• Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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• 제1권2호
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• pp.21-25
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• 2023

The purpose of this study was to compare the performance using multiple regression models to predict the energy consumption of steel industry. Specific independent variables were selected in consideration of correlation among various attributes such as CO2 concentration, NSM, Week Status, Day of week, and Load Type, and preprocessing was performed to solve the multicollinearity problem. In data preprocessing, we evaluated linear and nonlinear relationships between each attribute through correlation analysis. In particular, we decided to select variables with high correlation and include appropriate variables in the final model to prevent multicollinearity problems. Among the many regression models learned, Boosted Decision Tree Regression showed the best predictive performance. Ensemble learning in this model was able to effectively learn complex patterns while preventing overfitting by combining multiple decision trees. Consequently, these predictive models are expected to provide important information for improving energy efficiency and management decision-making at steel industry. In the future, we plan to improve the performance of the model by collecting more data and extending variables, and the application of the model considering interactions with external factors will also be considered.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1990년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 26-27 Oct. 1990
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• pp.663-668
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• 1990

This paper deals with the application of a Generalized Predictive Control (CPC) to a Pressurized Water Reactor (P.W.R) Nuclear Power Plant. Generalized Predictive Control is a sort of Explicit Self-Tuning Control. Current self-tuning algorithms lack robustness to prior choices of either dead-time (input time delay of a plant) or model order. GPC is shown by simulation studies to be superior to accepted self-tuning techniques such as minimum variance and pole-placement from the viewpoint that it is robust to prior choices of dead-time or model order. In this paper a GPC controller is designed to control the P.W.R. nuclear power rlant with varying dead-time and through the designing procedure the designer is free from the constraint of knowing the exact dead-time. The controller is constructed based on the 2nd order linear model approximated in the vicinity of operating point. To ensure that this low-order model describes the complex real dynamics well enough for control purposes, model parameters are updated on-line with a Recursive Least Squares algorithm. Simulation results are successful and show the possibilities of the GPC control application to actual plants with varying or unknown dead-time.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.1133-1145
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• 2015

A new neural network (NN) predictive controller (NNPC) algorithm has been developed and tested in the computer simulation of active control of a nonlinear structure. In the present method an NN is used as a predictor. This NN has been trained to predict the future response of the structure to determine the control forces. These control forces are calculated by minimizing the difference between the predicted and desired responses via a numerical minimization algorithm. Since the NNPC is very time consuming and not suitable for real-time control, it is then used to train an NN controller. To consider the effectiveness of the controller on probability of damage, fragility curves are generated. The approach is validated by using simulated response of a 3 story nonlinear benchmark building excited by several historical earthquake records. The simulation results are then compared with a linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) active controller. The results indicate that the proposed algorithm is completely effective in relative displacement reduction.

• Corrosion Science and Technology
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.302-309
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• 2020

This study aimed to predict the pitting corrosion characteristics of AL-6XN super-austenitic steel using multiple linear regression. The variables used in the model are degree of sensitization, temperature, and pH. Experiments were designed and cyclic polarization curve tests were conducted accordingly. The data obtained from the cyclic polarization curve tests were used as training data for the multiple linear regression model. The significance of each factor in the response (critical pitting potential, repassivation potential) was analyzed. The multiple linear regression model was validated using experimental conditions that were not included in the training data. As a result, the degree of sensitization showed a greater effect than the other variables. Multiple linear regression showed poor performance for prediction of repassivation potential. On the other hand, the model showed a considerable degree of predictive performance for critical pitting potential. The coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.7745. The possibility for pitting potential prediction was confirmed using multiple linear regression.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.749-754
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• 2015

This article presents Bayesian approach to regression splines with knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of the independent variables under functional measurement error model.We consider small area model by using penalized splines of non-linear pattern. Specifically, in a basis functions of the regression spline, we use radial basis functions. To fit the model and estimate parameters we suggest a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Furthermore, we illustrate the method in an application data. We check the convergence by a potential scale reduction factor and we use the posterior predictive p-value and the mean logarithmic conditional predictive ordinate to compar models.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.177-190
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• 2006

The aim of this study is to propose a Bayesian model for fitting mortality rate of colon cancer. For the analysis of mortality rate of a disease, factors such as age classes of population and spatial characteristics of the location are very important. The model proposed in this study allows the age class to be a random effect in addition to its conventional role as the covariate of a linear regression, while the spatial factor being a random effect. The model is fitted using Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Posterior expected predictive deviances, standardized residuals, and residual plots are used for comparison of models. It is found that the proposed model has smaller residuals and better predictive accuracy. Lastly, we described patterns in disease maps for colon cancer.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 1998년도 제13차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.468-473
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• 1998

