• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Prediction Model

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Machine Learning Model for Low Frequency Noise and Bias Temperature Instability (저주파 노이즈와 BTI의 머신 러닝 모델)

  • Kim, Yongwoo;Lee, Jonghwan
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2020
  • Based on the capture-emission energy (CEE) maps of CMOS devices, a physics-informed machine learning model for the bias temperature instability (BTI)-induced threshold voltage shifts and low frequency noise is presented. In order to incorporate physics theories into the machine learning model, the integration of artificial neural network (IANN) is employed for the computation of the threshold voltage shifts and low frequency noise. The model combines the computational efficiency of IANN with the optimal estimation of Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with soft clustering. It enables full lifetime prediction of BTI under various stress and recovery conditions and provides accurate prediction of the dynamic behavior of the original measured data.

Prediction of gate oxide breakdwon under constant current stresses (정전류 스트레스 하에서 게이트 산화막의 항복 특성 예측)

  • 정태식;최우영;이상돈;윤재석;김재영;김봉렬
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.33A no.7
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    • pp.162-170
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    • 1996
  • A breakdown model of gate oxides under constant current stresses is proposed. This model directly relates the oxide lifetime to the stress current density, and includes statistical nature of oxide breakdown using the concept of "effective oxide thinning". It is shown tha this model can reliably predict the TDDB characteristics for any current stress levels and oxide areas.

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A Study on Warranty and Quality Assurance Model for Guided Missiles Based on Storage Reliability (저장신뢰도 기반의 유도탄 품질보증모델에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Sanghoon;Lee, Sangbok
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop a quality assurance model and to determine appropriate warranty period for a guided missile using its field data. Methods: 10 years of actual firing data is collected from the defense industry company and military. Parametric maximum likelihood estimation for a reliability function is determined with the data. Results: The reliability function estimates average lifetime of the missile. That function shows a user requirement, 80% reliability (lifetime) is come up when 8 years have passed, which is longer than the estimates in the missile's development phase. Conclusion: Quality assurance warranty for a guided missile must be established with actual test data. It is necessary to update and modify the reliability prediction and the warranty period with actual field test data.

Voltage-Current Modeling of NPT IGBT for Transient Condition (과도 상태 시 NPT IGBT의 전압-전류 모델링)

  • Ryu, Se-Hwan;Lee, Myung-Soo;Ahn, Hyung-Geun;Han, Deuk-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.07a
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    • pp.405-408
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    • 2004
  • In this work, Analytical model for voltage and current characteristics of NPT(Non-PunchThrough) IGBT(Insulated Gate Bipolar Transistor) was represented. voltage and current characteristics models were based on prediction on power loss of NPT IGBT during transient condition. For Analytical current model, excess carrier concentration and accumulated charge in active base width was analyzed with time variance. Analytical models were simulated by varying lifetime of excess minority carrier.

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Reliability-Based Performance Assessment and Prediction of Tendon Corrosion in K-UHPC Bridges (K-UHPC 교량의 긴장재 부식에 관한 신뢰성 기반 성능 평가 및 예측)

  • Kwon, Kihyon;Park, Sung Yong;Cho, Keunhee;Kim, Sung Tae;Park, Jong Beom;Kim, Byung Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2016
  • Tendon corrosion reliability in KICT-ultra high performance concrete (K-UHPC) bridges is assessed and predicted considering uncertainties in flexural bending capacity and corrosion occurrence. In post-tensioning bridge systems, corrosion is a one of most critical failure mechanisms due to strength reduction by it. During the entire service life, those bridges may experience lifetime corrosion deterioration initiated and propagated in tendons which are embedded not only in normal concrete but also in K-UHPC. For this reason, the time-variant corrosion performance has to be assessed. In the absence of in-depth researches associated with K-UHPC tendon corrosion, a reliability-based prediction model is developed to evaluate lifetime corrosion performance of tendon in K-UHPC bridges. In 2015, KICT built a K-UHPC pilot bridge at 168/5~168/6 milestone on Yangon-Mandalay Expressway in Myanmar, by using locally produced tendons which post-tensioned in longitudinal and lateral ways of K-UHPC girders. For an illustrative purpose, this K-UHPC bridge is used to identify the time-variant corrosion performance.

