• Title/Summary/Keyword: Linear model

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Modeling of Solar Radiation Using Silicon Solar Module

  • Kim, Joon-Yong;Yang, Seung-Hwan;Lee, Chun-Gu;Kim, Young-Joo;Kim, Hak-Jin;Cho, Seong-In;Rhee, Joong-Yong
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.11-18
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: Short-circuit current of a solar module that is widely used as a power source for wireless environmental sensors is proportional to solar radiation although there are a lot of factors affecting the short-circuit current. The objective of this study is to develop a model for estimating solar radiation for using the solar module as a power source and an irradiance sensor. Methods: An experiment system collected data on the short-circuit current and environmental factors (ambient temperature, cloud cover and solar radiation) during 65 days. Based on these data, two linear regression models and a non-linear regression model were developed and evaluated. Results: The best model was a linear regression model with short-circuit current, angle of incidence and cloud cover and its overall RMSE(Root Means Square Error) was 66.671 $W/m^2$. The other linear model (RMSE 69.038 $W/m^2$) was also acceptable when the cloud cover data is not available.

A Linear Programming Approach for Supply Network Planning based on Supply Chain Collaboration Strategy (선형계획법을 이용한 협업공급망계획 수립모델)

  • Lee, Seung-Keun;Lee, Hong-Chul
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.472-481
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose a linear programming model of supply planning process for the supply chain collaboration strategy of a company. The amount of its supplying quantity relies on outsourcing suppliers heavily. Conversely, the revenues of those suppliers are highly dependent on the supplying quota from the supply network planning of the company. In order to keep the supply stable through collaboration, the company builds such a policy to guarantee the fairness on revenue between the supplies. For this, the supply network plan should keep the capacity utilization ratio even for all the suppliers. But the production capacities are different and the distribution of molds is disproportional through suppliers, so the supply network plan is not easily established with simple arithmetic processes. Therefore, we developed the linear programming model with those target function and constraints minimizing the costs for holding inventory and penalty of delayed delivery, simultaneously guaranteeing the even capacity utilization through suppliers. The proposed model has been applied to real case and the evaluation for the planning result from the model would be followed in order to make sure that our model guarantee on extracting the supply network plan subordinated to the policy. Also we mention about further studies for improvement of the model.

Simple Monodimensional Model for Linear Growth Rate of Photosynthetic Microorganisms in Flat-Plate Photobioreactors

  • Kim, Nag-Jong;Suh, In-Soo;Hur, Byung-Ki;Lee, Choul-Gyun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.962-971
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    • 2002
  • The current study proposes a simple monodimensional model to estimate the linear growth rate of photosynthetic microorganisms in flat-plate photobioreactors (FPPBRs) during batch cultivation. As a model microorganism, Chlorella kessleri was cultivated photoautotrophically in FPPBRs using light-emitting diodes (LEDs) as the light sources to provide unidirectional irradiation in the photobioreactors. Various conditions were simulated by adjusting both the intensity of the light and the height of the culture. The validity of the proposed model was examined by comparing the linear growth rates measured with the predicted ones obtained from the proposed model. Accordingly, the value of $\frac{K\cdot\mu m}{\alpha\cdot L}log(I_0\cdot{I_s}^{\varepsilon 1)\cdot {I_c}^{-\varepsilon})$ was proposed as an approximate index for strategies to obtain the maximal lightn yield under light-limiting conditions for high-density algal cultures and as a control parameter to improve the photosynthetic productivity and efficiency.

A Study on the Evaluation of an Expert System에s Performance : Lens Model Analysis (전문가시스템의 성능평가에 관한 연구 : 렌즈모델분석)

  • 김충영
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.117-135
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    • 2004
  • Since human decision making behavior is likely to follow nonlinear strategy, it is conjectured that the human decision making behavior can be modeled better by nonlinear models than by linear models. All that linear models can do is to approximate rather than model the decision behavior. This study attempts to test this conjecture by analyzing human decision making behavior and combining the results of the analysis with predictive performance of both linear models and nonlinear models. In this way, this study can examine the relationship between the predictive performance of models and the existence of valid nonlinear strategy in decision making behavior. This study finds that the existence of nonlinear strategy in decision making behavior is highly correlated with the validity of the decision (or the human experts). The second finding concerns the significant correlations between the model performance and the existence of valid nonlinear strategy which is detected by Lens Model. The third finding is that as stronger the valid nonlinear strategy becomes, the better nonlinear models predict significantly than linear models. The results of this study bring an important concept, validity of nonlinear strategy, to modeling human experts. The inclusion of the concept indicates that the prior analysis of human judgement may lead to the selection of proper modeling algorithm. In addition, lens Model Analysis is proved to be useful in examining the valid nonlinearity in human decision behavior.

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Deal price model in Deal-or-No-Deal game (딜또는노딜 게임에서 딜금액 결정 모형)

  • Song, Seolhee;Ahn, Soohan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.697-703
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    • 2014
  • Deal-or-No-Deal game is a famous TV show program of NBC, USA, which is composed of 10 stages at most. At each stage from the first and the ninth, a banker suggests a deal price to participants. In this paper, we intend to reveal the banker's deal price model using a constrained linear model and quadratic program. As results, we provide a linear model in relation to the deal price at each stage and then show using simulation data that the deal price is equal to the nearest integer of the value to be obtained by the provided linear model.

