharide (LPS) in loss of alveolar bone and periodontal ligament model on mice. This study showed that linear measurements of alveolar bone loss were represented with an increasing trend of the periodontal ligament length and interdental alveolar process space. The effects of systemic E. coli LPS and TNF-${\alpha}$ on an E. coli LPS-induced periodontitis mice model were investigated in this research. Loss of periodontal ligament and alveolar bone were evaluated by micro-computed tomography (micro-CT) and calculated by the two- and three dimensional microstructure morphometric parameters. Also, there was a significantly increasing trend of the interdental alveolar process space in E. coli LPS and TNF-${\alpha}$ on E. coli LPS compared to PBS. And E. coli LPS and TNF-${\alpha}$ on E. coli LPS had a slightly increasing trend of the periodontal ligament length. The increasing trend of TNF-${\alpha}$ on the LPS-induced mice model in this experiment supports the previous studies on the contribution of periodontal diseases in the pathogenesis of systemic diseases. Also, our findings offer a unique model for the study of the role of LPS-induced TNF-${\alpha}$ in systemic and chronic local inflammatory processes and inflammatory diseases. In this study, we performed rapidly quantification of the periodontal inflammatory processes and periodontal bone loss using micro-computed tomography (micro-CT) in mice.

Search Trend's Effects On Forecasting the Number of Outbound Passengers of the Incheon Airport (포탈의 검색 트렌드를 활용한 인천공항 출국자 수 예측 연구)

  • Shin, Euiseob;Yang, Dong-Heon;Sohn, Sei Chang;Huh, Moonhaeng;Baek, Seokchul
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2017
  • Short-term prediction of the number of passengers at the airport is very essential for the efficient and stable operation of the airport. Here, to forecast the immigration of Incheon International Airport, we perform the predictive modeling of Korean and Chinese outbound travelers comprising most of immigration. We conduct the Granger Causality test between the number of outbound travelers and related search trend data to confirm the correlation. It is found that the forecasting with both "outbound travelers" and "search term trends" data outperforms the one only with "outbound travelers" data. This is because search activities are done before doing something and this study confirms that search trend data inherently possess the potential for prediction.

Long-term Trend Analysis of Major Tributaries of Nakdong River Using Water Quality Index (수질지수를 이용한 낙동강 주요 지류지천의 장기 경향성 분석)

  • Park, Jaebeom;Kal, Byungseok;Kim, Sanghun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the water quality index was calculated using the water quality monitoring data of the major tributaries of the Nakdong River and long-term trend analysis was performed to identify the tributaries requiring priority management. We used a Real-Time Water Quality Index method implemented by the Ministry of Environment. Linear regression as a parametric method and Mann-Kendall Test and Sen Slope Test as a nonparametric method were applied for the trend analysis. The water quality index of major tributaries except for Migeon2 and Seokyo2 was in the range below Fair grade and there were no significant trends for the rest of the sites except Bukan, Chennae, Hogye, Yongdeok. Therefore, in order to improve the water quality of the main stream, management of the tributaries should be preceded.

C-reactive Protein and Carotid Intima-media Thickness in a Population of Middle-aged Koreans (일부 농촌 지역 성인에서 C-reactive protein농도와 경동맥 내중막 두께)

  • Suh, Min-A;Lee, Joo-Young;Ahn, Song-Vogue;Kim, Hyeon-Chang;Suh, Il
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : This study was performed to evaluate the relationship between C-reactive protein(CRP) and carotid intima-media thickness(carotid IMT) in a population of middle-aged Koreans. Methods : A total of 1,054 men and 1,595 women(aged 40-70 years) from Kanghwa County, Korea, were chosen for the present study between 2006 and 2007. We measured high-sensitivity CRP and other major cardiovascular risk factors including anthropometrics, blood pressure, blood chemistry, and carotid ultrasonography. Health related questionnaires were also completed by each study participant. Carotid IMT value was determined by the maximal IMT at each common carotid artery. The relationship between CRP level and carotid IMT was assessed using multiple linear and logistic regression models after adjustment for age, body mass index, menopause(women), systolic blood pressure, total/HDL cholesterol ratio, triglyceride level, fasting glucose, smoking, and alcohol consumption. Results : Mean carotid IMT values from the lowest to highest quartile of CRP were 0.828, 0.873, 0.898, and 0.926 mm for women(p for trend<0.001), and 0.929, 0.938, 0.949, and 0.979 mm for men(p for trend=0.032), respectively. After adjustment for major cardiovascular risk factors, the relationship between CRP and carotid IMT was significant in women(p for trend=0.017), but not in men(p for trend=0.798). Similarly, adjusted odds ratio of increased IMT, defined as the sex-specific top quartile, for the highest versus lowest CRP quartiles was 1.55(95% CI=1.06-2.26) in women, but only 1.05(95% CI=0.69-1.62) in men. Conclusions : CRP and carotid IMT levels appear to be directly related in women, but not in men.

Association between plant protein intake and grip strength in Koreans aged 50 years or older: Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2016-2018

  • Sook-Hyun Jun;Jung Woo Lee;Woo-Kyoung Shin;Seung-Yeon Lee;Yookyung Kim
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.969-983
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    • 2023
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: We investigated the association of plant and animal protein intake with grip strength in Koreans aged ≥ 50 yrs. SUBJECTS/METHODS: The data was collected from 3,610 men and 4,691 women (≥ 50 yrs) from the 2016-2018 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. We calculated the total energy intake, and the intake of animal and plant protein and collected dietary data using 1-day 24-h dietary recalls. Low grip strength (LGS) was defined as the lowest quintile (men: up to 26.8 kg, women: up to 15.7 kg). The association of protein intake with grip strength was examined using Pearson's correlation and multiple linear regression analysis. RESULTS: The results proved that participants with LGS had lower daily energy, protein and fat intake, and percent energy from protein than those with normal or high grip strength (P < 0.0001). Total energy intake, animal protein, and plant protein were positively associated with grip strength. A higher intake of total plant protein (P for trend = 0.004 for men, 0.05 for women) and legumes, nuts, and seeds (LNS) protein (P for trend = 0.01 for men, 0.02 for women) was significantly associated with a lower prevalence of LGS. However, non-LNS plant protein intake was not associated with LGS (P for trend = 0.10 for men, 0.15 for women). In women, a higher total animal protein intake was significantly associated with decreased LGS (P for trend = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Higher total plant protein and LNS protein intake are negatively associated with LGS.