Intrusion Detection Scheme Using Traffic Prediction for Wireless Industrial Networks

  • Wei, Min;Kim, Kee-Cheon
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.310-318
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    • 2012
  • Detecting intrusion attacks accurately and rapidly in wireless networks is one of the most challenging security problems. Intrusion attacks of various types can be detected by the change in traffic flow that they induce. Wireless industrial networks based on the wireless networks for industrial automation-process automation (WIA-PA) standard use a superframe to schedule network communications. We propose an intrusion detection system for WIA-PA networks. After modeling and analyzing traffic flow data by time-sequence techniques, we propose a data traffic prediction model based on autoregressive moving average (ARMA) using the time series data. The model can quickly and precisely predict network traffic. We initialized the model with data traffic measurements taken by a 16-channel analyzer. Test results show that our scheme can effectively detect intrusion attacks, improve the overall network performance, and prolong the network lifetime.

Leak flow prediction during loss of coolant accidents using deep fuzzy neural networks

  • Park, Ji Hun;An, Ye Ji;Yoo, Kwae Hwan;Na, Man Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.8
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    • pp.2547-2555
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    • 2021
  • The frequency of reactor coolant leakage is expected to increase over the lifetime of a nuclear power plant owing to degradation mechanisms, such as flow-acceleration corrosion and stress corrosion cracking. When loss of coolant accidents (LOCAs) occur, several parameters change rapidly depending on the size and location of the cracks. In this study, leak flow during LOCAs is predicted using a deep fuzzy neural network (DFNN) model. The DFNN model is based on fuzzy neural network (FNN) modules and has a structure where the FNN modules are sequentially connected. Because the DFNN model is based on the FNN modules, the performance factors are the number of FNN modules and the parameters of the FNN module. These parameters are determined by a least-squares method combined with a genetic algorithm; the number of FNN modules is determined automatically by cross checking a fitness function using the verification dataset output to prevent an overfitting problem. To acquire the data of LOCAs, an optimized power reactor-1000 was simulated using a modular accident analysis program code. The predicted results of the DFNN model are found to be superior to those predicted in previous works. The leak flow prediction results obtained in this study will be useful to check the core integrity in nuclear power plant during LOCAs. This information is also expected to reduce the workload of the operators.

Modeling of the lifetime prediction of a 12-V automotive lead-acid battery (차량용 납축전지의 수명 예측 모델링)

  • Kim, Sung Tae;Lee, Jeongbin;Kim, Ui Seong;Shin, Chee Burm
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2013
  • The conventional lead acid battery is optimized for cranking performance of engine. Recently electric devices and fuel economy technologies of battery have influenced more deep cycle of dynamic behavior of battery. I also causes to reduce battery life-time. This study proposed that aging battery model is focused for increasing of battery durability. The stress factors of battery aging consist of discharge rate, charging time, full charging time and temperature. This paper considers the electrochemical kinetics, the ionic species conservation, and electrode porosity. For prediction of battery life cycle we consider battery model containing strong impacts, corrosion of positive grid and shedding. Finally, we validated that modeling results were compared with the accelerated thermal measurement data.

Service life prediction of rubber seal materials for immersion tunnel by accelerated thermal degradation tests (가속 열 노화시험을 이용한 침매터널용 고무 씰 소재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Park, Joon-Hyung;Park, Kwang-Hwa;Park, Hyeong-Geun;Kwon, Young-Il;Kim, Jong-Ho;Sung, Il-Kyung
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.275-290
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    • 2009
  • This paper considers accelerated thermal degradation tests which are performed for rubber seal materials used for undersea tunnels constructed by immersion method. Three types of rubber seals are tested; rubber expansion seal, omega seal, and shock absorber hose. Main ingredient of rubber expansion seal is EPDM(Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer) and that of both omega seal and shock absorber hose is SBR(Styrene Butadiene Rubber). The accelerated stress is temperature and an Arrhenius model is introduced to describe the relationship between the lifetime and the stress. From the accelerated degradation tests, dominant failure mode of the rubber seals is found to be the loss of elongation. The lifetime distribution and the service life of the rubber seals at use condition are estimated from the test results. The acceleration factor for three types of rubber seals are also investigated.

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