A mathematical model was developed for a continuous re-actor in which free radical polymerization of methyl methacrylate (MMA) occurred. Elementary reactions considered in this study were initiation, propagation, termination, and chain transfers to monomer and solvent. The reactor model took into account the density change of the reactor contents and the gel effect. A control system was designed for a continuous reactor using extended Kalman filter (EKF) based non-linear model predictive controller (NLMPC) to control the conversion and the weight average molecular weight of the polymer product. Control input variables were the jacket inlet temperature and the feed flow rate. For the purpose of validation of the control strategy, on-line digital control experiments were conducted with densitometer and viscometer for the measurement of the polymer properties. Despite the com-plex and nonlinear features of the polymerization reaction system, the EKF based NLMPC performed quite satisfactorily for the property control of the continuous polymerization reactor.

• 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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• 제36권2호
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• pp.37-49
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• 2024

지금까지 쇄파는 발생기구의 본질적인 복잡성으로 인해 실내수리모형실험을 통해 쇄파파고 및 쇄파수심 등의 쇄파지표 예측을 위한 많은 경험식이 제안되어 왔다. 하지만, 자갈해빈에 대한 쇄파의 특성 및 쇄파지표예측을 위한 연구는 거의 수행되어 있지 않았다. 본 연구에서는 자갈해빈을 대상으로 쇄파파고 및 쇄파수심의 예측을 위하여 회귀 또는 분류 문제와 관련된 다양한 연구 분야에서 높은 예측 성능을 보이는 대표적인 선형기반 기계학습기법에 기반한 쇄파지표를 예측하고자 하였다. 먼저, 자갈해빈에 대하여 기존에 제안된 쇄파지표의 경험식의 적용성을 검토하고 기존의 경험식의 자갈해빈의 쇄파지표 예측성능의 한계성을 극복하기 위하여 다양한 선형기반 기계학습 알고리즘을 적용하여 쇄파지표 예측모델을 구축하였다. 구축된 기계학습모델 중 자갈해빈에서 발생하는 쇄파파고 및 쇄파수심에 대한 높은 예측성능을 보인 모델을 기반으로 손쉬운 계산이 가능한 쇄파지표에 대한 새로운 산정식을 제안하였고 수리모형실험결과 및 기존의 경험식과 비교하고 새롭게 제안한 쇄파지표의 예측성능을 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 제안한 쇄파지표에 대한 경험식은 단순한 다항식임에도 불구하고 자갈해빈에 대한 양호한 예측성능을 보였다.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2000년도 제15차 학술회의논문집
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• pp.357-357
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• 2000

In this study, we consider a multi-input multi-output styrene polymerization reactor system for which the monomer conversion and the weight average molecular weight are controlled by manipulating the jacket inlet temperature and the feed flow rate. The reactor system is identified by using a linear subspace identification method and then the output feedback model predictive controller is constructed on the basis of the identified model. Here we use the Best Linear Unbiased Estimation (BLUE) filter as a stochastic estimator instead of the Kalman filter. The BLUE filter observes the state successfully without any a priori information of initial states. In contrast to the Kalman filter, the BLUE filter eliminates the offset by observing the state of the augmented system regardless of a priori information of the initial state for an integral white noise augmented system. A BLUE filter has a finite impulse response (FIR) structure which utilizes finite measurements and inputs on the most recent time interval [i-N, i] in order to avoid long processing times.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제3권3호
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• pp.272-279
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• 1997

In this paper, a fuzzy generalized predictive control (FGPC) for non-linear plants is proposed. In the proposed method, the receding horizon control is applied to the control part, while fuzzy systems are used for the predictor part. It is suggested that the fuzzy predictor is time-varying affine with respect to input variables for easy computation of control inputs. Since the receding horizon control can be obtained only with a predictor instead of a plant model, the fuzzy predictor is obtained directly from input-output data without identifying a plant model. A parameter estimation algorithm is used for identifying the fuzzy predictor. The control inputs of the FGPC are computed by minimizing a receding horizon cost function with predicted plant outputs. The proposed controller has a similar architecture to the generalized predictive control (GPC) except for the predictor synthesis method, and thus may possess inherent good properties of the GPC. Computer simulations show that the performance of the FGPC is satisfactory.