LuGre Model-Based Neural Network Friction Compensator in a Linear Motor Stage

  • Horng, Rong-Hwang;Lin, Li-Ren;Lee, An-Chen
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 2006
  • This paper proposes a LuGre Model-Based Neural Network (MBNN) friction compensation algorithm for a linear motor stage. For matching the friction phenomena in both the motion-start region and the motion-reverse region, the LuGre dynamic model is employed into the proposed compensation algorithm. After training of the model-based neural network is completed, the estimated friction for compensation is obtained. From the obtained result we find that the new structure gains advantage over the non-friction compensation system on the performance of the compensator in both regions. The proposed compensator is evaluated and compared experimentally with an uncompensated system on a microcomputer controlled linear motor tracking system in the final section of the paper. The experimental results show the improvement on the maximum velocity error and the root mean square tracking error in the motion-start region ranges from 34% to 53% and from 53% to 75% respectively, and in the motion-reverse region from 48% to 65% and from 79% to 90% respectively.

An Optimal Model Prediction for Fruits Diseases with Weather Conditions

  • Ragu, Vasanth;Lee, Myeongbae;Sivamani, Saraswathi;Cho, Yongyun;Park, Jangwoo;Cho, Kyungryong;Cho, Sungeon;Hong, Kijeong;Oh, Soo Lyul;Shin, Changsun
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.82-91
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    • 2019
  • This study provides the analysis and prediction of fruits diseases related to weather conditions (temperature, wind speed, solar power, rainfall and humidity) using Linear Model and Poisson Regression. The main goal of the research is to control the method of fruits diseases and also to prevent diseases using less agricultural pesticides. So, it is needed to predict the fruits diseases with weather data. Initially, fruit data is used to detect the fruit diseases. If diseases are found, we move to the next process and verify the condition of the fruits including their size. We identify the growth of fruit and evidence of diseases with Linear Model. Then, Poisson Regression used in this study to fit the model of fruits diseases with weather conditions as an input provides the predicted diseases as an output. Finally, the residuals plot, Q-Q plot and other plots help to validate the fitness of Linear Model and provide correlation between the actual and the predicted diseases as a result of the conducted experiment in this study.

GARCH-X(1, 1) model allowing a non-linear function of the variance to follow an AR(1) process

  • Didit B Nugroho;Bernadus AA Wicaksono;Lennox Larwuy
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.163-178
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    • 2023
  • GARCH-X(1, 1) model specifies that conditional variance follows an AR(1) process and includes a past exogenous variable. This study proposes a new class from that model by allowing a more general (non-linear) variance function to follow an AR(1) process. The functions applied to the variance equation include exponential, Tukey's ladder, and Yeo-Johnson transformations. In the framework of normal and student-t distributions for return errors, the empirical analysis focuses on two stock indices data in developed countries (FTSE100 and SP500) over the daily period from January 2000 to December 2020. This study uses 10-minute realized volatility as the exogenous component. The parameters of considered models are estimated using the adaptive random walk metropolis method in the Monte Carlo Markov chain algorithm and implemented in the Matlab program. The 95% highest posterior density intervals show that the three transformations are significant for the GARCHX(1, 1) model. In general, based on the Akaike information criterion, the GARCH-X(1, 1) model that has return errors with student-t distribution and variance transformed by Tukey's ladder function provides the best data fit. In forecasting value-at-risk with the 95% confidence level, the Christoffersen's independence test suggest that non-linear models is the most suitable for modeling return data, especially model with the Tukey's ladder transformation.

Prediction Models of Residual Chlorine in Sediment Basin to Control Pre-chlorination in Water Treatment Plant (정수장 전염소 공정 제어를 위한 침전지 잔류 염소 농도 예측모델 개발)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hyuk;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Lim, Jae-Lim;Chae, Seon Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.601-607
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    • 2007
  • In order to maintain constant residual chlorine in sedimentation basin, It is necessary to develop real time prediction model of residual chlorine considering water treatment plant data such as water qualities, weather, and plant operation conditions. Based on the operation data acquired from K water treatment plant, prediction models of residual chlorine in sediment basin were accomplished. The input parameters applied in the models were water temperature, turbidity, pH, conductivity, flow rate, alkalinity and pre-chlorination dosage. The multiple regression models were established with linear and non-linear model with 5,448 data set. The corelation coefficient (R) for the linear and non-linear model were 0.39 and 0.374, respectively. It shows low correlation coefficient, that is, these multiple regression models can not represent the residual chlorine with the input parameters which varies independently with time changes related to weather condition. Artificial neural network models are applied with three different conditions. Input parameters are consisted of water quality data observed in water treatment process based on the structure of auto-regressive model type, considering a time lag. The artificial neural network models have better ability to predict residual chlorine at sediment basin than conventional linear and nonlinear multi-regression models. The determination coefficients of each model in verification process were shown as 0.742, 0.754, and 0.869, respectively. Consequently, comparing the results of each model, neural network can simulate the residual chlorine in sedimentation basin better than mathematical regression models in terms of prediction performance. This results are expected to contribute into automation control of water treatment processes.

인공신경망모형을 이용한 주가의 예측가능성에 관한 연구

  • Jeong, Yong-Gwan;Yun, Yeong-Seop
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.369-399
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    • 1998
  • Most of the studies on stock price predictability using the linear model conclude that there are little possibility to predict the future price movement. But some anomalous patterns may be generated by remaining market inefficiency or regulation, market system that is facilitated to prevent the market failure. And these anomalous pattern, if exist, make them difficult to predict the stock price movement with linear model. In this study, I try to find the anomalous pattern using the ANN model. And by comparing the predictability of ANN model with the predictability of correspondent linear model, I want to show the importance of recognitions of anomalous pattern in stock price prediction. I find that ANN model could have the superior performance measured with the accuracy of prediction and investment return to correspondent linear model. This result means that there may exist the anomalous pattern that can't be recognized with linear model, and it is necessary to consider the anomalous pattern to make superior prediction performance.

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