• Title/Summary/Keyword: Lifetime Estimation

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A class of accelerated sequential procedures with applications to estimation problems for some distributions useful in reliability theory

  • Joshi, Neeraj;Bapat, Sudeep R.;Shukla, Ashish Kumar
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.563-582
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    • 2021
  • This paper deals with developing a general class of accelerated sequential procedures and obtaining the associated second-order approximations for the expected sample size and 'regret' (difference between the risks of the proposed accelerated sequential procedure and the optimum fixed sample size procedure) function. We establish that the estimation problems based on various lifetime distributions can be tackled with the help of the proposed class of accelerated sequential procedures. Extensive simulation analysis is presented in support of the accuracy of our proposed methodology using the Pareto distribution and a real data set on carbon fibers is also analyzed to demonstrate the practical utility. We also provide the brief details of some other inferential problems which can be seen as the applications of the proposed class of accelerated sequential procedures.

Resource Allocation for Maximizing Energy Efficiency in Energy Harvesting Networks with Channel Estimation Error (채널 추정 오차가 존재하는 에너지 하베스팅 네트워크에서 에너지 효율성을 최대화 하는 자원할당 방안)

  • Lee, Kisong;Hong, Jun-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.506-512
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    • 2016
  • Recently, energy harvesting technology is considered as a tool to improve the lifetime of sensor networks by mitigating the battery capacity limitation problem. However, the previous work on energy harvesting has failed to provide practical information since it has assumed an ideal channel knowledge model with perfect channel state information at transmitter (CSIT). This paper proposes an energy efficient resource allocation scheme that takes account of the channel estimation process and the corresponding estimation error. Based on the optimization tools, we provide information on efficient scheduling and power allocation as the functions of channel estimation accuracy, harvested energy, and data rate. The simulation results confirm that the proposed scheme outperforms the conventional energy harvesting networks without considering channel estimation error in terms of energy efficiency. Furthermore, with taking account of channel estimation error, the results provides a new way for allocating resources and scheduling devices.

Evaluation on the Reliability Attributes of Finite Failure NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Pareto and Erlang Lifetime Distribution (파레토 및 어랑 수명분포에 근거한 유한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰성모형의 신뢰도 속성에 관한 평가)

  • Min, Kyung-il
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2020
  • In the software development process, software reliability evaluation is a very important issue. In particular, finding the optimal development model that satisfies high reliability is the more important task for software developers. For this, in this study, Pareto and Erlang life distributions were applied to the finite failure NHPP model to evaluate the reliability attributes. For this purpose, parametric estimation is applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method, and nonlinear equations are calculated using the bisection method. As a result, the Erlang model showed better performance than the Pareto model in the evaluation of the strength function and the mean value function. Also, as a result of inputting future mission time and evaluating reliability, the Erlang model showed an effectively high trend together with the Pareto model, while the Goel-Okumoto basic model showed a decreasing trend. In conclusion, the Erlang model is the best model among the proposed models. Through this study, it is expected that software developers will be able to use it as a basic guideline for exploring and evaluating the optimal software reliability model.

Breakdown Characteristics and Lifetime Estimation of Rubber Insulating Gloves Using Statistical Models

  • Kim, Doo Hyun;Kang, Dong Kyu
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2002
  • This paper is aimed at predicting the life of rubber insulating gloves under normal operating stresses from relatively rapid test performed at higher stresses. Specimens of rubber insulating gloves are subject to multiple stress conditions, i.e. combined electrical and thermal stresses. Two modes of electrical stress, step voltage stress and constant voltage stress are used in specimen aging. There are two types of test for electrical stress in this experiment: the one is Breakdown Voltage (BDV) test under step voltage stress and thermal stress and the other is lifetime test under constant voltage stress and temperature stress. The ac breakdown voltage defined as the break-down point of insulation that leakage current excesses a limit value, l0mA in this experiment, is determined. Because the very high variability of aging data requires the application of statistical model, Weibull distribution is used to represent the failure times as the straight line on Weibull probability paper. Weibull parameters are deter-mined by three statistical methods i.e. maximum likelihood method, graphical method and least squares method, which employ SAS package, Weibull probability paper and FORTRAN, respectively. Two chosen models for predicting the life under simultaneous electrical and thermal stresses are inverse power model and exponential model. And the constants of life equation for multistress aging are calculated using numerical method, such as Gauss Jordan method etc.. The completion of life equation enables to estimate the life at normal stress based on the data collected from accelerated aging test. Also the comparison of the calculated lifetimes between the inverse power model and the exponential model is carried out. And the lifetimes calculated by three statistical methods with lower voltage than test voltage are compared. The results obtained from the suggested experimental method are presented and discussed.

Low Power MAC Protocol Design for Wireless Sensor Networks using Recursive Estimation Methods (회귀적 추정 방식을 이용한 무선 센서 네트워크용 저전력 MAC 프로토콜)

  • Pak, Wooguil
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.39C no.3
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    • pp.239-246
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    • 2014
  • In the context of wireless sensor networks, one of major issues is energy conservation. For low power communication, by utilizing our experimental results for the relation between clock drift and synchronization interval, we designed a new protocol which can support a wide range of duty cycles for applications with very low traffic rate and insensitive delay. The transmission (TX) node in the protocol synchronizes with the reception (RX) node very before transmitting a packet, and it can adaptively estimate the synchronization error size according to the synchronization interval from minutes to hours. We conducted simulations and a testbed implementation to show the efficacy of the proposed protocol. We found that our protocol substantially outperforms other state-of-the-art protocols, resulting in order-of-magnitude increase in network lifetime over a variety of duty cycles.

