• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Prediction

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A Study on the Prediction of Fatigue Life by use of Probability Density Function (확률밀도함수를 이용한 피로균열 발생수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김종호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 1999
  • The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the structure and machinery compo-nents. In this study the practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function is shown with a $135,000m^3$ LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution taht determine the stress spectrum are dis-cussed. At the end some of uncertainties associated with fatigue life prediction are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors expressed in combination of probability density function and S-N data is proposed. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter and stress block. The conser-vative fatigue design can be achieved when using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divded into more stress blocks.

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Prediction of gate oxide breakdwon under constant current stresses (정전류 스트레스 하에서 게이트 산화막의 항복 특성 예측)

  • 정태식;최우영;이상돈;윤재석;김재영;김봉렬
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Telematics and Electronics A
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    • v.33A no.7
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    • pp.162-170
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    • 1996
  • A breakdown model of gate oxides under constant current stresses is proposed. This model directly relates the oxide lifetime to the stress current density, and includes statistical nature of oxide breakdown using the concept of "effective oxide thinning". It is shown tha this model can reliably predict the TDDB characteristics for any current stress levels and oxide areas.

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The Evaluation of Durability by NDT test of Marine-Concrete Structures (항만구조물의 비파괴시험에 의한 안정성 검토)

  • 조병완;이일근;강희풍
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 1995.10a
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 1995
  • Establishment of a diagnosing technology for the deterioration of reinforced concrete structures due to salt contamination is urgent, but few analytical methods based on measured data obtained from concrete structures have been presented so far. Chloride penetration into concrete from sea water is generally understood and analysed as diffusion of chloride ion. This paper presents a new method of predicting chloride penetration into concrete based on diffusion theory. Also, it determines the duralility of Marine structure in service with the prediction of remaiing lifetime by the carvonation test.

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Reliability Prediction using Field Data after Warranty Period (보증기간후의 사용현장 자료를 이용한 신뢰성 예측)

  • 김종걸;최영진;정연승
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.39-52
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    • 2000
  • This paper is concerned with the method of estimating lifetime distribution for field data in warranty period and for a situation where some additional field data can be gathered after the warranty period. Implementing the proposed methods in this paper will result in obtaining the more precise product life time estimation and product improvement.

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Fatigue Life Prediction for Electric Railway Catenary wires (가선재의 피로수명 예측)

  • Kim, Yong-Ki;Chang, Se-Ky
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10c
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    • pp.558-567
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    • 2003
  • The catenary wires are damaged by periodic running of train as well as repeated stress. The wires are also degraded by atmosphere corrosion at fields. Corrosion of wires increased surface roughness and deteriorated mechanical properties by providing fatigue crack initiation sited resulting in a bad effect on service life of the wires. Fatigue test of catenary wires performed to estimate service lifetime. Also, simulation to analyze stress on catenary wires was conducted through modelling the finite elements for dynamic behaviors of wires. Fatigue life of catenary wires was estimated with fatigue and simulation tests.

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Intrusion Detection Scheme Using Traffic Prediction for Wireless Industrial Networks

  • Wei, Min;Kim, Kee-Cheon
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.310-318
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    • 2012
  • Detecting intrusion attacks accurately and rapidly in wireless networks is one of the most challenging security problems. Intrusion attacks of various types can be detected by the change in traffic flow that they induce. Wireless industrial networks based on the wireless networks for industrial automation-process automation (WIA-PA) standard use a superframe to schedule network communications. We propose an intrusion detection system for WIA-PA networks. After modeling and analyzing traffic flow data by time-sequence techniques, we propose a data traffic prediction model based on autoregressive moving average (ARMA) using the time series data. The model can quickly and precisely predict network traffic. We initialized the model with data traffic measurements taken by a 16-channel analyzer. Test results show that our scheme can effectively detect intrusion attacks, improve the overall network performance, and prolong the network lifetime.

Methodology of Perform Design for Reducing Tool Wear in Cold Forging (냉간 단조 금형의 마멸 감소를 위한 예비성형체 설계방법)

  • 이진호;고대철;김태형;김병민;최재찬
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 1997.10a
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    • pp.164-167
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    • 1997
  • The die wear is one of the main factors affecting die accuracy and tool lifetime. It is desired to reduce die wear by developing simulation method to predict wear based on process parameters, and then optimize the process. Therefore, this paper describes disign methodology of preform for minimizing wear of finisher die in multi-stage cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction and the cold forging processes. The finite element method is combined with the routine of wear prediction and the cold forging process is analyzed. In order to obtain preform to minimize die wear, the FPS algorithm is applied and the optimal preform shape is found from iterative deformation analysis and wear calculation.

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Useful Lifetime Prediction of Coupling Rubber Pad for Railway Vehicles (철도차량 완충기 패드용 고무소재 수명예측)

  • Woo, Chang-Su;Park, Hyun-Sung;Park, Dong-Chul
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.923-931
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    • 2008
  • Coupling rubber pad are important components in railway vehicles. It can be used for reduce shock, vibration and noise. Simple tension, equi-biaxial tension and pure shear test were performed to acquire the coefficient of rubber material which were Mooney-Rivlin and Ogden model. The finite element analysis was executed to evaluate the behavior of deformation and stress distribution by using the commercial finite element analysis code. Useful life evaluation are very important in design procedure to assure the safety and reliability of the rubber components. In this paper, useful life prediction of rubber pad for railway vehicle were experimentally investigated. Accelerated heat-aging test for rubber material were carried. Compression set results changes as the threshold are used for assessment of the useful life and time to threshold value were plotted against reciprocal of absolute temperature to give the Arrhenius plot.

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Prediction of Thermal Fatigue Life of Alumina ceramics (알루미나 세라믹스의 열피로 수명 예측)

  • 정우찬;한봉석;이홍림
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.36 no.8
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    • pp.871-875
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    • 1999
  • Theoretical equation to calculate thermal fatigue life was derived in which slow crack growth theory was adopted. The equation is function of crack growth exponent n. Cyclic thermal fatigue tests were performed at temperature difference of 175, 187 and 200$^{\circ}C$ respectively. At each temperature difference critical thermal fatigue life cycles of the alumina ceramics were 180,37 and 7 cycles. And theoretical thermal fatigue life cycles were calculated as 172, 35 and 7 cycles at the same temperature difference conditions. Therefore thermal fatigue behavior of alumina ceramics can be represented by derived equation. Also theoretical single cycle critical thermal shock temperature difference can be calculated by this equation and the result was consistent with the experimental result well.

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