• 제목/요약/키워드: Lifetime Prediction

검색결과 220건 처리시간 0.027초

폴리아미드 6의 열 산화반응에 의한 황변 현상과 산화방지제의 효과 (Discoloration and the Effect of Antioxidants on Thermo-Oxidative Degradation of Polyamide 6)

  • 허민호;김상우;하기룡;;홍기헌
    • 폴리머
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.452-461
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구에서는 폴리아미드 6 (PA 6)을 70~$160^{\circ}C$에서 장시간 사용하였을 때 산화방지제의 사용유무 및 농도에 따른 열 안정성을 조사하였다. 70~$160^{\circ}C$의 온도범위내의 열 산화반응 시 모든 시료는 100시간 내에 황변 현상이 일어났다. 기계적 물성, 황변 지수, 점도측정으로 가장 적정한 산화방지제의 농도를 조사하였다. 일, 이차 산화방지제의 조성변화에 의한 산화방지효과는 미미하였다. 황변 현상의 분석은 NMR, IR, 그리고 element analysis (EA)를 사용하였다. $^{13}C$ NMR에 의해 서로 다른 카르보닐기의 존재를 확인하였으며, 산소의 소모량 측정은 EA를 사용하였다. Arrhenius식을 이용하여 산화방지제를 첨가한 시료와 그렇지 않은 시료의 lifetime을 예측하였다.

원전 케이블용 절연재료의 열분석과 등가수명 (Thermal Analysis and Equivalent Lifetime Prediction of Insulation Material for Nuclear Power Cable)

  • 김지연;양종석;박경흠;성백용;방정환;박대희
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2016
  • The activation energy of a material is an important factor that significantly affects the lifetime and can be used to develop a degradation model. In this study, a thermal analysis was carried out to evaluate and collect quantitative data on the degradation of insulation materials like EPR and CSP used for nuclear power plant cables. The activation energy was determined from the relationship between log ${\beta}$ and 1/T based on the Flynn.Wall.Ozawa method, by a TGA test. The activation energy was also derived from the relationship between ln(t) and 1/T based on isothermal analysis, by an OIT test. The activation energy of EPR derived from thermal analysis was used to calculate the accelerated aging time corresponding to the number of years of use, employing the Arrhenius equation, and determine the elongation corresponding to the accelerated aging time.

Stepped Isothermal Methods Using Time-Temperature Superposition Principles for Lifetime Prediction of Polyester Geogrids

  • Koo Hyun-Jin;Kim You-Kyum;Kim Dong-Whan
    • 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.69-73
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    • 2005
  • The failure of geogrids used for soil reinforcement application can be defined as an excessive creep strain which causes the collapse of slopes and embankments. Accordingly, the lifetime is evaluated as a time to reach the excessive creep strain using two accelerated creep testing methods, time-temperature superposition(TTS) and stepped isothermal methods(SIM). TTS is a well-accepted acceleration method to evaluate creep behavior of polymeric materials, while SIM was developed in the last ten years mainly to shorten testing time and minimize the uncertainty associated with inherent variability of multi-specimen tests. The SIM test is usually performed using single rib of geogrids for temperature steps of $14^{\circ}C$ and a dwell time of 10,000 seconds. However, for multi-ribs of geogrids, the applicability of the SIM has not been well established. In this study, the creep behaviors are evaluated using multi-ribs of polyester geogrids using SIM and TTS creep procedures and the newly designed test equipment. Then the lifetime of geogrids are predicted by analyzing the failure times to reach the excessive creep strains through reliability analysis.

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Observational Evidence of Giant Cloud Condensation Nucleus Effects on the Precipitation Sensitivity in Marine Stratocumulus Clouds

  • Jung, Eunsil
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제43권4호
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    • pp.498-510
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    • 2022
  • Cloud-aerosol interactions are one of the paramount but least understood forcing factors in climate systems. Generally, an increase in the concentration of aerosols increases the concentration of cloud droplet numbers, implying that clouds tend to persist for longer than usual, suppressing precipitation in the warm boundary layer. The cloud lifetime effect has been the center of discussion in the scientific community, partly because of the lack of cloud life cycle observations and partly because of cloud problems. In this study, the precipitation susceptibility (So) matrix was employed to estimate the aerosols' effect on precipitation, while the non-aerosol effect is minimized. The So was calculated for the typical coupled, well-mixed maritime stratocumulus decks and giant cloud condensation nucleus (GCCN) seeded clouds. The GCCN-artificially introduced to the marine stratocumulus cloud decks-is shown to initiate precipitation and reduces So to approximately zero, demonstrating the cloud lifetime hypothesis. The results suggest that the response of precipitation to changes in GCCN must be considered for accurate prediction of aerosol-cloud-precipitation interaction by model studies

제주 남동부 지역을 대상으로 한 WindPRO의 발전량 예측에 관한 연구 (Study on the Power Performance on WindPRO Prediction in the Southeast Region of Jeju Island)

  • 현승건;김건훈;허종철
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국신재생에너지학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.184.1-184.1
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    • 2010
  • In order to research the way to evaluate wind resource without actual Met Mast data, this paper has been carried out on the southeastern region of Jeju island, Korea. Although wind turbine has been an economical alternative energy resource, misjudging the prediction of lifetime or payback period occurs because of the inaccurate assessment of wind resource and the location of wind turbine. Using WindPRO(Ver. 2.7), a software for wind farm design developed by EMD from Denmark, wind resources for the southeastern region of Jeju island was analyzed, and the performance of WindPRO prediction was evaluated in detail. Met Mast data in Su-san 5.5Km far from Samdal wind farm, AWS in Sung-san 4.5km far from Samdal wind farm, and Korea Wind Map data had been collected for this work.