A Study on the Damage Estimation of Uni-directionally Oriented Carbon Fiber Reinforced Plastics using Acoustic Emission (음향방출을 이용한 일방향 탄소섬유강화 플라스틱의 손상평가에 관한 연구)

  • Rhee Zhang-Kyu;Park Sung-Oan;Kim Bong-Gag;Woo Chang-Ki
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2005
  • This study is to investigate a damage estimation of single edge notched tensile specimens as a function of acoustic emission(AE) according to the uni-directionally oriented carbon fiber/epoxy composites, CFRP In fiber reinforced composite materials, AE signals due to several types of failure mechanisms are typically observed. These are due to fiber breakage, fiber pull-out matrix cracking, delamination, and splitting or fiber bundle breaking. And these are usually discriminated on the basis of amplitude distribution, event counts, and energy related parameters. In this case, AE signals were analyzed and classified 3 regions by AE event counts, energy and amplitude for corresponding applied load. Bath-tub curve shows 3 distinct periods during the lifetime of a single-edge-notch(SEN) specimen. The characterization of AE generated from CFRP during SEN tensile test is becoming an useful tool f3r the prediction of damage failure or/and failure mode analysis.

Analysis of Real-Time Estimation Method Based on Hidden Markov Models for Battery System States of Health

  • Piao, Changhao;Li, Zuncheng;Lu, Sheng;Jin, Zhekui;Cho, Chongdu
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.217-226
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    • 2016
  • A new method is proposed based on a hidden Markov model (HMM) to estimate and analyze battery states of health. Battery system health states are defined according to the relationship between internal resistance and lifetime of cells. The source data (terminal voltages and currents) can be obtained from vehicular battery models. A characteristic value extraction method is proposed for HMM. A recognition framework and testing datasets are built to test the estimation rates of different states. Test results show that the estimation rates achieved based on this method are above 90% under single conditions. The method achieves the same results under hybrid conditions. We can also use the HMMs that correspond to hybrid conditions to estimate the states under a single condition. Therefore, this method can achieve the purpose of the study in estimating battery life states. Only voltage and current are used in this method, thereby establishing its simplicity compared with other methods. The batteries can also be tested online, and the method can be used for online prediction.

Quasi real-time and continuous non-stationary strain estimation in bottom-fixed offshore structures by multimetric data fusion

  • Palanisamy, Rajendra P.;Jung, Byung-Jin;Sim, Sung-Han;Yi, Jin-Hak
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2019
  • Offshore structures are generally exposed to harsh environments such as strong tidal currents and wind loadings. Monitoring the structural soundness and integrity of offshore structures is crucial to prevent catastrophic collapses and to prolong their lifetime; however, it is intrinsically challenging because of the difficulties in accessing the critical structural members that are located under water for installing and repairing sensors and data acquisition systems. Virtual sensing technologies have the potential to alleviate such difficulties by estimating the unmeasured structural responses at the desired locations using other measured responses. Despite the usefulness of virtual sensing, its performance and applicability to the structural health monitoring of offshore structures have not been fully studied to date. This study investigates the use of virtual sensing of offshore structures. A Kalman filter based virtual sensing algorithm is developed to estimate responses at the location of interest. Further, this algorithm performs a multi-sensor data fusion to improve the estimation accuracy under non-stationary tidal loading. Numerical analysis and laboratory experiments are conducted to verify the performance of the virtual sensing strategy using a bottom-fixed offshore structural model. Numerical and experimental results show that the unmeasured responses can be reasonably recovered from the measured responses.

Estimation of Contact Fatigue Initiation Lifetime of an Urban Railway Wheel (도시철도 차륜의 접촉피로 초기수명 평가)

  • Ahn, Jong-Gon;You, In-Dong;Kwon, Seok-Jin;Kim, Ho-Kyung
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2012
  • Rolling contact fatigue of an urban railway wheel was analysed during its rolling. A FEM analysis was performed using a 3D modelling of rail and wheel, considering the slope of the rail and nonlinear isotropic and kinematic hardening behavior of the rail and the wheel. The maximum von-Mises stress and contact pressure between the rail and wheel were 656.9 MPa and 1111.4 MPa, respectively, under axial load of 85 kN with friction coefficient of 0. The fatigue initiation life prediction relationships by strain-lifetime (${\varepsilon}$-N) and Smith-Watson-Topper method were drawn for the wheel steel as follows: $N_i=7.35{\times}10^6{\times}SWT^{-3.56}$ and $N_i=5.41{\times}10^{-9}{\times}(\frac{{\Delta}{\varepsilon}}{2})^{-5.77}$. The fatigue lifetimes of the wheel due to rolling contact were determined to be infinite by ${\varepsilon}$-N and SWT methods.

Storage Life Estimation of Magnesium Flare Material for 81 mm Illuminating Projectile (81 mm 조명탄용 마그네슘계 조명제 저장수명 예측)

  • Back, Seungjun;Son, Youngkap;Lim, Sunghwan;Myung, Inho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.267-274
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    • 2015
  • It is necessary to both analyze root-cause of non-conformance of effective illumination time to the specification, and estimate the storage lifetime for 81 mm illuminating projectile stockpiled over 10 years. In this paper, aging mechanism of magnesium flare material due to long-term storage was supposed, and two-stage tests, pre-test and main test based on accelerated degradation tests were performed. Field storage environment of moistureproof was set up, and illumination times in the accelerated degradation tests for temperatures 60 and $70^{\circ}C$ were measured. Then, storage reliability of the projectile was estimated through analyzing the measured data and applying distribution-based degradation models to the data. The $B_{10}$ life by which 10 % of a population of the projectiles will have failed at storage temperature of $25^{\circ}C$ was estimated about 7 years.