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기존 자료를 통한 염소이온 확산계수 분석 및 철근콘크리트 구조물의 염해 수명예측 (Prediction of the Durability Life for RC Structures through the Analyzing Chloride Diffusion Coefficient of the Establish Data)

  • 이우진;이성복;이한승;유제준;윤병수
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2004년도 춘계 학술발표회 제16권1호
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    • pp.846-849
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    • 2004
  • It is important to decide the precise chloride diffusion coefficient in order to predict the durability plan of concrete structure chloride and prediction of remaining lifetime. However, the inland references are limited to the rapid test in laboratory. The purpose of this study is to examine and analyze the established data, which are restricted by chloride diffusion coefficient, and to examine the prediction of the concrete structure durability by an FEM interpretation and the chloride diffusion coefficient as a variable.

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B2B 거래에서 서술모델과 예측모델을 이용한 고객가치 산정 (Estimating Customer Value under B2B Environment Using Description and Prediction Models)

  • 박찬주;박윤선;주상호;유우연
    • 경영과학
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.135-149
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    • 2003
  • Developing a proper program for customer evaluation is one of the most imminent tasks to implement CRM (Customer Relationship Management). Design of the Customer Value model is an important key to the customer evaluation progrgm. This paper proposes two models for estimating Customer Value. The first one is a Description Model for Customer Value based on customer CSI (Customer Satisfaction Index) data. This model represents as quantitative numbers what customers feel from the company or the service. The second one is a Prediction Model which employs factor analysis and regression to predict customer value. This paper exploits the two models to evaluate Customer Value as well as for customer behavior prediction.

차량용 납축전지의 수명 예측 모델링 (Modeling of the lifetime prediction of a 12-V automotive lead-acid battery)

  • 김성태;이정빈;김의성;신치범
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.338-346
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    • 2013
  • 일반 납축전지는 차량의 시동 성능 위주로 최적 설계되어 있다. 최근 차량 전장 시스템과 납축전지를 활용한 연비기술 적용의 증가로 납축전지의 사용 빈도가 늘어나고 있다. 연비기술 적용은 납축전지의 잦은 충방전 반응을 일으켜 납축전지 내구 수명을 단축시키고 있다. 본 연구에서는 납축전지의 노화 수명 모델 구현을 통해 배터리 내구 수명을 예측하는 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 납축전지의 노화에 영향을 미치는 요인은 방전율, 충전 시간, 완충 시간, 온도 조건 등이 있다. 본 논문에서는 납축전지의 동적 거동을 예측하기 위하여 전기화학반응 속도론, 이온의 전달현상, 전극 공극률의 시간에 따른 변화를 고려하였다. 수명 예측을 위해서 노화 메커니즘 중 노화에 가장 큰 영향을 주는 극판 부식 현상과 활물질 탈락을 노화 모델링에 반영하였다. 개발된 납축전지의 노화 모델을 검증하기 위하여 납축전지의 가속 충방전 시험을 수행하였다.

A Study on Re-entry Predictions of Uncontrolled Space Objects for Space Situational Awareness

  • Choi, Eun-Jung;Cho, Sungki;Lee, Deok-Jin;Kim, Siwoo;Jo, Jung Hyun
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.289-302
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    • 2017
  • The key risk analysis technologies for the re-entry of space objects into Earth's atmosphere are divided into four categories: cataloguing and databases of the re-entry of space objects, lifetime and re-entry trajectory predictions, break-up models after re-entry and multiple debris distribution predictions, and ground impact probability models. In this study, we focused on reentry prediction, including orbital lifetime assessments, for space situational awareness systems. Re-entry predictions are very difficult and are affected by various sources of uncertainty. In particular, during uncontrolled re-entry, large spacecraft may break into several pieces of debris, and the surviving fragments can be a significant hazard for persons and properties on the ground. In recent years, specific methods and procedures have been developed to provide clear information for predicting and analyzing the re-entry of space objects and for ground-risk assessments. Representative tools include object reentry survival analysis tool (ORSAT) and debris assessment software (DAS) developed by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), spacecraft atmospheric re-entry and aerothermal break-up (SCARAB) and debris risk assessment and mitigation analysis (DRAMA) developed by European Space Agency (ESA), and semi-analytic tool for end of life analysis (STELA) developed by Centre National d'Etudes Spatiales (CNES). In this study, various surveys of existing re-entry space objects are reviewed, and an efficient re-entry prediction technique is suggested based on STELA, the life-cycle analysis tool for satellites, and DRAMA, a re-entry analysis tool. To verify the proposed method, the re-entry of the Tiangong-1 Space Lab, which is expected to re-enter Earth's atmosphere shortly, was simulated. Eventually, these results will provide a basis for space situational awareness risk analyses of the re-entry of space objects.

반응결합한 알루미나의 미구조와 파괴거동에 대한 비교 연구 (A Comparative Study of Microstructure and Fracture Behavior in Reaction-Bonded Alumina)

  • 이종호;장복기
    • 한국세라믹학회지
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    • 제29권7호
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 1992
  • For the present study two alumina bodies were prepared. The sinter-aid alumina body(SAA) was made by conventional sinter-process using sintering additives of TiO2 & MgO/CaO and the reaction-bonded alumina (RBA) made from Al-Al2O3 mixed powder. A comparison was made between those two bodies and this investigation seeks to evaluate their microstructure, physical properties and material's reliability as well as their fracture behaviour. In spite of its considerable microstructural densification accompanied by sintering shrinkage, SAA is largely inferior to RBA in fracture strength. However, SAA shows a somewhat higher m-value than RBA in respect to the material's reliability, the Weibull modulus(m). RBA, which has high fracture strength, shows much longer lifetime under static loading than SAA. Though, as with m of fracture strength, the reliability(mt) of lifetime prediction in RBA is less high than of SAA.

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